In reply to PN82:
> You are spot on, most avalanches and deaths on the mountains are from human error. However what happens if you were to witness an avalanche and you don't have a probe and shovel at the minimum?
> Most deaths from avalanches both in the UK and worldwide comes from asphyxiation, by the time MR is called and arrive on scene those buried could be dead. By carrying a probe, shovel and transceiver you could start the rescue immediately and possibly save a life/save some lives.
Any literature I have read shows most deaths in "Scotland" being trauma the worst factor in avalanches. Maybe I should have been a bit more specific.
http://www.mountainrescuescotland.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/Avalanche-...
Out of all recorded avalanches in a 30 year period, only (I use this word carefully) 14% on injuries have resulted in death where as 54% have resulted in injury (and therefor not death by burial or otherwise). So statistically speaking I am more likely to be injured than I am dying (either by burial or through trauma). If 14% have resulted in death - I don't know the figure here of how many of the deaths were through asphyxiation (I will read some more literature when I get home), but even if 100% of all deaths were through asphyxiation then it would still only be 14% of all avalanche incidents where someone was injured.
So on this basis while I do not want to be in an avalanche, if I was in an avalanche then the chance of me being buried is likely less than 14%. The chances of someone else being in an avalanche and being buried while I am also in the vicinity is going to be even less as before I even leave the house I only do so when the forecast and snowpack history is to my satisfaction. I take acceptance that this means I get to climb a lot less than other people who choose to go out in less stable (but not necessarily dangerous) conditions and then make more on-the-ground decisions on the day.
> This is not a criticism of you at all, the UK is only just start to move towards Transceiver, shovel and probe and is still very small scale but just some food for thought. I believe we will see increased usage of such equipment over the coming years in the UK as well as increased avalanche training and awareness for hill users.
For the majority of winter climbers, stable snow conditions are preferable and route choice, approach and descent decision making is a much more important (and harder to achieve) than having some equipment.
It could even be said that having avalanche gear could in some cases be a heuristic trap either for yourself or others. Someone may take a greater risk on the day knowing they have a transceiver and therefor push on through when they might have otherwise turned back. Like all heuristic traps this can also lead to other people following behind on that basis
-- and I mention this because I have done it, and I am sure you and others have done it as well. Have you ever seen 10 parties going up a gully at various stages, big kicked steps in the snow and then assumed it was safe because well there are people are all stages of the gully and it hasn't avalanched so therefor it must be safe and then followed up - classic heuristic trap! This can apply to avalanche equipment as well and affect other observer's actions.
Scottish terrain isn't like the alps or the greater ranges, and the risk factors and areas are slightly different. On a specific Scottish graded climb you might only have a a pitch of dangerous approach ground which then leads to a long run out, or a cliff / crag. From the avalanches which have occurred in the last few years while some have sadly resulted in burial, the majority have resulted in what is potentially just a very small slab of snow releasing but then putting the victim into a fall over dangerous terrain.