In reply to IainRUK:
> UKIPs success has been totally overblown, they've actually gained very little in actual power, councils etc...
This is one of your more stupid posts (or, for someone who is supposed to be a scientist, just intentionally self-deceiving).
They couldn't gain councils in the local elections that were just held, it was mathematically impossible. Nor did their share of the local election vote drop.
British local council elections are not comparable from one year to the next. Roughly 1/3rd of councils have ANY election in any given year, for those that do, only 1/3rd of the seats are up for grabs. This was originally probably intended to make local councils more stable over time. If you compare the map of those councils that were voting in 2013 with those voting in 2014 (1/3rd of the seats that is), 2013 were largely rural shires, with few or no metropolitan areas. 2014 was the reverse, quite a lot of large conurbations, so not natural UKIP territory. Also, in may areas, they did not put up candidates locally, particularly in London, a sensible strategy for a small party with limited funds and resources, so people could not vote for them even if they wanted to.
As they were starting with only 2 seats in the areas voting, and only 1/3rd of the seats were available, many not contested, clearly they could not take any councils, despite jumping to 165. Far from having a drop in the local %, it was a dramatic increase, considering how different the areas voting were.
The commentariat that put this "they did worse than last year locally" story around know it is nonsense - comparing apples with oranges. True in headline figures, but deliberately misleading. Though it was hinted at with reference to the Labour stronghold of Rotherham, where they were described as "winning nearly half the seats THAT WERE AVAILABLE".
In the only national poll that they could fight, the EU elections, they beat all 3 conventional parties, winning in seats and votes. The opinions or inclinations of people who did not vote are irrelevant, no-one can say who they would support if they did do so. For a minor party to beat all the mainstream ones fairly clearly, in a national election, hasn't happened for hundreds of years, if ever.
Post edited at 18:58