/ New Year's weather, highlands
Am wondering the same thing.. Heading up to Scotland first week of Jan, it looks set to get colder but the rain and thaw on Friday is a worry -how much will it decimate things? Only looking at the lower grade routes on the Ben etc but hoping not too much will be washed away.. At the moment it is unclear how long the warm spell will last for - it is the accompanying rain which is more of a concern - on Friday..
forecast rain at all levels and storm force southerlies on friday, hope enough survives for when it gets cold again on saturday. No doubt conditions will come good again when we head back south on 1st.
There's not as much rain forecast on Friday in the East if MWIS is anything to go by.
The MWIS forecast fills me with doom. Hopefully they are wrong!!!
"Planning Outlook for all mountain areas from Friday, 28th December, 2012
Upland gales, often severe, throughout Friday and the weekend on all mountain areas. There will then be intermittent upland gales throughout next week. Frequent low cloud, and precipitation - particularly western mountains, this often of rain on summits from southern Scotland southwards, but apart form on Friday extensively snow on the Scottish Munros. There is increasing evidence that from the middle of next week for 2 to 4 days, warm air will substantially reduce the snow cover in the Scottish Highlands."
Shame I'm staying on the west :-(
On the optimistic side, its very windy but at least sheltered crags shouldn't be full of windslab this weekend. I'm hoping the damage from the warm Friday temps won't be as dramatic in the East, what with lighter rain forecast. West Coast forecast looks rubbish though.
What about the high southerly winds forecast for Friday - will these expose north facing slopes to avi risk
Without suggesting I have the slightest clue what I'm talking about (I don't), I am thinking high, and south or west facing at least for Saturday (and within 2 hours from Glasgow because of restrictions on my travelling logistics).
Can anyone recommend anywhere that is not Aonach Mor (too far), Dothaidh (no warthogs) or the Cobbler (too low).
Also weighing up the potential for wet snow avalanche this Sat. High Friday temps don't look as though they are going to dip down below the summits until Sat morning. Considering Coire an Lochain given sheltered aspect and routes that can be ab'ed off from below the summit. Not sure how safe the slopes above the tarn will be after the warm Friday. Deciding whether I can be ass'ed to drive from London to find out...
Cheers - helpful!
But I'm basing that on what I admit is a very superficial understanding of what's there so I'd be really interested to hear if anyone's got a slightly more nuanced view.
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