In reply to highcamp:
> (In reply to cragtyke)
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> - this rider, Rider X we can call him (again, NOT British), had virtually zero results as a pro until one notable 2nd place 2 yrs ago (nothing else that entire year either).
True, and it does look suspicious, but remember that this is a rider that was in Africa, not europe in his early days, so will have less of a record. It's also been stated that he had some form of parasite/virus that was causing inconsistent results
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> - this year, however, he is dominating almost every single stage race he has entered - in the mountains and in the TT. And by dominating, it is akin to Armstrong/Tour or Contador/Giro levels of dominance. Similarly, he was near these levels of dominance last year but restricted by team politics (again, one year after his first notable result, after 4 yrs of nothing at all).
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This didn't seem to be a problem when Brad dominated in a similar fashion in the build up to last year's tour.
> - his climb of Aix 3 Domaines this year was the 3rd fastest ever, just :07 sec slower than Armstrong in 2001 (when Armstrong obliterated Ullrich... and when, according to Tyler Hamilton, Armstrong failed an EPO test at the Tour de Suisse 3wks earlier (which was later covered up)). [Also of note, Rider X rode AX3 this year faster than Armstrong rode it in '03.]
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I'm comfortable that in 12 years nutrition, training, high altitude sleeping, bike design might have improved performances to this level. (Anyone noticed how virtually all sports records get broken with time?)
> - Rider X's climb of Aix 3 Domaines this year exhibited an estimated VAM of ~1715 m/h, at around 6.3W/kg (estimated). Typically a red flag in post-Armstrong/Contador/Bruyneel days.
Quite possibly, but then this doesn't account for other factors (wind in particular)
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> - 3 stages after the above performance, Rider X almost beats the 3x World Time Trial Champion on a *flat* course, finishing into a headwind. His nearest competitors with climbing prowess are near 2min back.
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True, but the guy's got form here - what was the result of the Olympics time trial?
> Taken together, from a Spanish cyclist on a Spanish team, would you call the above rider's performance into question?
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Quite possibly - and it does call froome's performances into question, I am uneasy about those accelerations yesterday - I've never seen anything like that. That doesn't make him quilty though, and I struggle a lot more with the idea that Wiggins doped last year. The fact that froome was almost this good last year, implies it was going on under Wiggo's watch, and I don't think he would tolerate it.
> '… the last thing I’ll say to the people who don’t believe in cycling, the cynics and the skeptics: I'm sorry for you. I’m sorry that you can’t dream big. I'm sorry you don't believe in miracles.' - Lance Armstrong
Interesting you bring this up... I was thinking about this yesterday - I don't think I've seen any miracles in cycling recently - not like we used to - it seems now that with the scientific approach and a lack of drugs we just don't get those amazing comebacks (which in someways is a bit of a shame!)