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Scots' Support for Independence Up Again

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 alastairmac 20 Feb 2014
George Osborne behaving like some 18th Century Governor General of Scotland probably helped a little bit............. But the latest polls are again moving strongly towards a Yes vote.
Removed User 20 Feb 2014
In reply to alastairmac:

Hmmm, strongly? again?

The last poll I've seen from 18th of February is here: http://survation.com/2014/02/a-note-on-methodology-for-our-recent-scottish-...

From the notes:

Looking specifically at the intervention by the “three Chancellors” announcing they would not be willing to enter a currency union, the effects have simply been to harden the stance of supporters on both sides of the independence debate. Only 4% of “No” voters and 3% of “Yes” voters suggested it would make them at all more likely to consider the alternative option, though the reaction of solidifying support was stronger on the “Yes” side, due probably to a visceral reaction amongst nationalists against any suggestion of being threatened by English politicians. - See more at: http://survation.com/2014/02/a-note-on-methodology-for-our-recent-scottish-...

More polls here:

http://whatscotlandthinks.org/questions/should-scotland-be-an-independent-c...

 climbwhenready 20 Feb 2014
In reply to alastairmac:

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/scottish-independence-referendum

No concerted change yet that I can see.
OP alastairmac 20 Feb 2014
In reply to climbwhenready:
The latest Survation poll is up six points on two weeks ago. Check it out in The Guardian on line this evening. By my reckoning that is the eighth official poll consecutively to show a move towards a Yes vote.
 nw 20 Feb 2014
In reply to alastairmac:

> ... Check it out in The Guardian... By my reckoning ...

I'm convinced already.



In reply to alastairmac:
I wish someone would commission an independent report by people who have no bias either way.
 MG 20 Feb 2014
In reply to alastairmac:

Would this be the poll that explicitly said it shouldn't be compared to previous ones?

 Morgan Woods 21 Feb 2014
In reply to alastairmac:

"The first minister told MSPs: "Most people in Scotland would feel that George Osborne insulted the intelligence of the Scottish people … The indications we have so far is that the joint enterprise between George Osborne and Ed Balls has backfired on the two Unionist parties in spectacular fashion."

Most people = 38% now?

He has an unusual grasp of maths.
 Morgan Woods 21 Feb 2014
In reply to alastairmac:

and this:

"The implication, in fact the certainty, is that if you argue – as the UK government is now doing – that they are continuing state, that they keep all of the assets of the UK then it follows, as night follows day, that the end up with the liabilities."

He seems to be referring to the pound as some kind of "asset", however you either use it or you don't. I'm not sure it's something you can divide up?
 Bruce Hooker 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Morgan Woods:

They are Nationalists, logic doesn't come into it.
 Andy Hardy 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Morgan Woods:

Presumably the BoE's balance sheet could be divided between Scotland and the UK.
Although it seems as if it's better for the YES campaign to conflate such a division with a currency union.
 Dave Garnett 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Morgan Woods:
> (In reply to alastairmac)
>
> "The first minister told MSPs: "Most people in Scotland would feel that George Osborne insulted the intelligence of the Scottish people ¡K

I guess this is one subject on which he can claim considerable expertise.

I'm completely ambivalent about independence and used to have a sneaking admiration for Salmond's political adroitness, debating skills and his cheeky chappie persona. However, his increasing misrepresentation of the facts (eg the legal advice about EU membership) and his dismissal of anyone who disagrees with him, however expert, as misinformed is less attractive and is beginning to give an impression of desperation.
 PeterM 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Morgan Woods:

> "The first minister told MSPs: "Most people in Scotland would feel that George Osborne insulted the intelligence of the Scottish people … The indications we have so far is that the joint enterprise between George Osborne and Ed Balls has backfired on the two Unionist parties in spectacular fashion."

AS in an arse. He insults my intelligence more than GO, whom I cannot stand for what he and DC have done to welfare. At least GO presented facts and decisions. As just presents a fantastical wishlist based of feck all in the way of facts. A deceitful and loathsome person.
 nw 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Morgan Woods:

> and this:

> "The implication, in fact the certainty, is that if you argue – as the UK government is now doing – that they are continuing state, that they keep all of the assets of the UK then it follows, as night follows day, that the end up with the liabilities."

Of course the UK is the continuing state. The referendum is on Scotland leaving the UK. Dissolving the UK would require UK wide referendum wouldn't it? Assuming I have got the right end of the stick, without the context etc

 Sir Chasm 21 Feb 2014
In reply to nw:

> Of course the UK is the continuing state. The referendum is on Scotland leaving the UK. Dissolving the UK would require UK wide referendum wouldn't it? Assuming I have got the right end of the stick, without the context etc

You're quite right. In the same way as if you had a gangrenous leg removed you would still be you.
 Mike Stretford 21 Feb 2014
In reply to alastairmac:
> George Osborne behaving like some 18th Century Governor General of Scotland probably helped a little bit.............

Which part of the currency union issue do you not understand?

The Eurozone has demonstrated that currency union without political union does not work, a useful lesson to the rest of the world... if indeed it were needed. The Eurozone country governments have got the difficult task of selling political union to their population to save the Euro. Meanwhile Scottish nationalist want to end political union but enter a currency union with the rUK.... wtf!?!

It's like a person in a marriage leaving but expecting to keep the current account and the other person to underwrite their new mortgage...... you think they'd be embarrassed to ask but no.... they start screaming bully when the other gives the only sensible response.

The SNP must know the rUK would be mad to enter a currency union after what's happened with the Euro.... it does make me wonder if this is a ploy to whip up feelings against the Auld Enemy. The daft thing is they do have perfectly reasonable alternatives.... just carry on using the pound while they see what happens to the Euro... not quite full independence (well neither is the Euro), but Rome wasn't built in a day.
Post edited at 10:31
 mav 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:
> (In reply to nw)
>
> [...]
>
> In the same way as if you had a gangrenous leg removed you would still be you.

Or indeed a perfactly healthy leg, capable of standing on it's own two feet...

 Rob Exile Ward 21 Feb 2014
In reply to mav:

That metaphor doesn't quite work, does it? If you chop off a healthy leg the body survives but the healthy leg isn't very healthy anymore.

Hmm, maybe not such a bad metaphor after all...
 pebbles 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Papillon:
The daft thing is they do have perfectly reasonable alternatives.... just carry on using the pound while they see what happens to the Euro...

hows that then? given that the governor of the bank of england has set out strict conditions for keeping the pound which effectively negate independence?
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

It doesnt work because a leg cannot stand on it's own two feet
 Sir Chasm 21 Feb 2014
In reply to pebbles:

> The daft thing is they do have perfectly reasonable alternatives.... just carry on using the pound while they see what happens to the Euro...

> hows that then? given that the governor of the bank of england has set out strict conditions for keeping the pound which effectively negate independence?

Using the pound isn't the same as having a currency union. Why is that so hard to understand?
 mav 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Papillon:
The best option for would be to keep the £, and stay in the UK. That would be the best UK option too. But I will vote no. For yes, it's all confused.
Currency union - best option for Scotland, but not for rUK, especially as SNP intend to pursue a fiscal policy of deliberately undercutting rUK.
Sterlingisation - keep the £, a la Panama and the Isle of Man. Main drawback is that EU membership requires you to have central bank.
Separate currency - possible, a la HKD, pegged to £. Main drawback is cost of setting up, especially when you intend to default on debt and in process leave all currency reserves in BoE.
Euro - AS's favoured option back in 2009, when he regarded £ as millstone round Scotland's neck and keeping us out of the 'arc of prosperity'. Main drawback - as the UK and Scots economy is growing, we don't meet the convergance criteria for joining.
Post edited at 11:03
 Andy Hardy 21 Feb 2014
In reply to pebbles:
Currency union is not the same as keeping the pound. An independent Scotland *can* keep using the pound, it's just the BoE won't be bailing out an independent Scotland's banks, or vetoing Scotland's spending / taxation plans. The reverse is also true i.e. the to-be-formed Scottish Central Bank won't be bailing out UK banks and interfering in UK tax / spend plans.
Post edited at 10:51
 Mike Stretford 21 Feb 2014
In reply to pebbles:

> hows that then? given that the governor of the bank of england has set out strict conditions for keeping the pound which effectively negate independence?

That was was a 'currency union'. There is nothing the governor could do to stop Scotland pegging Scottish pounds to Sterling, or just using Sterling (for example Ecuador use the US dollar).

http://www.adamsmith.org/blog/economics/the-scottish-independence-debate-ju...

Graeme G 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Dave Garnett:

> and is beginning to give an impression of desperation.

My thoughts. He started the fight and can't yet be seen to back down. Nothing good will come of this. Scotland will not become independent and we will have stirred up animosity amongst those whom we already supposedly want freedom form.

The big question will be what will AS do after the vote goes NO?
 Sir Chasm 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Father Noel Furlong: "The big question will be what will AS do after the vote goes NO?"

He'll blame someone else.
In reply to Papillon:

Ecuador is actually a very good model for Scotland.

Small oil exporting country which uses a foreign currency and has a egotistical, ex economist leader who can't take criticism very well
In reply to Father Noel Furlong: I posted this on the other identical thread which seems to have lost momentum to this one...

Anyone else think that AS really wants a "No" win but very close so that devomax can be brought back to the table?

I'm reading more and more commentary that he's privately petrified of a YES win. I'm sure that's probably bollox, but he certainly doesn't seem to be prepared to have got this far. Swimming naked as the tide goes out as they say.
Slugain Howff 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:

>> I'm reading more and more commentary that he's privately petrified of a YES win.

As a matter of genuine interest where were you picking that up?

In reply to Slugain Howff:

commentary on various news stories across the MSM. Just a point of view i'm reading more and more of. As I said, i'm not convinced.
 tommyb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to nw:

Dissolving the union wouldn't necessarily require any referendum: all it would require is an Act of Parliament. Which is exactly what will be required for Scotland to become independent. The politicians seem content for people to have the impression that a yes vote will automatically trigger secession, which will be granted by Cameron after negotiation with Salmond. There is no constitutional way that can happen. An act of parliament will take time and will be voted on by MPs (and Lords)from all parties and all parts of the UK. Which is why I don't for one minute believe in the 2016 target for achieving independence, but that's a different matter.
 Banned User 77 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Slugain Howff:

> >> I'm reading more and more commentary that he's privately petrified of a YES win.

> As a matter of genuine interest where were you picking that up?

I'm not sure. I think he wants to be the one making history.

But I think its pretty clear most wanted devo-Max.. but there's no backing out now.

I do think he's panicking about the currency. It just seems the wrong time to have a vote when people don't know what they are voting for..

'Do you want independence, we'll sort out the details later'.. but those details are hardly dotting the i's and crossing the t's they are pretty fundamental decisions which could have enormous implications on the success of an independent Scotland.
Graeme G 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:

> Anyone else think that AS really wants a "No" win but very close so that devomax can be brought back to the table?

One thing he was rattled about a while ago was our legal system ultimately being overseen by the UK Supreme court. Scotland has it's own legal system and on that count he has it right IMO. Maybe ultimately he just wants to address the balance and ensure it's in Scotland favour.......

I'll probably vote Yes......but that's because i want to be as far away from Gove and his ideology as possible.
In reply to Father Noel Furlong:

Vote Yes by all means, but because of Gove? Isn't he a Scot? He will probably come back to haunt you when the Tories lose the nxt election
Graeme G 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:

> but because of Gove? Isn't he a Scot?

I know.....hangs head in shame...... ;-(
 Shani 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Father Noel Furlong:
An independent Scotland will retain Michael Gove and Danny Alexander!

https://tinyurl.com/m853s82

And better still, "Education Minister Michael Gove has been dubbed ‘too scary’ for children under 12 years of age by the British Board of Film Classification.":

https://tinyurl.com/p4dd8jq
Post edited at 12:10
 rogerwebb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Father Noel Furlong:

> One thing he was rattled about a while ago was our legal system ultimately being overseen by the UK Supreme court. Scotland has it's own legal system and on that count he has it right IMO. Maybe ultimately he just wants to address the balance and ensure it's in Scotland favour.......

In terms of criminal law the UK Supreme Court has no jurisdiction in Scotland unless a 'devolution issue' or ECHR point is raised. There is no appeal from the High Court of Justiciary to the Supreme Court.

The Supreme Court is though an appeal court for civil law.

In the event of independence devolution issues would disappear but the ECHR points would simply transfer to the European Court of Human Rights and so in that sense Scots law would still be overseen.

The recent issue in the Supreme Court, which was guided by two exceptionally experienced Scottish judges was compatibility of our law (on the issue of police questioning) with ECHR. Whether or not you agree with the determination, and in light of practice in other systems and ECHR it would be hard not to, the chilling thing about the whole episode was Kenny MacAskill's line that;

'They (judges) should remember that he who pays the piper calls the tune'

Do we really want a government whose justice secretary sees fit to suggest that judges should do what politicians wish whether or not what they wish is lawful?

Add to that the health secretary's assertion that a challenge to the government's policy in the court is 'undemocratic' (I must say I support the policy though) and there are serious questions about the present government's attitude towards law.


 nw 21 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:



> 'Do you want independence, we'll sort out the details later'.. but those details are hardly dotting the i's and crossing the t's they are pretty fundamental decisions which could have enormous implications on the success of an independent Scotland.


Agreed, this is my biggest problem with Yes. I can see theoretical advantages to independence but like Tim Chappell (I think) said on here recently, not like this. A giant leap into the unknown, overseen and negotiated by a bunch of people who couldn't/wouldn't get it together to do any serious homework on the most fundamental issues that people will have to live with for years to come?
 jonnie3430 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Father Noel Furlong:

> One thing he was rattled about a while ago was

Something that caught me out was Rogers comment from the "Bad day for SNP," thread (that also stopped the thread!)

"It concerns me that whoever is in charge we will be living in a state with a single chamber of parliament, a single police force (head appointed by the government, with our principle safeguard for a fair trial removed, and our prosecution centralised and open to political pressure.

I fear that while we squabble over the independence of countries our personal liberties are becoming more fragile."

I don't understand the comment about the fair trial, but the rest is actually quite scary.
 tommyb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to nw:

But this is the big lie underpinning the current debate: that a yes vote will trigger automatic devolution on terms negotiated by Cameron and Salmond. That is constitutionally impossible. The referendum is an opportunity to express an opinion on the question "do you think Scotland should be an independent county" - nothing more. it doesn't commit, or even allow the UK government to accept Salmond's terms. It would send a strong signal to the UK government who would then be expected (not committed)to allow a Bill to be introduced to Parliament and to allocate sufficient parliamentary time for it. There will be plenty of time to iron out details and, if we can't reach acceptable terms, reject it through the usual democratic process (out MPs representing us).

Maybe I'm being overly optimistic about the democratic process...
 nw 21 Feb 2014
In reply to tommyb:

I see what you are saying but...if there was a Yes vote the UK govt realistically would have to accept it. If they didn't then I really would be worried about what might happen.
So the government will draught a bill, and this will have to be based on something. Negotiations between Scottish and rUK leadership presumably? Am I missing something?
Ironing out details would be one thing, but the Yes/SNP folk don't even want to set out concrete goals or aspirations, which I can't understand.
 Sir Chasm 21 Feb 2014
In reply to nw: "Ironing out details would be one thing, but the Yes/SNP folk don't even want to set out concrete goals or aspirations, which I can't understand."

Because if you set out concrete goals (a currency union, for example), they're open to challenge. If you make airy fairy wishlists you can say any old bollocks.
 rogerwebb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

The fair trial bit refers to the bill currently going through the Scottish Parliament that includes the provision to remove the necessity of corroboration in a criminal case. That is conviction on a single source of evidence. It is true that other countries do not necessarily have such a requirement but they do tend to have other safeguards, rights to trial by jury, rules on the quality of evidence and so forth.
Whilst the intention of the Scottish Government is laudable, to improve conviction rates in rape and other sexual crimes and domestic abuse, their method of going about it, by completely removing the safeguard without replacement is dubious.
The only judge who supports it is the one they employed to investigate the issue, whilst the government often quote the support of procurator fiscals and the police I have yet to meet any (although there must be some) who support this move.
The worry is that a measure introduced in haste to meet a real need will have appalling knock on effects in the lower courts and is clearly open to abuse by malicious witnesses, over enthusiastic police officers, and more alarmingly, goverment.



 tommyb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to nw:

Yes, I can understand it too. My problem is that the SNP have produced a "manifesto" for independence and the referendum has now gone, in most peoples eyes, from being on the general principle of independence to a vote to accept or reject their manifesto. I would like to vote yes as I am broadly in favour of the general principle, but I certainly don't wish my vote to imply that I accept any particular view on the form it would take. What can I do?

I think most of the drafting of bills is done in committee stages in Parliament and I expect this is where much of the negotiation would take place. Salmond himself would be reduced to making noises on the sidelines although SNP MPs would be able to speak for him.
 graeme jackson 21 Feb 2014
In reply to tommyb:
> What can I do?
>

Vote NO.
 tommyb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to graeme jackson:

well, I could do that, but I actually do "think Scotland should be an independent country", so it would be a lie.
 rogerwebb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to tommyb:

Go for the least worst option according to your beliefs.

Whichever option you choose it would be better than not voting.
 tommyb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:

Well, if my current plan comes off, I may have left the country by then so won't have the option.
 Banned User 77 21 Feb 2014
In reply to tommyb:

> Yes, I can understand it too. My problem is that the SNP have produced a "manifesto" for independence and the referendum has now gone, in most peoples eyes, from being on the general principle of independence to a vote to accept or reject their manifesto. I would like to vote yes as I am broadly in favour of the general principle, but I certainly don't wish my vote to imply that I accept any particular view on the form it would take. What can I do?

> I think most of the drafting of bills is done in committee stages in Parliament and I expect this is where much of the negotiation would take place. Salmond himself would be reduced to making noises on the sidelines although SNP MPs would be able to speak for him.

I understand that. I'd have just thought (and its not panic-mongering) they'd want to minimize instability. Someone said already Lloyds have shifted their residency to London? I think it was them.

BUt just to minimize those short term issues have like a set black and white road map of what the process will be and what the preferred options are.. take the euro.. that sort of thing.

I realize its a long term option, but for many the next 3-5 years are the most crucial and won't want to just wait and see. I'd have thought it would provide support for independence if it was clear a road map was in place.
 rogerwebb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to tommyb:

Good luck with that, but it's a pity to lose someone who has actually thought about it!
 nw 21 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

Exactly.
 tommyb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to nw:

The trouble is, the road-map and "preferred options" would be the SNP's views, not the settled will of the Scottish people. The problem with mapping out the future at this point is that any debate that takes place before the referendum will be tainted by political posturing, scare-mongering (on both sides) and downright lying in an attempt to sway the vote. It is very unlikely that this will result in a clear view of the future. I think the debate after a "yes" vote would be very different, and I hope somewhat wider.

I would personally like to see a second referendum, after the independence Bill where we can decide on whether to accept or reject it. I've no idea how likely this is.

And yes, I accept that it would extend the period of uncertainty which could have negative results for the economy, although I'm sure many businesses will see it as much as a opportunity as a danger. For the record, Loyds/TSB have not stated why they opted to locate in England. They were asked by the Scottish Tories if it was anything to do with the referendum but didn't comment either way. Of course, that's not how it is being reported in the pro-union press.
 Banned User 77 21 Feb 2014
In reply to tommyb:
yeah I wondered about a second referendum.. I can't see that happening but it looks a good idea. That would make it more likely to be a yes first time around but I can't see the SNP wanting to risk the decision getting overturned.

Re Lloyds, I've not seen much at all, just a mention on here.
Post edited at 15:45
In reply to tommyb:

Chance of a 2nd referendum to endorse final settlement of the split? Zero. If they did manage to secure a Yes do you think the SNP and allies would risk losing it all? If we gave them a mandate to start planning the separation then we'd just have to live with all the implications, good and bad. My money's on more bad than good.
 Sir Chasm 21 Feb 2014
In reply to tommyb: A second referendum would be a bit odd, like telling your husband you want a divorce but only if you get enough money.

 Banned User 77 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

yeah tbf the more I think about it the more unlikely it is. Which is why a clear road map from the off would be better. I know its a big picture question but for the average family they wont care about that as much as the immediate future.
 Andy Hardy 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Dan Bailey - UKHillwalking.com:

> Chance of a 2nd referendum to endorse final settlement of the split? Zero. [...]

Especially as it would only be reasonable to have a UK wide referendum since the final settlement would have to be acceptable to everyone...
 tommyb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Dan Bailey - UKHillwalking.com:

Well, if the vote is "yes", then the ball will be firmly in Westminster's court to decide what to do next. They are the only body that has the constitutional powers to dissolve the Union. If they want us to have another referendum, then there isn't much the Scottish Government can do about it.

It would be nice if David Cameron were to tell us what he proposes to do in the event of a "yes" vote. If nothing else, it would remove some of the uncertainty which is apparently damaging our economy, and destroy the illusion that we would be at the mercy of Salmond - which of course is precisely why it'll never happen.
 Banned User 77 21 Feb 2014
In reply to tommyb:

> Well, if the vote is "yes", then the ball will be firmly in Westminster's court to decide what to do next. They are the only body that has the constitutional powers to dissolve the Union. If they want us to have another referendum, then there isn't much the Scottish Government can do about it.

> It would be nice if David Cameron were to tell us what he proposes to do in the event of a "yes" vote. If nothing else, it would remove some of the uncertainty which is apparently damaging our economy, and destroy the illusion that we would be at the mercy of Salmond - which of course is precisely why it'll never happen.

I think that's a gamble.. if Cameron said 'X will happen'.. like he did with the currency union he'd be bullying. Imagine if he said 'OK if you vote yes Scotland becomes independent, it must take X million worth of debt and pay the UK back at X rate / year for X years, it can use the GBP and have no say, you can take X % of the military etc'..

People would go crazy.
 tommyb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

I didn't really mean he should tell us what we can or can't have. More that he could set out a road-map of how his Government would take things forward towards independence. eg, when would a bill be introduced, would there be a second referendum, or a public consultation (I think it's a legal requirement for all new legislation to have one these days). But as I said before, anything he says now is likely to be tainted by political posturing and fear-mongering. He's not likely to say anything that could allay peoples fears, is he.
 nw 21 Feb 2014
In reply to tommyb:

Surely the onus is on those who want to change the status quo?
 tommyb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to nw:

It may be so morally, but the constitution and the Scotland Act don't give them any powers to do so. Only an Act of Parliament (UK) can dissolve the union, and it is the UK government that makes decisions on parliamentary business.
 Banned User 77 21 Feb 2014
In reply to tommyb:

Out of interest what is the closest example of this happening?

I don't think the break up of the USSR was comparable really.

In reply to IainRUK:

> Out of interest what is the closest example of this happening?

Robbie Williams and Take That?

 Timmd 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Bruce Hooker:
> They are Nationalists, logic doesn't come into it.

What is logical can be very subjective though, Bruce.

With Scottish politics being more towards the left than that in England, it seems to me, if I didn't feel that a government in another country to which my country had ties wasn't reflecting my political beliefs, I'd vote for independence too.

That's not to say that I don't think the SNP aren't nationalistic, or that nationalism can't be a bad thing. More that, if the gulf is wide enough between the two political spheres in Scotland and England, it seems logical to me why that would nudge people towards voting for independence, and therefore voting for the SNP.
Post edited at 21:28
 Banned User 77 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Graeme Alderson:

They reformed though?
In reply to IainRUK:

I never knew that
 mav 21 Feb 2014
In reply to tommyb:



> It would be nice if David Cameron were to tell us what he proposes to do in the event of a "yes" vote. If nothing else, it would remove some of the uncertainty which is apparently damaging our economy, and destroy the illusion that we would be at the mercy of Salmond - which of course is precisely why it'll never happen.

But that's happened, and has been happening. the (so-called, I hate the grandiose name) Edinburgh agreement includes a commitment to respect the result. So it has happened. And it's still happening, because they've been coming out with papers and statements all the time. George Osborne saying that rUK wouldn't have currency union is exactly that, ad is the UK govt confirming it will honour all debt in the event of a default.

If its' yes, it's yes, and we negotiate a settlement. Or rather, the SNP govt negotiate a settlement with the UK govt, whilst simultaneously negotiating with the UN, NATO, the EU etc. It will take far longer than the 15 months the SNP have allowed, and lawyers will make a lot of money. The outcome will bear little resemblance to the White Paper, and almost certainly be partially decided by the international courts, and the final settlement will happen long after Scotland becomes independent. There's little Salmond or Cameron can do to stop that - they will probably both leave office before it's over. I just wish that the SNP in particular would stop pretending otherwise, and admit that the outcome of a yes vote is and will remain an unknown.
 Banned User 77 21 Feb 2014
In reply to Graeme Alderson:

best moment of my life..
 Banned User 77 21 Feb 2014
In reply to mav:

Thats what I find amazing. The currency issue alone can't be resolved that quickly.
 tommyb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

Good question. I can't really think of a good parallel. I've had a couple of beers though so I'll try again tomorrow when the brain's a bit sharper
 tommyb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to mav:

yup. I can agree with most of that. Especially the last sentence.
 mav 21 Feb 2014
In reply to tommyb:

The bit I think is most certain is 'lawyers will make a lot of money"!
 nw 21 Feb 2014
In reply to tommyb:

Peaceful dissolution of Czechoslovakia? There wasn't such a disparity in size but the Czech's were I think traditionally seen as the better off, more powerful partners.
 mav 21 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

The closest example would have been Quebec/Canada, and may yet be Catalonia/Spain. Of those that did happen - I've a vague feeling that at one point Sweden and Norway were one?
 tommyb 21 Feb 2014
In reply to mav:

Iceland/Denmark? probably not a very good parallel as it was a very short union
 Banned User 77 21 Feb 2014
In reply to nw:

I do think those are different..

Two democratic governments splitting?

How was hong kong? Was it an independent state like that?


 Banned User 77 21 Feb 2014
In reply to tommyb:

Faroe Denmark? But are they officially seperate? Or a Scotland/UK situation
 nw 21 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

AFAIK Honk Kong was always part of China until we turned up.
 Banned User 77 21 Feb 2014
In reply to nw:

No of course.. I was being dumb.. we just gave it back.
Redacted 22 Feb 2014
In reply to mav:

Aye well a borderer would vote to stay with the english tories,frightened are you ?
Oooh what would we do without the English ? We're all doomed !
Scaremongering pish !
Redacted 22 Feb 2014
In reply to nw:

> Peaceful dissolution of Czechoslovakia? There wasn't such a disparity in size but the Czech's were I think traditionally seen as the better off, more powerful partners.

Yes,but the traitors in power didn't ask what the actual people wanted, it's funny how the NATO mob were so in favour of that seperation in the former Communist Czechoslovakia, but don't want to see us getting our freedom from the english aristocrat tories regime.
 Bruce Hooker 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Timmd:

> With Scottish politics being more towards the left than that in England, it seems to me, if I didn't feel that a government in another country to which my country had ties wasn't reflecting my political beliefs, I'd vote for independence too.

And if you lived in a bit of a country where some valuable minerals had been discovered, oil in this case, but it could have been gold, bauxite, whatever, would you get together with other locals and try to create a break-away state with a small, extremely rich population, or would you consider that the riches of the country were to be shared with all, that human solidarity was above individual selfishness? That minerals aren't forever and in the long term sticking together was a safer option to give another way of looking at the question?
 Bruce Hooker 22 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> No of course.. I was being dumb.. we just gave it back.

It was on a lease, 99 years IIRC, and the lease ran out. One of the few moments I've been proud of the British government, they acted correctly without a quibble.
 Bruce Hooker 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Redacted:

> us getting our freedom from the english aristocrat tories regime.

Were Brosn, Kinnock, Wilson, Bevan etc etc English aristocrats?
 nw 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Redacted:

> Yes,but the traitors in power didn't ask what the actual people wanted, it's funny how the NATO mob were so in favour of that seperation in the former Communist Czechoslovakia, but don't want to see us getting our freedom from the english aristocrat tories regime.

Sorry, are you saying that the actual people wanted to remain in one state? Or that they wanted the Red Army to stay there?
I was lucky enough to go on a school exhange trip there in 1992 I think it was. Just as it was all changing. The Iron Curtain was still up on the border, and it was still Czechoslovakia but the Russians were pulling out. Everyone seemed pretty happy about it.
 rogerwebb 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Bruce Hooker:

> Were Brosn, Kinnock, Wilson, Bevan etc etc English aristocrats?

or indeed Major, Thatcher, Heath, Healy, Castle , Attlee, Callaghan, MacDonald etc etc.

Of the 21 British prime ministers since 1900, 6 were Scottish, 2 Welsh, 12 English and 1 Canadian,.

8 represented non English constituencies.

 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:

And all of that is utterly irrelevant. Either you want self-determination or you don't.

As a country, Scotland often gets a government it hasn't voted for. In 53% of general elections by my calculations.

Whether the PM is Scottish or from the moon is irrelevant. I'm not into ethnic based politics.
 jonnie3430 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> As a country, Scotland often gets a government it hasn't voted for. In 53% of general elections by my calculations.

What is this Scotland that you quote? If we take the latest stats from the last Scottish election, your comment could be re-written as "25% of Scots didn't get the government they voted for!"

Are they really speaking for Scotland? Or are they just 25% of the voting population...
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

It's the country that entered into a union of two countries. Are who speaking for Scotland?
 jonnie3430 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> It's the country that entered into a union of two countries. Are who speaking for Scotland?


Yes, but that country is made up of people. Of those that are of voting age, only 25% of them voted for the SNP at the last election. To say that they speak for the country is misleading. They voted for the politicians, but their opinion is not the same as the majority, the 75% that didn't vote or voted for someone else.



 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

You have completely misunderstood what I said. I said, in 53% of general elections Scotland has got a government it didn't vote for. (I mean since 2nd world war).

I didn't say anyone spoke for anyone else. You have either read the wrong post or misunderstood me.
 jonnie3430 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

Nah, I think you don't understand me. You wrote "Scotland has got a government it didn't vote for," I was disputing your use of Scotland; it suggests there was unanimous support for the opposition. If we take the statistics from the last Scottish election we can see that at the moment, in Scotland, 75% of the population has got a government it didn't vote for.
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

No it doesn't suggest that. That is your presumption.

In your stats it's even worse. Feck knows why you want to continue with that.
 jonnie3430 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> No it doesn't suggest that. That is your presumption.

Can you not see that when you write "Scotland," the assumption is that the whole country supports whatever it is you are talking about? In actual fact you mean the majority of voters, which is about 25% of the voting population at the moment. The difference is the opinion of 75%, or 3 million people.

> In your stats it's even worse. Feck knows why you want to continue with that.

Sorry, what is even worse? Facts are thin on the ground at the moment, but I can state that 25% of the Scottish voting population voted for the SNP and allowed them to hold an independence referendum. 75% of the Scottish population currently have a government they didn't vote for, and 75% also have an independence referendum that they didn't vote for. Do you disagree with these facts?
 JoshOvki 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

So about half the time it did have what it wanted? Sounds about right to me.
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

Sorry I can't help you if you don't what I mean when I say "Scotland".

I am simply saying that in 53% of those occasions Scotland didn't get the government it voted for. The opposition could have been split in many ways. I am not talking about the opposition.

I do not mean voters either. I would have said that it I did. I mean the MPs returned. Therefore the rest of your post is nothing to do with what I said.

 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to JoshOvki:

Really? Can you name any other democratic countries which don't get the government they vote for?
 jonnie3430 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> I am simply saying that in 53% of those occasions Scotland didn't get the government it voted for.

Is this a bad thing? You seem to think that it is. Why is it worse that the current state of affairs, where 75% of Scots haven't got the government they voted for in their own parliament?
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

Yes. When more than half of the elections return a government that a country did not vote for then there is a problem.
 JoshOvki 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

I imagine there are quite a few where nearly 50% of the country didn't vote for them. All it takes it being close. It has happened in american quite a few times.
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to JoshOvki:

Ok well name them please. I can't think of a single country that does not get the government it votes for more than half the time.

America gets the government it votes for every time. Certain parts of America don't but they are not countries.

 JoshOvki 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:
Sorry they are states. Are there any other countries that are owned by a larger one?

Oh yeah, and as for a country that has who they didn't vote for, Britain as a whole?
Post edited at 13:25
 jonnie3430 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Yes. When more than half of the elections return a government that a country did not vote for then there is a problem.

So at the moment in Scotland, when 75% of the population didn't vote for the SNP or an independence referendum there is a problem? What do you propose we do about it?
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to JoshOvki:

Scotland is a country as defined by the Act of Union. I can't think of a single country that does not get the government it votes for.

Can you name one?
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

Proportional representation. What do you propose?
 jonnie3430 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Proportional representation. What do you propose?

You're the political expert. How do we get rid of the SNP and stop the referendum using proportional representation?
 JoshOvki 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

So it is a country owned by a bigger one?

Any country that has had a coalition government.
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

No I am not. What do you propose.

We don't do that. I don't want that.
 Bruce Hooker 22 Feb 2014
In reply to JoshOvki:

In France elections have been very close between left and right for decades so at any one time one could, using this rather strange logic, say that half the population have been living in a country they didn't vote for all this time, give or take 2 to 5%, or sometimes less.

In fact this sort of argument is fallacious spin but some say it so often they probably come to actually believing it.
 jonnie3430 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> No I am not. What do you propose.

Dunno, you are the one that said it was a problem. I'd probably go for compulsory voting, though it'll never happen as it would destroy all the parties and none of the politicians would ever get in again.

> We don't do that. I don't want that.

It's not about you, it's about Scotland, where 75% of the population has a government that it didn't vote for.

 Bruce Hooker 22 Feb 2014
In reply to JoshOvki:

It's true that given Britain's first past the post electoral system there is probably always a government that the majority didn't vote for... since the war this is the case, I think, and probably long before too. What can be done I wonder, independence for Britain?
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to JoshOvki:

What you on about owning? If a country has a coalition government by the system it chooses to elect it's government then that is fine and entirely under it's own control.

Please name at least one country that doesn't get the government it votes for using its chosen system.
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

It's fairly simple for me. Transfer all powers from Westminster to Holyrood. Use proportional representation.

You appear see a problem in the current system used in Scotland but have no solution or want to change it.
 Bruce Hooker 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

But that's the present situation for the existing Scottish government and yet it is still numerically true that the present one did not obtain a majority of the votes of Scottish electors.

So your objections at the level of Britain still holds for Scotland despite Scotland's using the system you call for.
 jonnie3430 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> It's fairly simple for me. Transfer all powers from Westminster to Holyrood. Use proportional representation.

Yes, but only 25% have voted for that.

> You appear see a problem in the current system used in Scotland but have no solution or want to change it.

You agreed that there was a problem and as I said, compulsory voting would be my wish to change it.

 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

What are you on about? That's the system we use. Change if you want but you don't seem to want to. Please confirm - do you want to change the electoral system within Scotland and if so to what?

The point I am making, continually, is that the electoral system in Scotland, regardless of what it is, is often irrelevant as the Union forces Scotland to go with the government that is decided mainly by another country (England) and Wales and NI to a lesser extent.

Compulsory voting would make no difference to that.
 jonnie3430 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> The point I am making, continually, is that the electoral system in Scotland, regardless of what it is, is often irrelevant as the Union forces Scotland to go with the government that is decided mainly by another country (England) and Wales and NI to a lesser extent.

The point I am making is that it is even more irrelevant in Scotland itself, so your point highlights a problem, but the biggest site of the problem is with the current Scottish government, which you ironically support.
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

Eh? I support proportional representation and independence. Under that situation Scotland gets the government it votes for every time. You don't support that. You support a system that allows a government to be elected which doesn't represent the country *regardless* of which system is used or whichever way people vote.

You are trying to dance around this fact.

You might support the Union which is fine but this is one of the major disadvantages of it to Scotland (democracy). You might be happy with that. I am not.
Tim Chappell 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

When, if ever, has a majority of the Scottish electorate voted for the SNP? I certainly never have. Yet there they are in power. Does that disenfranchise me? Of course it doesn't, it's called democracy.

This idea that you somehow are being cheated in elections if you didn't vote for the winning side is nonsense.

Is it a deliberate SNP tactic to keep on coming out with the same old nonsense again and again until people start believing it? Or does it just happen by accident?
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Tim Chappell:

Never as far as I know. The only solution to your problem is proportional representation. There is no chance of it happening as part of the UK so you are stuck with, by your own doing.

Yes it is nonsense that I am cheated in elections - but I didn't say I was. In fact I didn't say anyone was cheated. You are arguing against yourself there.

What I said was that the Union often, more than half of the occasions produces a government Scotland didn't vote for *regardless* of the system used.

None of this is nonsense - it's all fact. You might be happy with these democratic weaknesses as you have the Union but they are there and they are the price you pay for the Union.
 jonnie3430 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Eh? I support proportional representation and independence. Under that situation Scotland gets the government it votes for every time.

But you're wrong, 75% of Scots didn't vote for this government or an independence referendum.
 jonnie3430 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> What I said was that the Union often, more than half of the occasions produces a government Scotland didn't vote for *regardless* of the system used.

> None of this is nonsense - it's all fact.

Apart from the fact that Scotland didn't vote for anything, as I have pointed out several times (you either don't understand or are deliberately misusing the phrase, given the history of SNP supporters, I suspect the latter,) but the people in Scotland voted and the majority of the vote, 25% in the last election, is a minority and as such should not be referred to as Scotland.
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

Correct. The only solution to this is independence and proportional representation.

You are stopping yourself though as you are directly supporting a system you are against and which is used to produce a result you don't agree with. Until you stop supporting things you don't like they will continue to happen. The problem is facing you in the mirror.

Problem - SNP government in Scotland
Solution - proportional representation
Will this happen as part of the UK - no.

Problem - Scotland often gets a government it doesn't vote for
Solution - Don't let other countries influence which government you choose = Independence

Problem - you don't like the SNP
Solution - bring in a system which is more fair and represents the electorate.
Your position - continue to support a system which doesn't produce representative governments and which doesn't represent the electorate.

You actions - continue to support a system which addresses neither of these problems but at the same argue with others who want to change the system and deal with the issues you have raised.

The solution faces you in the mirror.
Tim Chappell 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:


>Problem - Scotland often gets a government it doesn't vote for

Have you even read Jonnie's last post?

Is it a deliberate SNP tactic to keep on coming out with the same old nonsense again and again until people start believing it? Or does it just happen by accident?
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Tim Chappell:

YESSSSSSSSSSSSSS!

Please try and get this. I am referring to the UK government which decides when we go to war, how much to spend on nuclear weapons, which powers to devolve and so on. It's that I am referring to. Not the Scottish elections!

Please try and avail yourself of the facts instead of attributing false points to someone and then shouting them down.

53%!
 nw 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

Why is PR more likely in an Indy Scotland?
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to nw:

1) the power to decide would reside in Scotland
2) in general, the political scene at Holyrood is more progressive than that at Westminster
3) the system used to elect MSPs is already more representative and therefore produces a more diverse set of MSPs
4) in general, there is great cross party support for it in Scotland
5) the lib dems are dead and neither Labour or Tories want it so no chance as part of the UK.
 rogerwebb 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> And all of that is utterly irrelevant. Either you want self-determination or you don't.

>
> Whether the PM is Scottish or from the moon is irrelevant. I'm not into ethnic based politics.

It is relevant, when you are responding to an assertion that the UK is governed by an ' English aristocratic Tory regime',


I am glad to hear that you are not into ethnic based politics, neither am I nor are many of the other contributors, but that cannot be said of all.


 rogerwebb 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Yes. When more than half of the elections return a government that a country did not vote for then there is a problem.

Are you sure about that statistic?

Since 1945 there have been 18 general elections, Labour have won 9, the conservatives 8 and a coalition in 1.

In 11 of those 18 elections the government was formed by the party that won most seats in Scotland. (counting national liberals as conservative which seems reasonable as they merged)

Redacted 22 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:

> It is relevant, when you are responding to an assertion that the UK is governed by an ' English aristocratic Tory regime',

Is it not ?
How many Tory Mp's are there in Scotland ?
 rogerwebb 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Redacted:

> Is it not ?

Looks like a coalition to me!

In any event the assertion is unreasonable as it takes a snapshot of one temporary government.

Would it, for instance, have been reasonable to have asserted that the UK was being run by a working class Scottish regime under Gordon Brown?


Neither assertion is, edifying or helpful in a reasoned debate.
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:

I can't find that text anywhere on this site. I certainly don't believe it but there is without doubt an establishment who have the most to lose from independence.

I don't see the relevance of whether a Scot or martian is PM. It's irrelevant. There are plenty of bad politicians in Scotland such as Brown.

I'll try and get hold of those data for you. I used a spreadsheet to challenge Martin's view that it was "rare" for a party to form a government where they didn't win the most seats in Scotland. Your own stats show that 7 elections produce a result that was not in line with Scotland (61% from mental calculations).

I can't think of a single other country in the world that does not get the government it votes for under its election system in 39% of occasions.

Can you?
Jim C 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Redacted:

> Is it not ?

> How many Tory Mp's are there in Scotland ?

Jings! I'm rubbish at maths , I will probably need to take my socks off, I'm bound to run out of fingers.....

Oh wait, my nose will do just fine.
 rogerwebb 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> I can't find that text anywhere on this site.
Comes from 'Redacted' 03.20 this morning

> I don't see the relevance of whether a Scot or martian is PM. It's irrelevant. There are plenty of bad politicians in Scotland such as Brown.

That is actually my point, progressive prime ministers and ministers have come from all parts of the UK, so have the others.

> I'll try and get hold of those data for you. I used a spreadsheet to challenge Martin's view that it was "rare" for a party to form a government where they didn't win the most seats in Scotland. Your own stats show that 7 elections produce a result that was not in line with Scotland (61% from mental calculations).

> I can't think of a single other country in the world that does not get the government it votes for under its election system in 39% of occasions.

> Can you?

Yes, Wales, hence devolution.

The major problems came about in the last 8 elections when 5 times there was a gross disparity between the Scottish vote and government. That's why I and presumably you voted for devolution.







 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:
Good point re Wales. The union (yes I know!) doesn't work for them either. But they need to decide for themselves.

I can't see any democratic advantage at all, anywhere, for Scotland in the Union and I can't see any things we have which other countries don't which cancel out the disadvantages.

You don't need a Union to be progressive. In fact, I think the union has actively hampered progression and is nothing but a chain round the neck in this aspect.

Correct on devolution but I think the principle follows though on everything. I can't see any reason, or advantage to have your economic policy run by a ying-yang shuffle from Tories to Labour every ten years and particularly when they are moving further to right all the time (Labour isn't left or centre, it;s centre right. The Labour movement is left but utterly different from the Labour Party. )
Post edited at 18:46
 jonnie3430 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Correct. The only solution to this is independence and proportional representation.

There are an infinite number of solutions. One of which is what you propose, though it seems to me that you are continuing the ennui that we have been suffering from.

> You are stopping yourself though as you are directly supporting a system you are against and which is used to produce a result you don't agree with. Until you stop supporting things you don't like they will continue to happen. The problem is facing you in the mirror.

One person one vote, how can I do any more?! I make sure I vote every time, I have never had a government or MP in that I have voted for, but I will continue to vote. Supporting a no vote is not going to stop things I don't like, it is just the lesser of two evils.

> Problem - SNP government in Scotland

> Solution - proportional representation

Solution - bin scottish parliament.

> Will this happen as part of the UK - no.

I wish!

> Problem - Scotland often gets a government it doesn't vote for

> Solution - Don't let other countries influence which government you choose = Independence

As I'm British and Scottish I realise that the other 60+ million in the country have an opinion. Seeing the current parties as a bunch of numpties means that I am unlikely to ever get the government I want and am not surprised so many opt out. Re: Scotland, see discussion about you labelling 25% of the countries population as Scotland.

> Problem - you don't like the SNP

> Solution - bring in a system which is more fair and represents the electorate.

Get rid of scottish parliament and take things on at a national level.

> Your position - continue to support a system which doesn't produce representative governments and which doesn't represent the electorate.

?? If half the electorate don't vote, I fail to see how your option is any way better than mine which is compulsory voting?

> You actions - continue to support a system which addresses neither of these problems but at the same argue with others who want to change the system and deal with the issues you have raised.

My actions - Keep the status quo. Politicians have and always will be a majority of slimy characters keen for your vote once every four years and looking out for themselves the rest of the time. The fewer politicians out there the better, hence the reason that I'd sack the scottish parliament and definitely not encourage any wider spread of national institutions that would have to come to Scotland with independence.

> The solution faces you in the mirror.

Less politicians and compulsory voting. The silent, non-voting majority will vote for a quiet, normal life. Posturing from those voted in by a minority just wastes money.

Now that you have a broad brush view of my political opinion, can you tell me why 75% of Scots have to put up with a government and independence referendum they didn't vote for?
 Cuthbert 22 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

Yes I can answer that fairly easily. When the parliament was set up, the electoral system decided upon, by unionists, was the one which produced the recent electoral result. Look in the mirror.

Good luck with your attempts to get rid of the Scottishs parliament. You are swimming against the tide.
 jonnie3430 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Yes I can answer that fairly easily. When the parliament was set up, the electoral system decided upon, by unionists, was the one which produced the recent electoral result. Look in the mirror.

Sorry, I don't understand what you are talking about? Which parliament? Who cares who set it up? What would have been the result if it had been your way? That's probably the best way to explain what you mean.

> Good luck with your attempts to get rid of the Scottishs parliament. You are swimming against the tide.

The majority doesn't vote for any of the major parties or the SNP. I'm with them.

 TobyA 22 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> You don't need a Union to be progressive. In fact, I think the union has actively hampered progression and is nothing but a chain round the neck in this aspect.

Except for the other 55 million of your current fellow citizens. Us Southern and Western Britishers of a social democrat leaning are very happy that many of our Northern British brothers and sisters are progressive leaning. Without you the balance would move rightward!
In reply to alastairmac:

Oh give them independence, all of it. Then sit back and enjoy the schadenfreude.
Douglas Griffin 22 Feb 2014
In reply to stroppygob:

It's not yours to give.
In reply to Douglas Griffin:

Silly thing to say.
Douglas Griffin 22 Feb 2014
In reply to stroppygob:

Glad you agree.
In reply to Douglas Griffin:

Oh tut.

Ok, seeing as you seem to be needing a little spoon feeding; your point was daft. I was not claiming that independence was mine to give, rather that those who wish for it should have their wish granted. Then we could enjoy schadenfreude at what I believe would follow.
Douglas Griffin 22 Feb 2014
In reply to stroppygob:

> I was not claiming that independence was mine to give, rather that those who wish for it should have their wish granted. Then we could enjoy schadenfreude at what I believe would follow.

Glad we cleared that up - the first bit at least - but the rest of it doesn't make sense. Those who wish for it will only have their wish granted if they're in the majority.

Either way, what you want to happen, or what you think the consequences of a Yes vote will be, are neither here nor there.
In reply to Douglas Griffin:

> (In reply to stroppygob)
> Either way, what you want to happen, or what you think the consequences of a Yes vote will be, are neither here nor there.

Damn, and there's me thinking that if I posted my desires on a discussion forum they'd automatically come true, I was hoping they'd be gifted me for Xmas. What a nasty little man you are to disabuse me of this notion.


Shall we just call you "Captain Obvious" and be done with it?
Post edited at 23:32
Douglas Griffin 22 Feb 2014
In reply to stroppygob:

You want Scotland to vote for Independence, not because you think it'd be good for Scotland, but because you think it'd be disastrous, and you would then take pleasure in that.

That much - and what it says about you - is certainly obvious.
In reply to Douglas Griffin:
> (In reply to stroppygob)
>
> You want Scotland to vote for Independence, not because you think it'd be good for Scotland, but because you think it'd be disastrous, and you would then take pleasure in that.

I want those who wish for an independent Scotland to get what they wish for. It may be that what they get works out fine and dandy, and they all live together in a land of rainbows and unicorns, and a glorious socialist state where the rich pay for everything and no one is poor, and King Salmond rules with a benign munificence.

If, however, as I predict, it does not work out and Scotland becomes a poor, third-rate, EU teat reliant, miserable place, one which anyone with a bit of nous would leave asap, then who is to blame for that? Not I.


Jim C 23 Feb 2014
In reply to stroppygob:
But would your pound not then go far in Scotland, and you can then come up an buy up the place, or just have cheap climbing holidays?

( that said most of it is already owned by foreigners anyway )
Douglas Griffin 23 Feb 2014
In reply to stroppygob:

There's no need to repeat - it's clear. You think that Independence for Scotland would be fairly disastrous for the people who live here, and yet you hope that it happens. You'd actually take pleasure in people's misfortune if it did.

Quite why you want this is anyone's guess.
In reply to stroppygob:

> If, however, as I predict, it does not work out and Scotland becomes a poor, third-rate, EU teat reliant, miserable place, one which anyone with a bit of nous would leave asap, then who is to blame for that? Not I.

Why do you think that Scotland would become "a poor, third-rate, EU teat reliant, miserable place"?

What is it about the Scots, as opposed to say the English or the Germans which makes them incapable of successfully managing their own affairs?
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

The English don't, the UK does.

I don't think it's anything inherent in the Scots themselves, just the size of the place, the infrastructure, and the global markets I think would make this unnecessary splitting off fail.
In reply to Douglas Griffin:
> (In reply to stroppygob)
>
> There's no need to repeat - it's clear. You think that Independence for Scotland would be fairly disastrous for the people who live here, and yet you hope that it happens. You'd actually take pleasure in people's misfortune if it did.

There's an old Chinese saying; "be careful of what you wish for".

I'm not wishing for Scotland to gain independence, others are.

I have no vote and no influence in the matter, so whatever the eventuality, I will not be to blame.

If I take joy in a pratfall, and you do not like that, so be it, your view of my sense of humour is of no importance to me.
In reply to Jim C:
> (In reply to stroppygob)
> But would your pound not then go far in Scotland, and you can then come up an buy up the place, or just have cheap climbing holidays?

It's an interesting bit of speculation. Scotland goes independent, wealth flees the coutry, as does manufacturing. Rampant socialism under Wee Ek, {as I beleive he's known,) runs the place down further. Buy up property up there on the cheap, hope the UK gets reunited so as to sell it off at a profit.
Douglas Griffin 23 Feb 2014
In reply to stroppygob:

> I don't think it's anything inherent in the Scots themselves, just the size of the place, the infrastructure, and the global markets I think would make this unnecessary splitting off fail.

And yet you've said that you want it to happen.

The well-intentioned (if mildly insulting) point of view that Scotland should stay because that it'd be economically unviable on its own - that's one thing. But wanting Scotland to leave the Union so you could see the lives of its inhabitants - whether they voted for Independence or not - ruined, just so you can experience a bit of "schadenfreude"?? Bit of a piece of work, really, aren't you?
Jim C 23 Feb 2014
In reply to stroppygob:

> It's an interesting bit of speculation. ...... Buy up property up there on the cheap, hope the UK gets reunited so as to sell it off at a profit.

Actually , I had you down as a rogue landlord Stroppy, so no need to hope for the UK to reunite , you just cream off money from poorly maintained property in the slum that Scotland has become in your scenario.
 Postmanpat 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim C:
> Actually , I had you down as a rogue landlord Stroppy, so no need to hope for the UK to reunite , you just cream off money from poorly maintained property in the slum that Scotland has become in your scenario.

Don't worry, in the socialist kingdom of Scotland foreign ownership of property will be banned.
Post edited at 10:16
Jim C 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Postmanpat:
> Don't worry, in the socialist republic of Scotland foreign ownership of property will be banned.

Sorry PP, I forgot about that .
There are just SO many negatives, that I just can't keep up.
( Although a few less bad landlords of any nationality would be welcomed)
Post edited at 10:18
 Postmanpat 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim C:

> Sorry PP, I forgot about that .

> There are just SO many negatives, that I just can't keep up.

>
The watchtowers along the border to keep you in should be more of a worry for you…..
In reply to jonnie3430:

> in Scotland, 75% of the population has got a government it didn't vote for.

You can't just assume that all the people who didn't vote are against the SNP. SNP supporters also get sick or lazy or don't like the local candidate.

You can't even assume that all the people that voted for another party aren't happy with an SNP government. It might be down to an issue with a particular candidate or a tactical vote based on previous results in the constituency.


In reply to stroppygob:

> It's an interesting bit of speculation. Scotland goes independent, wealth flees the coutry, as does manufacturing. Rampant socialism under Wee Ek, {as I beleive he's known,) runs the place down further. Buy up property up there on the cheap, hope the UK gets reunited so as to sell it off at a profit.

The SNP's intentions are to eliminate an entire layer of government (i.e. Westminster). That seems like a fairly sound idea from a capitalist perspective. Their actions in government in Scotland have been to rationalise many public services (e.g. the police and fire service) to reduce costs. The SNP have actually run the country with a balanced budget because they aren't allowed to borrow. As is well known the Scots are fairly tight with money: as soon as fiscally conservative politics is no longer associated with the Tories, Scotland's politics will rebalance.

As for wealth fleeing the country, maybe there will be short term effects if there is uncertainty about the currency. In the end the SNP's idea of setting business taxes a little lower than the rest of the UK will attract wealth. But the most important effect will be that removing political and financial power from London will increase public and private sector investment in Scotland. London based politicians and bankers like to spend their money within an hours travel of London.


 Cuthbert 23 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

That is it Tom. Unionism is often based upon a core belief that independence will be a disaster in every way and there are simply no advantages in managing your own affairs.

Once people adopt this mindset it is very easy to simply point out faults and criticise. I don't think unionists could win a debate where they had to argue for yes. The vision isn't there.

In the No campaign, as on these forums, the No camp nevers mentions things like how to get rid of nuclear weapons, child poverty, food banks, low self confidence in young people and so on. It isn't on their agenda and they have become proxies for the establishment simply rolling out the same stuff that Danny Alexander does or Gordon Brown. The crucial difference is though that Alexander and Brown will still have their perks, the rest will still pay for them.
 Sir Chasm 23 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

> You can't just assume that all the people who didn't vote are against the SNP. SNP supporters also get sick or lazy or don't like the local candidate.

> You can't even assume that all the people that voted for another party aren't happy with an SNP government. It might be down to an issue with a particular candidate or a tactical vote based on previous results in the constituency.

He didn't make either of those assumptions. That 75% didn't vote for the SNP is a factual statement.
 Cuthbert 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

Yes he has said that several times. What is the issue? He doesn't want PR and has suggested no changes to the electoral system other than compulsory voting. What is the issue if you don't want to change it?
 jonnie3430 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Yes he has said that several times. What is the issue? He doesn't want PR and has suggested no changes to the electoral system other than compulsory voting. What is the issue if you don't want to change it?

The issue is that 25% of the population voted for an independence referendum and you are expecting the remaining 75% to accept it? Funny democracy.
 jonnie3430 23 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

> As is well known the Scots are fairly tight with money:

That hasn't been seen in the Scottish parliament building, the Edinburgh trams and it remains to be seen how the new Forth crossing will cost!
 jonnie3430 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> I don't think unionists could win a debate where they had to argue for yes. The vision isn't there.

A bit rich considering the yes campaigners can't win one either!
 Sir Chasm 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Yes he has said that several times. What is the issue? He doesn't want PR and has suggested no changes to the electoral system other than compulsory voting. What is the issue if you don't want to change it?

I was correcting tom and explaining that no such assumptions had been made. You do have problems understanding what's clearly written down for you.
 Cuthbert 23 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

Yes it is but since it you have no desire to change it then you are stuck with this issue.
 jonnie3430 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> In the No campaign, as on these forums, the No camp nevers mentions things like how to get rid of nuclear weapons, child poverty, food banks, low self confidence in young people and so on.

Getting rid of nuclear weapons yet hiding under the nuclear umbrella of our allies is hypocritical. You want to do this for the money saving? Or is there some other reason? Why not take some responsibility?

Child poverty figures seem to be based on children living in a household that earns less than average wage (please correct if wrong.) By my reckoning that is 50%. We will never be able to get all children in households where the average wage is above 50%.

Food banks are used for temporary cases of dependence when employment has unexpectedly ended, or admin issues have affected welfare payments. There is still job seekers allowance and council housing for those in need.
 jonnie3430 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Yes it is but since it you have no desire to change it then you are stuck with this issue.

I have a desire to change it, but regard it as UK voter apathy, not just Scots. I'd rather change it from a UK perspective. But that is unlikely, as has been pointed out, the majority of Scots care enough about independence that they didn't vote at all. You think that an independent Scotland will compete with Norway et al. when half the population can't be bothered to vote?
 Cuthbert 23 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

Ok good luck and yes.
In reply to jonnie3430:

> That hasn't been seen in the Scottish parliament building, the Edinburgh trams and it remains to be seen how the new Forth crossing will cost!

The Parliament Building and the Trams are down to Labour. The SNP manifesto actually wanted to cancel the trams.

The Forth crossing may be expensive but with the old bridge coming to the end of its design life there isn't much choice. The economic costs of not having sufficient bridge capacity would be much worse. Transport infrastructure spending to reduce travel time to the Inverness, Aberdeen and the Highlands is essential for economic development. As well as the bridge the A9 should be getting upgraded to a dual carriageway.


 jonnie3430 23 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

> The Parliament Building and the Trams are down to Labour. The SNP manifesto actually wanted to cancel the trams.

Yes, but they are Scottish politicians, the same you say are good with money.
 jonnie3430 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

Do you have any response to my 12:17 post, or are you ignoring debate again?
 Cuthbert 23 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:
I didn't see your post. Don't expect to reply to everything.


> Getting rid of nuclear weapons yet hiding under the nuclear umbrella of our allies is hypocritical. You want to do this for the money saving? Or is there some other reason? Why not take some responsibility?

It's not hiding. Being hypocritcal is being a signatory to the non-proliferation treaty and then renewing your nuclear arseanal. Either way, I want rid of them asap. There is no other reason other than I think they are without use (apart from a status symbol and way to get on UN Security Council (I hope the UK loses this)).

> Child poverty figures seem to be based on children living in a household that earns less than average wage (please correct if wrong.) By my reckoning that is 50%. We will never be able to get all children in households where the average wage is above 50%.

I don't know the exact definition. Either way, I think the UK is going the wrong direction and placing less important things higher on the agenda.

> Food banks are used for temporary cases of dependence when employment has unexpectedly ended, or admin issues have affected welfare payments. There is still job seekers allowance and council housing for those in need.

Yes that is the statement of fact. Another statement of fact is that their use is increasing and is not by accident. The UK is a failure on this.
I find your statement so far from reality though that I now understand why you support a system which you don't like but do nothing about. "There is still council housing..." Whit??????????
Post edited at 12:58
Redacted 23 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:
> Would it, for instance, have been reasonable to have asserted that the UK was being run by a working class Scottish regime under Gordon Brown?

Yes indeed it would be reasonable but what is not reasonable is that we have 1 Tory MP and our country is governed by them.whereas we voted for Gordon Brown and got what we voted for.
 jonnie3430 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> apart from a status symbol and way to get on UN Security Council (I hope the UK loses this)).

Why would you want that then?

> I don't know the exact definition. Either way, I think the UK is going the wrong direction and placing less important things higher on the agenda.

Excellent debate.

> Yes that is the statement of fact.

> I find your statement so far from reality

It's a statement of fact, but is far from reality? See above.
 jonnie3430 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Redacted:

> Yes indeed it would be reasonable but what is not reasonable is that we have 1 Tory MP and our country is governed by them.

But 35% of the scottish vote went to lib dems or tories. 42% went to Labour. 20% went to SNP. You would rather have a labour government? After the previous 8 years of corporation smoozing, illegal war and ridiculous borrowing?

> whereas we voted for Gordon Brown and got what we voted for.

Really? You may want to check that.
Redacted 23 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:
> Really? You may want to check that.

Yeah mean't the Blair mob before that.

> But 35% of the scottish vote went to lib dems or tories. 42% went to Labour. 20% went to SNP.

The tories have 1 MP,Libdems 10 is it ? out of what 52 ?41 against and 11 for but we get the ConDems ?

It's nuts !

1 Tory MP !

> You would rather have a labour government? After the previous 8 years of corporation smoozing, illegal war and ridiculous borrowing?

Now your talking my language but putting aside what i want for a moment,do you think a country should be ruled by a coalition that only makes up a fifth of the elected MP's ?

And why should the Tories be any part of a Government governing Scotland when they have only 1 MP out of 52 ?

It's madness.

 jonnie3430 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Redacted:

Still a third of the vote and it's not labour.
Redacted 23 Feb 2014
Douglas Griffin - on 09:11 Sun
In reply to stroppygob:
And yet you've said that you want it to happen.

The well-intentioned (if mildly insulting) point of view that Scotland should stay because that it'd be economically unviable on its own - that's one thing. But wanting Scotland to leave the Union so you could see the lives of its inhabitants - whether they voted for Independence or not - ruined, just so you can experience a bit of "schadenfreude"?? Bit of a piece of work, really, aren't you?


In reply to Douglas Griffin:

Parasites tend to work this way Douglas.

KevinD 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Redacted:

> And why should the Tories be any part of a Government governing Scotland when they have only 1 MP out of 52 ?
>
> It's madness.

That they only have 1 MP considering they got 16% of the votes?
Yeah it is appalling when you consider just 3% more got the SNP 6 seats.
 rogerwebb 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Redacted:

That's why we have devolution
Redacted 23 Feb 2014
In reply to dissonance:
If you want to change the system then that is another matter but as things presently stand what i said applies,what you said doesn't.
Post edited at 17:20
Jim C 23 Feb 2014
In reply to dissonance:

> That they only have 1 MP considering they got 16% of the votes?

> Yeah it is appalling when you consider just 3% more got the SNP 6 seats.

And I know at least 1 Tory that voted for the SNP trying to keep labour out.
 RomTheBear 23 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

> So at the moment in Scotland, when 75% of the population didn't vote for the SNP or an independence referendum there is a problem? What do you propose we do about it?

The fact that some people don't care enough to vote and that some are not in age to vote doesn't mean that current Scottish government or current referendum is undemocratic.

What is your point ? Do you want to pass a law to force everybody to vote as soon as you are born ?

The fact is that a majority of voters voted for SNP and a majority supports the call for a referendum, you just gonna have to suck it up I am afraid.
 MG 23 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:


> The fact is that a majority of voters voted for SNP

No they didn't.

In reply to MG:

SNP got 44% of the vote
 RomTheBear 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Graeme Alderson:

> SNP got 44% of the vote

And more than 50%^ of the seats.
 RomTheBear 23 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

> No they didn't.

Ok they got most of the votes. Now what ?
 MG 23 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Ok they got most of the votes. Now what ?

Err no!
They may have got the most votes. Is that what you mean?
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Now what ?

Admit you were wrong perhaps? Rather than just coming out with a new statement.

> The fact is that a majority of voters voted for SNP
In reply to Jim C:

> Actually , I had you down as a rogue landlord Stroppy, so no need to hope for the UK to reunite , you just cream off money from poorly maintained property in the slum that Scotland has become in your scenario.

Ok, any tips on where to buy?
In reply to Douglas Griffin:

> And yet you've said that you want it to happen.

Yes, I believe the "YES" supporters should get what they wish for.

> But wanting Scotland to leave the Union so you could see the lives of its inhabitants - whether they voted for Independence or not - ruined, just so you can experience a bit of "schadenfreude"?? Bit of a piece of work, really, aren't you?

Oh I suppose so. But there again, it's only one possible scenario out of many. The degree to which Scotland stands or falls, should the "YES" vote prevail, will be in their own hands, to a large degree.

As I say, be careful what you wish for.

 Jim Fraser 23 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> The fact is that a majority of voters voted for SNP ...

I think it is more accurate to say that such a huge proportion of Scottish voters are so unhappy with the usual suspects that they ended up having to vote for the SNP. That does not mean that devolution and independence are not prime issues for those voters. Quite possibly the reverse.

Typically, long-established liberal federalist policy is dead in the water until England gets itself sorted out. Scottish Labour is a sucking-up device to help Labour in London. The Conservatives were never going to be a major devolution policy influence (although they do a better job of being a real Scottish party than Labour do).
 jonnie3430 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim Fraser:

> I think it is more accurate to say that such a huge proportion of Scottish voters are so unhappy with the usual suspects that they ended up having to vote for the SNP.

Of the 4 million registered voters, only 1 million, or 25%, voted for the SNP. If there is a huge proportion in that who only voted for the SNP because they were unhappy with the usual suspects then the UK can breathe easy.
 jonnie3430 23 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> What is your point ? Do you want to pass a law to force everybody to vote as soon as you are born ?

?? There were 4 million registered voters, of which 1 million voted for SNP. The population of Scotland is larger than that.

My point was that he was saying that 53% of the time Scotland doesn't get the government it voted for and that this was a problem for him. I was pointing out that 75% of Scots didn't vote for this government and was asking if he had the same problem.
KevinD 23 Feb 2014
In reply to Redacted:
> (In reply to dissonance) If you want to change the system then that is another matter but as things presently stand what i said applies,what you said doesn't.

Of course it does. There seems to be desire to ignore that the tories do exist north of the border, in not inconsiderable numbers. They just arent represented.

I am just curious as to why this is?
In reply to alastairmac:

Interesting that George Osborne says he can't take the risk of having to bail out Scotland if there is a currency union.

But about 10 minutes after a coup in Ukraine he's already got the UK cheque book out and offering to put money into a bail out.

We also find out that the UK government sold everyone's hospital records, (including post code and date of birth to make sure there was enough to identify individuals even with the name redacted) to the insurance industry a few years ago. So the latest climb down on GP records is basically locking the door after selling the horse.

It's hard to believe the government of an Independent Scotland could be any less competent than this lot.


 Sir Chasm 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

> Interesting that George Osborne says he can't take the risk of having to bail out Scotland if there is a currency union.

> But about 10 minutes after a coup in Ukraine he's already got the UK cheque book out and offering to put money into a bail out.

You think pledging support via the IMF and the EU is the same as being in a currency union with your neighbour? Hmmm, right.

> We also find out that the UK government sold everyone's hospital records, (including post code and date of birth to make sure there was enough to identify individuals even with the name redacted) to the insurance industry a few years ago. So the latest climb down on GP records is basically locking the door after selling the horse.

> It's hard to believe the government of an Independent Scotland could be any less competent than this lot.

I imagine the government of iScotland would be perfect in every way.
 Bruce Hooker 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

> It's hard to believe the government of an Independent Scotland could be any less competent than this lot.

History has shown that throughout the world and ages the scope for incompetence of governments knows no bounds

Not to say that a Scottish government would necessarily be incompetent just that your remark is, alas, not proved.

Tim Chappell 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

What would an independent Scotland do about the Ukraine? What kind of figure would they cut on the international stage?

I should think they'd have about as much clout there as Andorra. No disrespect to Andorra
In reply to Tim Chappell:

> What would an independent Scotland do about the Ukraine? What kind of figure would they cut on the international stage?

Cutting a figure on the international stage is an expensive game that small countries don't have to play. I'd hope Scotland would put education and transport infrastructure well ahead of bailing out Ukraine and spend its cash at home.
 Sir Chasm 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

> Cutting a figure on the international stage is an expensive game that small countries don't have to play. I'd hope Scotland would put education and transport infrastructure well ahead of bailing out Ukraine and spend its cash at home.

Is your plan for iScotland that it's neither an EU nor IMF member? Just going to live in glorious isolation?
 Banned User 77 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

> Cutting a figure on the international stage is an expensive game that small countries don't have to play. I'd hope Scotland would put education and transport infrastructure well ahead of bailing out Ukraine and spend its cash at home.

like in the Uni's.. oh no you didn't.

Education is far from a priority. I've yet to hear from an academic who is in support. Most I know who are proud Scots realize that Salmonds no fees policy is a millstone around their necks. It can only work if they put in the billions missing from the system.
 Cuthbert 24 Feb 2014
In reply to alastairmac:

I see the Lib Dem supporting P&J is saying there is a "massive" slump in support for Yes. This is from a survey of 500 people where 350 of them supported no.

Meanwhile, the PCS Union voted to take a neutral stance on independence (very sensible I think). 5,000 plus people voted to back independence and not a single one voted to back the No campaign.
 Cuthbert 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Tim Chappell:

WHo knows? It's the future. No facts exist.

What should the UK do? How is this clout being used and how will it be used in the future if it's a No vote? Answers please with facts and 100% certainty.
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> Is your plan for iScotland that it's neither an EU nor IMF member? Just going to live in glorious isolation?

No. But there's a difference between being a member and thinking you have to be a cheerleader for intervention and offering money before even being asked.

Don't you think there's a contradiction between all the 'we can't afford this...' rhetoric of the Tories and their eagerness to throw money at anything that reflects on 'status' as a world power.

 jonnie3430 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

> No. But there's a difference between being a member and thinking you have to be a cheerleader for intervention and offering money before even being asked.

> Don't you think there's a contradiction between all the 'we can't afford this...' rhetoric of the Tories and their eagerness to throw money at anything that reflects on 'status' as a world power.

The Ukraine is struggling to make democracy work against the clout of Russia and you make our support a bad thing?
 Sir Chasm 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:


> No. But there's a difference between being a member and thinking you have to be a cheerleader for intervention and offering money before even being asked.

> Don't you think there's a contradiction between all the 'we can't afford this...' rhetoric of the Tories and their eagerness to throw money at anything that reflects on 'status' as a world power.

It's an EU and IMF proposal to prop up Ukraine, if necessary.
But you carry on trying to make independence all about the Tories, it deflects from Salmond's floundering.
 jonnie3430 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> WHo knows? It's the future. No facts exist.

> What should the UK do? How is this clout being used and how will it be used in the future if it's a No vote? Answers please with facts and 100% certainty.

I thought you didn't care about the UK and that independence was a Scottish thing and that you had no bad feelings towards the rest of the UK. Looks to me like you dislike the rest of the UK quite a bit with those comments and the comment about you hoping that the UK loses its place on the Security Council. Is it racism all along?

P.S. Can I point out the irony in asking for "facts and 100% accuracy," when your party haven't provided any so far, yet they were the ones that brought up the subject? It makes your case pointless.
In reply to IainRUK:

> like in the Uni's.. oh no you didn't.

> Education is far from a priority. I've yet to hear from an academic who is in support. Most I know who are proud Scots realize that Salmonds no fees policy is a millstone around their necks. It can only work if they put in the billions missing from the system.

The system worked for decades. In Europe there are fees in many countries but a fraction of those in England. Government being willing to make value judgments on what courses it funds and how much it funds individual courses and guiding the Universities to stop spending so much on administration would work just as well as increasing the amount of money available.

Tim Chappell 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:
> Cutting a figure on the international stage is an expensive game that small countries don't have to play. I'd hope Scotland would put education and transport infrastructure well ahead of bailing out Ukraine and spend its cash at home.


To be honest--given the place in the world that the UK has made its own, and used mostly for the good--I think that's pathetic. It's an abnegation of international responsibility.

But I do agree with you that this is what follows pretty inevitably from Scottish separatism.
Post edited at 11:31
 Banned User 77 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:
> The system worked for decades. In Europe there are fees in many countries but a fraction of those in England. Government being willing to make value judgments on what courses it funds and how much it funds individual courses and guiding the Universities to stop spending so much on administration would work just as well as increasing the amount of money available.

Whilst I agree there was considerable waste, I do not think that is the case anymore. your Uni's are struggling. Standards are falling. You just are not investing in the next generation.

You've done that thing where you say 'England' when you mean the UK.. but that's OK.

I think we'll see others following> fees of 1000-2000 euros are not uncommon. We've gone the US route because of longterm lack of funding. Scotlands Uni's are struggling. Your view that they will find the money just is not happening.

The system did not work for decades.. it's been decades of reduced funding, under funding and ever increasing student numbers...
Post edited at 11:35
 jonnie3430 24 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> The system did not work for decades.. it's been decades of reduced funding, under funding and ever increasing student numbers...

Don't forget the ever increasing levels of management and salaries of said managers!
Tim Chappell 24 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

And remember: the SNP have NO PLAN for university funding. Read their 'White paper' if you want to see what I mean. Their plan is to hope that something turns up, basically. Much as I like Mr Micawber, I doubt this will do.
 Cuthbert 24 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

> I thought you didn't care about the UK and that independence was a Scottish thing and that you had no bad feelings towards the rest of the UK. Looks to me like you dislike the rest of the UK quite a bit with those comments and the comment about you hoping that the UK loses its place on the Security Council. Is it racism all along?

I know you thought that. It is this level of ignorance and paranoia that we are trying to leave behind.

I ask about Ukraine and in your head that equals racism. You are paranoid.



Jim C 24 Feb 2014
In reply to stroppygob:

> (In reply to Jim C)
>
> [...]
>
> Ok, any tips on where to buy?

Well, on the asumption that the oil will still be in Aberdeen, the house prices will hold up there.

But assuming the financial services all flee the country (following LLoyds/TSB) there should be some nice (not slum mind ) properties up in Edinburgh that the prices should crash nicely on.

(But of course there are the poorer parts of Glasgow and Edinburgh if you want to go low end, probably end up selling for a song

And of course my own much loved 1903 property, where I live at the moment.

I was going to hold on to it for the children, but as my 3 grown up kids are sure to flee the country in search of secure employment, I might have to sell it to you to make ends meet and rent it back, and hopefully get some benefits to help pay your exhorbitant rent)

Post edited at 12:32
 jonnie3430 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> I know you thought that. It is this level of ignorance and paranoia that we are trying to leave behind.

So you do have bad feelings towards the rest of the UK? Hardly paranoia then is it! The best way to settle the ignorance and paranoia is to leave the UK then?

> I ask about Ukraine and in your head that equals racism. You are paranoid.

Nothing to do with Ukraine, but thinly disguised jabs at the UK suggest that you are actually anti-english, combined with lack of reason for your stance on independence suggests you are simply racist.
 Cuthbert 24 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

No!!!!!!!!!!!!! Not at all. I think the Westminster system is awful though and Scotland has, and will have, a better system.

Please try to separate opinions about a political system from those about people.

Your jibe about racism just reinforces your paranoia.
 jonnie3430 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:
> Your jibe about racism just reinforces your paranoia.

Paranoia about what? About the anti english vibe in Scotland? That isn't paranoia. The comment "I support whoever is playing the english," isn't even a joke. Most do it, some to the extent that they take pride in the number of foreign football shirts they have bought to show their support of the english opposition team.

You may not dislike the english, but I would be impressed by your nativity if you didn't agree that there is anti english feeling in Scotland.
Post edited at 12:28
 jonnie3430 24 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

> You may not dislike the english, but I would be impressed by your nativity if you didn't agree that there is anti english feeling in Scotland.

Nativity? Naivety!! Jings, not jingle bells.
 Cuthbert 24 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

Paranoia about me disliking the UK or English people despite you have no evidence on this or it being true. That is paranoia.

If you are going to fire out insults and accusations and suggest people are racist, it makes sense to have something to back yourself up. IN your case it's an empty vessel echoing to the word "paranoia".

Again, the problem faces you in the mirror.

 Sir Chasm 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba: Has Salmond revealed plan C? http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scotland/10657721/Scottish-independe...
Which letter of the alphabet will have been reached by September?
 jonnie3430 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Paranoia about me disliking the UK or English people despite you have no evidence on this or it being true. That is paranoia.

Pfft. This isn't a court of law where we need to provide evidence. Your comment on the UK being taken off the Security council if Scotland left is odd though. Why would you want the UK off the security council if Scotland was independent?

> If you are going to fire out insults and accusations and suggest people are racist, it makes sense to have something to back yourself up. IN your case it's an empty vessel echoing to the word "paranoia".

Do you agree that there is some anti english feeling in scotland? They are racists, regardless of how simply they pass it off as a joke. It's hardly paranoia to regard a hollow argument for the benefits of an independent Scotland as a more serious extension of the anti english feeling.

> Again, the problem faces you in the mirror.

I thought the problem you had me facing in the mirror was being part of the UK and independence would sort it? Are you now saying paranoia of scottish racism is solved by independence. That's quite a step. How does that work?
 Banned User 77 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> Has Salmond revealed plan C?
> Which letter of the alphabet will have been reached by September?

It was his only option. A new currency was too expensive and too prohibitive.

It makes it much harder now though, it kills any argument for Scotland becoming a financial power house dead.

I think they'll keep the pound and negotiate to join the Euro but will have very little bargaining power. Obviously without their own currency it will be hard but I think the Euro wants to grow and Scotland joining will facilitate the rUK joining. I don't think we'll do any major switch just increasingly use both currencies which happens in Europe in the border regions, for example Denmark/Germany.

 jonnie3430 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> Has Salmond revealed plan C?

> Which letter of the alphabet will have been reached by September?

There will only be small businesses left! Everyone will be based in the UK. It might be a good idea to buy up land in Carlisle and Northumberland though as they may become popular for offices!
 Sir Chasm 24 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK: I'm not sure it's that straightforward, doesn't the EU require countries joining the euro to have their own currency and central bank? Neither of which criteria would be satisfied.

 Cuthbert 24 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

See my many other comments re UN security council (no I can't be bothered to find them for you).

Yes as I do think there is anti-anyone in any place.

I know you thought that. I am saying what I am saying, nothing else. Have an argument with your mirror and minor parties like the Tories.
In reply to Sir Chasm:

Without their own currency and no central bank, you have to think the financial industry in Scotland will flood south. They will lose all their leverage as they won't be able to borrow at anywhere near the levels they currently do with no backstop of the BoE.

I'm sure there will be many north of the border that will not think that's such a bad thing, but it will definitely impact tax revenues and jobs.

On the plus side, any Scots with pensions controlled by AAM or Scottish Widows etc. should pragmatically be pleased to see them go south as it should add some more protection to their nest eggs.
 Bruce Hooker 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> I know you thought that. It is this level of ignorance and paranoia that we are trying to leave behind.

Tut, tut! You promised you weren't going to call people "ignorant" again... can't resist it, can you?
 Banned User 77 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:

> Without their own currency and no central bank, you have to think the financial industry in Scotland will flood south. They will lose all their leverage as they won't be able to borrow at anywhere near the levels they currently do with no backstop of the BoE.

> I'm sure there will be many north of the border that will not think that's such a bad thing, but it will definitely impact tax revenues and jobs.

> On the plus side, any Scots with pensions controlled by AAM or Scottish Widows etc. should pragmatically be pleased to see them go south as it should add some more protection to their nest eggs.

That's why I'm amazed some people I know on FB are supporting the yes camp. Some I know are accountants. I know Lloyds haven't explained yet but it must have been a factor.

Jobs and money will head south.

What I don't understand is those saying the Tories are bullying Scotland into remaining. Why would the Tories want Scotland to stay, they get the banking coming south and a higher chance of winning future elections.

 jonnie3430 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> See my many other comments re UN security council (no I can't be bothered to find them for you).

Great debate!!!

> Yes as I do think there is anti-anyone in any place.

So a proportion of Scots are anti-english. I wonder what proportion? What was it, 25% of Scots voters that voted for an independence referendum? I would assume that they are in that group, so what is the proportion of racist anti english supporters in the SNP? Who knows, but the fact that there is a group there makes it a bit worrying. Surely you must come across them in your dealings with the yes campaign?

> I know you thought that. I am saying what I am saying, nothing else. Have an argument with your mirror and minor parties like the Tories.

You are a bit special, you know that? If you class the tories as a minor party, what does that make the SNP? At the last general election, the tories had 3% less vote than SNP.
 Bruce Hooker 24 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> Why would the Tories want Scotland to stay

They are Unionists after all and whatever one thinks of them on many aspects of their policy they may still have some feeling for the best interests of Britain, politically, economically and in geo-political terms. Churchill was a tory remember, well some of the time anyway.
In reply to Bruce Hooker:

> Why would the Tories want Scotland to stay

Well if the Scots leave there will be fewer people for the Tories to screw
 Banned User 77 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Bruce Hooker:
I totally agree, I think the fact they do want what's best is overlooked. If it was purely about power they'd encourage Scotland to go.

I just can't see how Scotland can expect to be successful using the Sterling with no control. Oil is declining and will be less important and independence with no control over sterling will impact on their financial sector. Something like 11 billion and 85,000 jobs (+ indirect).. its a huge sector.
Post edited at 14:34
 Cuthbert 24 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

£27 billion is what I heard. Where is it?
 jonny taylor 24 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

I happen to think the UK is the better option for all concerned, but regardless of that I'm not sure it's necessarily true that, as you wrote:

> I think the fact they do want what's best is overlooked. If it was purely about power they'd encourage Scotland to go.

As somebody wrote the other day (think I read it in a paper rather than on here!), what must keep Cameron awake at night is the fear that he will go down in history as the man who let the union fall apart. As I say, I happen to think it *would* be better if the UK stayed as one, but I can't really imagine any circumstances where the UK government would gladly sit and watch scotland leave.
 Banned User 77 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

That might be indirect and direct.. which would be around the same as 10 billion direct, I've seen 9-11 billion on googling and government reports 'Scotland financial sector worth'.

http://www.businessforscotland.co.uk/scotlands-100-billion-of-exports-provi...

In reply to IainRUK:

Salmond bashing 'posh' people again. 'Fooling about on the playing fields of Eton', never misses a chance to criticise someone's background.

He does like to play the man rather than the ball doesn't he!
 Banned User 77 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:

from the report:"Scottish independence will benefit exporters"

"The Scottish Government aims to increase exports by 50%, which would create over 100,000 new jobs. An independent Scotland – with control over taxation, finance, business regulation and global promotion – would be well placed to fully support Scottish companies in the global market.

In comparison, the UK’s trading and investment wing failed to promote Scotland’s companies internationally. Business for Scotland found that not a single UK embassy in key export locations held an event for St Andrew’s day."

so increase exports by 50%, 100,000 new jobs.. how? Hold events for St Andrews day!
In reply to Sir Chasm:

Saying "we'll join the Euro" before a YES vote is just leaving yourself open to the same tactic as Osborne already played from EU officials who would like a NO vote.

Using the pound informally to start with is a workable bridging step towards either a new currency or joining the Euro and takes the time pressure off.

The most likely thing is the negotiations after a YES vote result in a deal that involves joining the Euro or sharing the pound.
 Banned User 77 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

why would we share the pound? why do you want it?

It means the rUK controls your monetary policy..
 Banned User 77 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

why would you opt for a new currency? that would be idiotically isolating.
 jonnie3430 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

> Saying "we'll join the Euro" before a YES vote is just leaving yourself open to the same tactic as Osborne already played from EU officials who would like a NO vote.

You can look at it like that, but that would be trying to trick voters into believing you when you could just ask and find out the answer.

> The most likely thing is the negotiations after a YES vote result in a deal that involves joining the Euro or sharing the pound.

Just out of curiosity, what do you think will be the strongest negotiating factors? I'm curious to see what you think will make the UK and Europe want to do a deal at all? I'm genuinely interested, my first response to seeing that you still thought sharing the pound was an option was to bury my head in my arms and wonder what you didn't understand about the chancellors comments.
 Banned User 77 24 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

I cant think of many times where all parties have been so clear about an issue. There will be no shared currency.

Quite clearly they aren't open to negotiate and any that offered that would lose votes in an election. Its exposing the £ to big risk.

 Sir Chasm 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

> Saying "we'll join the Euro" before a YES vote is just leaving yourself open to the same tactic as Osborne already played from EU officials who would like a NO vote.

> Using the pound informally to start with is a workable bridging step towards either a new currency or joining the Euro and takes the time pressure off.

> The most likely thing is the negotiations after a YES vote result in a deal that involves joining the Euro or sharing the pound.

But there isn't a plan now. Is Salmond going to stick to the line that a currency union will happen? Is sterlingisation actually Yes policy? Do you think going "it'll be braw" instead of having a coherent policy is honest?
In reply to jonnie3430:

> You can look at it like that, but that would be trying to trick voters into believing you when you could just ask and find out the answer.

That is a stunningly naive comment. You can't find out the other side's bottom line position in a negotiation just by asking. All you find out by asking is their opening bid.

 Sir Chasm 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

> That is a stunningly naive comment. You can't find out the other side's bottom line position in a negotiation just by asking. All you find out by asking is their opening bid.

Do you really believe Salmond's "they're bluffing" line? And you're calling other people naive?
 jonnie3430 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

> That is a stunningly naive comment. You can't find out the other side's bottom line position in a negotiation just by asking. All you find out by asking is their opening bid.

I'm naive? Your post at 15:59 says "don't ask if we can join the euro, because we may not like people to know the answer. They didn't like the answer when we asked to share the pound." The response from Osborne was not a "tactic," it was an honest answer!

What are you on? You would rather people didn't know the truth? You'd rather people voted for independence, then couldn't get a shared pound, or join the euro, when you can ask beforehand?

On negotiations; what has Scotland got to negotiate with that is powerful enough to interest the UK or EU in a shared currency?
In reply to IainRUK:

> why would you opt for a new currency? that would be idiotically isolating.

I don't think we will. I think the most likely thing is the currency choice will be part of a larger deal with the UK or the EU.

However, I see that there is also a need to state a workable fall back or bridging option in the event of protracted negotiations which does not depend on any other country. Informally continuing to use sterling seems like a reasonable way of minimising disruption on the path to a long term solution.


 Cuthbert 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

Jeezo, this Jonnie really has issues. This debate should be conducted with a level of maturity but here he is calling people racists without any evidence and criticising systems he personally supports and has no alternative to. That really is paranoia.

To jonnie - rain your neck in and calm down. Please refrain from the personal and aggressive nature of your posts.
 jonnie3430 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Sour Alba:

> Jeezo, this Jonnie really has issues. This debate should be conducted with a level of maturity but here he is calling people racists without any evidence and criticising systems he personally supports and has no alternative to. That really is paranoia.

Why have you started using paranoia? Is it in the SNP guidance for yes campaigners, labelled "how to discredit when questioned?" On the question of mature debating; if you look back up the post, everywhere I have praised your debating, I have actually been sarcastic as you haven't debated anything. An interesting occasion was when you specifically asked for no campaign opinion on several issues. While un-decided, I responded only for you to say you didn't know the subject!
My query on your racism still stands, you can look up the point I was questioning and answer. At the time you told me to look through UKC for your opinion on the UK in the security council. That's the same as the Salmond referring every question to his independence document. If you want to explain something to someone, tell them about it.

> To jonnie - rain your neck in and calm down. Please refrain from the personal and aggressive nature of your posts.

Thanks for the advice. In return, I suggest you learn that a debate involves a two way flow of information, not one side asking, the other side replying, then the other side accusing them of some random point disconnected with the subject.
I also suggest that you learn both sides to an argument, it is important to see it from both sides as you may have missed something.
I also suggest that you re-read some of your posts with an open mind. As others have pointed out, they are easily read as ignorant, foolish and personal attacks. You then only have yourself to blame when you receive the same in return.
Finally, when someone is questioning you on something and you choose not to respond to their question, it can be seen as avoiding the subject, or simply rudeness. You should then understand a short response.

P.S. Does your ironimeter not even quiver when you accuse others of personal attacks when you write a post like that?
 RomTheBear 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> But there isn't a plan now. Is Salmond going to stick to the line that a currency union will happen? Is sterlingisation actually Yes policy? Do you think going "it'll be braw" instead of having a coherent policy is honest?

Not sure why so much debate around currency. Is that such a big issue ? After all many small countries manage very well with their own currency (Norway, Iceland, Sweden, Switzerland, Denmark...) or within Euro (Belgium, Netherlands...) We also have the example of Ireland who exited the pound rather smoothly.

Not sure why in the case of Scotland it would automatically be all mayhem...
 Cuthbert 24 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

Sorry until you refrain from calling people racists with no justification I can't be bothered reading your posts or replying to them.

I have not attacked anyone personally, accused them of being racist or otherwise.

You need to look in the mirror.
 jonnie3430 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Sorry until you refrain from calling people racists with no justification I can't be bothered reading your posts or replying to them.

Wahey!! Thats it! Give in completely!

At 12:55 on Sunday you wrote "It's not hiding. Being hypocritcal is being a signatory to the non-proliferation treaty and then renewing your nuclear arseanal. Either way, I want rid of them asap. There is no other reason other than I think they are without use (apart from a status symbol and way to get on UN Security Council (I hope the UK loses this))."

P.S. Best spelling of Arsenal I've seen yet!

I responded to ask what you meant, didn't get an answer, still haven't and posted, "I thought you didn't care about the UK and that independence was a Scottish thing and that you had no bad feelings towards the rest of the UK. Looks to me like you dislike the rest of the UK quite a bit with those comments and the comment about you hoping that the UK loses its place on the Security Council. Is it racism all along?"

You have the option to respond....

> I have not attacked anyone personally, accused them of being racist or otherwise.

Yes dear. Each time you accuse someone of ignorance, it is a personal attack.

> You need to look in the mirror.

So much about mirrors? Is this on SNP policy document too?
KevinD 24 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Not sure why in the case of Scotland it would automatically be all mayhem...

Well thats one for Salmond and co to answer. Since the choice he has chosen is not one which is available.
 Banned User 77 24 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

> I don't think we will. I think the most likely thing is the currency choice will be part of a larger deal with the UK or the EU.

> However, I see that there is also a need to state a workable fall back or bridging option in the event of protracted negotiations which does not depend on any other country. Informally continuing to use sterling seems like a reasonable way of minimising disruption on the path to a long term solution.

But I cant help but think 11 billion of your economy may well shift when their banking system is left with no security. I know Lloyds haven't explained their thinking but it must have been a factor.
 RomTheBear 24 Feb 2014
In reply to dissonance:
>

> Well thats one for Salmond and co to answer. Since the choice he has chosen is not one which is available.

Well that's his first choice as I understand but I haven't heard him ruling out any other possibilities. Also he repeated several times that the pound is fully tradeable so Scotland may well simply decide to use the pound regardeless of whether any currency deal happens. That's exactly what Ireland did when they became independent before transitioning smoothly to their own currency, and later on, the euro.
Post edited at 20:56
 RomTheBear 24 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> But I cant help but think 11 billion of your economy may well shift when their banking system is left with no security. I know Lloyds haven't explained their thinking but it must have been a factor.

Don't you think that the fact that 40% of the bank is owned by the UK government has anything to do with it ?
In reply to Jim C:



> And of course my own much loved 1903 property, where I live at the moment.

> I was going to hold on to it for the children, but as my 3 grown up kids are sure to flee the country in search of secure employment, I might have to sell it to you to make ends meet and rent it back, and hopefully get some benefits to help pay your exhorbitant rent)

That's sounds like a plan. Thanks Jim, you're a mate.

Jim C 24 Feb 2014
In reply to stroppygob:

> That's sounds like a plan. Thanks Jim, you're a mate.

Or , if I can't keep up with your rent ( after my employer also pulls out of Scotland)
maybe I will have to head back to the family stomping grounds in the Lakes ( which we left in 1790)
Moving to Scotland back then was bad news for them anyway, my poor old ancestor was murdered by Burke and Hare, and his 5 kids were orphaned, I mean how welcoming is that, it's a wonder we have stayed so long!

But I WILL miss the old country-
{sniff!}
In reply to Jim C:

Seeing as you've been so generous, I'll do you "mates rates'.

(Do you have a daughter btw?)
 Sir Chasm 24 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Well that's his first choice as I understand but I haven't heard him ruling out any other possibilities. Also he repeated several times that the pound is fully tradeable so Scotland may well simply decide to use the pound regardeless of whether any currency deal happens. That's exactly what Ireland did when they became independent before transitioning smoothly to their own currency, and later on, the euro.

It's not much of a plan, is it? Sticking with an option that's been ruled out. There are only two options now, start a Scottish currency or use another currency (euro, pound, dollar, whatever). But joining the euro isn't an immediate option (even if,for argument's sake, we take membership of the EU as given) and using someone else's currency leaves you at the mercy of that country's economic policy. But the real problem is the failure of the yes campaign to put a plan to the voters.
 Bruce Hooker 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Please refrain from the personal and aggressive nature of your posts.

From you Donald that's quite amusing.
 RomTheBear 24 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:
> It's not much of a plan, is it? Sticking with an option that's been ruled out. There are only two options now, start a Scottish currency or use another currency (euro, pound, dollar, whatever). But joining the euro isn't an immediate option (even if,for argument's sake, we take membership of the EU as given) and using someone else's currency leaves you at the mercy of that country's economic policy. But the real problem is the failure of the yes campaign to put a plan to the voters.

Why wouldn't it be a valid plan, it makes perfect sense to continue using the pound with our without having a currency union for say the first five years before a new currency is created or euro adopted. It worked for Ireland.
Post edited at 22:34
Jim C 24 Feb 2014
In reply to stroppygob:
> Seeing as you've been so generous, I'll do you "mates rates'.

> (Do you have a daughter btw?)

I've got 3 daughters , but only 2 are single ( 22 and 27)

( no dowry , we are all going to be skint up here)
Post edited at 22:37
 Sir Chasm 24 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Why wouldn't it be a valid plan, it makes perfect sense to continue using the pound with our without having a currency union for say the first five years before a new currency is created or euro adopted. It worked for Ireland.

Well it would be without a currency union, do keep up. And that means that the cost of government borrowing would increase. Of course, as you point out, it worked in Ireland, was it a sixth of the population that emigrated in the 50s and 60s?
And, once again, an independent Scotland would have to have its own currency and a central bank prior to joining the euro.
In reply to Jim C:

No dowry? I'll take the house in lieu of a dowry, and marry the 27 year old.
 Andy Hardy 25 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Don't you think that the fact that it had to bailed out by the UK government has anything to do with it ?

Fixed that for you
 RomTheBear 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> Well it would be without a currency union, do keep up. And that means that the cost of government borrowing would increase. Of course, as you point out, it worked in Ireland, was it a sixth of the population that emigrated in the 50s and 60s?

And now Ireland is a country with higher GDP per capita than the UK, so it seems that it worked quite good for them...

> And, once again, an independent Scotland would have to have its own currency and a central bank prior to joining the euro.

Not sure why this is a problem. Once again, example of Ireland, they kept the pound for a few years, they created their own currency tied to the pound, then finally switch to their own currency, then adopted the Euros.

90 years later they are doing rather well as a small country.
 RomTheBear 25 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

> Fixed that for you

Well yes, to me it seems simply that the Uk government is trying to protect his assets in the unlikely event of independence.
 mav 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:
> (In reply to RomTheBear)
>
> [...]
>
> And, once again, an independent Scotland would have to have a central bank, or a foreign country providing central banking services, prior to joining the EU.

fixed that for you.

 Andy Hardy 25 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

Are you seriously saying that HMG *commanded* them to return to London? (They don't have 51% of the shares).

Or could it be that they are moving to where there will definitely be a lender of last resort in the event of independence?
 Andy Hardy 25 Feb 2014
In reply to mav:
Which foreign country is going to provide central bank services to Scotland?
Post edited at 10:22
 Bruce Hooker 25 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> 90 years later they are doing rather well as a small country.

Do you know any Irish people? I do, or have done, in Paris and the numbers rise and fall according to the situation there. In the 70s there were loads in Paris as things were hard - often people in Dublin had two jobs to get by - then there was a bit of a boom and people went back, then the bubble burst and the Paris Irish population grew again. I'm not sure where we are just now as I don't go into Paris much and have little contact with ex-pats but to present life in Ireland over the last decades a smooth road to prosperity seems a little out of touch with reality.
 mav 25 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

SNP plans for a currency union would see the remainder of the Uk becoming a foreign country, and the Bank of England would act as central bank for both. Without that, Scotland would need its own central bank to be eligible for EU membership.
 RomTheBear 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Bruce Hooker:

> Do you know any Irish people? I do, or have done, in Paris and the numbers rise and fall according to the situation there. In the 70s there were loads in Paris as things were hard - often people in Dublin had two jobs to get by - then there was a bit of a boom and people went back, then the bubble burst and the Paris Irish population grew again. I'm not sure where we are just now as I don't go into Paris much and have little contact with ex-pats but to present life in Ireland over the last decades a smooth road to prosperity seems a little out of touch with reality.

Well I know quite a few Irish guys and so far they don't seem to complain , not sure this is relevant though.

Where did I present life in Ireland as a "smooth road to prosperity" ? Looks at the history books, their economic failures were due to economic nationalism and barriers to trade. As soon as they decided to open their economy in the 70s they started to grow and are now a highly successful country, with the best quality of life in the world according to some rankings.

After the creation of the Irish free state they went through 4 different currencies, but it had little influence on their failure and successes, the key was their economic policy.

My point is that currency is not so much of an issue, but the ability to set your own long term economic policy is very important.
 Andy Hardy 25 Feb 2014
In reply to mav:

Tory, Labour and Lib Dems plans do not include currency union. The SNP white paper doesn't mention creating a new central bank. So is it any wonder LloydsTSB have left?
 RomTheBear 25 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

> Tory, Labour and Lib Dems plans do not include currency union. The SNP white paper doesn't mention creating a new central bank. So is it any wonder LloydsTSB have left?

I do think it's a big mistake from Salmond and co to not emphasise more the other currency options.
At the same time I am pretty sure that whatever currency Scotland uses in the event of Independence, once they are able to set a lower corporation tax than the rest of the UK you'll see them coming back very quickly...
 Cuthbert 25 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

On a point of detail, have they left? As far as I understand it they had to be registered somewhere and have chosen England and Wales instead of Scotland.

The biggest issue here is the continual flow south of HQs that has been happening for decades. BOS is the classic example which is run as an arm of Lloyds now. It was a good bank until the Halifax got hold of it.
 Postmanpat 25 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:


> At the same time I am pretty sure that whatever currency Scotland uses in the event of Independence, once they are able to set a lower corporation tax than the rest of the UK you'll see them coming back very quickly...

"Vote independence, vote neoliberal"

Has a nice ring to it.........
 Sir Chasm 25 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> I do think it's a big mistake from Salmond and co to not emphasise more the other currency options.

Yes, as I've been saying, there is no proposal from the yes campaign at the moment.

> At the same time I am pretty sure that whatever currency Scotland uses in the event of Independence, once they are able to set a lower corporation tax than the rest of the UK you'll see them coming back very quickly...

Really? Without a lender of last resort?
 Tyler 25 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> As soon as they decided to open their economy in the 70s they started to grow and are now a highly successful country,

Successful yes but you seem to have forgotten about the whole economic crisis thing which hit Ireland a whole lot harder than most countries. They had an EU bailout, not something available to an independent Scotland without being a member of the Eurozone.

> with the best quality of life in the world according to some rankings

.....in 2005, since when GDP has shrunk and unemployment has rocketed.

> After the creation of the Irish free state they went through 4 different currencies, but it had little influence on their failure and successes, the key was their economic policy.

......which was to lower their corporation tax to 12% I've (honestly) no idea what the Yes campaign are proposing here but is it some thing similar? It made sense for the Irish to do this, which was a less developed economy, to attract foreign investment I'm not sure it would be a good idea for a thriving economy which already has a fair share of industry (and significant corporation tax take) I'm not sure it would play well with any Eurozone application either.

> My point is that currency is not so much of an issue, but the ability to set your own long term economic policy is very important.

In that case you don't want a currency union with UK anyway. On the one hand you are correct and it shouldn't matter, Scotland probably won't have any more nasty shocks in the short term so should be ok using any currency, the problem is this will affect their ability to lend (again, I've no idea, do the Yes team plan to run a defecit?) and it seems would prevent them joining the Euro.

The other issue is that instead of saying things might be tricky for a while AS has been a bit disingenuous in saying that everything will be rosy from the off whereas this will not be the case. If this is all about self determination then saying so shouldn't matter but it seems, for the majority of the electorate, national identity has less to do with it than whether or not people will see them self as being a few quid better off, which is a bit sad really.

 mav 25 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

No. But then, I'm not arguing for independence
 RomTheBear 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> Yes, as I've been saying, there is no proposal from the yes campaign at the moment.

> Really? Without a lender of last resort?

I am not sure I see your point. If they go for their currency surely they would have their own central bank ? Worst case scenario for Scotland would be to have no central bank and continue using the pound as a fully treadeable currency for a few years before adopting the euro or creating their own currency and own central bank, but on the long term, I don't see why they woudln't be able to create their own currency/ central bank or get the euro (Once again, exactly like Ireland did).
 mav 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:
> (In reply to 999thAndy)
>
BOS is the classic example which is run as an arm of Lloyds now. It was a good bank until the Halifax got hold of it.

You could flip that round. Halifax was a good building society until it bought BoS. I'd argue they were both ok until Andy Hornby came along. Just as RBS was solvent when Fred was appointed CEO.
In reply to Tyler:

Ireland's success in attracting new businesses might have been helped by the no Corp Tax for 3 years for new businesses. This was scrapped about 3 years ago.
 RomTheBear 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Tyler:

> Successful yes but you seem to have forgotten about the whole economic crisis thing which hit Ireland a whole lot harder than most countries. They had an EU bailout, not something available to an independent Scotland without being a member of the Eurozone.

> .....in 2005, since when GDP has shrunk and unemployment has rocketed.

> ......which was to lower their corporation tax to 12% I've (honestly) no idea what the Yes campaign are proposing here but is it some thing similar? It made sense for the Irish to do this, which was a less developed economy, to attract foreign investment I'm not sure it would be a good idea for a thriving economy which already has a fair share of industry (and significant corporation tax take) I'm not sure it would play well with any Eurozone application either.

> In that case you don't want a currency union with UK anyway. On the one hand you are correct and it shouldn't matter, Scotland probably won't have any more nasty shocks in the short term so should be ok using any currency, the problem is this will affect their ability to lend (again, I've no idea, do the Yes team plan to run a defecit?) and it seems would prevent them joining the Euro.

> The other issue is that instead of saying things might be tricky for a while AS has been a bit disingenuous in saying that everything will be rosy from the off whereas this will not be the case. If this is all about self determination then saying so shouldn't matter but it seems, for the majority of the electorate, national identity has less to do with it than whether or not people will see them self as being a few quid better off, which is a bit sad really.

I can't agree more with all of what you've said, especially the last bit.
 Andy Hardy 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

I'll concede the point of detail - I'm sure they are still doing a roaring trade in Scotland, but if Scotland becomes independent they'll be paying taxes to the hmrc not holyrood.

> The biggest issue here is the continual flow south of HQs that has been happening for decades. BOS is the classic example which is run as an arm of Lloyds now. It was a good bank until the Halifax got hold of it.

^This^ just reads like the water muddying avoidance-o-matic has been put into overdrive.
 Cuthbert 25 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

Which is the exact same as right now. I am just clarifying if they have "left". They haven't but the Daily Mail says they have so it must be true.
 Tyler 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> The biggest issue here is the continual flow south of HQs that has been happening for decades. BOS is the classic example which is run as an arm of Lloyds now. It was a good bank until the Halifax got hold of it.

What will an independent Scotland do to arrest this or do you see it as inevitable?
 Tyler 25 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> I can't agree more with all of what you've said, especially the last bit.

Are you new around here? What the hell kind of argument is that? You could at least have gone ad hominem or pointed out some spelling mistakes. Jeeze, young people today
 Andy Hardy 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Which is the exact same as right now. [...]

But isn't the same as it would've been had they remained registered in Scotland.
Jim C 25 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:
> (In reply to 999thAndy)
>
> [...]
>
> I do think it's a big mistake from Salmond and co to not emphasise more the other currency options.


SNP will not admit they have a plan B , as the opposition will concentrate on that. (but we all know they do)

Same as the No camp , NO, NO , NO they say to currency Union, but when one of the 3 parties finds themselves in that position they will have to weigh it up carefully, as they may be cutting off the UK's face just to spite Scotland, and for what, a political promise, which is worth nothing.

If I had ANY respect for any politicial party or politicians word , I would say No meant no, but I don't and so it won't.


 RomTheBear 25 Feb 2014

Between Salmond pretending that everyhting is going to be all rosy and without any challenges and the No campaign's project fear trying to make us believe that Scotland will be total chaos on its own, these two campaigns are so full of shite that when I listen the NO campaign I want to vote YES, and when I listen to the YES campaign I want to vote NO.
Post edited at 12:36
 graeme jackson 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:
> (In reply to 999thAndy)
>
> On a point of detail, have they left? As far as I understand it they had to be registered somewhere and have chosen England and Wales instead of Scotland.
>

As far as I understand it (and I only work for them), Lloyds banking group have split off the TSB which will be a standalone bank in it's own right and it's THAT new company which will be registered in England. Lloyds remains a registered company in Scotland.

p.s. halifax didn't buy BOS. We 'merged' then let Lloyds buy us a few years later. makes all the difference.
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim C:

> SNP will not admit they have a plan B , as the opposition will concentrate on that. (but we all know they do)

> Same as the No camp , NO, NO , NO they say to currency Union, but when one of the 3 parties finds themselves in that position they will have to weigh it up carefully, as they may be cutting off the UK's face just to spite Scotland, and for what, a political promise, which is worth nothing.

> If I had ANY respect for any politicial party or politicians word , I would say No meant no, but I don't and so it won't.

TBH If any party offered a shared currency I'd not vote for them again. I do not want a foreign country having a say like that. Either join the Euro, or keep the pound English. The Euro has dangers but offers huge benefits. Despite what has been made out in the British press its not done that badly and has stayed quite a strong currency.

I think Salmond is an incompetent fool, he scores points with cheap policies like no tuition fees yet isn't funding Universities. He's doing exactly as you say, cutting off his nose to spite his face, under investing in Scotlands future. the man is an egomaniac. He just wants to be the one who takes Scotland independent regardless of the cost to Scotland.

There is absolutely nothing to be gained and everything to be lost from offering to share the currency.
 Cuthbert 25 Feb 2014
In reply to graeme jackson:
Yes that was my understanding too. So they haven't left then. Stand down the Daily Mail army.
Post edited at 13:27
 Sir Chasm 25 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> I am not sure I see your point. If they go for their currency surely they would have their own central bank ? Worst case scenario for Scotland would be to have no central bank and continue using the pound as a fully treadeable currency for a few years before adopting the euro or creating their own currency and own central bank, but on the long term, I don't see why they woudln't be able to create their own currency/ central bank or get the euro (Once again, exactly like Ireland did).

Well, the point is that currently there is no credible proposal from the yes campaign as to what currency would be used post independence. Yes, there are options, I don't see anyone denying that, but what is being proposed?
 Tyler 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> Either join the Euro, or keep the pound English.


To quote you from higher up this thread:.
"You've done that thing where you say 'England' when you mean the UK.. but that's OK"
In reply to Tyler:

Don't how how serious this claim to the throne is but interesting

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/460698/House-of-Stuart-s-Duchess-of-Alba-c...
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Tyler:

the pound is english.. check out who supports it. Its the bank of england.
 Tyler 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:
Of course it is, the GB in GBP stands for English. I doubt anyone would have thought less of you if you'd just said 'Oops, I slipped up' or even just ignored it but instead you went straight for out right denial of the facts. I admire your chutzpah. Have you been advising Alex Salmond?
Post edited at 14:06
 RomTheBear 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> Well, the point is that currently there is no credible proposal from the yes campaign as to what currency would be used post independence. Yes, there are options, I don't see anyone denying that, but what is being proposed?

Well yes I agree that the Yes campaign is not vocal enough about other options but then it would be really sad if people vote for or against independence because of what they hear from the yes and no campaign, as most of it is nonsense.
 Bruce Hooker 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Tyler:

It is called the Bank of England though, isn't it? I don't know why it isn't the Bank of Great Britain or something similar, perhaps someone reading this does?
contrariousjim 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

Oh you really are a prat!
 Bruce Hooker 25 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Well yes I agree that the Yes campaign is not vocal enough about other options

It is not "not vocal enough" it says clearly that there is no plan B, that the common currency deal is a sure thing - listen to Ms Sturgeon's little tantrum on the telly the other day, must be on utube by now.
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

I thought the pro-independents didn't reduce their arguments to childish insults f*ckwit
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Tyler:

No, if the welsh went independent the pound stays with England.

The same with Northern Ireland. It is used and the whole of the UK have a say as it stands, but it's English. You can quibble over semantics.

 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Tyler:
I don't think I did slip up. I have done earlier, but we are bluffing if we don't think the pound is English. If you don't think it is anyone who is against Scotland sharing it is a hypocrit.

I'm against it because I believe it's the English and if countries want to leave the union they leave the pound.
Post edited at 14:56
 Andy Hardy 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Bruce Hooker:

Because it was lending to the English government before the act of union
http://www.economicshelp.org/blog/626/economics/who-owns-the-bank-of-englan...

So it's name is a quirk of history, and it's owned by the UK government
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

So if we all went independent who would have the pound.. the English.

I'm sure when they joined the Scottish pound was worth far less.
contrariousjim 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> I thought the pro-independents didn't reduce their arguments to childish insults f*ckwit

If you wish to conflate nominal labels with the substantial underlying reality e.g. the BoE, you are insulting yourself openly!
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

Yes its a nominal label.. that's why you lot are not all panicking about which currency to use...



 Sir Chasm 25 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear: Paul Krugman's thoughts on iScotland using the pound without CU (if you can get past the title) http://mobile.nytimes.com/blogs/krugman/2014/02/24/scots-wha-hae/?module=Bl...
contrariousjim 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> Yes its a nominal label.. that's why you lot are not all panicking about which currency to use...

What all this "you lot"? Are you a wannabe nationalist.. .. certainly sound more so than any proindy peeps! The trouble with all your absolutist black and white stuff is you make your view far less tenable.
 Cuthbert 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> No, if the welsh went independent the pound stays with England.

> The same with Northern Ireland. It is used and the whole of the UK have a say as it stands, but it's English. You can quibble over semantics.

I think you are starting to reveal quite a large gap in your understanding of both the independence debate and UK overall.

Either way, you can watch a debate on TV about it tonight: http://news.stv.tv/politics/263966-scotland-tonight-nicola-sturgeon-and-joh...
 wynaptomos 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

This is precisely the kind of arrogant and colonialist nonsense that drives divisions in the UK in the first place.
 Bruce Hooker 25 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

Thanks, reading the link it's quite amusing to read:

"The Bank of England was set up by, ironically, a Scotsman – William Paterson. It was initially a private bank in 1694 acting as lender to the Government."

There must be a moral to draw from that
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

wow... angry man.

You lot are the SNP and the pro independence..

Dont be so pathetic..

 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to wynaptomos:

> This is precisely the kind of arrogant and colonialist nonsense that drives divisions in the UK in the first place.

Ok so more abuse but no actual response.. Salmondesque through and through.

Argue all you want. The sterling was english currency that got taken out the rest of the UK as we joined together. Argue all you want against it but if the UK breaks up it goes back with England.. you can rant, rave, insult.. or just accept I'm right.. as Osborne was.
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

Why Soar? If so why are we having this debate? How come the rUK could refuse Scotlands wish to share the currency?

And if Wales went and they wanted to share?

And if NI?

It would stay with the rUK as it broke up further and further until it returned to solely english currency..
contrariousjim 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> wow... angry man.

Not at all.. ..but highly amused by your antics!
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

It is black and white. The currency stance is very clear. You should have welcomed it, that was the only way to have true independence..

Its like taking a stick off a kid, there are 100 of sticks but they want that one.. you only want it so bad because you got told no.. 4 years ago the euro was your preferred option...

Not all things are, but with the currency it is. You can say its not english all you want but if the UK broke up only the english would get the pound. We all know that.
 neilh 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

I have come up with a plan B for the currency -- Bitcoins--it could lower transaction costs, easy alignment, no central banks involved etc etc.
 wynaptomos 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> Ok so more abuse but no actual response.. Salmondesque through and through.

> Argue all you want. The sterling was english currency that got taken out the rest of the UK as we joined together. Argue all you want against it but if the UK breaks up it goes back with England.. you can rant, rave, insult.. or just accept I'm right.. as Osborne was.

For the record, I've never argued for currency union - I would prefer Scotland to go for the Euro. However, as seems likely now they will have to wait quite some time for that, I can see some merit in a currency union but I don't see that the Scots have any righ to demand it.
By the same token, should England suddenly decide that the UK no longer serves their needs and go their own way they would also have no right to unilaterally decide on the fate of the pound as it is not theirs.
 Cuthbert 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:
> Ok so more abuse but no actual response.. Salmondesque through and through.

> Argue all you want. The sterling was english currency that got taken out the rest of the UK as we joined together. Argue all you want against it but if the UK breaks up it goes back with England.. you can rant, rave, insult.. or just accept I'm right.. as Osborne was.

There are multiple points where you are missing the target here. It might have been an English currency but it became a British one and Scotland can use it if it wants. It's the issue of monetary union that the rUK can refuse to play ball on. Not which currency Scotland uses.

You are 100% wrong.
Post edited at 18:31
 Bruce Hooker 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:
> It's the issue of monetary union that the rUK can refuse to play ball on. Not which currency Scotland uses.

You're two days behind the debate, no one denies that. The discussion has moved on to the inconveniences of Scotland using a currency it had no control over. Also the difficulty this could pose for entering the EU and the Euro zone.
Post edited at 19:06
KevinD 25 Feb 2014
In reply to wynaptomos:

> For the record, I've never argued for currency union - I would prefer Scotland to go for the Euro.

They cant, not without a central bank.
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to wynaptomos:

I'd agree on the last one, morally, they probably could if it was voted for.

I only see dangers with a currency union. More so because I've seen how Salmond has trashed Universities.. he takes no casualties making his points, the man is egomaniac.

Alba, say all you want.. but what I think is what cameron et al think.. so you can bleat on but you aren't getting any union and have no right to it.
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

I never said Scots couldnt use the pound, nor did Osborne despite how the SNP are playing it. You've just got no say in its management.

You've just admitted I'm right and then added I'm 100% wrong..
 Cuthbert 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

No, I haven't "admitted" that. You sound like a wee boy in school.
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

Brilliant!

Keep these coming.. childish insults because you've lost your argument..

You can say you've not all you want but you will have no say because you got our pound when you joined the union.. it was a key factor why you joined.. you leave.. you leave our pound alone.

Its very simple.

Now try to construct an argument or just call me a bully like your hero..
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

Answer the question I asked.. if we separate who gets the pound to manage?

So if W, NI, S and E all go there separate ways.. who takes control?

England.. england brought it in.. england takes it out. I chose my word carefully and I was right. Its the english pound currently the currency in the UK.. you can go down the semantics path all you want, you can get angry.. but the simple fact is the pound remains under englands management if the UK breaks up.
 Cuthbert 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

You have really lost it. Calling people f*ckwits and then getting all wet eyed when someone calls you a school boy.

I am not wining or losing anything. I am merely wasting sometime on the internet and it is fairly tiresome. Most of the effort is being expended on people who have a vote.

I hope you have a good night winning arguments and feeling all tough.
contrariousjim 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> It is black and white. The currency stance is very clear. You should have welcomed it, that was the only way to have true independence..

"True independence"? What's that? Absolute sovereignty. No such thing. Only degrees of freedom. *My independence* involves a sterling zone committed to by Scotland for the long haul (which transcends most of Macpherson's objections) and puts the ball back in Ozzy's court, and in so doing accepts the reality of a relative loss of freedom such a currency union involves.

> Its like taking a stick off a kid, there are 100 of sticks but they want that one.. you only want it so bad because you got told no.. 4 years ago the euro was your preferred option...

4yrs ago, I thought Germany believed in Europe. Now I know it believed only in what it cold get out of Europe.

> Not all things are, but with the currency it is. You can say its not english all you want but if the UK broke up only the english would get the pound. We all know that.

You think that.
 MG 25 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> "True independence"? What's that? Absolute sovereignty. No such thing. Only degrees of freedom. *My independence* involves a sterling zone committed to by Scotland for the long haul (which transcends most of Macpherson's objections) and puts the ball back in Ozzy's court, and in so doing accepts the reality of a relative loss of freedom such a currency union involves.


Well that's not on offer.

> 4yrs ago, I thought Germany believed in Europe. Now I know it believed only in what it cold get out of Europe.

Touchingly naive

contrariousjim 25 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

> Well that's not on offer.

Of course not, but then this isn't about "offers". Is it a possibility at the end of the day.. ..yes it is, and not a bit less after Osborne's recent intervention.

> Touchingly naive

Maybe.. ..but if Germany doesn't believe in Europe the institution is fecked from the outset and nobody should touch it with a bargepole!
 dek 25 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

> Well that's not on offer.

> Touchingly naive

Gaelic telly prog Eorpa, was a bit if an eye opener about Germany. One in six people are classed as being in poverty.
 MG 25 Feb 2014
In reply to dek:

What's the figure in the UK?
Removed User 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Papillon:

> Which part of the currency union issue do you not understand?

> The Eurozone has demonstrated that currency union without political union does not work, a useful lesson to the rest of the world... if indeed it were needed. The Eurozone country governments have got the difficult task of selling political union to their population to save the Euro. Meanwhile Scottish nationalist want to end political union but enter a currency union with the rUK.... wtf!?!

> It's like a person in a marriage leaving but expecting to keep the current account and the other person to underwrite their new mortgage...... you think they'd be embarrassed to ask but no.... they start screaming bully when the other gives the only sensible response.

You know that's exactly how I see it. The problem Alex has got is that he's a populist. The only policy he'll follow is one that he thinks will appeal to the most voters. He realises that after the Euro crisis no one wants to join the Euro (although if Scotland did vote for independence it may well be a condition) but most believe that joning the EU would be the safe thing to do.

So, what to do? Tell everybody that an independent Scotland would have no problem getting back into the EU and keep doing it, even when every Eurocrat that gets asked about says exactly the opposite, and tell the UK Government that Scotland is going to have a currency Union with the country they just left and throw a fit when they eventually turn round and say no after months of saying "probably no".

Desperate times call for desperate measures.
 dek 25 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

They didn't quote one! But it must be worse than Europe's economic powerhouse I'd have thought? Mibbe Donald knows?
In reply to dek:

An interesting dynamic in the eur ozone is the youth unemployment and emigration from the poorer countries like Portugal and Spain. It is at extremely high levels and is causing a demographic problem for the ageing populations.

This is something that should be considered in an independent Scotland. Obviously there is nothing stopping the youth leaving right now, but should the eldorado not materialise and things get tough, it could become a problem. Not trying to spread fear, just saying there is precedent already in eur ozone.
 Dr.S at work 25 Feb 2014
In reply to dek:

> They didn't quote one! But it must be worse than Europe's economic powerhouse I'd have thought? Mibbe Donald knows?

very similar in fact:
http://www.inequalitywatch.eu/spip.php?article99
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

Haha.. good response.. what did he call me.. then you get all touchy.. man up Alba.

Come on, come up with an argument. The 'you are wrong but I'm not going to say why' response then childish insults is idiotic.

He insulted me and insulted him back.. that was all. I did highlight why I thought, and am, right..

If I'm not why are there so many articles/threads on the currency union?

Good nigh fella..
 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to dek:

> Gaelic telly prog Eorpa, was a bit if an eye opener about Germany. One in six people are classed as being in poverty.

Isnt it 1 in 10 in Norway at the moment?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-22887005

This says its 1 in 6 in the UK kids..

But I don't think the eurozone was as badly hit as has been made out. Some areas have been.

But it did bail out countries when they needed it. It did secure banks future.

In reply to IainRUK:

> Isnt it 1 in 10 in Norway at the moment?

The thing is official definitions of poverty like 'below 60% of median income' tell you more about the shape of the bell curve in different countries than how much money people actually have. If everyone was starving under that definition nobody would be in poverty. Conversely someone making £50K but living in Monte Carlo might be in poverty.
In reply to IainRUK:

> Not all things are, but with the currency it is. You can say its not english all you want but if the UK broke up only the english would get the pound. We all know that.

When the UK broke with Ireland the Irish initially kept the pound to avoid disruption, then some time later switched to an Irish pound pegged to Sterling and eventually joined the Euro. Why immediately rule out the solution adopted in the only historical precedent for a part of the UK breaking away when it actually worked quite well?

Interestingly, Ireland also kept the monarchy on Independence but got rid of it later.

 Banned User 77 25 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

When did I rule it out? I meant get the pound as in managing it, being able to make policy decisions.

I said thats what I think will happen.

I think the EU wants an independent Scotland in the Eurozone.

But what I'm saying is we'd never allow any sterling zone, well not for many years. If after 5-10 years Scotlands economy was strong, especially stronger than the UK then talk.

But I cant see that happening.. unless you sort the currency issue the banks will head south, not all, not all at once... but you'll lose a chunk of your finance sector. And Oil is declining.

So 2 of the major sectors won't be quite so positive in 10 years if independence happens.
 rogerwebb 25 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:

I think the difficulty for a currency union would be selling it to rUK voters.

The proposition would be;

Scotland has left the UK. It has done so in the belief that it will be richer as it will have most of the North Sea oil. This means that you will be poorer.

As a country with a high proportion of its economy based around oil production its economy is likely to be more volatile than rUK's. Its economy is also one tenth the size of rUK.

Scotland wishes to enter into a currency union with rUK. This means that you will have to surrender some sovereignty to Scotland which will have some control over your economic policy.

If Scotland suffers an economic crisis, you, the rUK taxpayer will be obliged to shore up its economy. It is true that Scotland will also be obliged to give assistance to you, but as its economy is a tenth the size this may not be effective.

It is true that rUk businesses may have to pay more to export to Scotland but Scotland is not your major export market and you successfully export far more to the EU and USA without such a union.

There has been well publicised advice from the UK treasury that such a union is not in your best interests.

A currency union may not be a vote winner south of the border.



 dek 25 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:

Are you watching the Sturgeon v Lamont 'debate' on STV just now? Ffs, I've got a headache listening to those two squabbling fishwives!
 Cuthbert 25 Feb 2014
In reply to dek:

Me too! The worst of the series by far. Good points on both sides but lost in the stramash.
Jim C 25 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:
> When did I rule it out? I meant get the pound as in managing it, being able to make policy decisions.
> But what I'm saying is we'd never allow any sterling zone,
> But I cant see that happening.. unless you sort the currency issue the banks will head south, not all, not all at once... but you'll lose a chunk of your finance sector. And Oil

Just watching Newsnight,, and one political pundit talked exactly the same assurances about party positions on future political coalitions , as the do on their positions on currency issues.

She says that, of course, they all say no to a coalition with other parties, BUT, when the reality of the political situation comes around, of course party( and self) interest will change the position .

On Northern Ireland, just after that piece, politicians said one thing in public at the time( when the agreement was signed,) but as we now know , they were at the time, sending out letters to 'on the run' IRA bombers, saying they will never be prosecuted.
The minister said that politicians HAVE to do these things, that is politics.
( people understand that , he says, no matter what they are saying in public)

If they can do that, they can easily go back on a no to currency union, or no coalition or whatever.

You are being taken in.
If you are against CU to your core, and to you , no means no, and
I do believe that if you had a choice, you would stick to your word,but don't transfer that onto what politicians will do.

We are dealing with career politicians here, I judge them, and what they say in public, accordingly.

You , on the other hand, seem believe what they say on this issue to be true, and their word is their bond.
I wonder if you believe that for everything they say on other issues?
Post edited at 23:34
 rogerwebb 25 Feb 2014
In reply to dek:

yep, I was hoping for something more.......
 dek 25 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:

> yep, I was hoping for something more.......

Me too.......,,the champions league!
 Sir Chasm 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim C: If it had only been one party ruling out cu I might agree. But as everyone who could conceivably agree to cu has said no, and as the polls indicate the rUK voters don't want cu, I think it's about time we had plan C.

Jim C 25 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> If it had only been one party ruling out cu I might agree. But as everyone who could conceivably agree to cu has said no, and as the polls indicate the rUK voters don't want cu, I think it's about time we had plan C.

What you have is a bunch of politicians banding together on a single issue just now, because just now it suits them all.

In reality only one party will be in power, and they alone will make the decision.
I can even envisage that when in opposition, the others will do a about turn , and put pressure on the then government, to change their policy, if by then there is a political reason to do so.

We need to be there to find out. It is doubtful we will ever be there ( if their strategy works)
 Andy Hardy 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim C:

But in what way, shape or form is CU of benefit to rUK? For a deal to be struck, both sides must gain. So what's in it for rUK? This is the same question I put on other threads and the response from the YES campaign was silence.
contrariousjim 26 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

> But in what way, shape or form is CU of benefit to rUK?

Part of the asset base that underlies sterling. UK's trade deficit and the fact that a big proportion of UK exports is oil - rUK's trade deficit and BoP deficit, would be far worse.
 rogerwebb 26 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> rUK's trade deficit and BoP deficit, would be far worse.

By how much?
 Sir Chasm 26 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb: Well, according to the BBC, oil generates about £7 billion in export earnings. So for rUK it would be about one tenth of that.
It's still farcical that people are pretending that cu is the plan, neither labour nor the tories will be able to go into the election next May saying "no to cu" and change their mind a few months later because they'd "forgotten about the oil". Let's have plan c from the yes campaign.

 rogerwebb 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

any idea of what proportion of UK, rUK and Scotland's economy is due to oil and gas?
 Andy Hardy 26 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

UK GDP in 2012 £1,412,664,000,000 (from http://www.measuringworth.com/datasets/ukgdp/result.php )

Struggling to find a breakdown of oil as a fraction of that, mainly because it's lumped in with either 'production' or 'chemicals' I did find that 'Refined Petroleum Products' accounts for 8% of GDP but we have lost refining capacity since then. The bbc gives an oil revenue of £27,000,000,000 for 2012 (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-24866266 ) but I'm guessing that is tax revenue as it seems a bit small.

In a nutshell oil and gas probably contributes 10% of the UK's GDP so yes it's important, but it's not important enough to convince me it's worth entering a currency union for.
 Sir Chasm 26 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:

> any idea of what proportion of UK, rUK and Scotland's economy is due to oil and gas?

You can get some figures from the report in herehttp://www.woodreview.co.uk
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> Paul Krugman's thoughts on iScotland using the pound without CU (if you can get past the title) http://mobile.nytimes.com/blogs/krugman/2014/02/24/scots-wha-hae/?module=Bl...

I agree with that but I can't imagine that such a situation would last for more than a few years though.
 wercat 26 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

Share the pound Share the UK Oil resources, simple.

Having worked and contributed to the UK economy in the oil industry years ago I take a dim view about it being taken off by part of the UK who feel it is all theirs
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to dissonance:

> They cant, not without a central bank.

Not sure why creating a central Scottish bank would be problem though.
 Tyler 26 Feb 2014
In reply to wercat:

We're you not paid for it at the time?

 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to tom_in_edinburgh:
> When the UK broke with Ireland the Irish initially kept the pound to avoid disruption, then some time later switched to an Irish pound pegged to Sterling and eventually joined the Euro. Why immediately rule out the solution adopted in the only historical precedent for a part of the UK breaking away when it actually worked quite well?

> Interestingly, Ireland also kept the monarchy on Independence but got rid of it later.


Yes I agree with you we have an historical example of a secession from the UK and somehow it is completely ignored. Instead all you have from both campaigns is scaremongering and false assumptions.


The NO campaign should really stop telling us how miserable Scotland would be on its own, when there is plenty of hitorical example of successful countries with similar economies and similar population. They should try to focus on telling us why they think the future can be bright in the UK as well instead.
Post edited at 09:24
KevinD 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:
> (In reply to rogerwebb) Well, according to the BBC, oil generates about £7 billion in export earnings. So for rUK it would be about one tenth of that.

Plus Scotland, on current figures, will have a trade deficit with the UK.

 MG 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

Was it a currency union with Ireland (i.e. was the UK guarantor of Irish debt) or just one currency?
KevinD 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Not sure why creating a central Scottish bank would be problem though.

Well thats the question for Salmond and co. Its their plan which currently excludes it.
 neilh 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

If I am correct Sir Ian Wood on Radio 4 yesterday said that North Sea oil would be about 10% of Scottish economy and declining.He also said that setting up a sovereign wealth fund now was 20 years too late.
 rogerwebb 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

There was no currency union between Ireland and the UK.
 rogerwebb 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

thanks
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

> Was it a currency union with Ireland (i.e. was the UK guarantor of Irish debt) or just one currency?

They first kept using the pound just for a little while, then created their own Irish pound with their own central bank, therefore having their own lender of last resort, however they tied the currency to a 1:1 ratio with the pound Stirling for quite a long time. Then they joined the European Exchange Rate Mechanism in 1979 and finally untied their currency from the GBP. Of course years later they adopted the Euros.

So basically they had a very long transition but they had their own central bank.

I can easily imagine a similar scenario happening for Scotland, with a newly Scottish central bank created, and the Scottish pounds being tied to the GBP for a couple of years before the Scottish central bank decides to set its own interest rates. Or switch to euros.
 rogerwebb 26 Feb 2014
In reply to neilh:

> If I am correct Sir Ian Wood on Radio 4 yesterday said that North Sea oil would be about 10% of Scottish economy and declining.He also said that setting up a sovereign wealth fund now was 20 years too late.

If that proportion is correct then that makes it about 1% of the UK economy, that seems lower than I would have thought.

 MG 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

Thanks. Some more detail here, which is quite interesting, not plain sailing by any means.

http://www.economist.com/blogs/blighty/2014/02/economics-scottish-independe...
contrariousjim 26 Feb 2014
In reply to wercat:

I agree. Likewise Sterling!
 rogerwebb 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

>

> I can easily imagine a similar scenario happening for Scotland, with a newly Scottish central bank created, and the Scottish pounds being tied to the GBP for a couple of years before the Scottish central bank decides to set its own interest rates. Or switch to euros.


seems more likely than a currency union
 jonnie3430 26 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:

> seems more likely than a currency union

It's not hard to see that this is sensible but interesting that the SNP haven't adopted it as a plan.
 Andy Hardy 26 Feb 2014
In reply to wercat:

> Share the pound Share the UK Oil resources, simple.


But the oil is only worth 10% of UK GDP (definite gain), whereas Scottish banks are worth 120% of Scottish GDP (possible loss)

It depends on your appetite for risk, but I'd pass on that.
 neilh 26 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:
Considering he was a prof at Aberdeen his numbers are probabably right.Yes it would make about 1% of UK economy in the round.I often wonder if we overrate the importance of oil."black gold" has an allure in people thinking of riches beyond their dreams, maybe that is not the casein the UK.
 neilh 26 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

10% of Scottish GDP for North Sea Oil.Not 10% of UK GDP.
 rogerwebb 26 Feb 2014
In reply to neilh:

yes, makes you think.
 Andy Hardy 26 Feb 2014
In reply to neilh:

So the BBC's figures for revenue of £27 Billion out of £1.4 Trillion (~1.9%) was not wildly inaccurate? I thought it must be an order of magnitude error.
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:

> seems more likely than a currency union

Yes don't know why Salmond and Sturgeon don't put this forward as a plan B. Not sure what their strategy is.
In reply to RomTheBear:

Yes don't know why Salmond and Sturgeon don't put this forward as a plan B. They are not sure what their strategy is.

Fixed
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

> Thanks. Some more detail here, which is quite interesting, not plain sailing by any means.


I don't think anybody expects plain sailing appart from Mr Salmond The truth is that independence is a long term choice which will for sure cause some short term uncertainty.
That said the two campaigns should focus on the long term benefits of staying in the uk or breaking up with it. Unfortunately it seems that people are more concerned with what is going to happen next year than what is going to happen to their kids when they grow up which is a bit sad.
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:

so lame
 neilh 26 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

It is interesting when you look at the hard numbers.
 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

> But in what way, shape or form is CU of benefit to rUK? For a deal to be struck, both sides must gain. So what's in it for rUK? This is the same question I put on other threads and the response from the YES campaign was silence.

Exactly, I only see small gains (trade) with huge losses the risk..

Jim C: fair enough, maybe I am. I cant remember 3 political parties making such a stance before and so little argument against it. Even the Scotnats have just said 'it should happen, the UK will benefit'.. but no explanation why and how.

We just have to wait and see. I've yet to see any constructive argument on why we should have a currency union. And TBH as I have said, I don't understand why you want to. The rUK would dominate it.. so if you are against the union I cant see how you are for a currency union..

Its like wanting the best of both worlds, but in reality the rUK will set your monetary policies. So very little changes. I don't think anything much will change anyway. Positive people will find it OK.. negative won't. I've lived in numerous countries and my quality of life is always the same, pretty good, but I'm a positive person and as long as I can eat, drink and go for runs I'm a happy bunny..

Despite the different governments in all those countries my life stays similar. I've mates in Norway and they say the same. I think more negative people always think the grass is greener.

I know the rUK should care about Scotlands economy, a prosperous neighbor is a good thing, but it will always look after its own interests first.
 graeme jackson 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:
> (In reply to RomTheBear)
>
> Yes don't know why Salmond and Sturgeon don't put this forward as a plan B. They haven't got a f*cking clue what their strategy is.
>
Fixed that for you.

Watching last night's debate I really wanted someone to punch NS. When is she going to accept that a 'NO' from everyone that has any say in the matter means 'NO'.

 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to graeme jackson:
> Fixed that for you.

> Watching last night's debate I really wanted someone to punch NS. When is she going to accept that a 'NO' from everyone that has any say in the matter means 'NO'.

The weird thing is that there is actually not much support in the voters for a currency union, most independence supporter would much prefer having the euro or own currency. Maybe they are trying to get all the undecided voter who may be a bit scared to make the jump by promising them that nothing is going to change. As far as I can tell this strategy is going to be a big fail as it makes the yes campaign look stubborn and autistic.
Post edited at 10:34
In reply to RomTheBear: "so lame"

My fix or the leaders of the SNP? Come on, you have to laugh, or you would be crying your eyes out

In reply to RomTheBear:

From what I can see, most independence supporters just want independence regardless.Euro/pound/currency union makes no difference. Just independence at any cost.

I would be interested to know how many "Yes" voters have decided "no" since AS has been found wanting on the currency issue. I suspect very few judging by the posters on here and elsewhere. This is just an observation and could be wildly inaccurate
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:

> From what I can see, most independence supporters just want independence regardless.Euro/pound/currency union makes no difference. Just independence at any cost.

Well yes after all it's all about self determination not currency.

> I would be interested to know how many "Yes" voters have decided "no" since AS has been found wanting on the currency issue. I suspect very few judging by the posters on here and elsewhere. This is just an observation and could be wildly inaccurate

None, independence support has been mostly up.
In reply to RomTheBear:

I think you're right, which puts AS in a privaleged position of being able to say/promise whatever he wants and just play populist as it seems a lot of the electorate are not thinking consequences beyond the desired break up.

This puts the BT campaign in a quandry , because they come up with (what they think) are valid reasons to consider staying in the union, and call Salmonds bluff, yet he can come up with an irrational response and support apparently goes up. How do you fight that? lol

I think they are assuming that support will weaken as people digest the implications. Only time will tell I guess
 PeterM 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Well yes after all it's all about self determination not currency.

and obviously living in la la land. Self-determination - a meaningless phrase if ever there was one. I hate to break it to you but there are real practicalities to living in this new utopia that need to be addressed..and we're still waiting on that info

> None, independence support has been mostly up.

Not so sure about that with the number of businesses and business leaders talking about heading south and withholding investment until the currency/financial issues are resolved...

A yes vote is a vote of colossal ignorance...as I'm sure I've said before I wouldn't buy a car with this little information...and a slimy salesman telling me it'll be ok and everything will be fine once I've bought it is just asking for trouble.
 Bruce Hooker 26 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

> and the response from the YES campaign was silence.

That is often the case.
KevinD 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Well yes after all it's all about self determination not currency.

Apart from currency is part of self determination.
 Bruce Hooker 26 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> Its like wanting the best of both worlds, but in reality the rUK will set your monetary policies.

It would enable the government of an independent Scotland to lay all the blame for economic problems on "Westminster" as some do now though, wouldn't it? That in itself is a good reason for refusing it, more Nationalist weeping about "it's all Westminster's fault" would be more than the average person could stand Donald would never stop!
 Cuthbert 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:

The interesting thing is, rightly or wrong, according to the stuff I have read people are placing much more importance on on social policy over membership of the EU and currency.
 Cuthbert 26 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:

Self determination meaningless? You are on a different planet then.

Which "business leaders" have said they are heading south? I don't mean your interpretation of their comments, I mean which ones have clearly said this?

In reply to Saor Alba:

Yes, it will be membership of EU and or currency choice that will have an effect on social policy. So wrong way round IMO
 Cuthbert 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:
Yes but I think most people recognise it wont be the economic collapse that many on here predict. Most people are confident that things can and will be sorted out but the questions are being used as sticks.

It may cost more for some that may be a huge issue. Personally paying a bit more tax I am happy with.
Post edited at 12:13
 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Self determination meaningless? You are on a different planet then.

> Which "business leaders" have said they are heading south? I don't mean your interpretation of their comments, I mean which ones have clearly said this?


I dont think any would.. it would be suicide right now. As it stands it looks like a victory for Better together, a close one, but I do think if it stays close and gets nearer the time businesses will inform their employers of the realities if they feel its needed.

If any said, 'Look if you go independent we leave'.. they will lose customers if it does stay in the union.

That doesnt mean they support it though.
 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> The weird thing is that there is actually not much support in the voters for a currency union, most independence supporter would much prefer having the euro or own currency.

Any evidence to back that up? I thought most would prefer to keep the pound, for trade as much as anything, then the euro for the same reason. I think your own new currency would be a problem for such a small country trade and tourism wise.. it does add up.

Living on the continent where I went on the weekends the euro was a factor in deciding.. I left with loads of swiss francs, Danish Krone and Polish zloty (sp).. on my last free weekend I opted to go and spend 150 euros in central germany rather than poland as I was fed up of all the lose change and notes of different currencies.
 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Yes but I think most people recognise it wont be the economic collapse that many on here predict. Most people are confident that things can and will be sorted out but the questions are being used as sticks.

> It may cost more for some that may be a huge issue. Personally paying a bit more tax I am happy with.

How is it a stick.. flick that chip off and think sensibly. Its just been a firm no to CU.

And I was quite clear I think little will change, some will lose, some will gain but for 90% life will rumble on, you'll just pay higher taxes for a few years to build the necessary infrastructure.
Jim C 26 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:
> (In reply to Jim C)
>
> But in what way, shape or form is CU of benefit to rUK? For a deal to be struck, both sides must gain. So what's in it for rUK? This is the same question I put on other threads and the response from the YES campaign was silence.

To prevent a loss apparently, of million/billions on transaction costs, (I'm sure someone already answered that one. )

Other things that the parties say will never happen, is Coalitions, even though we have one, They are still ruling them out running up to an election.

I am quite confident in saying that no one can believe anything any politicial says and many on here agree with that. But then strangely somehow believe them when they say there will be no CU !!

There is no logic to believing any political promise, and even less in being selective in saying , oh but they really mean it on CU, but we all know a Coalition, having been ruled out, might still be possible.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/conservative/10659321/David-Camero...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/labour/10661691/No-Labour-coalitio...

and the Libdems say
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/nick-clegg-scorns-david-camerons-31832...



 Cuthbert 26 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

No but it does mean that business leaders, whoever they are, have not said they will head south. Just to clear that up.

Michelle Mone said she would lreave if AS become FM. She didn't leave.
 Cuthbert 26 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

Can you refrain from your continual insults please about people having a chip on their shoulder? It is simply a different view which clearly you have a lot of difficulty with.
 rogerwebb 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> people recognise it wont be the economic collapse that many on here predict. Most people are confident that things can and will be sorted out

Quite right

>but the questions are being used as sticks.

No, they are questions that people would like answers to where possible

> Personally paying a bit more tax I am happy with.

Yes, assuming it is spent wisely (big assumption) and if anyone from the UK government should read this (unlikely) for many the same applies in the event of a No.

In reply to Jim C:

> To prevent a loss apparently, of million/billions on transaction costs,

Which would only exist if iScotland adopted a new currency eg Euro. If they continued to use the £ without a CU then there would be no transaction charges.
 rogerwebb 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim C:

>
> strangely somehow believe them when they say there will be no CU !!


How would you sell a CU to voters south of the border?
 PeterM 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Self determination meaningless? You are on a different planet then.

I beg to differ. We are not in some oppressive dictatorship with no say we have free votes. The phrase, with respect to scottish nationalism has been trivialised and made meaningless.

> Which "business leaders" have said they are heading south? I don't mean your interpretation of their comments, I mean which ones have clearly said this?

http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/scottish-independence-poll-bulk-ftse100-chiefs-opp...

http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/461184/Now-Standard-Life-prepares-to-leave...

http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-2564323/Lloyds-offshoot-...
 jonnie3430 26 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> I dont think any would.. it would be suicide right now. As it stands it looks like a victory for Better together, a close one, but I do think if it stays close and gets nearer the time businesses will inform their employers of the realities if they feel its needed.

If it is a no vote, there won't be parties across Scotland. If it is a yes vote the country would be drunk for a week. What does that say about it?

loopyone 26 Feb 2014
In reply to alastairmac:

I say give Scotland their independance, withdraw all central government support and services immediately and then we can have a good old laugh at the normal Scots in the street bitching about the cost of living and the level of tax going through the roof for them.
 Sir Chasm 26 Feb 2014
In reply to tatty112:

> I say give Scotland their independance, withdraw all central government support and services immediately and then we can have a good old laugh at the normal Scots in the street bitching about the cost of living and the level of tax going through the roof for them.

Aah, that good Christian dictum of love thy neighbour.
 Andy Hardy 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim C:

> To prevent a loss apparently, of million/billions on transaction costs, (I'm sure someone already answered that one. )

Yes, frequently keep using the pound, without CU

[...]

> I am quite confident in saying that no one can believe anything any politicial says and many on here agree with that. But then strangely somehow believe them when they say there will be no CU !!

> There is no logic to believing any political promise, and even less in being selective in saying , oh but they really mean it on CU, but we all know a Coalition, having been ruled out, might still be possible.

[...]

So your premise is, "they've only said they've ruled CU out, but that's just a tactic, they'll come round after a YES vote"? However it's not really a political promise is it? more of am economic one.

Like I asked on this thread and others, what's the upside to CU for rUK? Because without an upside there won't be any motivation to get a deal done.
 Sir Chasm 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim C:

> To prevent a loss apparently, of million/billions on transaction costs, (I'm sure someone already answered that one. )

> Other things that the parties say will never happen, is Coalitions, even though we have one, They are still ruling them out running up to an election.

> I am quite confident in saying that no one can believe anything any politicial says and many on here agree with that. But then strangely somehow believe them when they say there will be no CU !!

> There is no logic to believing any political promise, and even less in being selective in saying , oh but they really mean it on CU, but we all know a Coalition, having been ruled out, might still be possible.

> www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/conservative/10659321/David-Cameron-No-more-coalitions-afte.

/www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/labour/10661691/No-Labour-coalition-with-Lib-Dems-says-unio...

> and the Libdems say


You've found 3 stories of 3 different politicians saying 3 different things. Whereas with cu everyone, apart from Salmond, is saying the same thing. Can you spot the difference.
In reply to rogerwebb:

"Currency Union ? No Thanks" would be a good slogan for BT

...i'll get my coat.....
 lynx3555 26 Feb 2014
In reply to alastairmac:

The UK government up until now has clearly stated that it is not going to ‘pre-negotiate’ the break up of the Union....it doesn't matter what the SNP say. If the SNP release Plan B, then you can be sure that all the Ruk supporters will demand a plan C.
Regardless of what the SNP decide to present, you can be damn sure that it'll be rejected....that is until Scotland becomes independent....
 PeterM 26 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

> Regardless of what the SNP decide to present, you can be damn sure that it'll be rejected...

Good. I never voted for them, never wanted them.

 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> Any evidence to back that up? I thought most would prefer to keep the pound, for trade as much as anything, then the euro for the same reason. I think your own new currency would be a problem for such a small country trade and tourism wise.. it does add up.

Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Iceland, Switzerland... all are successful small countries with their own currencies, so I don't see why it would be a problem for Scotland to have its own. If it is then they can always use Euros. Plenty of options here.
Also in terms of trade there is more trade in volume going on between Scotland and EU than there is between Scotland and rest of the UK, so if trade was really the issue switching to Euro would actually be more beneficial.

> Living on the continent where I went on the weekends the euro was a factor in deciding.. I left with loads of swiss francs, Danish Krone and Polish zloty (sp).. on my last free weekend I opted to go and spend 150 euros in central germany rather than poland as I was fed up of all the lose change and notes of different currencies.

Do you know that they do something called the chip&pin debit card these days ? Really I am not worried about people having to change their currency especially with modern payment methods it doesn't really matter anymore.
 Sir Chasm 26 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

> The UK government up until now has clearly stated that it is not going to ‘pre-negotiate’ the break up of the Union....it doesn't matter what the SNP say. If the SNP release Plan B, then you can be sure that all the Ruk supporters will demand a plan C.

> Regardless of what the SNP decide to present, you can be damn sure that it'll be rejected....that is until Scotland becomes independent....

Don't be so silly, rUK can reject cu (iScotland can't make a foreign country enter a cu), rUK can't reject iScotland using the pound, forming its own currency or, ho ho, joining the euro.
 MG 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

At ~1.5% per transaction?
 jonnie3430 26 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

> Regardless of what the SNP decide to present, you can be damn sure that it'll be rejected....that is until Scotland becomes independent....

But you can still say that Cumbernauld will be the new home of the DVLA, Dumbarton the home of work and pensions, Dunfermaline can be where the SBC (new BBC,) is based, Helensburgh can have the department for energy and climate change to replace Faslane, Irvine can be in charge of the foreign office and international development, MOD based in.... Inverness, as it's further from the border.

They will all need set up, offering something like this means jobs to local areas and more encouragement for independence. I mean the number of government jobs is going to be huge, so ignoring it until you find out the currency, EU membership etc... is fine, but not very helpful. That they haven't done it almost suggests they don't think they'll win.

If we could see something concrete then fine! Asking us to use our imaginations is nonsense as you then get 6 million dreams that clash at every discussion.
 lynx3555 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

I'm not really a betting man but I'd put a large sum on the ruk wanting Scotland to maintain the pound after us nationalists gain independence...but we won't find that out until after the Election....Personally, I'll be happy to please the ruk for a wee while by continuing to use the £, but ultimately I'd rather join the Euro....the ruk will just have to get over the shock.
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to dissonance:

> Apart from currency is part of self determination.

Not at all, self determination is about having a independent state. Then what currency they use will be the choice of that new state, and with the many options out there I'll be damned if an independent Scotland cannot find a viable solution in 5 or 10 years.

Now when are the guys from the better together are going to try to convince us that the long term future for Scotland can be bright as well in the UK instead of repeating that Scotland will be chaos on its own ?
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

> At ~1.5% per transaction?

Get a better deal I got a credit card for spending abroad from Halifax it's got 0% transaction fee worldwide and perfect exchange rate.
 Sir Chasm 26 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

> I'm not really a betting man but I'd put a large sum on the ruk wanting Scotland to maintain the pound after us nationalists gain independence...but we won't find that out until after the Election....Personally, I'll be happy to please the ruk for a wee while by continuing to use the £, but ultimately I'd rather join the Euro....the ruk will just have to get over the shock.

When you say "maintain the pound" and "use the £" do you mean in a currency union or just using the currency?
 lynx3555 26 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:
once Scotland has voted for independence the negotiations will begin, Scotland will not become independent until both sides are agreed...the ruk will no doubt delay as much as they can, but I suspect we'll get plenty of time to get prepared.
I've seen enough possitive reasons to convince me 10 times over that we'll do just fine.....I've never heard of a newly created country, let alone an established country returning to independence, regret their actions.
Post edited at 14:27
In reply to lynx3555:

You may find a few that regret joining the euro
 rogerwebb 26 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

> If the SNP release Plan B, then you can be sure that all the Ruk supporters will demand a plan C.

This is incoherent, what are Ruk supporters?

Plan B would be rather useful for convincing the 'don't knows'
 Andy Hardy 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:
[...]

> Now when are the guys from the better together are going to try to convince us that the long term future for Scotland can be bright as well in the UK instead of repeating that Scotland will be chaos on its own ?

If you vote NO you'll get the continuing membership of the EU, the BoE backing your banks.You'll continue to have devolved power over education, health, police etc as well as all the other things you take for granted from the UK, including MPs who can fight for their constituents like mine might for me.

But there's no way the NO camp can enter into a bidding war simply to beat the YES camp.
Post edited at 15:01
 GrahamD 26 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

There is no rUK with whom to negotiate until after independence. The current UK government is for all of the UK
Douglas Griffin 26 Feb 2014
In reply to tatty112:

> I say give Scotland their independance

It's not yours to give.

> and then we can have a good old laugh at the normal Scots in the street bitching about the cost of living and the level of tax going through the roof for them.

Were you not complaining on another thread about people in Edinburgh being generally unpleasant? Every taken a look at your own conduct? Doesn't make a very good impression.
 jonnie3430 26 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

But these aren't negotiable! We need a department of work and pensions, a foreign office, a DVLA! This can be planned now, so why not?
 jonnie3430 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Douglas Griffin:

> Were you not complaining on another thread about people in Edinburgh being generally unpleasant? Every taken a look at your own conduct? Doesn't make a very good impression.

Meh, I'm from Glasgow and find people in Edinburgh generally unpleasant.

Douglas Griffin 26 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

I'm from Airdrie and I find them pretty much like people anywhere else.

Maybe it's to do with you and tatty112 then...
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

> Meh, I'm from Glasgow and find people in Edinburgh generally unpleasant.

Ho come on man we are not that bad
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:
> [...]

> If you vote NO you'll get the continuing membership of the EU, the BoE backing your banks.You'll continue to have devolved power over education, health, police etc as well as all the other things you take for granted from the UK, including MPs who can fight for their constituents like mine might for me.

But you see these are not real benefits because we can probably get membership of the EU and our own central bank a few years after independence, health, education, police and so on are already run mostly separately in Scotland.

> But there's no way the NO camp can enter into a bidding war simply to beat the YES camp.

No question of a bidding war, but they should tell us why staying in the UK is so much better instead of telling us that we will loose stuff that we could already have on our own, or that we don't want or don't need anyway.
Post edited at 16:04
 jonnie3430 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> No question of a bidding war, but they should tell us why staying in the UK is so much better instead of telling us that we will loose stuff that we could already have on our own, or that we don't want or don't need anyway.

It depends on how you look at it. If you want yes to win, then you have something to hope for. If you want no to win, you are more wanting yes to lose, as you aren't hoping for anything other than things stay as they are. Asking what will be better is misunderstanding the no voters campaigns point.

Anyway, what will be better if the yes campaign wins?
 Andy Hardy 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> But you see these are not real benefits because we can probably get membership of the EU and our own central bank a few years after independence, health, education, police and so on are already run mostly separately in Scotland.

> No question of a bidding war, but they should tell us why staying in the UK is so much better instead of telling us that we will loose[sic] stuff that we could already have on our own, or that we don't want or don't need anyway.


So a central bank acting as lender of last resort, and membership of the EU aren't real benefits? The benefits of being in the UK are precisely what you will lose, and which might take some years to regain.
 PeterM 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> but they should tell us why staying in the UK is so much better instead of telling us that we will loose stuff that we could already have on our own, or that we don't want or don't need anyway.
- This is part of my problem with the deceitful and dishonest YES campaign. As things stand the jock Govt. do have other powers that they so far have not felt the need to use. There is also the option of Devo Max/Plus which polls have shown would be the outright winner. Neither the SNP or Westminster want this option, despite it being probably the best option for the people of scotland. The SNP continue to imply that independence is the only way, and for a party called the Scottish National Party, it would be rather humiliating to stand up and say that the population voted for Devo Max/Plus. They have not fought for this on the ballot, despite Cameron saying it wouldn't be - usually a red rag to bull when told no. They have not given us fair transparent options and hope we're all idiots who'll vote with our hearts and not our heads. They are in real danger of making Scotland quite unattractive to business - a low business tax is all well and good but if interest rates are up and NI goes up, and we're not part of the EU. It's a hell of a risk with no clear plan. Plus start up costs not mentioned in the white paper - looking at billions that need not be spent. This is just so there's a wee page in the history books saying scotland's independent and AS did it.
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:
> So a central bank acting as lender of last resort, and membership of the EU aren't real benefits? The benefits of being in the UK are precisely what you will lose, and which might take some years to regain.

Why do you think Scotland would be unable to join the EU and unable to create its own central bank within a few years ?
If it takes a couple of years who cares ? Transitional arrangements can be made, and after all it's a long term choice for the future of our kids we are taking here, I sincerely hope voters will vote with that in mind instead of whether they'll be 500 quid better off or worse off in next couple of years after independence, which would be really sad.
Post edited at 16:39
 Andy Hardy 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

I never said that Scotland would be unable to join the EU (or create a central bank).

But neither do I think EU membership is guaranteed, unless qualified majority voting kicks in for membership. How long are you prepared to wait? 5 years? 10 years? 20?

Similar with central banking - what happens if we get another 2008 type scenario before your banks are backed by your central bank?
 lynx3555 26 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM: I think you'll find that Devo max isn't and has never been on offer to Scotland.
Westministers take is: "If Scots desire greater control over their own affairs, they will have no option but to choose independence. The UK government believes that a single UK tax and benefits system is the "heart" of the UK, and will not countenance devolving any of these powers to Holyrood.

A Westminster source quoted by the newspaper said: "There are certain levels of autonomy that are inconsistent with the UK. A unified tax and benefit system is at the heart of a united country. If you start dismantling the tax and benefit system then that is inconsistent with a single country."
In the unlikely event of us Scots failing to gain independence, Westminister will then retain as much power over Scotland's finances as possible....we'll no doubt receive the further proposed 4.5 billion in cuts...etc....etc.....
 Sir Chasm 26 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

> I never said that Scotland would be unable to join the EU (or create a central bank).

> But neither do I think EU membership is guaranteed, unless qualified majority voting kicks in for membership. How long are you prepared to wait? 5 years? 10 years? 20?

> Similar with central banking - what happens if we get another 2008 type scenario before your banks are backed by your central bank?

And while he's thinking about that perhaps someone could work out how big the Bank of Scotland's reserves would have needed to be to bail out RBS and then calculate what a 9% share of the BoE reserves would amount to.
 lynx3555 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:
The Royal Bank of Scotland isn't owned by Scotland....although it would be nice to think that Scotland at one time owned the biggest bank in the world....the Royal Bank of Scotland is a "Unionist" bank.....
Quote: "The Bank of Scotland was effective in raising funds for the Jacobite Rebellion and as a result, The Royal Bank of Scotland was established to provide a bank with strong Hanoverian and Whig ties."
Personally I wouldn't go near the Royal Bank.
 lynx3555 26 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:
ruk or uk supporters are unionists....I agree, a plan B would be nice and I'm sure it's on it's way....but as I pointed out, I doubt that it'll be received well at all by the Unionists....so we'll need a plan C, D, E and F......once we have become independent then we will have negotiations...Westminster's wishes not Scotland's. The SNP has had no opportunity to negotiate hence why Osbourne's announcement was such a bomb shell.
Post edited at 17:23
 Sir Chasm 26 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555: "The Royal Bank of Scotland isn't owned by Scotland"

Luckily I never said it was. My point is that if Scotland had been independent during the banking crisis, and if iScotland had it's own currency and central bank (BoS, not RBS), then that central bank would have had to decide whether or not to let RBS go bust.
But you carry on living in the past.
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

> I never said that Scotland would be unable to join the EU (or create a central bank).

> But neither do I think EU membership is guaranteed, unless qualified majority voting kicks in for membership. How long are you prepared to wait? 5 years? 10 years? 20?

Nobody in Europe seriously considers that Scotland could never join EU after a couple of years. Even if they can't for a while they would always have the option to have an arrangement like norway or switzerland. Seriously I am not too worried about that.

> Similar with central banking - what happens if we get another 2008 type scenario before your banks are backed by your central bank?

A central bank can be created in a matter of months if a new currency is decided.
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> And while he's thinking about that perhaps someone could work out how big the Bank of Scotland's reserves would have needed to be to bail out RBS and then calculate what a 9% share of the BoE reserves would amount to.

And maybe if there had been more democratic oversight over these massive banks they wouldn't have been in such mess in the first place.
 lynx3555 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:
Personally I would have let it go bust and then jailed the bankers....Iceland had the right idea....but then, it's likely that the share holders (owners) would have been bailed out by the US....The US spent about 750 billion dollars bailing out foreign banks.
 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Iceland, Switzerland... all are successful small countries with their own currencies, so I don't see why it would be a problem for Scotland to have its own. If it is then they can always use Euros. Plenty of options here.

Switzerland.. bit incomparable.. highly dubious banking system and jubious sources of gold..

Norway.. true excellent resource utilisation for a long time. Scotland has much much less oil and much less control of a smaller fishery.

Iceland.. Jesus christ you are one now? The country that just went bust?

> Also in terms of trade there is more trade in volume going on between Scotland and EU than there is between Scotland and rest of the UK, so if trade was really the issue switching to Euro would actually be more beneficial.

> Do you know that they do something called the chip&pin debit card these days ? Really I am not worried about people having to change their currency especially with modern payment methods it doesn't really matter anymore.

Are you for real? Use your card all the time then check you statement! incredible... I did that in Denmark recently.. every beer was 1-2 euros more due to transacton fees... of course it matters. Jesus christ you need to travel mate!
 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

> At ~1.5% per transaction?

At least.. it can be a lot more. My German card has a flat fee. The UK cards are pretty good in that respect so I tend to use them whenever I travel.
 lynx3555 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm: ultimately it's best some times to let Banks collapse, one of the big problems with the Royal Bank was it's colossal size, "to big to fail" as a result the Royal bank will be carved up and we the people, will be lucky to get our money back.

 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:


> Are you for real? Use your card all the time then check you statement! incredible... I did that in Denmark recently.. every beer was 1-2 euros more due to transacton fees... of course it matters. Jesus christ you need to travel mate!

lol I am travelling to Poland, France, Germany and Spain every year. You see I'm myself an expat. And BTW you know that you can get credit cards with 0 transaction fees on ATM withdrawal and transaction worldwide and true exchange rate these days, you're just getting a bad deal with your bank that's all.
 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

> once Scotland has voted for independence the negotiations will begin,

can we share the pound?
No.
Please?
No?
Bully!
F*ck off!
 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

Whats your bank? We almost have to use deutsch banke..

Then I have to ship money around to different banks.. there are cheaper ways, but free?

And a credit card? I cant in Germany, no credit, I cant in the UK no residency, so I can only use existing cards as I understand.
 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:


> I've seen enough possitive reasons to convince me 10 times over that we'll do just fine.....I've never heard of a newly created country, let alone an established country returning to independence, regret their actions.

Erm... maybe look at the news..
 lynx3555 26 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:
that's what they will say before the election, after the election things will be very different....you'll probably find we'll be in a good situation then to negotiate....all the shite flying about just now is aimed at deterring us....you'd really have to have shit for brains Not to see that.
Post edited at 18:13
 lynx3555 26 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> Erm... maybe look at the news..

What might it be that I'm missing?
In reply to lynx3555:

You have really swallowed the SNP propaganda hook line and sinker. Even Saor Alba isn't as bullish as you on this matter. I like your passion though. Scotland will need people with your belligerent determination to make it work if they vote yes
contrariousjim 26 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> will you take on some UK debt?
> No.
> Please?
> No?
> Selfish bastards
> Feck off it's the UK's (or English' according to IainRUK) debt and Scotland's opted out of that!...








...perhaps we could compromise?
IainRUK cuts off his nose, takes a selfie, and then buries his head in the sand. Meanwhile Westminster politicians get around the table to negotiate with representatives across the political spectrum in Scotland.
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> Whats your bank? We almost have to use deutsch banke..

well currently I have a travel money credit card with Halifax which has 0% transaction costs worldwide on ATM and pay points, plus a true real time exchange rate which is often better than the one from bureau de change. Anybody with good enough credit rating can get this card.


> Then I have to ship money around to different banks.. there are cheaper ways, but free?

If you want to transfer between banks without almost any fees look at transferwise, that's what I use.

> And a credit card? I cant in Germany, no credit, I cant in the UK no residency, so I can only use existing cards as I understand.

I am sure that there should be something similar in Germany maybe with a value added account rather than credit card.
In reply to contrariousjim:

Unlikely to compromise on the currency union . All parties have publicly said no, and the rUK electorate will (more than likely) be very anti currency union if Scotland goes independent.

Therefore it would make a lot of sense for Scotland to prepare for no currency union , otherwise it's just one big gamble by the SNP
 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:


> Therefore it would make a lot of sense for Scotland to prepare for no currency union , otherwise it's just one big gamble by the SNP

I wouldn't be surprised if we see Salmond slowly changing his position on this one over the few next weeks. He's really good at doing that after all.
 Sir Chasm 26 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

> ultimately it's best some times to let Banks collapse, one of the big problems with the Royal Bank was it's colossal size, "to big to fail" as a result the Royal bank will be carved up and we the people, will be lucky to get our money back.

It's true that iScotland could have let RBS go bust (in fact iScotland would have had no choice). I wonder how other banks would have viewed that? Would they stay? What would it do to iScotland's borrowing rates?
contrariousjim 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:
> Unlikely to compromise on the currency union . All parties have publicly said no, and the rUK electorate will (more than likely) be very anti currency union if Scotland goes independent.

If better together and politicians of a unionist bias were limited to saying things that were facilitatory after a vote for independence, then they'd only be able to help the SNP, or reside in sentimentality alone. No. You're wrong. This is not an election, it's a referendum on independence, and a political promise in this case is worth much less than it's usual impoverished and compromised status as it does pre-election.

> Therefore it would make a lot of sense for Scotland to prepare for no currency union , otherwise it's just one big gamble by the SNP

Well it should do that for sure, it would be irresponsible not to. However, they should stick to campaigning on one plan.. ..a sterling zone, as per Stiglitz's suggestion. However, I think they have to take seriously Macpherson's main criticisms on the economic error of a temporary commitment to a sterling zone.. ..it has to be a permanent commitment for investment confidence.
Post edited at 18:48
 Fat Bumbly2 26 Feb 2014
In case it has not been posted yet...

Plan B.....
http://ts1.mm.bing.net/th?id=H.4956380622686649&pid=1.7

 Andy Hardy 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

Have Scottish MEPs (well the SNP pair) been talking to their counterparts on this issue? ie have you anything more substantial than a hunch it'll be "OK you're in" in the end?

 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> ...perhaps we could compromise?

> IainRUK cuts off his nose, takes a selfie, and then buries his head in the sand. Meanwhile Westminster politicians get around the table to negotiate with representatives across the political spectrum in Scotland.

cloud cuckoo land.. yes we will lose out slightly.. probably some loss in trade... so thats our negative if we turn it down... accept it? we take on too much risk..

Quite simple..

Its not spite, its self interest. You have to take that chip off your shoulder and look at this from the SE perspective. They don't give much of a toss about Scotland.. sorry thats just how it is and why you want independence.. so why would they want to share the currency?

You've still not explained why you want the rUK dictating your monetary policy anyway, there's no point in independence then as you are dependent on the UK..
 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> Well it should do that for sure, it would be irresponsible not to. However, they should stick to campaigning on one plan.. ..a sterling zone, as per Stiglitz's suggestion. However, I think they have to take seriously Macpherson's main criticisms on the economic error of a temporary commitment to a sterling zone.. ..it has to be a permanent commitment for investment confidence.

Campaign on something that is not going to happen, not immediately for sure.. there will have to be a short term alternative at the very least. That is absolutely inevitable.

 RomTheBear 26 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:
> Have Scottish MEPs (well the SNP pair) been talking to their counterparts on this issue? ie have you anything more substantial than a hunch it'll be "OK you're in" in the end?

There will be always some uncertainty about how long and under which condition EU accession for Scotland would occur. However I believe that this not much more uncertainty as we have now being part of the UK, with a possible referendum on EU exit which would, because of strong euroscepticism south of the border, most certainly send us out of the EU.

Whatever the vote is, yes or no, there will be some degree of uncertainty about EU membership. The NO campaign claims that staying in the UK guarantees EU membership is a much a lie as the YES campaign claiming that accession would be automatic.

So far I think there is more hope to be in the EU in the long term in a independent Scotland where a majority of people want to be in than in the UK where there is currently a majority wanting to exit.
Post edited at 21:11
In reply to entire topic:

The sad thing about the referendum is that the best option for all parties has been denied. The Federalisation of GB would be in the best interests of all the regions but has never been on the agenda. Devo max as it was called would be a very effective solution to many of Scotlands issues but Uncle Alex would never accept that. Cut off your nose etc. this is not good enough for the next King of Scotland. Re-run Bannockburn 700 years on and that is where we are.
 Bruce Hooker 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> So far I think there is more hope to be in the EU in the long term in a independent Scotland where a majority of people want to be in than in the UK where there is currently a majority wanting to exit.

The problem is we've been all this before days ago in threads you didn't see... It's really too tedious to hear the same "arguments" from Nationalists and have to wade through the porridge like stodginess of the non-debate. Funny how you all come out with the same lines, nigh on word for word, do you get emails from "head office" telling you what to say?

Look at the previous threads and you'll find facts and figures concerning the reality of public opinion in the UK concerning the EU... To resume there is little regional difference and the 30/60 against and for hasn't changed much since the initial referendum of 1975.
 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

I'm now joining you on this independence thing...

Tonight went to the pub in france to watch chelsea.. not on.. madrid instead, so I watch a superb game.. then Chelsea comes on.. so I grab another drink and sit down thinking life is good.. then these shitty cockneys walk in and shout 'Oh this was shit it was 1-1'...

Ruined my night in one fell swoop...

 Andy Hardy 26 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

I'm not sure there's anything like a majority of voters in England who want to leave the EU - I don't personally know any. Maybe for reforming the EU, but not leaving.
 Jon Wylie 26 Feb 2014
In reply to keith-ratcliffe:

Actually salmond was pro a devo max option in the referendum and campaigned behind the scenes against the wishes of many of the snp. It was Westminster who put the caibosh on it during negotiations. Which begs the question, in the event of a no vote where does that leave devolution. Especially with people like piri Patel on the influential 1922 committee who believe each person in Scotland should have a 1600 pound annual reduction under the Barnett formula....better together my hoop

I have links to both the salmond thing (in the Herald) and Patel (record). Unfortunately I'm on the missus kindle and can't figure out the copy and paste thingy. Apologies
contrariousjim 26 Feb 2014
In reply to keith-ratcliffe:

> The sad thing about the referendum is that the best option for all parties has been denied. The Federalisation of GB would be in the best interests of all the regions but has never been on the agenda. Devo max as it was called would be a very effective solution to many of Scotlands issues but Uncle Alex would never accept that. Cut off your nose etc. this is not good enough for the next King of Scotland. Re-run Bannockburn 700 years on and that is where we are.

Not uncle Alex. He also wanted that choice on the referendum. But Alex's independence within a sterling zone is more devo max / federal than independence. Many anti independence jumping up and down in histrionics asking why you'd want compromised sovereignty.. ..the answer being that that sort of vision is what most would prefer anyway.
 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> That is it Tom. Unionism is often based upon a core belief that independence will be a disaster in every way and there are simply no advantages in managing your own affairs.

Rubbish.. Salmonds reputation suggests that..

The SNP have managed the Uni's.. hardly any advantage... point to one?

As said I think little will change..

No sly insult.. just a constructive comment?
 Jon Wylie 26 Feb 2014
In reply to keith-ratcliffe:

Here's the piri Patel link

http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/tory-mp-priti-patel-sparks-14717...

And one which may have been missed earlier from someone who has been touted as a future p.m., Boris, who believes spending pounds in croydon benefits people in Strathclyde more than spending pounds in Strathclyde. This is the kind of "stability" many people see with remaining in the union....
http://m.youtube.com/index?#/watch?v=CjFboRwGiqc
 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Jon Wylie:

> Here's the piri Patel link


> And one which may have been missed earlier from someone who has been touted as a future p.m., Boris, who believes spending pounds in croydon benefits people in Strathclyde more than spending pounds in Strathclyde. This is the kind of "stability" many people see with remaining in the union....

most random post on the thread..


 Jon Wylie 26 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

The post isn't random if you live in Scotland and are faced with the possibility of a reduced budget in the event of a no vote...it's pretty relevant....
 rogerwebb 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Jon Wylie:

How on earth would you define devo-max sufficiently to put it on a referendum without the Scottish and UK governments first agreeing a proposition that could be put to voters?

Given the SNP government wish independence not more devolution I find it hard to believe that they were ever in favour of negotiating such an agreement and having it on the ballot paper as it would have virtually ensured their defeat. At least this way they have a prospect of success.
 Jon Wylie 26 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:

Ok fair enough you don't believe the article. I don't believe everything I read in the paper either...

I suppose it would take some political will on both sides to define and negotiate a devo max option prior to a referendum. I can see you don't believe that will exists within any parts of the snp. Do you think it existed within the current Westminster government?
 Banned User 77 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Jon Wylie:

its one guy..
 Jon Wylie 26 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

If Boris becomes leader of the conservative party in less than 5 years I'm claiming my fiver off you iain hopefully this will go some way to offset the 1600 quid piri Patel wants to take out of my other pocket in the event of a no vote...
 rogerwebb 26 Feb 2014
In reply to Jon Wylie:

Do you think it existed within the current Westminster government?

No
 Cuthbert 26 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

As is AS but you have spent several hours on here talking about one person. You are certainly good at advertising.
 Jon Wylie 26 Feb 2014
In reply to rogerwebb:

> Do you think it existed within the current Westminster government?

> No

Roger, genuinely thanks for an honest answer. It's refreshing in a debate where often people seem to be more interested in point scoring. Everyone is guilty of it on some level, myself included.

I think you probably know where I'm going with the Westminster point anyway're: devolution options in the event of a no vote.

Off to bed now, my 3 month old daughter is asleep and hopefully I can dream of cool winter climbs..without massive cornices

Cheers

Jon
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

As is the leader of the SNP backed up by NS... equally ignorant.

I dont think Boris will be leader, he's a baffoon and will shoot his bid down.

I'm starting to think the next election is labours to lose, as long as Miliband starts acting with some balls. He's gone back to labour being in opposition, just opposing rather than valid options for a new Government. It was what Kinnock did and why he failed.
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Jon Wylie:

> I suppose it would take some political will on both sides to define and negotiate a devo max option prior to a referendum. I can see you don't believe that will exists within any parts of the snp. Do you think it existed within the current Westminster government?

I'm not sure that is possible now? Is it? DevoMax would have to come from long negotiations about what exactly that entails...

As I understand it Scotland sets and gets tax yet pays the UK for 'essential' services? I presume immigration, defence, foreign office etc.

But has that been set what the payment would be?
 lynx3555 27 Feb 2014
In reply to keith-ratcliffe: This will give you some idea about Devomax
http://www.scottishpoliticalarchive.org.uk/wb/media/4.%20Understanding%20De...
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:
> I'm not sure there's anything like a majority of voters in England who want to leave the EU - I don't personally know any. Maybe for reforming the EU, but not leaving.

Well look at opinion polls : bit.ly/1bN3Wxa

There has been a clear will from Uk voters to wish an exit of the EU for the PAST 13 YEARS.

If you poll only Scotland you get completely opposite results, as people in Scotland are generally less eurosceptic.

Hence my argument that EU membership is not more guaranteed in the UK than in an independent Scotland.
Post edited at 00:42
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

It says what I said..
But with devomax... OK so you pay the UK for immigration et al, what if the Scottish economy implodes? Who picks up the pieces?

I'm not saying it will,but there are huge questions to be answered. It can be on the referendum but it shouldnt mean the rUK will accept it unless the risks, costs and benefits are clearly explained.

To suggest 'the rUK is uncomfortable with it'.. without explaining why is disingenuous. Its so open in its meaning as I understand it at the moment.

The Scot. Pol. Arch. is Stirling Uni's own site, which makes me question it.

 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Bruce Hooker:
> The problem is we've been all this before days ago in threads you didn't see... It's really too tedious to hear the same "arguments" from Nationalists and have to wade through the porridge like stodginess of the non-debate. Funny how you all come out with the same lines, nigh on word for word, do you get emails from "head office" telling you what to say?

> Look at the previous threads and you'll find facts and figures concerning the reality of public opinion in the UK concerning the EU... To resume there is little regional difference and the 30/60 against and for hasn't changed much since the initial referendum of 1975.

Completely wrong there is strong support in the UK for leaving the EU for the past 10 years. And there is very strong regional difference, as the poll results on EU membership are completely opposite in Scotland to those south of the border. Check your numbers.

Also it's funny that you call me some kind of hardcore nationalist, when I am not even Scottish, I am French if you must know.
Post edited at 00:49
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Well look at opinion polls : bit.ly/1bN3Wxa

> There has been a clear will from Uk voters to wish an exit of the EU for the PAST 13 YEARS.

> If you poll only Scotland you get completely opposite results, as people in Scotland are generally less eurosceptic.

> Hence my argument that EU membership is not more guaranteed in the UK than in an independent Scotland.

People say they are Anti EU.. when it comes to the crunch we don't vote that way. England probably is more than Scotland, I think Scotland sees europe as a hope for the future, where as England likes to sit on its own, when it can't. The USA need us in Europe, we need to be in Europe. It would be economic suicide to leave.

 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:
> People say they are Anti EU.. when it comes to the crunch we don't vote that way. England probably is more than Scotland, I think Scotland sees europe as a hope for the future, where as England likes to sit on its own, when it can't. The USA need us in Europe, we need to be in Europe. It would be economic suicide to leave.

Well I agree with you but it seems that for the past 10 years there a been a clear support for leaving the EU, particularly amongst English voters. If a referendum was held tomorrow on the issue we would be exiting the EU for sure. If you look at current voting intentions there is between 10 and 20 points of advance for the leaving the EU camp. That is huge.

If you live in Germany mate I would advise that you sort out your German permanent residency or citizenship as currently there is a 20% chance that tory win the next GE, which would cause a EU referendum to be held that would most likely lead to an EU exit.
Post edited at 01:09
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

I emigrate to the US on Sunday...

We'll see..
 lynx3555 27 Feb 2014
In reply to alastairmac:
Interesting article written by Jay Sringer (English author living in Scotland)
Quote: "The version of this story that you are getting in England is that Alex Salmond is on some personal campaign to be unreasonable and expects that he can still use the currency of the UK even after telling the UK to ‘get lost.’ You’re also being told that he is ‘threatening’ to default on Scotland’s share of the UK debt if he doesn’t get everything his own way. You are being given a story about a very unreasonable man making stupid demands.
In truth the only party being unreasonable in this is the UK Government. They are refusing to pre-negotiate on any aspect of the break-up, and so they are the ones creating all the “questions” that they then demand the SNP must “answer.”"
http://www.stringerville.com/2014/02/23/scottish-independence-an-open-lette...

 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

More misinformation..

'The version of this story that you are getting in England is that Alex Salmond is on some personal campaign to be unreasonable and expects that he can still use the currency of the UK even after telling the UK to ‘get lost.’

FFS.. yes he can 'USE' it.. he can use the US $$, he can even use the euro as I understand.. you can basically use anything just not be part of that currency union, ie. have a say in its management. Look I doubt there is a country in the world that would consider entering into a currency union with a new country.. not one with an old stable powerful currency like the sterling...

The questions being raised should be welcomed.. what are our currency options? These are questions an independent Scotland needs to answer, t get all upset that these are being asked suggests they couldnt manage a piss up in a brewery...

But seriously if you post one more article about the UK not allowing Scotland to use the currency then you must just have no comprehension of this matter.

You've still not answered why you want to be? Why do you want to be dependent on the UK with a shared currency?
 Andy Hardy 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

Looks like that's another union for me to campaign in favour of then, should the time come.
 jonnie3430 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Which "business leaders" have said they are heading south? I don't mean your interpretation of their comments, I mean which ones have clearly said this?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-26362321
 Cuthbert 27 Feb 2014
In reply to jonnie3430:

Yeah saw that if it's the standard life story. I can't open links at moment. Could be the first of many. Who knows. Looks like they want a monetary union though. The company I mean.
 jonnie3430 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

It is, they have also said that it is pending information on tax and currency questions, so it is really just giving the SNP a boot to tell everyone what their plan is.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

Iceland is doing very well thank you very much!!
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/02/17/uk-iceland-economy-idUKBREA1G0K220...
In reply to Saor Alba:

The problem with Standard Life is 90% of their investors are south of the border. If those people don't want their savings/pensions in a foreign country they will pull their money out. That will dictate what happens, and I suspect you are right, the first of many asset managers to move south should independence happen.
 off-duty 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> Iceland is doing very well thank you very much!!

> http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/02/17/uk-iceland-economy-idUKBREA...

I wonder if the problems of infrastructure, education and health are comparable between Scotland and a country with a smaller population than a Scottish city.
 Sir Chasm 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> Iceland is doing very well thank you very much!!

> http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/02/17/uk-iceland-economy-idUKBREA...

That's your model for iScotland is it? Isolationist, turning your back on the EU, refusal to pay debts. Sounds very progressive.
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> Iceland is doing very well thank you very much!!

> http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/02/17/uk-iceland-economy-idUKBREA...

It is now.. it was screwed. Its come back but many people lost a lot of money...
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

You cant blame them, they operate over a decades time span, they need to know tax rates, interest rates over the medium term at least.

 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

http://uk.news.yahoo.com/comment/talking-politics/salmond-making-goes-along...


"His influence was established by his membership of the '79 Group, a socialist campaign within the SNP. A few years later he was praising himself for having "given the SNP a social democratic identity". But even that drift to more centrist politics did not tell the whole story.

For all his professed commitment to social democracy and a generous welfare state, Salmond reveals more by his friendships than his words.

The Leveson Inquiry revealed how Salmond and Rupert Murdoch exchanged admiring letters and held private dinner dates. He held more than two dozen meetings with the press baron or his executives. In its final report, the inquiry said: "Mr Salmond’s readiness... to stand ready to assist News Corp is striking". Salmond's desire to lobby for the BSkyB deal "would have rendered the decision unlawful" if it had taken place.

When the time came for Salmond's left-wing credentials to be tested, he put the needs of rich American right-wingers over those of local people. Donald Trump took time out from trying to prove Barack Obama is not American to demand an obscene golf complex for the super rich in Scotland. It was "called in" by Salmond, despite the objections of local planners, environmentalists and local people. The plans were eventually pulled following a legal dispute.

His lack of conviction isn't just a matter of ideology. It fundamentally affects his judgement on the constitutional issues raised by independence. Simply put: there is no political idea so insignificant Salmond will not have developed more than one position on it.

His U-turns are as numerous as they are weighty. He was for the euro and then against the euro. He branded sterling a "millstone around Scotland's neck" and then decided he wanted it. He thought Iceland, Ireland, Norway, Finland and Denmark could form an "arc of prosperity in the northern rim of Europe, in a speech which showed he was unaware of the differences between high-tax-and-spend Scandinavian economies and low-tax economies like Ireland. He was later to change his mind when Iceland and Ireland fell apart in the wake of the financial crisis."

The "millstone around Scotlands Neck" comment is odd...
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

He's a slippery charleton who in another life would be running a successful second-hand car business.
 PeterM 27 Feb 2014
In reply to none/all:

Standard Life threatening to pull some operations if there's a yes vote
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-26362321

And from the article it seems it is based on the uncertainty created because the SNP have no plans in place and are unwilling to play their hand despite it being in everyone's interest.
Post edited at 09:21
In reply to PeterM:

Yes, as I said above...mainly UK customers who will want to be protected by a UK regulatory framework so probably not bluff and bluster.This could become a common theme for the Scottish asset managers. Be interesting to see how the SNP respond
 PeterM 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:

Yeah, sorry, didn't see your post. No the only bluff and bluster is coming from the SNP. It really does infuriate me that so many folk in Scotland are falling for their nonsense. It seems gullibility knows no bounds and neither does the SNP's deceitfulness. Their playing with our futures with no real plan in place.
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:

> Yes, as I said above...mainly UK customers who will want to be protected by a UK regulatory framework so probably not bluff and bluster.This could become a common theme for the Scottish asset managers. Be interesting to see how the SNP respond

They'll probably go on about currency union again.
In fact they should admit that for sure in case of independence some companies with business directly tied to the regulatory framework and with their customer base down south might want to move down south.
In fact it might not matter too much on the long term as other actors would probably see the opportunity to fill the gaps created in the Scottish market very quickly, but certainly could cause some shock in the short term. Of course SNP as usual has no plan for that and still argues that you can achieve independence in 18 months. I think it would take something like 10 years if you really wanted to avoid these kind of shocks.
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

The problem is without backing from the BoE I'm not sure any major players will move in.

If we agreed to a currency union that goes with a lot of control over the Scottish economy and banking sector.. there's no way we'd agree without that say basically making independence just a nominal principle, as they would be dependent on the UK.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

You should get a job with the spectator!
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> His U-turns are as numerous as they are weighty. He was for the euro and then against the euro.

Same as me. It's called not thinking in a vacuum, which for some reason you continually want to advocate!

In reply to contrariousjim:

but it's a hard sell to joe public to keep their pension in a country with a leader who was banging on about how great iceland was not so long ago (and yourself slightly further up the thread)

Yes, I know AS may well not be leader in a iScotland but you get the gist . Vacuum or no vacuum, his track record on picking winners is poor
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

Changing viewpoint as facts change is one thing. Changing your mind on everything in order to further a populist ego-trip is another.
 PeterM 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> Same as me. It's called not thinking in a vacuum, which for some reason you continually want to advocate!

I think you do a lot of your thinking under a bridge! Is that really the best you can come up with in reply? That is shameful.
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

Jim picking a currency isnt a weekly swap…
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:
> The problem is without backing from the BoE I'm not sure any major players will move in.

> If we agreed to a currency union that goes with a lot of control over the Scottish economy and banking sector.. there's no way we'd agree without that say basically making independence just a nominal principle, as they would be dependent on the UK.

Well I agree with you here, I think only realistic long term option for a truly independent Scotland would be to have its own currency or adopt the euro.
In either case there is no reasons why some major players wouldn't move in after independence once the regulatory framework is sorted. After all it's a market and there would be money to be made. Only thing is that interests rates and so on might be higher for a few years due to the higher risk. Something the Scottish voter would have to accept if he wants independence...

Personally I don't care too much, private pensions are a joke anyway, I earn well above the median wage and when I look at what I might get after retirement with standard life even though I put 12% of my salary in the scheme, honestly, I am crying.
Post edited at 11:43
 silhouette 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear: I'd be interested to know the mechanism for a business to move its Country of Registration (in this scenario from Scotland to England) whilst leaving the bulk of its workforce where it is. So the "threat" of some financial institutions moving their Country of Registration may be less significant than is claimed.

 Sir Chasm 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:
"Well I agree with you here, I think only realistic long term option for a truly independent Scotland would be to have its own currency or adopt the euro."

You keep saying this, but it isn't a Scottish currency or the euro. If you want to join the euro you have to have your own currency and a central bank.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:

> but it's a hard sell to joe public to keep their pension in a country with a leader who was banging on about how great iceland was not so long ago (and yourself slightly further up the thread)

I did not big up Iceland, or set it out as an example of desirable behaviour, but I was defending it from IanRUK's depressive nonsense! And it's not just me, there have been numerous positive articles on Iceland's progress across the spectrum of the press, and defence of it's management by prominent economists like Krugman.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Personally I don't care too much, private pensions are a joke anyway, I earn well above the median wage and when I look at what I might get after retirement with standard life even though I put 12% of my salary in the scheme, honestly, I am crying.

Indeed.
 Sir Chasm 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim: Fear not, I think everyone's agreed that interest rates will be higher in iScotland. Excellent news for savers.

contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:

> I think you do a lot of your thinking under a bridge! Is that really the best you can come up with in reply? That is shameful.

Do explain your reasoning!
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

Yes Iceland has recovered well after a complete disaster for many of it's savers. If you are happy to risk this sort of scenario in Scotland, well...it's a point of view.
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:
with standard life even though I put 12% of my salary in the scheme, honestly, I am crying.

The thing is, if you work for 40 years and expect to retire for 20, 12% is pretty obviously not enough. That is not SL's fault.
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> "Well I agree with you here, I think only realistic long term option for a truly independent Scotland would be to have its own currency or adopt the euro."

> You keep saying this, but it isn't a Scottish currency or the euro. If you want to join the euro you have to have your own currency and a central bank.

No sure what is the issue. One option could be to create a Scottish central bank and own currency and then join the Euro, as part of a process to access EU membership for example.
 PeterM 27 Feb 2014

Has Swinney received a blow to the head recently, because he seems to be talking but saying nothing. A 'formal currency area'?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-26364418

The SNP are becoming more embarrassing by the day.
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

> with standard life even though I put 12% of my salary in the scheme, honestly, I am crying.

> The thing is, if you work for 40 years and expect to retire for 20, 12% is pretty obviously not enough. That is not SL's fault.

Well also the fact that because of huge quantitative easing done by the BoE pensions are not a good investment at all anymore.

Most people in this country earn can't realistically put more than 4% in their private pensions. Hence why this is a joke, for most people the only significant income they'll get after retirement will be their state pension, which will be paid by the taxpayers, so my point is that private pensions are not really an issue because for most people they will get pretty much nothing out of it. The real battle will be around the state pensions.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

> Changing viewpoint as facts change is one thing. Changing your mind on everything in order to further a populist ego-trip is another.

It's not as if this is happening in a back office devolved as this advice has been to a committee including Stiglitz, Hallett, Mirlees etc. Now, going through each in turn, with reference to economic evidence, why were they wrong on a sterling currency zone. Furthermore, given that a long term commitment (as opposed to a tentative commitment to a Sterling zone from Salmond), why wouldn't tackling that issue head on and debasing what appears a major aspect of Macpherson's rationale for advice to Osborne against a currency zone be a good idea? Salmond should commit long term to a sterling zone? Of course Macpherson's intervention looks far more like political bias within the civil service and a departure from protocol, but that's by the by, though it would seem to be more pertinent to complain of his politicking than Salmond's, but that wouldn't suit the prejudices on show here.
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

Well both are important. There are certainly concerns of fees etc for pensions but arguing they are not worth it because you still need a state pension doesn't make much sense. You have a choice of hand-to-mouth state pension, or that plus whatever you have saved yourself, be it in a pension or ISA or whatever.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:
It's a point of view particularly pertinent to those above saying "shock horror, look how big Scottish banking assets would be compared to their GDP" and then you look at the ratio in Iceland, it being some 7 or so times as big!
Post edited at 12:13
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:
...and note the problems that caused. As I say, if you happy to risk them then fine. Most people won't be for very good reasons.
Post edited at 12:18
 Bruce Hooker 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> I am not even Scottish, I am French if you must know.

That explains a lot

Sorry but look back in the threads the numbers show that N and S of the border people have similar views on the EU - you are simply showing your French prejudices - I live in France, I know them well.

How many MPs does the UKIP have, what percentage of the vote? Look and learn.
Jim C 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:
> (In reply to Jim C)
>
> You've found 3 stories of 3 different politicians saying 3 different things. Whereas with cu everyone, apart from Salmond, is saying the same thing. Can you spot the difference.

The point is , they all say one thing, we know they may well do the opposite.

Take Standard Life.

They said:-

"unless a formal monetary, regulatory and currency union were agreed by an independent Scotland with the rest of the UK, which also included some kind of compact on taxes, Standard Life would feel obliged to move both funds and people to England."

That is totall bollocks. They have been told there will be NO CU.

Their statement should have read, if there is a YES vote they WILL move to England.

Unless of course they don't believe the 3 parties that have ruled it out.

contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

> ...and note the problems that caused. As I say, if you happy to risk them then fine. Most people won't be for very good reasons.

At the end of the day.. ..less than in a great many European countries. So it's about being happy to risk them, as being able to leave the prejudices at the door when being honest about the relative risks, including in the UK's status quo.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim C:

> Unless of course they don't believe the 3 parties that have ruled it out.

Precisely.
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

> Well both are important. There are certainly concerns of fees etc for pensions but arguing they are not worth it because you still need a state pension doesn't make much sense. You have a choice of hand-to-mouth state pension, or that plus whatever you have saved yourself, be it in a pension or ISA or whatever.

Well as far as I can tell they are not worth it at all. I reckon most people would be better off putting money in a property rather than in a pensions schemes, the only reason I put money in my pension is because my employer pays for half of what goes in.
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:
> Precisely.

Why would an rUK want a currency union?

-There is nothing in it for them
-All main parties have ruled it out. There is no political advantage to them in going back on that promise
-Public opinion towards an iScotland that has just stormed off and is widely perceived (rightly or wrongly) to have previously taken more that it receives in taxes will be negative and there will be no appetite to take on risk jointly as a result.
Post edited at 12:45
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

the only reason I put money in my pension is because my employer pays for half of what goes in.

Well isn't that good enough reason?

You may be right about houses. Or not - who knows.
 mav 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

It's annuity rates that are driving private pensions down. My last statement predicted a pension pot of 14 x my salary. This gave me an annuity of 20% of my salary. Fortunately you no longer need to buy an annuity.

But your right, it's state pensions that are going to be the battle ground. How woudl that go?

Swinney - you need to keep paying Scottish pensioners.
Osborne - I see.
Swinney - and pay Scots who are woring the pensions they have earned.
Osborne - I see.

a little later
Swinney - we want a currency union.
Osborne - no.
Swinney - we'll default on our debt.
Osborne - you know what you were saying about us paying pensions....

which, in a nutshell, is why it is Salmond and Swinney who are bluffing and blustering.
In reply to contrariousjim:

Arn't we missing the point that the bulk of their savers are south of the border? The fact that a few Scots are happy to take that risk for their independence is irrelevant I would imagine.

SL's statement was about a contingency plan anyway, nothing to do with what they believe
 Sir Chasm 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> No sure what is the issue. One option could be to create a Scottish central bank and own currency and then join the Euro, as part of a process to access EU membership for example.

Because you have consistently said "I think only realistic long term option for a truly independent Scotland would be to have its own currency or adopt the euro." as if it was a choice between your own currency and the euro. Whereas, as has been repeatedly explained, you have to have your own currency (and central bank) before applying to join the euro.
 Sir Chasm 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim C: "The point is , they all say one thing, we know they may well do the opposite"

They all say the same thing. And you don't perfectly well know they would do the opposite. The political parties don't want cu, the public in rUK don't want cu. There won't be cu, get over it.
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Bruce Hooker:

> That explains a lot

> Sorry but look back in the threads the numbers show that N and S of the border people have similar views on the EU - you are simply showing your French prejudices - I live in France, I know them well.

> How many MPs does the UKIP have, what percentage of the vote? Look and learn.

Check you facts.
Pretty much every single poll made for the past 10 years are showing that if a referendum was held on EU membership, people would vote to leave with a lead between 10 and 20 points. It's not "French prejudice" (Why does it matter where I am from anyway ?), but a real phenomenon, which is worrying for Scots because north of the border the public opinion on EU membership is very different.
The fact is that if the Torys a re-elected, an EU exit is very likely unless people change their opinion during the campaign.
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:
> Because you have consistently said "I think only realistic long term option for a truly independent Scotland would be to have its own currency or adopt the euro." as if it was a choice between your own currency and the euro. Whereas, as has been repeatedly explained, you have to have your own currency (and central bank) before applying to join the euro.

And your point is ... ?
At the end of the day they still have these two options, joining the Euro or staying with their own currency.
Even if they can't negotiate a fast access to the Euro and have to have their own currency before, it just mean that there could be a transitional period before they get access to the euro (if they ever want it), who really cares ?
Post edited at 12:53
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:
Scots because north of the border the public opinion on EU membership is very different.


Talking of facts, you should perhaps check that. Yes Scots are slightly more positive about the EU but not that much. I agree though, the prospect of leaving is worrying.
 Sir Chasm 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> And your point is ... ?

> At the end of the day they still have these two options, joining the Euro or staying with their own currency.

They haven't got their own currency. One would have to be set up, along with a central bank.

> Even if they can't negotiate a fast access to the Euro and have to have their own currency before, it just mean that there could be a transitional period before they get access to the euro (if they ever want it), who really cares ?

Even if? Ha ha. And who cares? I suspect quite a lot of people.
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

> Scots because north of the border the public opinion on EU membership is very different.

> Talking of facts, you should perhaps check that. Yes Scots are slightly more positive about the EU but not that much.

Roughly you find about 20% of difference in opinion about staying in the EU, which is quite a big difference I think. Scots are only slightly pro-Europe (about 50-53%% want to stay in the EU), it's true, but the fact that the English are overwhelmingly anti-europe is true too (only about 30/35% want to stay).
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

Not sure where your numbers are from. YouGov as reported on Wiki has

A YouGov poll in 2010 found that 47% of voters in the United Kingdom would vote to leave the European Union, while 33% would vote to stay in (with 14% undecided and 5% unwilling to vote).[32] Support and opposition for withdrawal from the Union are not evenly distributed among the different age groups: opposition to EU membership is most prevalent among those 60 and older (57%) and decreases to 31% among those aged 18–24 (with 35% of 18-24 year olds stating that they would vote for Britain to remain in the EU). Those most likely to vote for continued EU membership were those aged 25–39, at 38%, though the same percentage of 25-39 year olds would vote to leave it.[32] Finally, the results of the poll showed some regional variation: support for withdrawal from the EU is lowest in London and Scotland (at 40% and 44% respectively) but reaches 49% across the rest of mainland Britain.[32]
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> They haven't got their own currency. One would have to be set up, along with a central bank.

Why woudl that be a problem ? I see many countries out there with their own currency.

> Even if? Ha ha. And who cares? I suspect quite a lot of people.

I don't think so, the country in which your kids and future generation will live in is probably more important than whatever transitional currency arrangement is made for a couple of years after independence.
I am not sure why there so much talking around this currency issue, there is no reasons why Scotland somehow would be so dumb that they wouldn't be able to set up or adopt a currency that works well for them, when the vast majority of countries around the world manage just fine.
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:
> Not sure where your numbers are from. YouGov as reported on Wiki has

> A YouGov poll in 2010 found that 47% of voters in the United Kingdom would vote to leave the European Union, while 33% would vote to stay in (with 14% undecided and 5% unwilling to vote).[32] Support and opposition for withdrawal from the Union are not evenly distributed among the different age groups: opposition to EU membership is most prevalent among those 60 and older (57%) and decreases to 31% among those aged 18–24 (with 35% of 18-24 year olds stating that they would vote for Britain to remain in the EU). Those most likely to vote for continued EU membership were those aged 25–39, at 38%, though the same percentage of 25-39 year olds would vote to leave it.[32] Finally, the results of the poll showed some regional variation: support for withdrawal from the EU is lowest in London and Scotland (at 40% and 44% respectively) but reaches 49% across the rest of mainland Britain.[32]

How is that different from my numbers ? I said that between 30% and 35% in the UK only would vote to stay. Your poll (which si quite represetative of all the other one as far as I can say) says 33% want to stay in the EU. Isn't that exactly the same ballpark ?
In Scotland that number is between 50 and 53%, so that's a massive difference IMHO.
Post edited at 13:20
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

Yeah, fair enough.
In reply to RomTheBear:
> (In reply to Sir Chasm)
> I am not sure why there so much talking around this currency issue, there is no reasons why Scotland somehow would be so dumb that they wouldn't be able to set up or adopt a currency that works well for them, when the vast majority of countries around the world manage just fine.

Err, maybe because setting up their own currency/central bank would incur huge transaction costs/ FX in current accounts, savings, rebranding of prices of goods etc blah blah. Or they could maintain the status quo within the Union . That might be why there is so much talking about it right now.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> In Scotland that number is between 50 and 53%, so that's a massive difference IMHO.

Makes you think the democratic response of the EU to independence should be for Scotland to continue the UK EU membership, and rUK should be told they need to re-apply!...
 Sir Chasm 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Why woudl that be a problem ? I see many countries out there with their own currency.

Which countries have recently set up their own currency and central bank (I'll give you Ireland, it only took 60 years and a bloody war)?

> I don't think so, the country in which your kids and future generation will live in is probably more important than whatever transitional currency arrangement is made for a couple of years after independence.

> I am not sure why there so much talking around this currency issue, there is no reasons why Scotland somehow would be so dumb that they wouldn't be able to set up or adopt a currency that works well for them, when the vast majority of countries around the world manage just fine.

Perhaps there's a lot of talking about it because it matters to people and the future of a putative country. Also it's an example of the way people are being asked to vote for a pig in a poke, and when they ask questions they're dismissed with, to use your words, "who cares" or "so what".
 jonnie3430 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> I don't think so, the country in which your kids and future generation will live in is probably more important than whatever transitional currency arrangement is made for a couple of years after independence.

But at the moment we have two countries to choose from, Britain and Scotland. With independence there is just Scotland. More choice and stability for your kids in Britain.
 Sir Chasm 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> Makes you think the democratic response of the EU to independence should be for Scotland to continue the UK EU membership, and rUK should be told they need to re-apply!...

Good point, according to Barroso that might be the only way for iScotland to join.
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:
> Good point, according to Barroso that might be the only way for iScotland to join.

Very true, I think that that referendum on EU exit and Scottish Independence are closely linked somehow.

There are basically two likely outputs:
1) Scotland becomes independent, which make it bit more likely for Tories to win the next GE. A referendum on EU memberships takes place in rUK and rUK most likely exits the EU, and Scotland stays in with some sort of continuing membership. Timing will be critical.

2) Most likely at the moment according to polls : Independence fails, Labour wins the next GE, there is no EU referendum, and everything basically stays the same, and we all regret having spent so much time debating about all this
Post edited at 13:42
In reply to RomTheBear:

"2) Most likely at the moment according to polls : Independence fails, Labour wins the next GE, there is no EU referendum, and everything basically stays the same, and we all regret having spent so much time debating about all this "

Frame it, hang it on your wall, will come in very handy one day
Douglas Griffin 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Bruce Hooker:

> Sorry but look back in the threads the numbers show that N and S of the border people have similar views on the EU - you are simply showing your French prejudices...

Feb 14, 2014:
http://www.thecityuk.com/media/latest-news-from-thecityuk/the-city-listens-...
"The survey also highlights key regional differences on the “In or Out” question. Scottish respondents are the most strongly in favour of staying in Europe and this is the only part of the UK surveyed where more want to stay than leave. At the opposite end of the scale, the South East (excluding London) was the most in favour of leaving Europe."
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:
> Which countries have recently set up their own currency and central bank (I'll give you Ireland, it only took 60 years and a bloody war)?

South Sudan became independent in July 2011. They created their own currency and own central bank within less than a month of Independence day.
Seriously , if South Sudan a country of 8 million people with very few resources can do it in less than a month, I tend to believe that Scotland can easily do it too if they want.

> Perhaps there's a lot of talking about it because it matters to people and the future of a putative country. Also it's an example of the way people are being asked to vote for a pig in a poke, and when they ask questions they're dismissed with, to use your words, "who cares" or "so what".

The point is, after all it''s a referendum about self determination, not about which currency we are going to use. Even if some try to make plans now I don't believe in ANY of them as there is now way to predict now what will be the best option in 5, 10 or 20 years time.
Post edited at 14:11
 Sir Chasm 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear: I freely admit to not knowing much about South Sudan, so I've had a quick google. Wow! That's the model you want to follow as a newly independent country?

contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> I freely admit to not knowing much about South Sudan, so I've had a quick google. Wow! That's the model you want to follow as a newly independent country?

Why is it that you have no option but assuming that when someone demonstrates a precedent that you need to interpret the whole example as being fully advocated. He merely said that a central bank is not necessarily that difficult to set up.
 PeterM 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:
> The point is, after all it''s a referendum about self determination, not about which currency we are going to use.

You see that's a bit of a silly thing to say. I would've thought that self-determination would've included deciding what our currency would be, and in a true-self-determining fashion it would be a currency not tied to another countries (i.e. not really independent at all). It's utterly half-arsed on the SNP's part. They ask us to decide if we should be independent but give no clue as to how it'll be achieved. Delusional fantasists - like Ally's Army in '78. Thought if they talked it up it would be so. Full of shite more like...
Post edited at 14:33
KevinD 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> He merely said that a central bank is not necessarily that difficult to set up.

As comparisons go its not the best though. I mean I could advocate jumping out of a plane without a parachute and point at Nicholas Alkemade as an example of why one isnt needed.
In reply to dissonance:

Libyan rebelas managed it whilst stil fighting!

http://www.cnbc.com/id/42308613
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

Southern Sudan is fine as example of starting a central bank but whatever you do don't even think about pointing the Kosovo as example of the problems of joining the EU. That would be bullying.
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:

> You see that's a bit of a silly thing to say. I would've thought that self-determination would've included deciding what our currency would be, and in a true-self-determining fashion it would be a currency not tied to another countries (i.e. not really independent at all). It's utterly half-arsed on the SNP's part. They ask us to decide if we should be independent but give no clue as to how it'll be achieved. Delusional fantasists - like Ally's Army in '78. Thought if they talked it up it would be so. Full of shite more like...

Well I agree, I just hope that people don't listen to SNP or better together but make their own opinion about how and by whom they want to be governed rather than listening to illogical lies and assumptions of both campaigns.
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

> Southern Sudan is fine as example of starting a central bank but whatever you do don't even think about pointing the Kosovo as example of the problems of joining the EU. That would be bullying.

Well I perfectly agree that joining the EU might not be simple though (No EU accession has ever been simple). But telling us that setting up a central bank and our own currency would be somehow impossible for Scotland when most of the countries around the world managed at some point, it's a bit too much...
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:

> You see that's a bit of a silly thing to say. I would've thought that self-determination would've included deciding what our currency would be

It's far sillier to insinuate, as you are, that things like freedom and sovereignty are absolutes that are genuinely possible anywhere. Sensible people think that these things are relative, and independence with a currency union would be freer than the status quo, and would allow for the potential for freer choices dependent upon economic evolution and changing local and global circumstances.
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

I'm sure it could be done (with associated cost, upheaval and uncertainty), has anyone suggested otherwise? But the SNP need to say that is what they plan, if they do. Currently they pursuing an option that has been ruled out.
KevinD 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:
> But telling us that setting up a central bank and our own currency would be somehow impossible for Scotland when most of the countries around the world managed at some point, it's a bit too much...

Lucky no one is saying that then.
Just that it needs thinking about and budgeting for well in advance. So really needs a clear plan now.
 Andy Hardy 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> It's far sillier to insinuate, as you are, that things like freedom and sovereignty are absolutes that are genuinely possible anywhere. Sensible people think that these things are relative, and independence with a currency union would be freer than the status quo, and would allow for the potential for freer choices dependent upon economic evolution and changing local and global circumstances.


And independence without a CU would be even freer.
 Sir Chasm 27 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

> And independence without a CU would be even freer.

Especially as cu isn't on the table, no matter how much jimbo stamps his feet.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

> And independence without a CU would be even freer.

Would it? I'm far from convinced it would. Perhaps in the long term.. ..but high rates of interest, difficulty in issuing bonds etc ARE aspects that curtail free political expression.. ..they are just a different form of economic curtailment to fiscal agreements within a Sterling zone.
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

So you don't like an independent currency, currency union isn't available, Euro not immediately available, if at all. That leaves using the pound outside a currency union or...the UK.

Which are you going for?
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to dissonance:

> Lucky no one is saying that then.

> Just that it needs thinking about and budgeting for well in advance. So really needs a clear plan now.

Well yes problem is the SNP is stuck trying to get the undecided voters by telling them that nothing is going to change and that there is no uncertainty, instead of having the balls to tell them the truth.
At the same time Better Together is in full bully mode which doesn't help.
 PeterM 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

I didn't imply or insinuate any such thing and no reasonable person could've inferred that. You seem to be deliberately antagonistic, and you appear to be just trolling. Do feel free to bugger off at any time. As for Sovereignty not being absolute,

"Sovereignty is the quality of having an independent authority over a geographic area, such as a territory.[1] It can be found in a power to rule and make laws that rests on a political fact for which no pure legal definition can be provided. In theoretical terms, the idea of "sovereignty", historically, from Socrates to Thomas Hobbes, has always necessitated a moral imperative on the entity exercising it."

You seem to have a poor grasp of what the word 'Independence' means too, or as Alex Salmond come up with his own definition.
 Andy Hardy 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:
> Would it? I'm far from convinced it would.[...]

Well it would mean Scotland gets complete freedom to tax and spend as Scotland sees fit.
Post edited at 15:23
KevinD 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> At the same time Better Together is in full bully mode which doesn't help.

Can you give some ideas of this bullying?
Since the main one so far seems to be that the uk parties will not go into currency union, which really doesnt count as bullying but just a statement of fact. Bearing in mind one of the key economic proposals seems to be cutting corporation tax it is somewhat surprising that anyone finds the lack of enthusiasm a surprise.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:

> I didn't imply or insinuate any such thing and no reasonable person could've inferred that. You seem to be deliberately antagonistic, and you appear to be just trolling. Do feel free to bugger off at any time. As for Sovereignty not being absolute,

Trolling? I thought that was your bag; rhetoric over substance anyhow. Still awaiting an answer to my previous Q.

> "Sovereignty is the quality of having an independent authority over a geographic area, such as a territory.[1] It can be found in a power to rule and make laws that rests on a political fact for which no pure legal definition can be provided. In theoretical terms, the idea of "sovereignty", historically, from Socrates to Thomas Hobbes, has always necessitated a moral imperative on the entity exercising it."
> You seem to have a poor grasp of what the word 'Independence' means too, or as Alex Salmond come up with his own definition.

I have a better grasp it seems than you! Given that you cannot see that there are always compromises to "authority": international markets, trade agreements, international law.. ..worse EU law. The UK's sovereignty is relative, and so would it be for an "independent" Scotland.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

> Well it would mean Scotland gets complete freedom to tax and spend as Scotland sees fit.

Only insomuch as is determined by necessities like controlling inward investment, keeping the rating agencies happy etc etc. It's relatively independent of Westminster, but not independent full stop.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

My preference is:
A - sterling zone - irrespective of the political "nos"
B - independent currency
 Andy Hardy 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

Those would apply in any event. My point was that without a c.u. there is greater flexibility / more options for a Scottish chancellor than within c.u.

The whole point of independence is to be free of Westminster surely?
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

> Those would apply in any event. My point was that without a c.u. there is greater flexibility / more options for a Scottish chancellor than within c.u.

Well yes, but they'd be initially more curtailing in an independent Scotland with a new independent currency.

> The whole point of independence is to be free of Westminster surely?

Relatively more so.. ..yes. But Salmond's vision of independence is pro-EU.. ..which means his vision of independence also includes implicit sacrifices to independence there, so there is always any which vision is expressed some kind of compromised independence.
 PeterM 27 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:


> The whole point of independence is to be free of Westminster surely?

As has been pointed out to me, we'd be freer and more independent if we had a CU

 PeterM 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> rhetoric over substance anyhow.

Coming from a Nationalist that's a bit rich as that seems to be all the SNP is at the moment.


contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:
> As has been pointed out to me, we'd be freer and more independent if we had a CU

Relatively more so. In what way do you think Stiglitz is wrong on that, for example?
Post edited at 15:51
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:

> Coming from a Nationalist that's a bit rich as that seems to be all the SNP is at the moment.

I'm a Londoner, living in a Dundee. Certainly no nationalist!
 MG 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

Well you're swallowing and then spouting every line the SNP come up with so I would say you are a nationalist. What has Stiglitz said regarding degree of independence?
 Andy Hardy 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:
> Well yes, but they'd be initially more curtailing in an independent Scotland with a new independent currency.

Who mentioned a new currency? For umpteenth time Scotland does not need a currency union to keep using the pound. What is it thatthe SNP find so hard about this concept?

> Relatively more so.. ..yes. [...]

Thanks - I might print this off and frame it
Post edited at 16:03
 Bruce Hooker 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> 1) Scotland becomes independent, which make it bit more likely for Tories to win the next GE.

The polls show Labour winning easily with or without Scotland - again this has already been covered.

Concerning the setting up of a currency, this too was covered in the discussion about the enormous importance of the Scottish financial sector, far more than oil. This would, according to various posts, be affected by the setting up of a new currency based on a small country... It's not a flick with a magic wand job.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to MG:

I'm not reading the SNP stuff on this. It's clearly enough to react to better together to create the impression of a united front though! I have been reading the economic advice though, Macpherson's recently, Stiglitz et al before:
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/0041/00414291.pdf
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

> Who mentioned a new currency? For umpteenth time Scotland does not need a currency union to keep using the pound. What is it that the SNP find so hard about this concept?

I did. The fiscal commission did. The SNP did. I don't really care what you are saying for the umpteenth time. Except if necessary in the short term, I don't see why Scotland would use Sterling if it were to be outwith a currency union.. .."because they could" is not a reason.

> Thanks - I might print this off and frame it

Feel free.
 PeterM 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

Fig 7.01 made me laugh...
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

According to the polls, if Cameron wins and then advises not to leave the EU the polls get hugely reversed.. that was what yougov were just saying on 5live.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:

> Fig 7.01 made me laugh...

It would!
 PeterM 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:


Well we apparently are not having either our own currency or a Currency Union, so what's the plan?
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to silhouette:

I'd have thought it would be quite significant, wouldnt you pay tax in the country of your head office? Not sure though. be interesting to know.
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Bruce Hooker:

> The polls show Labour winning easily with or without Scotland - again this has already been covered.

Of course odds for labour look good with or without independence, because of the London bouroughs, but you never know, they have been dropping in the polls with the recovering economy, so it's far from being won.

> Concerning the setting up of a currency, this too was covered in the discussion about the enormous importance of the Scottish financial sector, far more than oil. This would, according to various posts, be affected by the setting up of a new currency based on a small country... It's not a flick with a magic wand job.


Ok fair enough but I am not saying anywhere that it would be easy.
But tell us why you think that Scotland wouldn't be able to sort out these issues and be a successful country for future generations ?
So far we hear the No camp saying a lot about what we might loose right after independence, but they don't say much about how Scotland could be more successful within the current UK framework.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:
> Well we apparently are not having either our own currency or a Currency Union, so what's the plan?

You are advocating army rules.. .."B.T. say jump.. ..Scotland asks how high". I dispute those rules.
Post edited at 16:27
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> According to the polls, if Cameron wins and then advises not to leave the EU the polls get hugely reversed.. that was what yougov were just saying on 5live.

Sure, the point is, there is some small risk to leave the EU as part of the UK, as well as there is some small risks to never able to join the EU in an independent Scotland.
My point is, that when people argue that staying in the UK would guarantee EU membership, it's simply not true.
 PeterM 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> You are advocating army rules.. .."B.T. say jump.. ..Scotland says how high". I dispute those rules.

WTF? I'm not advocating any such thing. The report's been put together with out actually consulting anyone and they have, rightly or wrongly, made some assumptions. Now it seems some assumptions are wrong and they have not catered for that so they appear a bit stuck. By the way that report is a very good example of 'rhetoric over substance' particularly the 'recommendations' section...
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:
> According to the polls, if Cameron wins and then advises not to leave the EU the polls get hugely reversed.. that was what yougov were just saying on 5live.

Thinking about it, this poll shows how completely irrational and bonkers people are on this issue lol.
Post edited at 16:34
 Sir Chasm 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> You are advocating army rules.. .."B.T. say jump.. ..Scotland asks how high". I dispute those rules.

If Scotland votes for independence there will be no BT. There will be iScotland and rUK. And neither country will be able to insist that the other joins it in a currency union.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:

> WTF? I'm not advocating any such thing. The report's been put together with out actually consulting anyone

Au contraire. Westminster and BT have refused and continue to refuse to discuss this. It takes two to tango, but at the moment the Yes campaign are getting the blame for BT and Westminster's refusal to discuss.
 PeterM 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

Forgive me if I'm wrong, but whatever the circumstances, nobody was consulted. They may very well have refused the opportunity to be consulted, but the point still stands: assumptions were made as nobody was (or wanted to be) consulted.
 Bruce Hooker 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> But tell us why you think that Scotland wouldn't be able to sort out these issues and be a successful country for future generations ?

Difficult... as I haven't said that. Hardly anyone has on these last few threads, just one of two have implied it by saying "let them have their independence, and see what happens" but even these were more having a dig than seriously affirming that Scotland was incapable. Given the number of Scots PMs, Chancellors and such like over the years it would be hard to justify. There have been quite few Scottish politicians more capable than Salmond and Sturgeon, best not to judge everyone by these two.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:
> Forgive me if I'm wrong, but whatever the circumstances, nobody was consulted. They may very well have refused the opportunity to be consulted, but the point still stands: assumptions were made as nobody was (or wanted to be) consulted.

Nobody wanted to be consulted, but independent economists were. And while no-one in Westminster wanted to be consulted, we have had a highly partisan appearance from a senior civil servant: Macpherson, though many of his specific points are readily transcendable. It's all politics, and that's why I don't accept Westminster's "no" at face value.. ..it's the obvious political move to try to force the issue before a vote. After a vote is a different matter.. ..as confirmed by the Tory deputy MSP.
Post edited at 17:39
 lynx3555 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:
In the industry that I work in you get a broad range of both Scots and English (a few Welsh and NI as well), ove the past few years now I've noticed a lot of my English work colleagues have began to express their desire to exit The EU. One rig I was on early last year, virtually all the people I sat with in the TV lounge seemed to be very opposed to the EU. An item would come on the news, usually referring to immigration and with references to the EU, and with out fail it would start a debate amongst them with Quotes like: "I'm not a racist, I just want my country back", " We should just send them back and shut our boarders"; "We should leave the EU", "Joining the EU was a big mistake", "Fcuk the EU" and many many more negative anti EU statements.
On Facebook I have observed quite a large amount of ELD propaganda being posted by my English friends and Work colleagues...some of the more extreme UK nationalists have binned me from Facebook because I've been posting too much independence stuff...
My point is.....There is a very real risk that England will vote to leave the EU...or the uncertainty amongst buisness, foreign investment etc... leading up to the referendum, will likely be simular to the situation Scotland is facing today.
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:
If they post ELD propaganda they aren't going to be the smartest most liberal bunch.. and generally I'd not class riggers as liberalists...

I dont think there is much of a risk. People will be told of what will happen, money wont come in, trade, tourism, jobs.

The US, under Bush, was going to crack down on illegal immigrants. the farming industry just said quietly.. do that and we all stop producing..

Its the same in the UK, but we also got huge research money, government money.. we pay into Europe but we get a lot out.

Its like with Independence, many are for it as an ideal, yet when a company like SL says, well we may move south, suddenly that ideal comes less important...
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> Au contraire. Westminster and BT have refused and continue to refuse to discuss this. It takes two to tango, but at the moment the Yes campaign are getting the blame for BT and Westminster's refusal to discuss.

No, why should there be a debate?

You've still not answered the question why do you want to be dependent on the UK. You need our bank to act as your lender of last resort.. yet you want independence..

You said Ireland went it alone, I dont think they wanted that did they?
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Of course odds for labour look good with or without independence, because of the London bouroughs, but you never know, they have been dropping in the polls with the recovering economy, so it's far from being won.

> Ok fair enough but I am not saying anywhere that it would be easy.

> But tell us why you think that Scotland wouldn't be able to sort out these issues and be a successful country for future generations ?

> So far we hear the No camp saying a lot about what we might loose right after independence, but they don't say much about how Scotland could be more successful within the current UK framework.

I think Scotland can be successful, I just dont think it will be under Salmond, he's shown with Academia how he'll cut off his nose for personal gain.. he's insistence of being dependent on the UK yet dependent on us would almost certainly destroy the Scotland banking sector.. he's just doing it because short term thats the best option..and he'll be gone by then known for being the man to take Scotland independent.. he's an egomaniac.
 lynx3555 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:
They aren't just "Riggers".....and from that comment I assume that you think all "Riggers" are thick?
 RomTheBear 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:
> I think Scotland can be successful, I just dont think it will be under Salmond, he's shown with Academia how he'll cut off his nose for personal gain.. he's insistence of being dependent on the UK yet dependent on us would almost certainly destroy the Scotland banking sector.. he's just doing it because short term thats the best option..and he'll be gone by then known for being the man to take Scotland independent.. he's an egomaniac.

Well I agree, even though as much as I dislike Salmond and Sturgeon they can hardly be more full of shite than Gideon and Dave.
But Scotland independence is not really about Salmond is it ? At least I hope not for Scotland because it would be very sad... Most people I know who are supporting independence actually do not care at all about the SNP and the fallacies of the white paper, they simply want self determination and are fed up with the politics of Westminster which do not represent Scotland very much.
Post edited at 19:05
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

Apologies.. "On Facebook I have observed quite a large amount of ELD propaganda being posted by my English friends and Work colleagues..."

They come across as real oxbridge types..
Jim C 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Sir Chasm:

There won't be cu, get over it.

Not for me to get over anything Sir C, I am simply pointing out where all the parties lack credibility by doing u turns in the past.
Some people who desperately don't want the CU deal, are clutching at an honour in politics that does not exist.

My personal view ( even if I vote no, but enough others vote yes) is that 'no' , 'never' , 'over my dead body' or whatever way NO is said in politics , it is rarely ever final.

As I pointed out earlier, Standard Life proved my point exactly by saying they MAY , move parts of their business to England, if there was no CU deal.
Did they not hear all 3 parties rule it out ? Apparently not.

The SNP can now point to that, 'May' and say that David Nish SL CEO ( a Scotsman) also thinks the other parties may be bluffing, and the door to CU is not closed.

I'm just reading what others are reading, but, it seems to me it is not enough that there is 'no benefit ' for the UK to do a CU deal, it is that CU deal would be needed ( however unsavoury) to offset some of the negatives to the UK of the UK losing Scotland.

In the event of a yes vote, ( however unlikely that is I accept) all bets are off, and it is a new situation.




 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

No it shouldnt be about the actual leaders, as its a referendum not an election, however people think in the 3-5 year time frame, so it will be a huge factor.

Talk of jobs moving will have an impact. I've seen some quite angry rants by quite intelligent well off Scots in FB today about this, and I think because he knows SL's statement will make there staff think about job security... well paid jobs in Edinburgh.

People dont like leaving Edinburgh never mind Scotland, when SNH moved to Perth from their they had to recruit a lot of staff again.
Jim C 27 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:
. Most people I know who are supporting independence actually do not care at all about the SNP and the fallacies of the white paper, they simply want self determination and are fed up with the politics of Westminster which do not represent Scotland very much.

You have probably totally lost them with that Rom.

If enough Scots think like that, no appeals ( we love you Scotland) , or threats ( Project Fear) no appeal to logic will make any difference, they will vote yes no matter what is thrown their way.
Post edited at 19:52
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim C:

> . Most people I know who are supporting independence actually do not care at all about the SNP and the fallacies of the white paper, they simply want self determination and are fed up with the politics of Westminster which do not represent Scotland very much.

Yep. Most of the doctors in the dept I work in, of Irish, Scottish and English backgrounds, are pro-independence, but they are not SNP supporters, but do seem pretty socialistic.
 Postmanpat 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:
> Yep. Most of the doctors in the dept I work in, of Irish, Scottish and English backgrounds, are pro-independence, but they are not SNP supporters, but do seem pretty socialistic.

What weird comment.

Jim C seems to be making the reasonable comment that when it comes down to it the "yes" supporters basically just think Scotland should be allowed to determine its own future. Your interpretation is, "my "yes" mates are socialists too."

Surely the point is not whether they are left wing or right wing or neither but that they think that Scotland should determine its own future, left, right or neither?
Post edited at 20:16
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> No, why should there be a debate?

Because without it, democratic choice becomes impossible, and only sentimental hopes can be expressed. You either believe in democracy or you don't. Containing and limiting the debate and forcing the superficiality of the issues is the stuff of demagoguey.

> You've still not answered the question why do you want to be dependent on the UK. You need our bank to act as your lender of last resort.. yet you want independence..

I'm not bothered about having so e dependence on the UK. A federal UK, devo max etc would be ok by me. However, the point about independence is that you are always free to move further away from unpalatable political direction, accepting future costs and benefits, without having to have a further referendum, or being dependent on the will of a distal insular political club.

> You said Ireland went it alone, I dont think they wanted that did they?

Alone? No they got into bed with Europe and the Eurozone in the process! That's not true independence.. ..that's not alone. Still, nice of the UK to help bail them out despite the lack of affiliation.
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim C:

I do think its naieve to expect that to suddenly change.. hasnt Salmond himself highlighted that?

The "millstone around or necks" to "we want a sterling zone"..

He's just a politician like them all.

I do agree though that for many this is more than politics. For me it is, I'm pro unions, pro EU, pro UK. I think it is the future and a safer future.

So even if Salmond was Scotlands Mandela I'd still not think it was a good idea, I just think with Salmond it carries such higher risks than we should not countenance a currency union. Certainly not for a long period following independence.

I still fail to see why you want to remain dependent on the UK.
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:
Democracy... so if 3 major parties, who speak for their voters, say no.. they did this on professional advice, not gut instinct or spite.

Democracy works through the politicians. We dont put everything to referendums. You vote for a party to act in your interests. And they are doing so.

That is the democratic process in the UK.

Ireland have been independent for a long time before the euro..
Post edited at 20:31
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Postmanpat:

> What weird comment.

> Jim C seems to be making the reasonable comment that when it comes down to it the "yes" supporters basically just think Scotland should be allowed to determine its own future. Your interpretation is, "my "yes" mates are socialists too."

> Surely the point is not whether they are left wing or right wing or neither but that they think that Scotland should determine its own future, left, right or neither?

See the thread. It's the *reason* that they want greater distance from Westminster. There are many who seem persuaded that the reason to vote yes is for reasons of social justice, and not at all for the ideals of nationalism, or self determination for its own sake.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> Ireland have been independent for a long time before the euro..

Not totally. They only lasted 20 or so years with something like their own currency.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> I do agree though that for many this is more than politics. For me it is, I'm pro unions, pro EU, pro UK. I think it is the future and a safer future.

You happy with the products of the EU like the CFP?
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

No, I'm a marine biologist... But overall I think the EU is good, but its made many errors but I do think we are seeing progression.
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> Not totally. They only lasted 20 or so years with something like their own currency.

I'm not all clued up to be honest, I know they had the punt, but I'm unsure how that was related to the sterling, if at all. If there was any formal link.
 Bruce Hooker 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> There are many who seem persuaded that the reason to vote yes is for reasons of social justice, and not at all for the ideals of nationalism, or self determination for its own sake.

Look at history, Nationalism always starts with demagogy and "socialistic" policies, or social justice.
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> See the thread. It's the *reason* that they want greater distance from Westminster. There are many who seem persuaded that the reason to vote yes is for reasons of social justice, and not at all for the ideals of nationalism, or self determination for its own sake.

I took that as the politics of Westminster, the corruption, the lies, the switching positions.
 Postmanpat 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> See the thread. It's the *reason* that they want greater distance from Westminster. There are many who seem persuaded that the reason to vote yes is for reasons of social justice, and not at all for the ideals of nationalism, or self determination for its own sake.

Well for may of them yes but surely the underlying point ( I don't want to put words onto Jim C's mouth although this seems to be what his words said) is that for many it is the national self determination that matters more than what is determined.

It seems as odd to me to make the decision on the basis of current political leanings as it does on short terms economic criteria.
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Postmanpat:

> Well for may of them yes but surely the underlying point ( I don't want to put words onto Jim C's mouth although this seems to be what his words said) is that for many it is the national self determination that matters more than what is determined.

That was my take..

I wonder how much demographics affects this..

I'd expect the young, more idealistic, to be more pro Yes.

But the ones with family, middle aged more no..

And then the elderly, secure financially (but not invested in industries affected) more Yes..

I'd expect academia an finance to be against though regardless of age.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Postmanpat:

> Well for may of them yes but surely the underlying point ( I don't want to put words onto Jim C's mouth although this seems to be what his words said) is that for many it is the national self determination that matters more than what is determined.

> It seems as odd to me to make the decision on the basis of current political leanings as it does on short terms economic criteria.

I'll let JimC answer for himself. However or me the two go together the facility to self determine and the ability to achieve a desirable endpoint.. ..because they involve more local responsive democratic axes, smaller living etc
 Postmanpat 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:
> I'll let JimC answer for himself. However or me the two go together the facility to self determine and the ability to achieve a desirable endpoint.. ..because they involve more local responsive democratic axes, smaller living etc

Shhesh, but what makes you so sure that your "desirable endpoint" will always be the majority's? Are you suggesting all small countries are naturally left wing?
Post edited at 21:24
Tim Chappell 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

I have a strong suspicion that people may be coming over all Braveheart when a pollster approaches them... who in the actual polling booth in September will display a bit less nationalist bravado and a bit more common sense.

I certainly hope so. Because so far as I can see, from any real-world point of view, in the last fortnight the Yes campaign's goose has been well and truly cooked.

Today's news is a good example of this: Standard Life say they don't like the business prospects following a Yes vote, Swinney makes a desperate attempt to argue that this means Westminster should have backed currency union, any medium-sized beetle can see that what it actually means is that a Yes vote would be suicidal for Scottish business.

The SNP packed their bags and left reality some time ago, didn't they? Their only hope now is that people will vote on fantasy grounds. And that, of course, is precisely what I hope won't happen.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Postmanpat:

> Shhesh, but what makes you so sure that your "desirable endpoint" will always be the majority's? Are you suggesting all small countries are naturally left wing?

That's not what I said. I was saying that smaller democracies are more responsive.
In reply to IainRUK:
> (In reply to lynx3555)
> The questions being raised should be welcomed.. what are our currency options? These are questions an independent Scotland needs to answer, t get all upset that these are being asked suggests they couldnt manage a piss up in a brewery...

The Scots could certainly manage that, be experts in it one should imagine.

As to whether they could organise one, that's open to debate.....
 Postmanpat 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> That's not what I said. I was saying that smaller democracies are more responsive.

And what's this got to do with being socialistic?
Jim C 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

Just because I point out issues with no camp arguments, does not mean I am a Yes voter Iain I am , as yet, an undecided.( I am also NOT an SNP supporter. )

I travel to work and back, ( with an 'evil Tory' ) good friend of mine. Some mornings I disagree with his anti SNP /Labour/ lib dem rants, but quite often we agree
( note no rants about UKIP)

After a heated 20min debate on whatever, we wish each other a good day at work, and head off to our jobs, still friends. That is what should happen after the SI vote, whatever way it goes.

He sees a yes voter as a voter quite clearly pro the SNP, and against the rest of the UK. A negative vote.
IF I were to vote yes, it would be because I think that , long term , it is best for Scotland's future, but not to 'do down' the rest of the UK.

If I vote no, again it is not against Scotland , or that I think that it could not make it on it's own, but rather that,it could, but chose not to do so. I could not care less about political parties as far as the SI vote is concerned, as I am thinking longer term ,and parties will adapt in time.

I can certainly see all the contradictions in the SNP position for myself. ( as I can in the other camp) But, I am trying to see the merit of reasoned arguments on a likely long term outcome based on a yes or a no. I am ignoring the posturing, 'golden promises ', as well as the threats, and scare tactics . Not to say that there are not genuine concerns , or real benefits, hidden in there.

I will vote not for a political party, or political figure, but for the best interest of my family and people living in Scotland in the the longer term .

Will a independent Scotland be a better place to live for my children and grandchildren, not on day one, or year one or even decade one.
This is for the long term, and , I will never be asked this question again in my lifetime.

I will give it by best shot not to be swayed by false / exaggerated arguments from either side. I hope others will too.


contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Postmanpat:

> And what's this got to do with being socialistic?

Because in this particular case, the case of Scotland, a smaller more local democracy will precipitate more socialistic an outlook given the predisposition of the electorate here!
 Postmanpat 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> Because in this particular case, the case of Scotland, a smaller more local democracy will precipitate more socialistic an outlook given the predisposition of the electorate here!

Gordon Bennett, they are now, (as it happens, partly as a result of what they think Westminster did to them). They weren't particularly 50 years ago. They may not be in a few years time. It's not genetic you know.
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Postmanpat:

> Gordon Bennett, they are now, (as it happens, partly as a result of what they think Westminster did to them). They weren't particularly 50 years ago. They may not be in a few years time. It's not genetic you know.

So we shift right again. That's fine.. ..it's still more democratically responsive.
 Postmanpat 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> So we shift right again. That's fine.. ..it's still more democratically responsive.

Yes, but not necessarily more "socialistic".
contrariousjim 27 Feb 2014
In reply to Postmanpat:

> Yes, but not necessarily more "socialistic".

No. That's a coincident factor. I'm happy with a tighter democratic axis whatever it produces.
 Postmanpat 27 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> No. That's a coincident factor. I'm happy with a tighter democratic axis whatever it produces.

Which is why your first reply to Jim C was kind of bizarre in that it conflated self determination with socialism.
 lynx3555 27 Feb 2014
In reply to alastairmac: Good news for Scotland but bad news for the "Better together" supporters, but I'm sure we'll get an announcement from some one saying we can't have that as well......
"Wealth levels of an independent Scotland will be comparable with countries that enjoy a Triple-A credit rating, ratings agency Standard & Poor’s has said.
In a newly released report, the company today has confirmed that even without North Sea Oil revenue, a newly independent Scotland would "qualify for our highest economic assessment"
http://newsnetscotland.com/index.php/referendum/8806-credit-agency-confirms...


 Cuthbert 27 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

I've driven a lot over the last few days on the roads of use highlands. No sign of the billions.
> You cant blame them, they operate over a decades time span, they need to know tax rates, interest rates over the medium term at least.

If you say that. Please tell us what the interest rates will be in ten years.

Sorry I can't be bothered reading the rest of the thread.
 lynx3555 27 Feb 2014
In reply to alastairmac: it appears, that any move that any company based in Scotland makes that could be viewed as a possible move south, is then leapt on by the press and head lined like this....
http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-2564323/Lloyds-offshoot-...

When in reality they were just doing this....
http://yes2014.net/2014/02/27/another-myth-debunked-tsb-sticking-with-scotl...

There's some real low life scum working against Scotland at the moment...all ways has been I suppose but now it's every low life scum from all the UK's political parties and lots of its media.
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

you are very accepting of a story that suits..

Alba, eh? I'm not even answering that. Look at the £'s history, fairly stable, we can control it.. if SL was in a separate economy?
 Banned User 77 27 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

that doesnt say much.. it just says 'has a presence'..

Thats very different to where the head office is...

Still unclear as I see it..
 lynx3555 28 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:
"Lloyds offshoot TSB is to be domiciled in London amid growing fears of an independent Scotland.
The move raises questions over the future of the state-backed lender north of the border if there is a ‘yes’ vote in September’s referendum."

So TSB register a company in London and this bunch of idiots link it to the independence bid...no correspondence with the TSB, they just neatly made up this classic bit of scaremongering and put it out to scare people....you could call it "passive terrorism" aimed at scaring the Scots into submitting to the shite old UK.
The reality as tweeted by the TSB is quite different, but then I guess you won't see any of the press that reported this retract it with an apology, or just report the facts of the matter.
Makes you a bit suspicious of anything that is oozing out of your very bias media.
 lynx3555 28 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> you are very accepting of a story that suits..

That's frickin' classic coming from you....do you really think most of Scotland is buying your crap coming from your "Better together" numpties.

 Mike Stretford 28 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:
> Good news for Scotland but bad news for the "Better together" supporters, but I'm sure we'll get an announcement from some one saying we can't have that as well......

> "Wealth levels of an independent Scotland will be comparable with countries that enjoy a Triple-A credit rating, ratings agency Standard & Poor’s has said.

The report also highlights the potential problems if you read it all, but does conclude with

"In short, the challenge for Scotland to go it alone would be significant, but not unsurpassable."

Which is spot on. This is about whether Scots want self determination or not. UK politicians are correct in not entering any negotiations until that has been anwered. Ruling out a currency union is just pointing out the obvious given recent difficulties.
Post edited at 06:48
contrariousjim 28 Feb 2014
In reply to Postmanpat:

> Which is why your first reply to Jim C was kind of bizarre in that it conflated self determination with socialism.

No. I said people appear to want it for social democratic reasons.. ..independence being a mechanism for the democratic expression thereof. Not that it always will be.. ..that it *is now*.
 lynx3555 28 Feb 2014
In reply to Papillon:

> The report also highlights the potential problems if you read it all, but does conclude with
Yes I read it all...and yes it will be a challenge but as they say it's not unsurpassable....Just like the ruk who will also likely be facing big challenges after we leave. Life's all about challenges, even during caveman times those with vision would have likely been clubbed by those who wanted to maintain the status quo....still plenty of that going on these days.

> Which is spot on. This is about whether Scots want self determination or not. UK politicians are correct in not entering any negotiations until that has been anwered. Ruling out a currency union is just pointing out the obvious given recent difficulties.
No doubt we'll just continue using the £ until we transfer to whatever currency we decide as our permanent currency. I really hope we do bin the £, life will go on.....

 Banned User 77 28 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

> Yes I read it all...and yes it will be a challenge but as they say it's not unsurpassable....Just like the ruk who will also likely be facing big challenges after we leave. Life's all about challenges, even during caveman times those with vision would have likely been clubbed by those who wanted to maintain the status quo....still plenty of that going on these days.

> No doubt we'll just continue using the £ until we transfer to whatever currency we decide as our permanent currency. I really hope we do bin the £, life will go on.....

like what challenges?

 Banned User 77 28 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

"still unclear as I see it"

try and read the words...
 Postmanpat 28 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> No. I said people appear to want it for social democratic reasons.. ..independence being a mechanism for the democratic expression thereof. Not that it always will be.. ..that it *is now*.

What you said was this, "Yep. Most of the doctors in the dept I work in, of Irish, Scottish and English backgrounds, are pro-independence, but they are not SNP supporters, but do seem pretty socialistic." which just seemed, and still seems, to be a non sequitur.

Jim C says, many people want independence because they want self determination for the sake of self determination and you say "yes, I agree they want it for socialistic reasons".

You still don't seem to understand that yours was a non sequitur.

Incidentally, I am quite happy to a agree that some people want independence for the sake of self determination , some people want it because they want socialism, and some people want it because they think self determination will bring socialism (you, I assume). Some people may even want it because they believe self determination will undermine socialism.
 off-duty 28 Feb 2014
In reply to lynx3555:

> Yes I read it all...and yes it will be a challenge but as they say it's not unsurpassable....Just like the ruk who will also likely be facing big challenges after we leave. Life's all about challenges, even during caveman times those with vision would have likely been clubbed by those who wanted to maintain the status quo....still plenty of that going on these days.

Life may be "all about challenges" but planning for the future by relying on cliches probably isn't the wisest move.

It's a challenge to get on with life after amputating ones leg. That doesn't mean it's a very good idea.
In reply to off-duty:

But can that other leg stand on it's own two feet?

(sorry, a gag from another thread that used a similar analogy
 RomTheBear 28 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim C:

> . Most people I know who are supporting independence actually do not care at all about the SNP and the fallacies of the white paper, they simply want self determination and are fed up with the politics of Westminster which do not represent Scotland very much.

> You have probably totally lost them with that Rom.

> If enough Scots think like that, no appeals ( we love you Scotland) , or threats ( Project Fear) no appeal to logic will make any difference, they will vote yes no matter what is thrown their way.

Well yes I do think that people try to think too much this independence thing.
I could sum it up this way.
- I see no reasons why an independent Scotland wouldn't be a successful country in the long term, the country has resources and its people are no more stupid than any other people on the planet.
- There is no way to rationally predict whether Scotland will be better off in or out of the UK, short or long term.
- That said, whether you want to break off from the UK is just a matter of whether you really want to manage your own affairs, or not.

Problem is that the debate seems to be focused on HOW we would break up from the UK rather than WHY, but deep down most people made their choice unconsciously based on their cultural ties with the UK more than anything else.

This is anecdotal of course but most of my friends who are against independence are usually English living in Scotland, or Scot with English wife, or Scots who lived in England for a long time, and the most supporters of the Yes are often those born in Scotland and who never left, or foreigners who made Scotland their new home.

Then you see all of these people trying to make lots of different rational points about independence or the union, when in fact deep down they are simply defending their cultural and national identity.
 Banned User 77 28 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Well yes I do think that people try to think too much this independence thing.

> I could sum it up this way.

> - I see no reasons why an independent Scotland wouldn't be a successful country in the long term, the country has resources and its people are no more stupid than any other people on the planet.

> - There is no way to rationally predict whether Scotland will be better off in or out of the UK, short or long term.

> - That said, whether you want to break off from the UK is just a matter of whether you really want to manage your own affairs, or not.

> Problem is that the debate seems to be focused on HOW we would break up from the UK rather than WHY, but deep down most people made their choice unconsciously based on their cultural ties with the UK more than anything else.

I think this is true. Deep down we have a natural stance, insticntive support for unions or independence. But then in the secrecy of the poll booth I think people will vote with a short term view.. 3-5 years and so politics matters.


 jonnie3430 28 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:
> I could sum it up this way.

> - I see no reasons why an independent Scotland wouldn't be a successful country in the long term, the country has resources and its people are no more stupid than any other people on the planet.

> - There is no way to rationally predict whether Scotland will be better off in or out of the UK, short or long term.

I would say that short term, it will be worse off as all the existing systems have to be dismantled from the UK and started again in Scotland. I think this will be a messy process and lots of money and time will be wasted until we get systems that may be different to what they were before, causing frustration. I have about 30 years of work left and I'd rather do them in a settled economy than the more chaotic one of Scotland after independence.

> - That said, whether you want to break off from the UK is just a matter of whether you really want to manage your own affairs, or not.

Not true, you won't be managing anything, other than the trip to the polling booth. Politicians and civil servants will be managing everything, same as is happening now.
Post edited at 10:08
 Andy Hardy 28 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:

> [...] I don't see why Scotland would use Sterling if it were to be outwith a currency union.. .."because they could" is not a reason.
[...]

But "Scotland's businesses do most of their business within the UK" is a reason. http://www.scottisheconomywatch.com/brian-ashcrofts-scottish/2013/11/indepe...


 Banned User 77 28 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

I suppose they could use the euro, but that would be problematic at first. But there's a few examples in Europe of countries that adopted it, yet not in the euro zone.

But getting formally into the euro will take a long time..

I think a third option of a new currency would just be hugely isolating and expensive to implement.
 off-duty 28 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

You can't have it both ways.
Either it's an irrational decision based on gut feeling, sentiment and national pride, or it's a rational decision based on a considered opinion on the pros and cons (whether that decision is Yes or No).

"I can think of no reason why independent Scotland wouldn't be a successful country...." invites a debate on the facts and figures, which you then dismiss as having no bearing on the actual decision.
 Andy Hardy 28 Feb 2014
In reply to off-duty:

>[...]

> "I can think of no reason why independent Scotland wouldn't be a successful country...." invites a debate [...]

Or might be the debating equivalent of 'la la la I'm not listening'...
 RomTheBear 28 Feb 2014
In reply to off-duty:

> You can't have it both ways.

> Either it's an irrational decision based on gut feeling, sentiment and national pride, or it's a rational decision based on a considered opinion on the pros and cons (whether that decision is Yes or No).

> "I can think of no reason why independent Scotland wouldn't be a successful country...." invites a debate on the facts and figures, which you then dismiss as having no bearing on the actual decision.

I could ask you the same thing and ask you provide evidence that the UK would still be successful in a 100 years with facts of figures, but nobody can. Does the fact that you can't predict tomorrow mean that we should all leave the UK for a different place ? Probably not.
All you can do is assume that with its current human and material resources there is no reason to think that the UK would descend into chaos any time soon. The same could be said of Scotland.

Now the real question is whether Scots identify themselves as British and Scottish, or only Scottish, and whether they want to manage their own affairs or not. Both options are equally good and valid, but it's more a matter of national identity than a purely rational decision really.
 RomTheBear 28 Feb 2014
In reply to IainRUK:

> I think this is true. Deep down we have a natural stance, insticntive support for unions or independence. But then in the secrecy of the poll booth I think people will vote with a short term view.. 3-5 years and so politics matters.

I think that this is the huge pool of undecided people who are mostly going decide on practical short term issues, and the two campaigns are trying to grab them with scare and lure tactics. IMHO this is too bad.
 PeterM 28 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> I could ask you the same thing and ask you provide evidence that the UK would still be successful in a 100 years with facts of figures, but nobody can. Does the fact that you can't predict tomorrow mean that we should all leave the UK for a different place ? Probably not.

> All you can do is assume that with its current human and material resources there is no reason to think that the UK would descend into chaos any time soon. The same could be said of Scotland.

> Now the real question is whether Scots identify themselves as British and Scottish, or only Scottish, and whether they want to manage their own affairs or not. Both options are equally good and valid, but it's more a matter of national identity than a purely rational decision really.


With that post you really have ended the debate - Independence for all! Actually, on the basis of what has, and in some cases has not been said, by politicians, it looks like it could lead to financial, fiscal, and social difficulties for Scotland. I really hope it doesn't but as hard and fast facts and plans do not figure in what you are now calling a decision of the heart then let's just pray we get lucky. Uncertainty has never been so much fun..
 RomTheBear 28 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

> >[...]

> Or might be the debating equivalent of 'la la la I'm not listening'...

I am perfectly listening but so far I haven't heard any argument why Scotland could never be a successful country on its own. If you know why I would be glad to hear it.
 Cuthbert 28 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:

I'm pretty happy about the British Airways intervention. Are you?
 PeterM 28 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> I am perfectly listening but so far I haven't heard any argument why Scotland could never be a successful country on its own. If you know why I would be glad to hear it.

..Because it won't be attractive to businesses for investment, no central bank for security..potentially higher costs with regard to tax... This is one of the problems - there's no info from the snp and business is uncertain about it all and they do not like uncertainty when planning their future. It is not rocket science
 PeterM 28 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

If you mean:

"If anything, it [Scottish independence] will be slightly positive, since we believe it will abolish air passenger duty," he told BBC Breakfast.

Then no, not really..
 RomTheBear 28 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:
> ..Because it won't be attractive to businesses for investment, no central bank for security..potentially higher costs with regard to tax... This is one of the problems - there's no info from the snp and business is uncertain about it all and they do not like uncertainty when planning their future. It is not rocket science

No it's not rocket science, just look at a map a have a look at countries who are similar in size and population to Scotland in the developed world. So far all of them have very good standard of living and, if anything, you could say that many of them are doing marginally better than the UK on several fronts.
Now if you know why Scotland can't ultimately achieve the same it would be interesting to know.
Post edited at 12:31
 Cuthbert 28 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

Norway and the UK discovered oil at the same time. In that time the UK has increased it massive debt and Norway has a massive oil fund. It's a no-brainer.
In reply to Saor Alba:

Of course Scotland didn't benefit from the tax cuts that were funded by the oil, it was only the English, Welsh & N Irish that got tax cuts.

(Yes, the UK f*cked big style with the oil money)
 Sir Chasm 28 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Norway and the UK discovered oil at the same time. In that time the UK has increased it massive debt and Norway has a massive oil fund. It's a no-brainer.

Some things are always going to be no-brainershttp://www.economist.com/news/britain/21597890-scottish-nationalists-are-ri...
 Sir Chasm 28 Feb 2014
In reply to Saor Alba:

> Norway and the UK discovered oil at the same time. In that time the UK has increased it massive debt and Norway has a massive oil fund. It's a no-brainer.

Some things are always going to be no-brainershttp://www.economist.com/news/britain/21597890-scottish-nationalists-are-ri...
 Cuthbert 28 Feb 2014
In reply to Graeme Alderson:

Massively so. The rich have low taxes, the infrastructure in Scotland is shocking, there are higher levels of poverty than any Scandinavian country, the UK is one of the most unequal countries in the world, and your solution keep with the system that caused all this.

The UK did mess up very badly with the oil money. Very badly and continues to do so.
contrariousjim 28 Feb 2014
In reply to Postmanpat:

> Jim C says, many people want independence because they want self determination for the sake of self determination and you say "yes, I agree they want it for socialistic reasons".
> You still don't seem to understand that yours was a non sequitur.

He said they are fed up with the politics of Westminster, and that Westminster was not representative. What politics are they fed up with? What political difference is being articulated? What is the deficit in political representation to which Jim referred. My comments led straight from these by Jim, an observation he made anecdotally supported by my experience.
 PeterM 28 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

Is that it? That's your basis for it? Like talking to a two year old..Our circumstances are unique. And as for oil fund nonsense I'm sure we'll set one up but you're sadly mistaken if you think we can emulate Norway. You would've had to set that up at the start. That ship has sailed.
 Andy Hardy 28 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> I am perfectly listening but so far I haven't heard any argument why Scotland could never be a successful country on its own. If you know why I would be glad to hear it.

Nobody doubts that Scotland *could* be successful. The debate is centred on the *how*. Each time YES have proposed something, there always seem to be practical difficulties in getting it to happen, which are either dismissed with 'it'll be alright on the night' or 'it's all Westminsters fault' or 'you don't understand the problem because you don't live in Scotland' or 'that's typical of BT's negative campaigning'
 RomTheBear 28 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:

> Is that it? That's your basis for it? Like talking to a two year old..Our circumstances are unique. And as for oil fund nonsense I'm sure we'll set one up but you're sadly mistaken if you think we can emulate Norway. You would've had to set that up at the start. That ship has sailed.

BTW I didn't mention anything about the Oil or Norway. My point of view is that the oil is going to run out at some point anyway so I don't think the oil argument is a good argument for or against Independence since there won't be any in 50 years anyway.
I am not saying that Scotland is not different from all these others countries. What I am saying is that all these small western countries are different from each other and they all found their own specific way to be successful. Exactly what Scotland hopes to do.
 RomTheBear 28 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:

> Nobody doubts that Scotland *could* be successful. The debate is centred on the *how*. Each time YES have proposed something, there always seem to be practical difficulties in getting it to happen, which are either dismissed with 'it'll be alright on the night' or 'it's all Westminsters fault' or 'you don't understand the problem because you don't live in Scotland' or 'that's typical of BT's negative campaigning'

That's my point, the YES campaign is trying to make people believe that there won't be any practical difficulties, which is a plain lie. At the same time the BT campaign seems to bang a lot about the practical difficulties of getting independence but doesn't say much about what Scotland could achieve within the union.
 Banned User 77 28 Feb 2014
In reply to alastairmac:
http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/referendum-news/fergie-donates-to-better-together-and-snubs-the-snps-500-limit.19680216

I was unsure of Ferguson's stance, so googled.. it does seem odd 800,000 Scots living in the UK will have no say..

Anyway he's quite clear by the looks of things.

In fact he obviously dislikes the SNP, dontaed £501 to BT because the SNP asked for a £500 limit on donations from south of the border..
Post edited at 15:19
 RomTheBear 28 Feb 2014
In reply to contrariousjim:
> He said they are fed up with the politics of Westminster, and that Westminster was not representative. What politics are they fed up with? What political difference is being articulated? What is the deficit in political representation to which Jim referred. My comments led straight from these by Jim, an observation he made anecdotally supported by my experience.

Well here is one, in 2010 16.75% of Scots voted Tory. Overall in the UK 36.97% voted Tory, more than twice as much. Just look at a coloured map of the elected MPs and you'll find a clear north/south divide.
That said it is indeed false that Scotland is not well represented, of course they have their MPs in Westminster and so on.

But all this is not really the point, the point is whether the Scots see themselves as a uniquely Scottish and not British. If that's the case it doesn't make much sense for them to have their affairs handled by a government that's not very representative and basically a bit foreign. (Apart from having the benefit to have your politicians not shitting where you live, which is sometimes a good thing)

My guess is that if independence fails it will be simply because there will be a majority of Scots who after all feel quite British and are quite happy to share a common fate with the rest of the UK, regardless of regional differences, the same way that London is predominantly Labour but you don't see Londoners claiming independence from the rest of the UK.
If the opposite is true, then independence makes long term sense, despite maybe some practical difficulties arising from leaving UK.
Post edited at 15:29
 PeterM 28 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:



> But all this is not really the point, the point is whether the Scots see themselves as a uniquely Scottish and not British.

Scots probably do, but those that live in Scotland are made up of all sorts. There's even English people here Some of us don't know what 'being scottish' actually is. This is 2014 and not 1715.

 RomTheBear 28 Feb 2014
In reply to PeterM:
> Scots probably do, but those that live in Scotland are made up of all sorts. There's even English people here Some of us don't know what 'being scottish' actually is. This is 2014 and not 1715.

Well I agree, I am myself not Scottish and I live in Scotland, I live in Edinburgh which is very cosmopolitan city with all sorts of people, sometimes you wonder where are the Scots here . Those who are not Scottish and live in Scotland get to vote in the referendum too, so they will get their voice.
Post edited at 15:44
Jim C 28 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

> That's my point, the YES campaign is trying to make people believe that there won't be any practical difficulties, which is a plain lie. At the same time the BT campaign seems to bang a lot about the practical difficulties of getting independence but doesn't say much about what Scotland could achieve within the union.

But most people with a big of sense can see through false promises, just as they can see through false threats , and false shows of affection.
 Andy Hardy 28 Feb 2014
In reply to RomTheBear:

2010 General Election Scottish Results
Votes (%) Seats (%)
Labour 1,035,528 42 41 69.49
SNP 491,386 19.9 11 18.64
Lib Dem 465,471 18.9 6 10.17
Conservative 412,855 16.7 1 1.69
UKIP 17,223
Green 16,827

Source http://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/images/dynamicImages/file4e3ff1393b87a.p...

Similar results for rUK show that we need electoral reform as parties don't get the number of seats their votes deserve. Scots Tories and Lib Dems are under represented, Labour massively over represented

The same is true in England where Tories have 56% of the seats for their 39% share of the vote. No wonder they don't want PR
 Dr.S at work 28 Feb 2014
In reply to Jim C:

> But most people with a big of sense can see through false promises, just as they can see through false threats , and false shows of affection.

I love you Jim C.
 RomTheBear 28 Feb 2014
In reply to 999thAndy:
> The same is true in England where Tories have 56% of the seats for their 39% share of the vote. No wonder they don't want PR

Well yes the alternative vote system was a good idea to fix that but sadly people voted against it in the referendum, including in Scotland, I have no idea why TBH as this was clearly more democratic, go figure.
Post edited at 16:06

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