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Chinese HS2 offer

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 Baz P 17 Feb 2020

My partner said that she heard on the news early last week that the Chinese had offered to build HS2 in five years for half of the cost. I’ve not heard any reference to this on the news since, has Boris put a gagging order on it?

 Ridge 17 Feb 2020
In reply to Baz P:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-51521965

Government claims not to have heard about any discussions with China. 

OP Baz P 17 Feb 2020
In reply to Ridge:

Thanks for that. Obviously there are a lot of people not wanting to give up their slice of 100bn. 

 Trangia 17 Feb 2020
In reply to Baz P:

5 years sounds far too long for the Chinese. They've just built a hospital in two weeks

 wbo2 17 Feb 2020
In reply to Baz P:I'd be thinking that if you give the contract to the Chinese you're saving on cost but losing on value.  These big infrastructure projects are partly  to renew UK construction economy,  not  the Chinese, plus their workers. 

 Ridge 17 Feb 2020
In reply to wbo2:

> I'd be thinking that if you give the contract to the Chinese you're saving on cost but losing on value.  These big infrastructure projects are partly  to renew UK construction economy,  not  the Chinese, plus their workers. 

^ This.

I'd be interested if the Chinese costings are based on a command economy dictating labour rates and absence of H&S, and might well substantially increase. However, it's possible we could negotiate a really good apprentice / graduate engineer training scheme on the back of such an offer, (assuming the current government have any interest in the plebs getting something out of it).

 Rob Exile Ward 17 Feb 2020
In reply to Ridge:

... And obviously the Chinese will be completely familiar with our planning laws, our SSIs, our historical sites, and will fully comply with the regs that govern our overcrowded, historically dense little island...

pasbury 17 Feb 2020
In reply to Trangia:

> 5 years sounds far too long for the Chinese. They've just built a hospital in two weeks

Is that not some tents in a field?

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 mondite 17 Feb 2020
In reply to Ridge:

> I'd be interested if the Chinese costings are based on a command economy dictating labour rates and absence of H&S, and might well substantially increase.

They also might not be taking into account the hassle around planning permissions etc. Lot cheaper and quicker when you can vanish any awkward objectors whether thats environmental campaigners or workers being tedious about dangerous working conditions.

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 mrphilipoldham 17 Feb 2020
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

Not to mention the protestors! 

 Padraig 17 Feb 2020
In reply to Baz P:

Will we have enough masks?

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 wintertree 17 Feb 2020
In reply to Baz P:

Buy one railway get one re-education camp for free?

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 Dave Garnett 17 Feb 2020
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

> ... And obviously the Chinese will be completely familiar with our planning laws, our SSIs, our historical sites, and will fully comply with the regs that govern our overcrowded, historically dense little island...

Yes, you can see the attraction, from Johnson's point of view.

 gravy 17 Feb 2020
In reply to Dave Garnett:

Having travelled on Chinese trains I can vouch for them as being fast, efficient, reasonably priced and substantially more pleasant than the offerings in the UK (oh and on time) and they come with hot water dispensers so you can eat pot-noodles on the train as you cruise at 350kph. 

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 Toby_W 17 Feb 2020
In reply to gravy: oh yes, went Shanghai to Beijing and it was great.  Better than flying and our new trains and first class seem pedestrian, shabby, delayed, poor service, over priced and uncomfortable and I love travelling by train or used to.

cheers

toby

 Ridge 17 Feb 2020
In reply to gravy:

They can say what they want about Xi Jinping, but at least the trains run on time.

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 mondite 18 Feb 2020
In reply to Ridge:

> They can say what they want about Xi Jinping, but at least the trains run on time.

The correct saying seems to be:

They cant say what they want about pooh bear, unless they want to end up in a reeducation camp.

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 Phil79 18 Feb 2020
In reply to pasbury:

> Is that not some tents in a field?

No, its a fully functioning hospital; albeit one built off-site in a modular fashion, shipped to site and essentially bolted together.

Post edited at 08:47
 Ridge 18 Feb 2020
In reply to Phil79:

> No, its a fully functioning hospital; albeit one built off-site in a modular fashion, shipped to site and essentially bolted together.

Tesco built a temporary supermarket in less than a week when a road bridge in Workington collapsed. They took the view that it was more cost effective than losing trade, even if they were prosecuted for breaching planning regs.

Chucking up a modular or portal frame building is dead easy, especially if you're a totalitarian regime (not referring to Tesco BTW).

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 mondite 18 Feb 2020
In reply to Phil79:

> No, its a fully functioning hospital; albeit one built off-site in a modular fashion, shipped to site and essentially bolted together.


Although reports indicate its not properly staffed or utilised. Good for the cameras with all those diggers but not overly effective.

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 jkarran 18 Feb 2020
In reply to Baz P:

I suspect this has more to do with sowing the seeds of political division in a competitor nation than a serious bid for an infrastructure project, assuming of course the story originated in China rather than some No.10 back office, nothing like the threat of being shown up by Johnny foreigner to get us all pulling together and ignore what's actually happening.

jk

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 Timmd 18 Feb 2020
In reply to Ridge:

> They can say what they want about Xi Jinping, but at least the trains run on time.

https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2018/11/03/making-trains-r...

Apparently it's a myth about Mussolini doing that. Which is interesting to know.

Post edited at 12:07
 MJAngry 18 Feb 2020
In reply to Baz P:

Get an alternate quote in to scare the current bidders.  Make them really knuckle down their fees etc.

OP Baz P 18 Feb 2020
In reply to MJAngry:

Well, it certainly seems to be turning more into a gravy train than an express train project. 

 Phil79 18 Feb 2020
In reply to mondite:

> Although reports indicate its not properly staffed or utilised. Good for the cameras with all those diggers but not overly effective.

Seems entirely plausible. 

 dh73 18 Feb 2020
In reply to mondite:

I watched a 5 storey building get thrown up in about 4 weeks in China about 25 years ago. No hard hats, flip - flops de rigeur, workers slept on site, build quality awful. But it got done!

best of all, most of the work force were women

In reply to Baz P:

I’d imagine the Chinese contractors might find it hard to get the coolies in this country.

jcm

Post edited at 13:18
 Ian W 18 Feb 2020
In reply to MJAngry:

> Get an alternate quote in to scare the current bidders.  Make them really knuckle down their fees etc.

Dont forget that halving the latest estimate still means an increase on the original estimate of over 35%. It doesnt seem to be an unreasonable thing to do if it makes the contractor sit up and take notice; its about time the taxpayer wasnt seen as a bottomless pit of money for the taking.

 GrahamD 18 Feb 2020
In reply to Baz P:

People can stick their head in the sand and stick to outdated stereotypes if they want.  The Chinese will be cheap because they build a lot of high speed lines in far more difficult terrain and they have a formidable supply chain.

It's a strategic call whether its something we want to get back in this country.  If it is, expect it to cost us a lot more.

Rigid Raider 18 Feb 2020
In reply to Baz P:

To quote what is probably also a myth, in Africa it's said that the Chinese win contracts through super-cheap prices laced with kickbacks, the price achieved by using convicts as labour. The catch is that once the contract has finished the convicts are not allowed to return to China....

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OP Baz P 18 Feb 2020
In reply to Rigid Raider:

They could probably used our 1.2m unemployed then.

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 Timmd 18 Feb 2020
In reply to GrahamD: 

> People can stick their head in the sand and stick to outdated stereotypes if they want.  The Chinese will be cheap because they build a lot of high speed lines in far more difficult terrain and they have a formidable supply chain.

> It's a strategic call whether its something we want to get back in this country.  If it is, expect it to cost us a lot more.

It'd be a good way for them to gain more of a business footing in this country whatever it actually does cost them, too, for them to charge under the odds for a major infrastructure project like HS2, what with Brexit and 'forging a new trading relationship' in mind and things. It strikes me that the Chinese government can name a sum almost and make it happen, if them building HS2 is towards their long term benefit strategically speaking, with it being a one party state and them being in charge, they can decide to absorb the cost. 

I'd be wondering what a regime like China's has in mind in the longer term, not 'because they're Chinese' but because it's the Chinese Communist Party, and how globally they're rather a bully to do with geopolitics. If the Dalai Lama visits a country, they find a way to snub them and then allude to why they did for instance. It's a lovely regime on the world stage.

Post edited at 17:58
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 James Malloch 18 Feb 2020
In reply to Timmd:

> It'd be a good way for them to gain more of a business footing in this country whatever it actually does cost them, too, for them to charge under the odds for a major infrastructure project like HS2, what with Brexit and 'forging a new trading relationship' in mind and things. It strikes me that the Chinese government can name a sum almost and make it happen, if them building HS2 is towards their long term benefit strategically speaking, with it being a one party state and them being in charge, they can decide to absorb the cost. 

There was some interesting things like this in the book Prisoners of Geography. E.g. China funding big ports in poorer countries with overland transport links to them. 

One of them was bound to fail and when it did the Chinese government wrote off the debts but took control of the port and then had a perfect naval base closer to Europe & in a great strategic position.

The particulars of the above example may be a little wrong but the general gist is there. Similar to a lot of the development in Africa which countries are pumping money into - much of it is very strategic and has strings attached to help them out and exert power further afield. 

The geopolitics are fascinating/terrifying.

 Mike_Gannon 18 Feb 2020
In reply to johncoxmysteriously:

You not heard of Brexit? All that's going to happen is the accents of the immigrants will change. Countries lining up to do these "easy" trade deals BoJo and Gove tell us about are all going to give us all the free trade we want. All they'll ask in return is unlimited visas. 

 DaveN 18 Feb 2020
In reply to mondite:

> They also might not be taking into account the hassle around planning permissions etc.

Tbats being sought via a hybrid bill. So essentially "planning permission" will be granted by Parliament. There are requirements to monitor natural history, cultural heritage etc 

 Timmd 18 Feb 2020
In reply to James Malloch: 

> The geopolitics are fascinating/terrifying. 

Yes, there's a lot of neocolonialism happening in Africa under China at the moment, I wouldn't claim to know enough to guess why it's wanting to give us a good deal on building HS2. 

Post edited at 18:46
 BnB 18 Feb 2020
In reply to Timmd:

> Yes, there's a lot of neocolonialism happening in Africa under China at the moment, I wouldn't claim to know enough to guess why it's wanting to give us a good deal on building HS2. 

A “Great Game” is afoot between China and USA. The UK is a juicy pawn in that contest. Witness US horror at our selecting Huawei to install 5G infrastructure.

Post edited at 22:07
 Raymondo 18 Feb 2020
In reply to BnB:

I think the US horror goes a bit wider globally then just the USA.

 Raymondo 18 Feb 2020
In reply to Timmd:

One of our (Australia) biggest exports to China (coal) is now sitting in large bottlenecks at Chinese ports, just after we said no to their Huawei 5G bid, which was rejected on security grounds. The Chinese are supposedly testing coal samples for radioactivity.

 Ridge 18 Feb 2020
In reply to Raymondo:

Makes a change from us having to scan every steel import from China for radioactivity I suppose.

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