In reply to winhill:
> Not many of the polls are giving Trump much chance, he struggles due to the college system. I'm not sure the Brexit analogy works.
Maybe not. But given the somewhat unexpected way votes have been going as of late, Dave Martin polsters are tipping Trump on this one. In Trump's case especially, being such a polarising candidate and one who clearly says what is not meant to be said, those polled might themselves be unwilling to say the un-say-able ("I'm voting Donald"). Voting day could be very different, and I suspect many are publicly putting on a show of dropping their support as he is pushing the limits of what one can overtly state.
> I'm not sure it's a rational choice but then the disaster is probably much less likely too. Especially if GOP lose the Senate.
Its rational in as far as Trump's protectionist measures would, in the medium term at least, ensure that the jobs automobile workers enjoy wouldn't vanish. I suspect in America, where it is considered entirely acceptable to screw workers in the interests of higher executive pay and dividends, and where this may occur in perfectly solvent companies, protectionist measures are about all the average blue-collar worker has in his favour. These aren't people who are going to be offered retraining and aid to transition in to more sustainable areas of employment. They'll be unceremoniously dumped in the jobless-homeless box with little ability to get out. I can fully understand why they would vote for the only person making a cast-iron statement (for all that's worth from Trump) in support of their livelihoods.