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The Compelling Reason To Remain

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 Rob Exile Ward 14 Jun 2016
This is it. It works. It's not been perfect - the rush to expand has admitted some countries that weren't ready, the Euro in particular has been flawed, though the concept is fine.

There's loads to do. Higher profile Euro representatives would be good. A better, more coordinated response to refugees is vital, and on humanitarian grounds, rather than purely selfish ones, would be better still. A recognition that admission to our exclusive club depends upon certain inalienable human rights, so sorry, Turkey, make your call - you can't become Islamic AND join the EU - you choose.

The alternative? Nobody knows. That's it. And the alternatives range from 'well, not ,much will change', (yeah, right) to frigging Armageddon, including the W word: Russia has a pop at Ukraine, there's some border issues in the Balkans, .. what happens then ??...,

So... either vote for the certainty that we remain, and can incrementally things on... or thow everything up in the air and hope for the best. And why WOULDN'T you trust, ahem, Michael Gove, Boris Johnson, Ian Duncan Smith and Nigel Farrage?
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 andyfallsoff 14 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

I agree entirely with this, but to avoid the leavers accusing you of playing the man not the ball I'd probably omit the references to individuals at the end. (Not that I disagree with the sentiment)
2
 Badgers 14 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

Agree totally with the sentiment. Leave is leap in the dark, which in principle is not always bad. Risks can be a good thing. But what i struggle to see with the Brexit (god I hate that word) arguments is the lack of any tangible benefit.

More democratic.... only it won't be.
More locally accountable.....only it won't be
Able to control migration...only we won't
More open trading with the rest of the world...only there won't be as we can already

I respect that people may not want to be in the EU and each must make up their own mind. But I cannot see any reason other than not liking the principle or wanting to show how frustrated with the powers that be people are. And for those reasons taking a big leap into the unknown doesn't seem proportionate.
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 rogerwebb 14 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

Well said
6
 Toby_W 14 Jun 2016
In reply to Badgers:

It will be very democratic, we'll vote for whoever Rupert Murdoch tells us to vote for and then he'll tell them what to do. Just like now but more so.

Cheers

Toby

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 pec 14 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:
> This is it. It works. It's not been perfect - the rush to expand has admitted some countries that weren't ready, the Euro in particular has been flawed, though the concept is fine. >

> There's loads to do. Higher profile Euro representatives would be good. A better, more coordinated response to refugees is vital, and on humanitarian grounds, rather than purely selfish ones, would be better still. A recognition that admission to our exclusive club depends upon certain inalienable human rights, so sorry, Turkey, make your call - you can't become Islamic AND join the EU - you choose. >

So having told us why its compelling to stay you proceed to list a lot of really bad things about the EU, a list which could of course, be much longer. So not really that compelling after all, given that some of those things aren't just a bit bad, they could well be catastrophic, how much longer can southern Europe carry on with the massive levels of youth unemployment and austerity forced upon it by being in the euro before the civil unrest could explode? Indeed, it's problems of its own making that could well destroy the EU rather than us leaving.

> The alternative? Nobody knows. That's it. >

The alternative is not being in the EU, like Canada, the USA, Japan, Australia, South Korea, New Zealand, Norway, Switzerland, Iceland etc. Yes the last three are in the EEA but they're not in the EU and very happy not to be so.

> And the alternatives range from 'well, not ,much will change', (yeah, right) to frigging Armageddon, including the W word: >

So all that ridiculous scaremongering has got to you. We'd be leaving the EU, we don't become a fascist dictatorship or a failed state just because of that. Why on earth would it precipitate war in Europe? Its an utterly ridiculous assertion, democracies don't fight wars with democracies. We will still trade with Europe, we will still go there on holiday and vice versa, we will still cooperate on matters of mutual interest just like we do now with the countries I listed above.

> Russia has a pop at Ukraine, there's some border issues in the Balkans, .. what happens then ??..., >

What happens then is that the EU sits on its hands for months on end paralised by its inability to agree anything between 27 different countries who all want to do something different just like they did over Serbia and just like they are doing now over Syria, whilst in the meantime it will fall to NATO to deal with.

> So... either vote for the certainty that we remain, and can incrementally things on... or thow everything up in the air and hope for the best. >

And be certain that we can be dragged down by the sinking ship that is the EU, paralysed by problems of its own making, naval gazing as it becomes an ever smaller share of the global economy and increasingly less influential. As for moving things on, if we could successfully reform the EU we'd have done it by now after 41 years yet it's never been in a greater state of crisis. Even with a gun held to their heads with the threat of our depature, its second biggest net contributer, it still couldn't come up with any meaningful reform, why on earth would it bother once we've played our trumpcard and lost?

> And why WOULDN'T you trust, ahem, Michael Gove, Boris Johnson, Ian Duncan Smith and Nigel Farrage? >

It may have escaped your notice, but none of them are on the ballot paper. If we did leave then whoever became PM would of course be held to account at a general election in less than 4 years time and could be replaced by someone else of our choosing, just as it should be in a democracy and just as doesn't happen in the EU.
Post edited at 23:25
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In reply to Rob Exile Ward:
There is a very high risk in remaining. There is no reason to remain! UK Plc should decide its own future, no one else.
DC
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 RomTheBear 15 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:


> It may have escaped your notice, but none of them are on the ballot paper. If we did leave then whoever became PM would of course be held to account at a general election in less than 4 years time and could be replaced by someone else of our choosing, just as it should be in a democracy and just as doesn't happen in the EU.

Meh yes actually it does.
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Lusk 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

What are your thoughts on the fact that the UK people are totally fed up, cynical, disengaged, etc. etc with politics and the government, that they probably just see the behemoth that is Brussels and the EU as yet another great fat layer of bollocks sat on top of what they're already pissed off about?
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Removed User 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Lusk:

You're undoubtedly correct, but shitting in your own food because you don't like the chef doesn't strike me as a good way forward.
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 Big Ger 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Removed User:

Sacking the chefs, and taking over running your own kitchen would be though.
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In reply to Dave Cumberland:

>UK Plc should decide its own future, no one else.

I just don't get this argument. How do we expect to be able to arrange free trade, competition law, environmental protection, sustainable fishing, etc. all by ourselves without talking to our neighbours? How on earth can anyone imagine that the best way to run Europe is a collection of nation states all doing whatever they see as their own interest on any issue?

jcm




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In reply to Lusk:

> What are your thoughts on the fact that the UK people are totally fed up, cynical, disengaged, etc. etc with politics and the government, that they probably just see the behemoth that is Brussels and the EU as yet another great fat layer of bollocks sat on top of what they're already pissed off about?

My thoughts are that that is exactly the biggest driver of this. Many people just want to give the establishment, bankers, etc a kicking and this is their chance. Once the people lose trust in their leaders, terrible things happen, and this is just one terrible thing which may happen and has been in the pipeline for a while. I suspect it will get worse before it gets better too, since if we do leave two things are certain; first, people will be even worse off than they are now and naturally won't blame their own decision for that; second, they will find that they don't actually get much of what they were hoping to get (to take one trivial example, the mini-problem with refugees being smuggled into Kent will get worse and not better).

jcm
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Phil Payne 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

I keep seeing people talk about environmental protection as one of the big plus points, but without any real detail. Having lived and worked around Europe, what I can say is that a lot of EU regulation on environmental protection is just simply ignored around Europe, except by the UK.

Furthermore, some EU policies like the CAP and CFP are actually having a massive negative impact on wildlife. This is from the WWF website:

Despite the infamous 1992 collapse of Canada’s northern cod populations because of overfishing, EU fisheries ministers failed to learn from these lessons and ignored scientific advice on recommended cod catches for European waters, particularly in the North Sea.

For over a decade, the EU Fisheries Council set higher quotas for cod catches than recommended by ICES (International Council for the Exploration of the Sea), resulting in seriously depleted populations. It was only in 2008 that the EU finally took steps to save the North Sea cod fishery.

And this from the RSPB

Proposals for the new Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) unveiled today are a let down for wildlife friendly farmers.

That’s the message from the RSPB and farmers who are doing their bit to create space for nature in our countryside.

The European Commission today released full details of its plans for a reformed CAP. The new policy would mean less support for targeted environmental measures on farms and is bad news for farmers working on the most wildlife-rich land in Europe.

I'm sure that without looking too much further I could find half a dozen other examples where leading wildlife or environmental organisations criticize EU policies for creating problems. If TTIP was to go ahead, then you can kiss goodbye to all your environmental protection policies, because TTIP puts profit for big business before anything else.

For me the TTIP and these kind of secret deals is my number one reason for leaning towards a leave vote. The EU clearly isn't capable of reform, certainly not in any reasonable timeframe and can't be trusted not to bow down to the pressures of big business.
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 Andy Hardy 15 Jun 2016
In reply to johncoxmysteriously:

> My thoughts are that that is exactly the biggest driver of this. Many people just want to give the establishment, bankers, etc a kicking and this is their chance. [...]

Nailed it there John. And because brexit own the meeja, those who believe they are "sticking it to the man" are in fact handing it to the man, gift wrapped.
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 RyanOsborne 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Phil Payne:

The CAP vs wildlife protection is of course a balance, and I'd agree that at the moment the balance is too much in favour of the farmer / subsidising cheap food, and not enough in favour of wildlife. But I think, given the attitude this government shows towards wildlife and the environment, that we would be much much worse off without the habitats directive and the birds directive.

Protecting the environment and wildlife has to be done at a larger than national level, and the current government, many of whom have personal links to grouse farms and the fox hunting community, and generally show a disdain for anything which could hamper their chum's sporting or business interests, would not show as much regard for nature as the EU does.
 pec 15 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Meh yes actually it does. >

Well we elect a few MEPs to the meaningless talking shop of an EU parliament but we don't elect the people who actually hold the power.

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 icnoble 15 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:

Well said MR. Pec.
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 RomTheBear 15 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:

> Well we elect a few MEPs to the meaningless talking shop of an EU parliament but we don't elect the people who actually hold the power.

Nobody with legislative power in the EU is unelected. As opposed to the UK where we have 825 of them.
As for executive power, it is split between the EU council, which we elect and the EC, nominated by the EU council, and approved by the parliament, which we elect.
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 HardenClimber 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Phil Payne:

So, would ANY of this be better outside Europe?
I suspect UK would fail on all these issues by an even bigger margin.

TIPP: perhaps staying in Europe is the best way to avoid this monster.....can you imagine the French (for example) signing up to this (whereas there seems to be quite a lot of enthusiasm in Whitehall, and on our own we'll be vulnerable and easily picked off).
Phil Payne 15 Jun 2016
In reply to RyanOsborne:

I agree that we are largely better off with EU policies, but my point is about how it's almost impossible to get the bad bits of them changed. There is no willingness for reform, so keeping bleeting on about changing things from the inside is just nonsense, especially when it's not in the interests of our land owning, grouse shooting and fox hunting MPs who represent us at the European table.

Around Europe, not just in the UK, people have become disenfranchised by politics because of the constant scandal after scandal of the self serving political elite. For many people that will vote to leave it won't be because of immigration or sovereignty but as a chance to create real and necessary political change that will be brought about by an exit vote. It's a chance to stick 2 fingers up to the establishment and tell them that we've had enough and want something different. That's democracy in action.

Unfortunately whether we vote in or out, we'll still be stuck with the same incompetence of our current generation of politicians running the Uk into the ground, where making a choice between different political parties is like having to choose between shooting yourself in your left foot or your right foot. At least if there is a leave vote we'll have our 10 minutes of celebration that we stuck it to the man using our democratic right to vote, before the reality hits home that we didn't really achieve anything.

Stay or go, does anyone really see anything improving in the medium to long term after the obvious downturn in the immediate aftermath of an out vote?
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 colinakmc 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

Well said to the OP. To the accusation that you've let the scaremongering take hold, I say, that's because there's a shedload of bad stuff waiting for Brexit. Downgraded credit rating =higher interest rates. No trade agreements = undefinable potential for protectionism, punitive tariffs and obstruction.
We are an aging nation - we actually NEED migrants, to pay taxes to pay for the NHS and pensions, as well as to staff the NHS. Re lack of control of borders, that will be worse outside the eu.
And you can rest assured that the Bosses' Brexit will lead to an immediate large bonfire of h&s, employment rights, benefits and environmental regulation.

The stay campaign has been lamentable and the "balance" of exposure tilted well towards leave - so yes, I bet Murdoch wants us out. Do what Murdoch tells you, citizens!
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Phil Payne 15 Jun 2016
In reply to HardenClimber:

Well that's the million dollar question isn't it. We've seen though, over the years, that there just isn't the political will to reform some of the rubbish EU policies, so saying that remaining in will mean that we can suddenly make all these changes happen is a bit silly.

Leaving a least guarantees you a chance of change, but whether that change is for better or worse is the tougher question to answer.
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 Trevers 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Dave Cumberland:

> There is a very high risk in remaining. There is no reason to remain! UK Plc should decide its own future, no one else.

I don't understand these sentiments. They sound nice but seem to ignore the reality of the modern globalised world.
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 The New NickB 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Dave Cumberland:

> There is a very high risk in remaining. There is no reason to remain! UK Plc should decide its own future, no one else.

What are those risks? How will the UK decide it's own future in a globalised world?
 Wicamoi 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Phil Payne:

> I keep seeing people talk about environmental protection as one of the big plus points, but without any real detail. Having lived and worked around Europe, what I can say is that a lot of EU regulation on environmental protection is just simply ignored around Europe, except by the UK.

>

Comments like these are best left to the politicians. The fact is that all EU countries fail to comply with EU environmental legislation from time to time - the UK was referred to the EU Court of Justice twice last year for breaking environmental regulations. Here's some information that you or others might find useful on environmental transgressions in the EU and what happens next.

http://ec.europa.eu/environment/legal/law/press_en.htm

Personally I'm glad that a supra-national body can take my government to court when it fails to comply, for example, with the law on power station emissions, but opinions differ.
 pec 15 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Nobody with legislative power in the EU is unelected. >

Yes they are, the council of ministers is not directly elected by the people of europe.

> As opposed to the UK where we have 825 of them. >

The Lords cannot ever overule the Commons which always has the upper hand in law. Anyway, a flawed system at home (which is within our powers to change should we wish) is no justifaction for another flawed system imposed on us from outside which we have no power to change.

> As for executive power, it is split between the EU council, which we elect and the EC, nominated by the EU council, and approved by the parliament, which we elect. >

We do not elect the European council and we do not elect the commission, our parliament has a small say in them but this is the system which resulted in the election of an EU president that nobody actually wanted.

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Phil Payne 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Wicamoi:

I actually have had a look at that site to see if Britain was doing any better than other European nations and it would appear not when looking at that list. But that list is just about lawyers getting rich off of the back of the state and not achieving anything. How many millions were wasted on these cases that ended up going nowhere or by years and years of inaction by the states taken to court by the EU.

What I was talking about was real life observation in various European countries where environmental protection laws simply weren't being enforced by the state. I think in the UK we take it more seriously and have a greater chance of more robust environmental protection policy, particularly if we were to vote for a political party with more green leaning tendancies.

Whilst writing my reply I have had another look through the list and the EC website to try to find statistics for successful prosecutions resulting in fines for member states that were actually paid by the member state. After nearly 30 mins of reading dozens of reports and dozens of failed searches to find a page that might give me an overview of successful prosecutions, I gave up having not found any.

Looks like it's just another way in which the EU wastes money.
 krikoman 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

>....... A recognition that admission to our exclusive club depends upon certain inalienable human rights, so sorry, Turkey, make your call - you can't become Islamic AND join the EU - you choose.

WTF does that mean?

Are you suggesting countries could only be admitted based on religion?

While I agree that human rights should be high on the list, countries don't have to be less "Islamic" to achieve this.

Russia aren't very "Islamic" but I wouldn't want to see them joining.

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In reply to krikoman:

You must be aware that Turkey is currently regressing away from the secular state envisaged by Ataturk to a more Islamic state after the Saudi/Iran/Pakistan models. That is explicitly not compatible with membership of the EU.
 john arran 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Phil Payne:

> Well that's the million dollar question isn't it. We've seen though, over the years, that there just isn't the political will to reform some of the rubbish EU policies, so saying that remaining in will mean that we can suddenly make all these changes happen is a bit silly.

> Leaving a least guarantees you a chance of change, but whether that change is for better or worse is the tougher question to answer.

I've barely seen any effort on the part of Westminster to initiate reform on any "rubbish EU policies", of course apart from the last minute dash by Cameron to get sticky plaster changes agreed once he'd gambled on a referendum. In truth I don't think there's political will in the UK for major EU reform simply because Britain is doing pretty well as it stands now. Certainly there are things that would be best reformed - such as the ludicrous Strasbourg situation - but by and large the UK establishment seems pretty happy with the status quo. The only real problem is that they've simultaneously been blaming Europe when anything isn't perfect, so while the government is broadly happy with the EU as it stands, the excuses fed to the media to cover up poor domestic government planning on such things as infrastructure and NHS seem to have been swallowed and believed by many of the people. Boris wouldn't agree though as it would ruin his chance of gaining the power he seems to crave and he's put his money on Murdoch's horse.
 krikoman 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

> You must be aware that Turkey is currently regressing away from the secular state envisaged by Ataturk to a more Islamic state after the Saudi/Iran/Pakistan models. That is explicitly not compatible with membership of the EU.

Wouldn't it be easier to say less democratic countries with piss poor human rights and civil liberties?

An Islamic state means nothing, unless you qualify it, as you did with examples such as Saudi/Iran/Pakistan.
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 BarrySW19 15 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:

> So all that ridiculous scaremongering has got to you. We'd be leaving the EU, we don't become a fascist dictatorship or a failed state just because of that. Why on earth would it precipitate war in Europe? Its an utterly ridiculous assertion

It's tempting to believe that - after all, we've had 70 years of peace in our little corner of the world, but the history of Europe and the human race generally suggests we should be very cautious about taking peace for granted. As just one example, pre-EU we had the Cod Wars which had the potential to escalate - who can say something similar won't happen involving other EU nations if we withdraw from EU fishing agreements now?

As an aside, the the Cod Wars led to the biggest reduction of the British fishing fleet due to NATO concerns - something else that seems to get wrongly blamed on the EU these days.
In reply to Trevers:
> I don't understand these sentiments. They sound nice but seem to ignore the reality of the modern globalised world.
To JCM, Trev, NickB - you just don't get it do you?!
Of course we talk to our neighbours, of course we live in a real modern globalised world.
It is all about control - we have to control our own democracy, business, legal framework, trade and our own decisions rather than being controlled by unaccountable people elsewhere. We may still come to the same agreements, but we do it on our terms - not theirs.
Because we have our own motives, and they have motives that in part may not suit us - which is why we are having a referendum in the first place, and the momentum is with the leavers.
Remainists generally have their noses in the trough or are champagne socialist idealists who do not live in the real world of work, business and wealth creation.
Leavers are free spirits.
Either UK decides its future in a global market, or the EU does.

You don't need to be in a club to go climbing.

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 andyfallsoff 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Dave Cumberland:

> Remainists generally have their noses in the trough or are champagne socialist idealists who do not live in the real world of work, business and wealth creation.

Is this the "real world" where you ignore the overwhelming evidence that suggests something is a bad idea, and do it anyway?

> You don't need to be in a club to go climbing.

No, but it's a lot riskier to go soloing than to have a belay partner.
3
 Trevers 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Dave Cumberland:

> You don't need to be in a club to go climbing.

But being in a club gets me BMC membership, access to a hut in Snowdonia, a wider group of people to call up to organise outings with etc etc.

> Remainists generally have their noses in the trough or are champagne socialist idealists who do not live in the real world of work, business and wealth creation.

Bollocks

> Leavers are free spirits.

More bollocks
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 RyanOsborne 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Dave Cumberland:

> the real world of work, business and wealth creation.

How depressing.
 Shani 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Dave Cumberland:
> It is all about control - we have to control our own democracy, business, legal framework, trade and our own decisions rather than being controlled by unaccountable people elsewhere. We may still come to the same agreements, but we do it on our terms - not theirs.

This is somewhat simplistic. To trade with the EU we will have to comply with EU trading standards - so we will still be under EU control at some level. We will also have to pay some kind of tariff to trade in the EU - as do Norway and Switzerland.

The phrase "our terms - not theirs." is also fraught. There is no 'their laws'. We make those laws as well so they are 'our terms'. The problems for Norway and Switzerland is that they do have to follow 'their laws' (the EU), as they have no say.

> Remainists generally have their noses in the trough or are champagne socialist idealists who do not live in the real world of work, business and wealth creation.

Wealth creation is a function of economics not business. Business redistributes wealth.

More importantly, as the crash of 2008 has shown us, we can easily be knocked very badly by events outside of our control. Austerity has hit the UK hard, and the roots of it - bailing out the banks because of over-leveraging - originated in the US. Think about that. Contagion of an American problem has caused closure of Libraries, local services, cuts at every level and economic contraction in general. This contagion from the US has shaped our whole economy down to government policy for nearly a decade with more to come.

Brexiters live in a fantasy Middle England from an Ealing comedy where on the one hand "we waz prowd and respected and ruled the world" and on the other, the vicar cycles past as the whistling postie gives the baker a friendly smile. It is like the Italians longing for the return of the Roman Empire and as laughable.
Post edited at 12:43
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In reply to BarrySW19:
I think that is exactly right. Just about everyone in the UK was born after the last war ended, so extrapolates from their experience that 'it hasn't happened here in my lifetime, so it won't in the future..'

That's what they thought in Yugoslavia in the 1970s; that's what they thought in Rwanda; that's what they thought in Syria; that's what they thought in the Ukraine.

Europe is surrounded by danger - Russia to the East, seriously unstable states to the south. Now is not a good time to be falling out with our neighbours.

Scared? For my children and grandchildren, yes I am.
Post edited at 12:38
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In reply to Dave Cumberland:

> Leavers are free spirits.
Free to do Murdoch's bidding.
1
 Toerag 15 Jun 2016
In reply to BarrySW19:
The whole 'fishing will be better if we're out' is a load of rubbish - French, Belgian, Dutch & German boats are all allowed as close in as 6 miles due to a treaty signed in 1951 - leaving the EU won't change that. Our own long distance fleet will likely be trapped in our own waters, and overfish those. The existence of Spanish and Dutch 'flag vessels' won't change if we leave the EU either, they could be outlawed now but the government chooses not to do so. The UK won't introduce conservation measures unless the EU does because that would 'disadvantage' the UK fleet.
In general, fishermen tend to not be particularly smart or well-educated and hate all rules and regulations. They don't look any further than their codend and have a very short-term view of fisheries management.
Post edited at 13:07
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 krikoman 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Dave Cumberland:
> To JCM, Trev, NickB - you just don't get it do you?!

> Of course we talk to our neighbours, of course we live in a real modern globalised world.

> It is all about control - we have to control our own democracy, business, legal framework, trade and our own decisions rather than being controlled by unaccountable people elsewhere.

Are you really suggesting the workers rights would be as good if not better if we'd been outside of the EU for the last 40 years?

> Remainists generally have their noses in the trough or are champagne socialist idealists who do not live in the real world of work, business and wealth creation.

Are you just making this up, or are you mad? you only have to look at the number of companies looking to stay BMW for one to realise they aren't champagne socialists or devoid of any business / wealth creation nounce FFS.

> Leavers are free spirits.

Leavers are giving ALL the power to the government who happens to win the next election, that might well be Boris!

> Either UK decides its future in a global market, or the EU does.

There might not be a future if we leave.

> You don't need to be in a club to go climbing.

No that's true, but I get a lot more from my club than I can get on my own.

One of the best quotes I've heard recently ( paraphrasing ). We won't get anywhere until the working class stops reading right wing newspapers. How anyone can think agreeing with Rupert Murdoch will be good for us, make me want to weep.
Post edited at 12:52
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 Doug 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Phil Payne:

Clearly the EU could do better but it has fought & won a few battles, look at the history of the Rospuda Valley (e.g. http://www.birdlife.org/datazone/sowb/casestudy/25 - & I know its an environmental NGO) or closer to home the role of the EU in stopping the destruction of Duich Moss on Islay. And that's just high profile cases, many other potentially damaging projects have been stopped/barely started due to various directives. Also improvements to water & air quality
 GridNorth 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

There is no compelling reason to remain but the fact that it's a gravy train for hypocritical champagne socialists who do not like democracy, governance and accountability e.g. the Kinnock dynasty is a damn good reason to leave.

Al
9
 Trevers 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> There is no compelling reason to remain but the fact that it's a gravy train for hypocritical champagne socialists who do not like democracy, governance and accountability e.g. the Kinnock dynasty is a damn good reason to leave.

Any more bullshit over there?
6
 The New NickB 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Dave Cumberland:

> To JCM, Trev, NickB - you just don't get it do you?!

I'm not sure what I don't get and you haven't told me. I have asked you two simple questions, you haven't answered one at all and you have answered the other in the most woolly terms possible.

What are the risks? How do we as a country take control in a globalised world?
1
 GridNorth 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Trevers:

Which part is bullshit please explain? Or is that the limited extent of your argument?
 GrahamD 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> There is no compelling reason to remain but the fact that it's a gravy train for hypocritical champagne socialists who do not like democracy, governance and accountability e.g. the Kinnock dynasty is a damn good reason to leave.

And return to a monarchy with a non elected second house, a FPTP elected government and an entrenched class system. That seems like a good trade.
 GridNorth 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GrahamD:

Where did I say that. I do wish people could read. Please do not put words into my mouth. I agree that the Monarchy and the House of Lords are undemocratic but that's not a good enough reason to hand over sovereignty to a bunch of unelected, unaccountable bureaucrats on massive expense accounts funded by the tax payer.
1
 Siward 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Graeme Alderson:

Does anybody actually believe (I know it's constantly spouted on here) that people 'do Murdoch's bidding?'
1
 rogerwebb 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> Where did I say that. I do wish people could read. Please do not put words into my mouth. I agree that the Monarchy and the House of Lords are undemocratic but that's not a good enough reason to hand over sovereignty to a bunch of unelected, unaccountable bureaucrats on massive expense accounts funded by the tax payer.

It's certainly not, but we haven't.
 RyanOsborne 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Siward:

> Does anybody actually believe (I know it's constantly spouted on here) that people 'do Murdoch's bidding?'

According to him, Dave and chums to his bidding. From an Evening Standard journo I believe:

I once asked Rupert Murdoch why he was so opposed to the European Union. 'That’s easy,' he replied. 'When I go into Downing Street they do what I say; when I go to Brussels they take no notice.
1
 GridNorth 15 Jun 2016
In reply to rogerwebb:

You are quite right but we have let it happen would be a better way of expressing it. And on that we will probably have to agree to disagree.
 Trevers 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> Which part is bullshit please explain? Or is that the limited extent of your argument?

Well it's quite clear that you've certainly strongly considered all the pros and cons before reaching a decision
1
 Siward 15 Jun 2016
In reply to RyanOsborne:

Number 10 might, but the general population? I don't think he's as influential as is often feared.
2
 GridNorth 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Trevers:

That just happens to be one of the ones I've considered and responded to in the context of one post. So I will ask again which part is bullshit?
 Shani 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GrahamD:

> And return to a monarchy with a non elected second house, a FPTP elected government and an entrenched class system. That seems like a good trade.

Great response!

"Before Brexit looked like a real possibility, the Centre for Economics and Business Research predicted that the British economy would overtake Germany’s as the largest in Europe by the 2030s.

Its population is set to rise above 70m by 2030, while Germany’s is likely to shrink. The British population will also be younger.

A separate report by HSBC predicts that by 2050 the total number of working people in the UK will increase by 5-10%, while Germany’s working population will shrink by a massive 29%. There will be more workers in Britain adding to its growing economy.

If these predictions come true, the European power map would look significantly different."

https://theconversation.com/britain-could-become-a-global-superpower-if-it-...
1
 rogerwebb 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

Yes, no point in recycling the same arguments

1
 GrahamD 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> Where did I say that. I do wish people could read. Please do not put words into my mouth. I agree that the Monarchy and the House of Lords are undemocratic but that's not a good enough reason to hand over sovereignty to a bunch of unelected, unaccountable bureaucrats on massive expense accounts funded by the tax payer.

Apart from the fact that 'sovereignty' hasn't been handed over, it sounds like a good reason to push for reform on the transparency within Europe and maybe we should consider making a bit more effort on who we elect as our MEPs. Just because there are people with their noses in the trough doesn't make Europe any more undemocratic than our own system with its myriad of expenses scandals in our own parliament.
1
 GridNorth 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Shani:
No it's a bollocks response (the response was to me) because I never said I was in favour of those things.

I will readily admit that my knowledge of how the EU system works is poor but I am not alone in that and that itself is part of the problem. Please enlighten me; I do not like what Cameron and Osborne have been doing over the last few years so I will not vote Conservative next time. I also do not like what Tusk, Rutte, Juncker and Schulz have been doing. How do I express my concerns about that and would it make any difference?
Post edited at 14:12
 ianstevens 15 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:

> The Lords cannot ever overule the Commons which always has the upper hand in law. Anyway, a flawed system at home (which is within our powers to change should we wish) is no justifaction for another flawed system imposed on us from outside which we have no power to change.

They can and have done recently: see the case of the Welfare bill last year. It's is simply convention that dictates that the Lords don't overule the commons, but this isn't enshrined in law.
 Flinticus 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Dave Cumberland:

> Remainists generally have their noses in the trough or are champagne socialist idealists who do not live in the real world of work, business and wealth creation.

And Leavers do? Most of the economic arguments are weighed in favour of remaining. How much weight will UK have in negotiating agreements with the US and China? With the EU?? (45% of UK exports go to the EU while we only take about 8% of theirs) and the EU are hardly going to encourage other leavers by giving the UK any sort of decent agreement. We will not regain control of business & trade by leaving.

> Leavers are free spirits.

Cr&p: a lot of the talk that I see from the leavers is 'we don't want immigrants over here'. Whatever the rights & wrongs of that, that is not the opinion of a free spirit. Leavers seem more about entrenching and building walls.

2
 Doug 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> ... to hand over sovereignty
But we don't, we share it, just like we do by being members of NATO, the UN and endless treaties & agreements, or do you want to withdraw from all of those as well ?

>...to a bunch of unelected, unaccountable bureaucrats

MEPs are elected, the Commission are nominated by elected governments and the Council is made up of members of those governments. The only bureaucrats are the Commission staff, the EU civil service - how often have you voted for members of the British civil service ?
But I suspect you know that and are just ranting away

2
 RyanOsborne 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Siward:

> Number 10 might, but the general population? I don't think he's as influential as is often feared.

I can only hope you're right.
 GridNorth 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Doug:

Just because someone disagrees with our point of view it's a churlish to accuse them of "ranting", that's getting a little personal. There is a fundamental difference as far as I can see. Civil Servants carry out the instructions of Parliament, if I do not agree with what parliament is proposing, which is after all published, I have a direct means of expressing my displeasure, the ballot box. In the EU it is the Commission who dictate the policy and the MEP's rubber stamp it but I'm not aware of any manifesto type statement which is why the first time many of us get to hear about anything is afetr the event. Perhaps rather than saying the EU is totally undemocratic it would be fairer to say it is convoluted and complex. I prefer the ballot box direct relationship with the Parliament, even with it's flaws.
 SenzuBean 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Phil Payne:

> For me the TTIP and these kind of secret deals is my number one reason for leaning towards a leave vote. The EU clearly isn't capable of reform, certainly not in any reasonable timeframe and can't be trusted not to bow down to the pressures of big business.

Well that's too bad then - we (NZ and Australia) are getting the southern hemisphere of the deal (TPPA), and our public has had even less information than the one here has. The backroom deals are nothing to do with the EU, but with moral corruption.
1
 Ramblin dave 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Doug:

> But we don't, we share it, just like we do by being members of NATO, the UN and endless treaties & agreements, or do you want to withdraw from all of those as well ?

And similarly, I hand over some of my personal independence to the local council, and more to Westminster. And I don't have a problem with that, or with handing over some of it on to Europe rather than Westminster, because I think that some things - many of them big, important things like environmental protection or human rights or employment rights - work out better for everyone if they're handled by representatives of a large number of people working in the collective interests of all of those people rather than by individuals or small groups constantly looking over their shoulders and trying to get one up on their neighbours.
 andyfallsoff 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Siward:

> Number 10 might, but the general population? I don't think he's as influential as is often feared.

My fear is that that isn't correct. For example, do you think Murdoch would allow a lead editor of the Sun or the Times that would take a different political position to that which he believes in? The Sun has been peddling anti-EU nonsense for years. Whether we like it or not, a lot of people will believe what is written (even if it is subsequently proven to be untrue).
1
Moley 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Dave Cumberland:

> Remainists generally have their noses in the trough or are champagne socialist idealists who do not live in the real world of work, business and wealth creation.

Well I've voted already, so this is all irrelevant to me.
But probably the most compelling argument I have seen is that both David Cameron and Jeremy Corbyn (champagne socialist etc.????) agree on staying in. If those two persons who are at about as far apart on the political spectrum as is possible, agree on a single issue - there must be something in it.


 SenzuBean 15 Jun 2016
In reply to BarrySW19:

> It's tempting to believe that - after all, we've had 70 years of peace in our little corner of the world, but the history of Europe and the human race generally suggests we should be very cautious about taking peace for granted.
That has been my reason for wanting to remain united.

As just one example, pre-EU we had the Cod Wars which had the potential to escalate - who can say something similar won't happen involving other EU nations if we withdraw from EU fishing agreements now?

> As an aside, the the Cod Wars led to the biggest reduction of the British fishing fleet due to NATO concerns - something else that seems to get wrongly blamed on the EU these days.
Thought you misspelled Cold War... Had never heard of the Cod wars before.
1
 Shani 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Flinticus:
> Cr&p: a lot of the talk that I see from the leavers is 'we don't want immigrants over here'. Whatever the rights & wrongs of that, that is not the opinion of a free spirit. Leavers seem more about entrenching and building walls.

I wonder how many of this kind of Brexiter loved "Auf Weidersen Pet"?
Post edited at 14:37
1
 GridNorth 15 Jun 2016
In reply to SenzuBean:
I thought that the 70 years of peace was because of Nato. Withdrawing from the EU won't affect that will it?

I could be wrong on this but weren't the Cod wars to do with Icelandic fishing waters, not UK waters? Did it really decimate the UK fishing fleets? I was under the impression that the Fishermen themselves put that down to EU quotas.

Al
Post edited at 14:51
 SenzuBean 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> I thought that the 70 years of peace was because of Nato. Withdrawing from the EU won't affect that will it?

Could be, could also not be. It's not a black and white, there is no way we can predict what chain of events an action will have. But in general the further we move away from unity and co-operation, the less able we are to prevent war both externally and within. War these days is also not just boots on the ground, but economic warfare as well (IMO why the rouble has tumbled).

> I could be wrong on this but weren't the Cod wars to do with Icelandic fishing waters, not UK waters? Did it really decimate the UK fishing fleets? I was under the impression that the Fishermen themselves put that down to EU quotas. Are the two directly connected other than one may have eventually led to the other?

"As a result, British fishing communities lost access to rich areas and were devastated, with thousands of jobs lost."
Did do a bit of decimation - but maybe they weren't our waters to begin with. Don't really know - not central to the point at hand.
1
 GridNorth 15 Jun 2016
In reply to SenzuBean:

Well it is central to the point if it was EU quotas and not NATO that decimated the UK fishing fleet. I don't know, but the fishermen seem to think it was the fault of the EU so that is very relevant.
 Trevers 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> That just happens to be one of the ones I've considered and responded to in the context of one post. So I will ask again which part is bullshit?

Your original post was flippant ("No compelling reasons to Remain", "Champagne Socialists") so I called bullshit.

If you have considered arguments both ways and decided that on the face of it, we're better off out, then I'll disagree but I can respect that.
 neilh 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

This quote sums it up for me:

" Leaving would cause business uncertainty, while embroiling the Government for years in a fiddly process of negotiating new arrangements, so diverting energy from the real problems that have nothing to do with Europe"

As quoted by Boris Johnson in Feb 2016.

Class act
 Doug 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:
The UK lost access to Icelandic waters when Iceland declared & policed a 50 then a 200 nautical mile Economic Exclusion Zone leading to the Cod Wars, this was before we joined the EEC and did result in job loses in the UK fishing industry. The quotas etc associated with the Common Fishery Policy came a little later but the story is quite complex as overfishing had been going on for many decades so a collapse in the industry would have happened anyway, although maybe not so large or so rapid - we'll never know. Further complicated by UK quota/boats being sold to overseas buyers.
Post edited at 15:52
 GridNorth 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Trevers:

I didn't mean to be flippant, well perhaps a little . I am as yet undecided but I do still believe in the sentiment of my post. So which part do you object to? That the Kinnocks are socialists? They have a very good life style (hence the Champagne)? or that they are funded by the tax payer?
 Xharlie 15 Jun 2016
In reply to neilh:

This whole referendum circus has diverted the populace's attention from the housing crisis, the NHS, the plight of doctors, the wage gap, those silly submarines and nuclear warheads, TTIP, the school/academy thing, the fact that summer was cancelled for this year and just about everything else that actually matters.

Oh... maybe that was precisely the point.
 GridNorth 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Doug:

Thank you, that's more or less in line with what I remember. I was however responding to a post that suggested that NATO was to blame for the demise of the fishing industry because of the Cod wars and not the EU. IMO it was more to do with the latter than the former, although I have no idea to what degree so I was really questioning the premise because that is how it was presented i.e as a fact to support remain. I think between us we have squashed that one even though I'm sure that was not your intent
 Trevers 15 Jun 2016
In reply to neilh:
> This quote sums it up for me:

> " Leaving would cause business uncertainty, while embroiling the Government for years in a fiddly process of negotiating new arrangements, so diverting energy from the real problems that have nothing to do with Europe"

> As quoted by Boris Johnson in Feb 2016.

> Class act

You can accuse Boris Johnson of many things, but having any integrity is not one of them.

The original quote was from here:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/eureferendum/12145593/Voters-hav...
Post edited at 15:59
1
 Flinticus 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Dave Cumberland:
> Remainists generally have their noses in the trough or are champagne socialist idealists who do not live in the real world of work, business and wealth creation.

A survey by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) found 80% of members for Remain, with only 5% for Leave. In response to claims that it represents only big companies, the CBI points out that it speaks for 190,000 members, mostly small and medium-sized enterprises, and that 71% of SMEs want to stay. The Institute of Directors and the British Chambers of Commerce, with memberships that have a higher share of SMEs than the CBI, find most in favour. Even a majority of the Federation of Small Businesses narrowly backs Remain.

Fully 77% of SMMT (Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders) members favour Remain, not just because future investment depends on access to the single market but also to retain influence over the industry’s regulation.

Specialist trade associations report similar results. TechUK, an IT group, finds 70% for staying in the EU. The EEF manufacturers’ association has 61% (about 6% Leave). A survey this week by the UK arm of the International Chamber of Commerce found 86% of international businesses supporting Remain. Groups as diverse as Universities UK, the Food and Drink Federation and the aerospace and defence association also report large support for Remain.

Sorry to pick on this again but when I say this I had to do a double take.

Are all your points so well backed up as this one or I have I just picked the one with no real foundation?

1
cap'nChino 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

> The alternative? Nobody knows. That's it. And the alternatives range from 'well, not ,much will change', (yeah, right) to frigging Armageddon, including the W word: Russia has a pop at Ukraine, there's some border issues in the Balkans, .. what happens then ??...,

I agree with much of what you are saying.

Please correct me if I am wrong (I probably am), but Europe pretty much stood by and shook the finger at Russia while they annexed Crimea, I also thought in certain parts of Ukraine masked Russian special forces are running around causing trouble.

 GridNorth 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Doug:
I also seem to remember that when the quotas were introduced a number of huge Spanish vessels entered what were previously UK waters and more or less took over.

I've never known a time when so many socialists have stood up for so many capitalists

This referendum is creating some strange bedfellows and I still can't make my mind up which is why I am, at times, playing devils advocate to try and draw some real facts out.
Post edited at 16:21
 Shani 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> This referendum is creating some strange bedfellows and I still can't make my mind up which is why I am, at times, playing devils advocate to try and draw some real facts out.

Accoring to Michael Crick "Farage friend says he's been approached by Boris camp about job in Johnson govt & place in Lords to avoid fighting possible Thanet by-elect"

Go figure.
1
 krikoman 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:
> I've never known a time when so many socialists have stood up for so many capitalists

Or indeed so many capitalists standing up for socialists.

Which is one of my main reasons for staying in, I see the EU Parliament as a place where they vote for the people and our Parliament where they vote for what they can get out of it.

It's very difficult for me to vote with David Cameron, but I'm certain we're doing it for different reasons. I happen to think the laws we're governed by from Brussels are more social-ist (note the small "s") than our own laws. I also, don't like the notion that coming out would give our government free reign on all out laws, environmental, social, and working.


But it's not just Cameron either, it's any other future government, doing what they like.
Post edited at 16:46
1
 krikoman 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

Another issue would be if we come out, Cameron resigns or is pushed out, we're left with Boris in charge!!
1
 RomTheBear 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:
> I also seem to remember that when the quotas were introduced a number of huge Spanish vessels entered what were previously UK waters and more or less took over.

> I've never known a time when so many socialists have stood up for so many capitalists

Have a you had a look at the vote leave camp ? They are more neoliberal than all the Eurocrats combined.
Post edited at 16:48
2
 TobyA 15 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:

> We elect a few MEPs to the meaningless talking shop of an EU parliament but we don't elect the people who actually hold the power.

What do you actually mean by this? Do you know how the co-decision procedure is?
In reply to RyanOsborne:
That is the quote that I had in mind but didn't know where it was from.
Post edited at 17:00
1
In reply to Siward:

Murdoch has been widely credited with delivering a fair few elections, including 1997 for Nu Labour, so yes lots of people know the power of an unelected Australian born American citizen who is not domiciled here.

Just like many know the power of the other press barons, the majority of which are non doms.
1
 BarrySW19 15 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> Well it is central to the point if it was EU quotas and not NATO that decimated the UK fishing fleet. I don't know, but the fishermen seem to think it was the fault of the EU so that is very relevant.

To be fair, what decimated the UK fishing fleet was the lack of fish. If it weren't for the EU quotas system it is likely European waters would have experienced a Grand Banks style collapse by now.
 GridNorth 15 Jun 2016
In reply to BarrySW19:

But that could have been because of the huge Spanish trawlers that moved in couldn't it?
 SenzuBean 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

Here is an "old" (is 3 years really old?) - that to me epitomizes the environmental benefits from being in the EU:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-21740745

Compare that with the deregulation of the factory farming animals proposed by the gov recently:
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/mar/31/animal-welfare-deregul...

It's not hard to see how animal welfare concerns would likely be compromised with an exit of the EU.
Gone for good 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Shani:
>

> Its population is set to rise above 70m by 2030, while Germany£s is likely to shrink. The British population will also be younger.

> A separate report by HSBC predicts that by 2050 the total number of working people in the UK will increase by 5-10%, while Germany£s working population will shrink by a massive 29%. There will be more workers in Britain adding to its growing economy.

And therein lies the real reason why Merkel wants Turkey to join the EU. Lots of Turkish economic refugees head off to Germany and give the ailing population a major boost.

It's a fait accompli no matter the official line being spouted by Cameron and Osborne. Turkey will join and Germany will be the one to benefit.
Post edited at 18:57
2
 rogerwebb 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Gone for good:

> And therein lies the real reason why Merkel wants Turkey to join the EU. Lots of Turkish economic refugees head off to Germany and give the ailing population a major boost.

> It's a fait accompli no matter the official line being spouted by Cameron and Osborne. Turkey will join and Germany will be the one to benefit.

Only if ALL the other 27 countries agree. Can't see it happening.
1
 neilh 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Gone for good:

Both Germany and France have to have their own referendums no vote on whether to say yes or no to Turkish acceptance. It's not Merkels decision.
1
 elsewhere 15 Jun 2016
In reply to neilh:
EU wide opinion polls
http://www.pewglobal.org/2016/06/07/euroskepticism-beyond-brexit/

And older but more detailed results
http://www.pewglobal.org/2014/05/12/a-fragile-rebound-for-eu-image-on-eve-o...


Euroskepticism isn't limited to the uk and on some questions the uk is towards the europhile end of the spectrum of opinions.
There doesn't seem to be any country where a majority want more powers for eu so 'ever closer union' seems to be a fantasy. It's not going to happen.
The same applies to Turkey.
Post edited at 20:58
 RomTheBear 15 Jun 2016
In reply to rogerwebb:

> Only if ALL the other 27 countries agree. Can't see it happening.

Indeed, and that includes Cyprus. Good luck with that.
2
 Wicamoi 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Phil Payne:

> But that list is just about lawyers getting rich off of the back of the state and not achieving anything. How many millions were wasted on these cases that ended up going nowhere or by years and years of inaction by the states taken to court by the EU.

> Whilst writing my reply I have had another look through the list and the EC website to try to find statistics for successful prosecutions resulting in fines for member states that were actually paid by the member state. After nearly 30 mins of reading dozens of reports and dozens of failed searches to find a page that might give me an overview of successful prosecutions, I gave up having not found any.

> Looks like it's just another way in which the EU wastes money.

Hi Phil

I think from what you say above that you have the wrong idea about the EU Court of Justice: its purpose is not to fine miscreants (although that is an available option), because what good would it do to fine a government for illegal power station emissions (which the UK was referred to the Court for last year)? That would only leave the people of the UK poorer and still suffering illegal emissions. No, the Court of Justice is much more mature than that. Its purpose is not to prosecute member states but to ensure that they comply with EU law. There are several to-and-froings between the Court and member state in the referral process, and if the member state satisfies the Court with its response, then no fine is necessary (but remains as a motivating possibility in the process).

So the fact that you see lots of referrals to the EU Court of Justice but don't find much evidence of fines is not, as you imagined, evidence of the EU wasting money, but rather evidence of a mature jurisprudence system, which, for example in the case I alluded to - is defending the citizens of the UK (and other member states) from pollution which the UK's government was tolerating.

Might I respectfully suggest that your willingness to see the worst in the EU in this instance (where I think I have demonstrated that you were wrong to do so) may also have been mistakenly applied elsewhere?

Incidentally, the members of the Court are appointed by the elected representatives of the member states - democracy in action....not too late to change your mind!

2
In reply to Phil Payne:
Of course I'd like the EU to do more to set lower fishing quotas, etc. Bu it can only do what it politically can. Without it nothing collective can be done at all; that's the point. Nigel's merry band on the Thames today will be back overfishing in no time if he gets his way. (we all saw Greenpeace's release about the fishing company which own the lead boat, btw? - trawlermen trying to protect their livelihoods, my arse)

jcm
Post edited at 22:45
2
 Big Ger 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Toerag:

> The whole 'fishing will be better if we're out' is a load of rubbish - French, Belgian, Dutch & German boats are all allowed as close in as 6 miles due to a treaty signed in 1951 - leaving the EU won't change that.

Written in stone* was it?





*© E. Milliband.
 Sir Chasm 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

> Written in stone* was it?

> *© E. Milliband.

How do we (the UK, not those in Australia) change what we (again, the UK not Australia) signed up to?
 Big Ger 15 Jun 2016
In reply to johncoxmysteriously:

> (we all saw Greenpeace's release about the fishing company which own the lead boat, btw? - trawlermen trying to protect their livelihoods, my arse)



Yes, they landed and sold dead fish, fish which would have had to been thrown back into the seas otherwise.

Still, throwing dead fish back is a great way of conserving stocks.
2
 Big Ger 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Sir Chasm:
> How do we (the UK, not those in Australia) change what we (again, the UK not Australia) signed up to?

The same way we negotiated the original treaty, your question is rather daft.

Mind you, you get extra points for the infantile "in Australia" jibe, does that make you feel all warm inside.
Post edited at 22:54
 Sir Chasm 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

> The same way we negotiated the original treaty, your question is rather daft.

So are we (the UK, not Australia) going to declare a no fishing zone? Is that the plan? What boundary are "we" declaring?
1
In reply to Phil Payne:

>Stay or go, does anyone really see anything improving in the medium to long term after the obvious downturn in the immediate aftermath of an out vote?

Of course. The economy will gradually recover from the shock of the banking crisis; sooner or later Labour will turn to someone electable, the Middle East cycle will return to nearer stability, etc. It felt just like this in 1983.

The one thing that won't happen is a return to some golden age, which is what a lot of leavers seem to me to be fantasising about. Globalisation isn't going to stop, banking isn't going to stop, the emerging economies are going to compete with ours more and more fiercely, etc. We can embrace that, or we can pretend it's not happening. The latter won't work.

The other thing that really won't go away, as I see it, is that sooner or later we're going to have to accept that there are never going to be as many of what one might call blue-collar typically male jobs as there are people who'd like them, because we have machines to do a lot of that stuff. The Luddites were right, in fact. If we don't find some way of changing the economic set-up and the way we measure our self-worth to deal with this problem, it's going to cause a lot of trouble. I think the present nonsense is part of that trouble.

jcm
 Big Ger 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Sir Chasm:
No, (and without descending to your level of infantile posting,) unlike you some have a broader perspective and are open to reasonable negotiation.


> The Marine and Coastal Access Act 2009 at last provides the legislative basis for the United Kingdom to declare a 200-mile exclusive economic zone (EEZ) around its coastline. The right to do so has been available under international law for many years, and has already been exercised by the vast majority of coastal states. However, the United Kingdom has previously created a succession of overlapping maritime zones for fisheries, pollution control, renewable energy, and gas importation and storage, instead of claiming a comprehensive EEZ.
Post edited at 23:05
 Sir Chasm 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

> No, (and without descending to your level of infantile posting,) unlike you some have a broader perspective and are open to reasonable negotiation.

So put down the xxxx and tell me your plan for fishing post brexit, you must have a plan, surely?
 Sir Chasm 15 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

Ah, post your edit, you're planning on us (the UK, not Australia) having a 200 mile exclusion zone? That's interesting.
 BarrySW19 16 Jun 2016
In reply to andyfallsoff:

>> So... either vote for the certainty that we remain, and can incrementally things on... or thow everything up in the air and hope for the best. And why WOULDN'T you trust, ahem, Michael Gove, Boris Johnson, Ian Duncan Smith and Nigel Farrage?

> I agree entirely with this, but to avoid the leavers accusing you of playing the man not the ball I'd probably omit the references to individuals at the end. (Not that I disagree with the sentiment)

I'm not sure - I think when you have a group of Harrow and Eton educated elites from the right wing of the Tory party suddenly undergoing a Damascene conversion and deciding they care about nothing so much as liberating money from the EU to put into the NHS - the same NHS they've spent their careers up until now trying to dismantle - then I think it's legitimate to ask questions about whether they are really being completely honest with us.
 Big Ger 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> Ah, post your edit, you're planning on us (the UK, not Australia) having a 200 mile exclusion zone? That's interesting.

More childishness, no wonder the "Remain" team are losing votes had over fist.

Get someone to explain what;

> "open to reasonable negotiation."

means.

 Roadrunner5 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> I thought that the 70 years of peace was because of Nato. Withdrawing from the EU won't affect that will it?

> I could be wrong on this but weren't the Cod wars to do with Icelandic fishing waters, not UK waters? Did it really decimate the UK fishing fleets? I was under the impression that the Fishermen themselves put that down to EU quotas.

> Al

There was no fish!

They could have as big a f*cking quota as they wanted but there were NO FISH. I've spent weeks on trawlers in much of the Northern European shelf seas, around the UK the seabed is smashed to smithereens from constant trawling.

it really was that simple. Quotas had to be drastically cut to allow stocks to rebound, which they have done, unsurprisingly fisherman weren't happy.

 Roadrunner5 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

> Yes, they landed and sold dead fish, fish which would have had to been thrown back into the seas otherwise.

> Still, throwing dead fish back is a great way of conserving stocks.

Which is now banned, well the Demersal fish dicard ban kicks in soon, pelagic has been in for a while.
 Big Ger 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

They're working on it;

> According to the European Commission, up to 800,000 tons of marine animals are thrown back from fishing boats each year in the North Sea alone, amounting to around one-third of the region's entire catch. The World Wide Fund for Nature estimates the industry discards some 39 million tons globally, while nearly one-third of all fish stocks are considered overfished.

http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/new-eu-fishing-methods-reduce-by...
 Big Ger 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

Yep, as I said, they're working on it.

 BarrySW19 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

> it really was that simple. Quotas had to be drastically cut to allow stocks to rebound, which they have done, unsurprisingly fisherman weren't happy.

Yeah, it's quite sad really that there is such negativity towards the EU fishing policy when it's actually been such a great success. European waters were heading for a Grand Banks style collapse. Without the EU quota system all we'd have left now is jellyfish.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collapse_of_the_Atlantic_northwest_cod_fisher...
1
 GridNorth 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

If there were no fish what attracted the large Spanish trawlers then? Genuine question not an argument.
 BarrySW19 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> If there were no fish what attracted the large Spanish trawlers then? Genuine question not an argument.

Well, there were fish - that's the thing, there are fish to be caught right up to the point that suddenly there aren't any more - read the link I posted above which details how the NW Atlantic fishery stocks collapsed nearly 25 years ago and has still not recovered. The point there is that reasonable levels of fish were being caught even up to a couple of years before the collapse.

The point is that regulation needs to get ahead of the curve in order to manage stocks whilst they are still in a healthy state - by the time serious declines are apparent it's already far too late.
 Valaisan 16 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:

> Well we elect a few MEPs to the meaningless talking shop of an EU parliament but we don't elect the people who actually hold the power.

The stated construct would suggest otherwise:

European Commission
'There is one member per member state, but members are bound by their oath of office to represent the general interest of the EU as a whole rather than their home state. One of the 28 is the Commission President (currently Jean-Claude Juncker) proposed by the European Council and elected by the European Parliament.'

Council of the European Union
'In the Council, government ministers from each EU country meet to discuss, amend and adopt laws, and coordinate policies. The ministers have the authority to commit their governments to the actions agreed on in the meetings.'

European Parliament
'751 MEPs are elected to the European Parliament, which has been directly elected since 1979.'

On the Commission which many think holds the power and questions its accountability:
The Commission has the right of initiative to propose laws for adoption by the European Parliament and the Council of the EU (national ministers). In most cases, the Commission makes proposals to meet its obligations under the EU treaties, or because another EU institution, country or stakeholder* has asked it to act. From April 2012, EU citizens may also call on the Commission to propose laws (European Citizens’ Initiative). (me: Nice but scary!)
Before making proposals, the Commission consults widely so that stakeholders' views can be taken into account. In general, an assessment of the potential economic, social and environmental impact of a given piece of legislation act is published along with the proposal itself.
The principles of subsidiarity and proportionality mean that the EU may legislate only where action is more effective at EU level than at national, regional or local level, and then no more than necessary to attain the agreed objectives.
Once EU legislation has been adopted, the Commission ensures that it is correctly applied by the EU member countries.

For me, and its only my opinion, the structure is entirely democratic as far as 'clubs' go with each member getting a vote. Indeed, if you look deeper into it one sees that different Countries get different numbers of votes and the UK along with Germany and France, and a few others, get more votes than many of the other member states, from what I can gather, to properly reflect our population sizes and financial contribution to the club.

*There is though, one glaringly obvious word in the above that opens up the EU to unelected lobbying, pressure and influence: 'stakeholders'. A nasty little word that allows the big corporations and banks to not only be consulted on legislation (which in some cases seems wholly reasonable) but also propose legislation, obviously for their own gain! Hence TTIP. It does rest however with the Council and Parliament to vote on the tabled legislation and that of course is open to lobbying and pressure on a National Political level, so there is accountability but that whole process is open to commercial influence.

The system is there to work, it just needs a few tweaks and that word 'stakeholder' taken out. Obviously there could be 'good' stakeholders such as the WWF or the European Federation of Straight Bananas who would like some form of EU-wide legislation considered and they should have a channel to make such a submission but I suspect a better way would be in the first instance through their MEP (perhaps one per member state that is nominated for non-political interest group proposals). This would make business and interest groups accountable through an elected Minister which of course should make them think just a little harder because he or she is elected and accountable.

Anyway, I'm a Remain because I would like to see what seems to me to be a good idea on many more levels than it is a bad one, improved.
2
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

I only wish the Likes to Dislikes ratio in my OP was reflected in the opinion polls ... it's looking a bit grim at the moment.
1
 GridNorth 16 Jun 2016
In reply to BarrySW19:

So why didn't the regulation apply to the Spanish? If I recall they were fishing freely, indeed on a much larger scale, whilst smaller UK trawlers were not allowed.
 Big Ger 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:
British fishermen have long complained about illegal Spanish fishing, and a lack of policing of such matters.

> The subsidized Spanish fleet has cultivated an extensive record of flouting the rules while officials overlook fraud and continue to dole out aid to vessels that break the law.
> More than 80 percent of subsidized fishing companies that were fined in Spain for fishing infractions – and then lost subsequent court appeals – continued to receive subsidies.
> One Spanish shipowner received more than €8.2 million in subsidies even while his company or its affiliates faced more than 40 accusations of illegal fishing and US$5 million in fines..

https://www.icij.org/project/looting-seas-ii/impact-fishing-industry-rep-ca...
Post edited at 09:59
 lummox 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

The compelling reason to remain is that Brain Blessed is voting Remain. That's all you need to know.
1
 GridNorth 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

> British fishermen have long complained about illegal Spanish fishing, and a lack of policing of such matters.

EU working well there then This is another one of the ticks in the "out" box. I have no evidence but you do seem to hear a lot about other EU countries ignoring rules if they do not like them but the UK playing it by the book. If this is indeed true that would disadvantage the UK IMO.

1
 skog 16 Jun 2016
In reply to lummox:

The way I heard it, he's actually voting REMAIN
1
 lummox 16 Jun 2016
In reply to skog:

whilst jumping up and down on Farage and BoJo..
1
 Sir Chasm 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

> More childishness, no wonder the "Remain" team are losing votes had over fist.

> Get someone to explain what;

> means.

Why don't you explain what you mean? You brought up the potential for a 200 mile exclusion zone, but if that's not what you're thinking of the perhaps you could expand on what you do want post brexit.
1
 Roadrunner5 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:
I've been boarded by fisheries vessels, othe policing is very common, we have vessels out there.

I really don't think it happens that much, we have traceability now so every Gaul is GPS tagged.

If British fisherman sold their quota that's not illegal.
 GrahamD 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> If this is indeed true that would disadvantage the UK IMO.

If.

 GrahamD 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

Do you think fishing is best managed and policed at international level or national level ? (National level and Cod Wars again, the Navy would love that !).

If they *really* aren't currently being effectively policed then surely the way to improve it is through Europe or are you looking at a vigilante approach. But lack of policing is usually down to lack of budget at whatever level its done.

 GridNorth 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GrahamD:

I want it done at a level where, if I disagree with the persons making the decision, I can demonstrate my discontent directly at the ballot box. If Cameron says something and enough of the electorate disagrees he will be out. I don't think that applies with Juncker, Shulz etc.

1
cragtaff 16 Jun 2016
In reply to lummox:

and Bob the Saviour Geldof!
1
 lummox 16 Jun 2016
In reply to cragtaff:

Run along now and knock one off over your picture of Farage, there's a good chap.
1
 krikoman 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> If Cameron says something and enough of the electorate disagrees he will be out.

But that isn't how it works is it, if you live in a conservative stronghold, he could put his cock in a pigs mouth and I still couldn't vote him out. ..



Wait a minute!!!
3
 krikoman 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

> British fishermen have long complained about illegal Spanish fishing, and a lack of policing of such matters.

And just how would we police this if we were out?

This is the one of the issues, that had me thinking out might be a good idea, but we don't have the resources to police it, and we'd end up selling the rights to the Spanish anyway, so we'd be no better off. Apart from we'd probably not be able to fish in their waters.
1
 GrahamD 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

You can't vote in or out the civil service. Nor would any sensible country want to have any long term strategy such as energy, or pollution to the ballot box.
1
 GridNorth 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GrahamD:

Perhaps I'm not explaining myself very well. Every 4 or 5 years the parties present their manifestos, stating what they are or are not going to do. Whether they stick to this or not is another issue but they get in or not broadly based on this manifesto. Every individual expresses their agreement or disagreement by putting a cross in box. It's simple, it's straightforward and admittedly not perfect but it is understandable to the majority of the population. This is the type of democracy that I like. To say the EU is undemocratic may be overstating it but it would be difficult to argue that it is simpler. If many people do not understand the system, which I think is the case, this in itself makes it less democratic.
 thomasadixon 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GrahamD:

> You can't vote in or out the civil service.

Irrevelant as they are paid employees who have no decision making power.

> Nor would any sensible country want to have any long term strategy such as energy, or pollution to the ballot box.

Who should decide it then? You realise presumably that this is an anti democracy argument?

 Ridge 16 Jun 2016
In reply to lummox:

> The compelling reason to remain is that Brain Blessed is voting Remain. That's all you need to know.

Hmm, a boorish oaf in love with his own voice. Probably bottom of my list of people to be trapped in a lift with. Leave is becoming more attractive...
 lummox 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Ridge:

As opposed to Farage and BoJo ???
 Ridge 16 Jun 2016
In reply to lummox:

Close call admittedly... Make that "in my list of worst three people"
 GrahamD 16 Jun 2016
In reply to thomasadixon:

> Irrevelant as they are paid employees who have no decision making power.

Of course they have decision making power. That is why they are paid so much. Yes Minister was funny partly because it was so close to the truth.
 GridNorth 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GrahamD:

It would have been better to say anonymous and unaccountable.
 GrahamD 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

They are accountable. Just not directly accountable to you or I.
 thomasadixon 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GrahamD:

> Of course they have decision making power. That is why they are paid so much. Yes Minister was funny partly because it was so close to the truth.

You're citing a comedy program? It was funny as a parody but it's only TV. Do you really think the Thatcher government didn't make the decisions herself? That the civil service decided to have a fight with the miners? I can't see it personally.

The other question is a real one, and the lack of answer reveals (imo, of course) a strong reason behind the EU itself. Fear of the common man being able to influence the decisions, and a wish to remove the ability of the common man to influence those rules/decisions. Hence the appeal of the EU, an organisation that has a technical claim to democracy (so we can keep our "values") but has moved the decision making to a place where it's no longer controlled by us (so doesn't take the risk that'll we'll screw it up by making "bad" decisions). It will keep us safe, it will protect our values because we are not capable of doing so ourselves. Strange really, given that it hands more power to the politicians that generally we don't trust because they tend towards corruption when unwatched.

> They are accountable. Just not directly accountable to you or I.

The decision makers in China are accountable to someone too. It really does matter who they're accountable to, and it ought to be us.
1
Phil Payne 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Wicamoi:

No, I still think they are wasting money. Like you say, it's almost unheard of that a member state is fined for breaking the rules, so what incentive do they have to comply? The only people making money out of this are the lawyers who have a vested interest in dragging it through the courts for as long as possible.

Might I respectfully disagree that instead of demonstrating that I was wrong, you just reinforced my point.
2
 Badgers 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Phil Payne:

But i have even less faith in a UK government applying sensible environmental controls, sustainable quota etc.. with the extensive media pressure and need to respond to headlines rather than scientific advice (as evidenced by badger culls, neonicotinoids, weekend mortality in the nhs or any sphere of science policy etc....). Furthermore our govt will never have the independent strength to negotiate sensibly to not get into or ever out of things like TTIP as the negotiations will be focussed on 5yr not long term outcomes. I dont see anything in your arguement that suggests leaving the EU will improve things, however it would change them, I'm sure.

And that is the crux of it. People seem to want change as they're not happy. But there is some magic assumption that leaving the eu will lead to change that will be positive. I suspect it won't.
Phil Payne 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Badgers:

I did go on to make the point that I think that a lot of people are fed up with the status quo and might consider voting to leave for no other reason than wanting to try to force a change even if it's for the worse, just as long as they get change.

I'm one of those people
3
 pec 16 Jun 2016
In reply to ianstevens:

> They can and have done recently: see the case of the Welfare bill last year. It's is simply convention that dictates that the Lords don't overule the commons, but this isn't enshrined in law. >

The commons may choose to give way to the Lords if it's politically expediant to do so but it can always overule the lords if it so wishes. It uses the parliament act to do so
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parliament_Acts_1911_and_1949#Provisions

 GridNorth 16 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:

The UK Parliamentary system may be flawed and in need of reform but the EU model, in it's current form, is not the one that should replace it.
2
 RomTheBear 16 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:

> Yes they are, the council of ministers is not directly elected by the people of europe.

They do not have legislative power.

> The Lords cannot ever overule the Commons which always has the upper hand in law. Anyway, a flawed system at home (which is within our powers to change should we wish) is no justifaction for another flawed system imposed on us from outside which we have no power to change.

That is not true, the EU institutions have not been imposed on us in any way. We ratified every single treaty. We have a big influence to change it, and we shaped it.

> We do not elect the European council and we do not elect the commission, our parliament has a small say in them but this is the system which resulted in the election of an EU president that nobody actually wanted.

That is untrue. Junker is there because because his party has a majority in the EU parliament. I agree that he his the wrong man for the job. But that happens in any democracy including ours.
2
 RomTheBear 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> The UK Parliamentary system may be flawed and in need of reform but the EU model, in it's current form, is not the one that should replace it.

They do not have have the same purpose in the first place.
1
 GridNorth 16 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

If all that is true how have we ended up where we are, where it seems to me most people are uneasy, even pro Europeans, with the creeping encroachment of federalism.

1
 RomTheBear 16 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:

> The commons may choose to give way to the Lords if it's politically expediant to do so but it can always overule the lords if it so wishes. It uses the parliament act to do so


And that's the worst of both worlds. Not only we have an unaccountable House of lords but on top of that it is now useless in providing any kind of checks and balances in an unwritten constitutional system that is very much an electoral dictatorship.
1
 RomTheBear 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:
> If all that is true how have we ended up where we are, where it seems to me most people are uneasy, even pro Europeans, with the creeping encroachment of federalism.

There is no "creeping encroachment of federalism", the EU has been going in the opposite direction for the past decade.
We ended up where we are because of people we voted for in our own countries blaming every single problem on the EU, or EU immigrants, or both, mostly because it's easy and it works. It's called populism.

Where I am worried if what happen when we do brexit, and people realise their problems are still there or significantly worse. They are unlikely to regret their choice, instead they'll probably blame other countries even more, foreigners even more, and before you know it, we'll be back to the Europe of coercion and threats.
We are already there unfortunately, with some EU countries threatening to "punish" Britain if we leave, scaremongering about evil rapist Turks flooding Britain (Have you seen the official vote leave broadcast with animated arrows from Turkey landing on London with explosion sounds and all ?)
Post edited at 19:35
1
 GridNorth 16 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:
Looks like we've reached the point where we will have to agree to disagree. Thank you for your knowledgeable and courteous replies. Unfortunately I'm no further forward and feeling confused and nervous about this whole thing.

Al
Post edited at 19:34
 rogerwebb 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

Get out on the hill this weekend and forget it until next week. It may seem clearer then.

Ultimately whichever way you vote you will do it after having done your best to be well informed. Therefore your choice will be the right one whichever way you vote.

(hope it's remain though)
 GridNorth 16 Jun 2016
In reply to rogerwebb:

Thank you, your posts have also been informative and courteous although unfortunately they have failed to convince me.

Al
 Wicamoi 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Phil Payne:

Fair enough. It looks like your mind’s made-up, but I'll have one last go at explaining why I think you are mistaken.

In the first place, no lawyers have any interests in dragging out judgements. The Commission and the ECJ members have salaried fixed term appointments. The European Court of Justice (ECJ) is not a really acting like a court judging a criminal for a crime against the established law, it is more a means for deciding what exactly the law is and how it must be applied in member states.

If the Commission believes a member state to be failing to comply with EU law or to fulfil treaty obligations, it confers with the member state informally. The member state has two options, either to change its law in line with the Commission’s suggestion, or to convince the Commission that its present law is not in conflict with EU regulations. If no agreement can be found the Commission raises a formal complaint, and the member state makes a formal written response. If the Commission is not satisfied with this, it states its full legal position. If the member state still fails to comply, the member state is referred to the European Court of Justice (ECJ).

The ECJ considers and then rules on the matter. If it finds in favour of the Commission, the member state must comply with the decision "without delay". If the Commission refers the member state to the ECJ a second time (ie if it considers the member state has not complied with the ECJ's decision without delay) and the ECJ agrees, then the member state will be fined.

So, I repeat, the scarcity of fines is not evidence that the system isn't working - the law is contested and judged and thereafter generally complied with. Only when member states deliberately flout properly established law is a fine necessary. And since France got stung for about 100 million euros ish for a fisheries infringement in the early days (2005), in most cases the member state does comply with the established law because it is in its interests to do so.

Would you really prefer it if the UK was fined for a disputed law before the nature of that law has been formally agreed? Surely that would be the action of an unaccountable super-bureaucracy, punishing the innocent taxpayers for crimes that their government was not even aware it was committing? But instead we have a democratically-appointed, open system in which the law is formally judged, and the member state then given the opportunity to comply. So, not really the stuff of Murdoch headlines.

In fact it was all rather boring, wasn’t it? Sorry about that. Unfortunately it seems that the EU usually turns out to be boring when looked at in detail – boringly sensible, measured and collegiate. Ho hum. And please bear in mind that the boringly sensible ECJ is all paid for out of the "about-half-of-350-million-a-week", so there's no need to double-account the expense in your mind.

Oh, and the ECJ will almost certainly force the UK to remove the permit the UK granted to a power plant to poison UK citizens in the Cardiff region with NOx at over twice the apparent legal limit. Hurrah for the Commission and the ECJ – defending the people of the UK from their own government! Something else you won’t read in Murdoch’s press.
 krikoman 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Wicamoi:
> hurrah for the Commission and the ECJ £ defending the people of the UK from their own government!

Which is why I an inny.

It's pretty sad that I'm afraid of what my government will do to my standard of living, but there you have it in a nutshell.
Post edited at 20:49
1
 rogerwebb 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Phil Payne:

> it's almost unheard of that a member state is fined for breaking the rules, so what incentive do they have to comply?

I'm sorry but that is just not the case, an ECJ action ending in a fine may be rare in terms of the number of cases but it is not uncommon.

Here is an example, there are many more.
http://www.ictsd.org/bridges-news/biores/news/european-court-fines-france-o...

57.8million Euro every 6 months is quite a big incentive.

 Wicamoi 16 Jun 2016
In reply to rogerwebb:

Hi Roger - I liked your other thread.

Yes, fines of member states exist, but it is good that they are rare, because encouraging democratic compliance with the law is so much more productive than fining non-compliance. There is a large contrast with the ECJ and businesses. In contrast to the situation with national governments, it is often strongly in the interests of businesses to flout the law for profit. Accordingly, since 1990 the ECJ has fined businesses some 20 billion euros.

The European Court of Justice - defending EU citizens from exploitation in a country near you.
 BarrySW19 16 Jun 2016
In reply to rogerwebb:

> Here is an example, there are many more.


> 57.8million Euro every 6 months is quite a big incentive.

A nice example - isn't that better than gunboats facing off against each other? Those who think the idea of EU break-up leading to war is ridiculous would do well to look at just how many disputes are currently being resolved in this boring and bureaucratic manner.

To reverse the Chinese saying - may we continue to live in uninteresting times.
 rogerwebb 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Wicamoi:

Yes sorry to barge into your discussion but Phil seemed to have taken it that states never face fines.
Just thought I'd point out that when the ECJ has had enough it can be quite punitive.

 Big Ger 16 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

> I've been boarded by fisheries vessels, othe policing is very common, we have vessels out there.

> I really don't think it happens that much, we have traceability now so every Gaul is GPS tagged.

> If British fisherman sold their quota that's not illegal.

Agreed. And your immediate experience of such things is valuable here.
 Big Ger 16 Jun 2016
In reply to lummox:

> Run along now and knock one off over your picture of Farage, there's a good chap.

Ah, another demonstration of the intellectual depth we expect from the Remain campaign.
1
 Big Ger 16 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:
> Looks like we've reached the point where we will have to agree to disagree. Thank you for your knowledgeable and courteous replies. Unfortunately I'm no further forward and feeling confused and nervous about this whole thing.

You shouldn't be taken in by Rom. he will make statements like;

> There is no "creeping encroachment of federalism", the EU has been going in the opposite direction for the past decade.

and expect you to take it as gospel, as its his word.

The truth is usually different;

> Since the 1950s, European integration has seen the development of a supranational system of governance, as its institutions move further from the concept of simple intergovernmentalism and more towards a federalized system. However, with the Maastricht Treaty of 1992, new intergovernmental elements have been introduced alongside the more federal systems, making it more difficult to define the European Union (the EU). The European Union, which operates through a hybrid system of intergovernmentalism and supranationalism, is not officially a federation though various academic observers regard it as having the characteristics of a federal system.

and

> Unemployment, intra-national strife, and political and economic stasis are ravaging Europe at the moment. What is there to do? How should we pull out of the morass? Messieurs Daniel Cohn-Bendit and Felix Marquardt, co-founders of the federalist Europeans Now movement, recently suggested bypassing the instruments of European nation states and concentrating political power in the hands of pan-European institutions. Down with national governments, they demand, and up with a “transfer of power to truly European institutions.” Increased federalism and direct democracy, the principles behind their proposal, are key for Europe’s long-term prosperity and success.
Post edited at 23:59
 DoctorYoghourt 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

Capitalism works. It works very well for you if you happen to be a useless social parasite who is incapable of making a contribution to society, but if you don't own enough to live off and have to work for wages capitalism is never going to work in your interests. It really is that simple. This whole EU pantomime should fool nobody. Some capitalists will be better off at our expense if hapless dupes that think that we live in a democracy vote 'in' and, equally, some capitalists will be better off at our expense if hapless dupes that think that we live in a democracy vote 'out'. Other than that, everything will get shittier and shittier.
 Big Ger 17 Jun 2016
In reply to DoctorYoghourt:

I love your optimism.
In reply to DoctorYoghourt:
'Everything will get shittier and shittier.'
Except, for 500 million people, it hasn't.
I started work in the early 70s. Since then I have witnessed an unprecedented rise in the standard of living, qualitative improvements in employment rights, ditto human rights, vastly improved protection for the environment, better healthcare, hugely improved access to education. And we've shifted from a colonial approach to aid to an increasingly coordinated and enlightened one.
Post edited at 07:28
1
 GrahamD 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Badgers:

No surprises that gob shite climate change denier Nigel Lawson is firmly in the leave camp.
 GridNorth 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GrahamD:

I've been looking back over some of the Brexit posts. There appear to be a lot of attacks, like this one, on individuals that are extremely, personal, vindictive, vitriolic and just down right nasty and they are almost exclusively from the remain camp. Why do you feel a need to be like that? It doesn't do your cause any good in fact probably the opposite.
2
cragtaff 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

The remain camp love to offer the view that we can only change the EU from within, but they have had 40 years and its not fixed, what makes them so sure another 40 years will change anything?
4
 lummox 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

You and your nasty chums with their very thinly veiled racist posts aren't really worth the effort. You're not going to change are you ?
1
In reply to cragtaff:

Firstly, it hasn't been 40 years; Masstricht was signed in 1992. 24 years doesn't seem a very long time for institutions to evolve, after all magna Carta was signed in 1215 and we still haven't got that right, either.

Secondly, it's not even that broken - Europe has enjoyed unprecededented improvements in the standard of living and, unlike say China or the US, not at the expense of the environment or working conditions; wealth has been distrinbuted, however imperfectly, across the EU so that long time economies like Poland, Romania, Greece and ??? will become more prosperous, enlarge EU markets an who knows? Become targest for free mobility of labour in their own right.

 Valaisan 17 Jun 2016
In reply to cragtaff:

> The remain camp love to offer the view that we can only change the EU from within, but they have had 40 years and its not fixed, what makes them so sure another 40 years will change anything?

We've had 100s of years to fix Westminster, but we haven't.
 GrahamD 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> I've been looking back over some of the Brexit posts. There appear to be a lot of attacks, like this one, on individuals that are extremely, personal, vindictive, vitriolic and just down right nasty and they are almost exclusively from the remain camp.

That's because that is where you choose to look. Nigel Lawson was a gob shite long before he came out for Brexit. He is a gob shite for talking bollocks about climate change on a soap box unaacountably given to him by the BBC. In the context of Brexit he is one of the people I would least like to have any say on environmental issues.

1
 GrahamD 17 Jun 2016
In reply to cragtaff:

What is fundamentally wrong with the EU that we would (not could) do better ?
1
 thomasadixon 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Valaisan:

> We've had 100s of years to fix Westminster, but we haven't.

You having a laugh? Last century we set Parliament to primacy over the lords, brought in voting for women and universal suffrage. In the last few years we've had a vote on changing from FPTP and in Labour's last time in Parliament we got rid of (most) of the inherited lordships. Looks like we've been fixing it to me - plus we've been devolving power to local regions (Mayors, assemblies, etc). Next up finishing Lords reform (particularly removing Lords only there because of their religion).

It's not perfect, but it's certainly much better than it was 100 years ago and it's gradually improving - improving because it's constantly on the agenda at elections and so parties compete to offer the best so that we'll vote for them. The EU is a huge step backwards.
2
 lummox 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GrahamD:

Let's not forget that Lawson refuses to say whether or not his climate change denying organisation is funded by petrochem interests.

1
 BarrySW19 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

> I started work in the early 70s. Since then I have witnessed an unprecedented rise in the standard of living, qualitative improvements in employment rights, ditto human rights, vastly improved protection for the environment, better healthcare, hugely improved access to education. And we've shifted from a colonial approach to aid to an increasingly coordinated and enlightened one.

Yes, but apart from the standard of living, employment rights, human rights, environmental protection, healthcare and education, what has the EU ever done for us?
3
 John_Hat 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:
The impression I get is that a high proportion of those voting for leave are voting due to:

1) Immigration. Basically, there's too many people of the wrong colour/not our values/it's a crowded island/etc. Schrodinger's Immigrant (that's the one that both lazes around living off the state AND takes all our jobs) has a lot to answer for. It's a combination of ignorance, predjudice and frankly racism.

Totally ignores the issues that unless indigenous brits start breeding a helluva lot more we'll have an aging population and declining workforce.

Oh, and we're not a "crowded island" there's around 700,000 empty houses in the UK. The reason we've got long waiting lists at hospitals is because they are neither funded or managed adequately. That's not the fault of the EU.

2) A desire to "stick it to the man" (as said above) and do the opposite of whatever our elected leaders/industry leaders/etc tell us.

I think this is a symptom of the fact people feel powerless in the current world. They think that "banksters", politicians, CEO's etc have all the power and live in gold plated houses eating caviar making decisions that affects millions but they have no control over their lives. Hence the leave vote is "getting back" at people.

Trouble is the politicians, bankers, CEO's etc don't really have control either. The world is a massively interconnected web of very heavy objects. It takes a lot to get them to move and when they do move want to stop immediately. It takes a massive amount of effort to change anything. As to the gold plated houses and the life of luxury, that's largely a fantasy. More likely is a phone call at 2.30am letting you know there's a conference call at 3am, and then there's no point going to sleep as meetings then start from 5am and run through until midnight. I'm not a member of this club but I'm close enough that I've seen the diaries. They are welcome to it. Paid a lot - yes. Have any time to enjoy it, or have a family life, or hobbies, or have any control of your own life - no.

I'm not arguing, by the way, that the current crop of politicians don't appear an odious, over-privileged lot, who totally ignore the views of the populace. I will also agree that there's many industry types who are unpleasant scum. These are the ones that make the papers. However in the same way that the woman who has 15 kids in the Daily Mail is not the norm, neither are the unpleasant scum. They are not all like that.

3) "Rule Britania", We're better on our own, we'll be masters of our own destiny. Etc.

Actually, no we won't. I refer to the massively interconnected world of heavy objects. What exit from the EU does do is allow us the unfettered ability to screw over our own citizens.

At present a UK government is constrained by EU rules. Especially with our current government I want that oversight. I think that exit from the EU will result in this country lurching to the right, where the ones that will lose will be the ordinary people.

In short, I think a lot of the reasons that people appear to be voting "out" appear to be based on a fantasy word that doesn't exist, combined with simplistic views of the world, casual racism, and desire to punish odious leaders.

There's also the point that in troubled times, only the idiot rocks the boat.
Post edited at 11:10
4
 GridNorth 17 Jun 2016
In reply to John_Hat:
I find it a little ironic that people who class themselves as socialists, and I don't necessarily mean you, seem happy to maintain the Eurocrats in the manner to which they have become accustomed and are aligning themselves with corporations, bankers etc. the very people who they have been slagging off for years and who seem to me to be pulling the strings in the EU. Happy to be proved wrong on that but that's my perception at the moment. They are a privileged elite and they are growing in numbers. How do we address that?

Is it true that the Eurocrats have motor lanes reserved solely for their use? Next thing you know they will be building shopping Malls that we ordinary citizens are banned from. Oh wait a minute!
Post edited at 11:20
 John_Hat 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

I am a bleeding heart liberal who works in the finance industry. Does that help?
1
 GridNorth 17 Jun 2016
In reply to John_Hat:
How do you sleep at night, your brain must be in a permanent state of conflict
Post edited at 11:32
 Shani 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

You seem to be under the impression that RemaINers think the EU is the finished thing. It is a work in progress.
1
 summo 17 Jun 2016
In reply to John_Hat:
> desire to punish odious leaders.

perhaps if during the big negotiation they had been seen to do things that pleased and benefited the electorate as whole, then there would be less desire to punish the leaders.

Instead all we've heard from the odious EU leaders over the past month or more are either thinly vailed threats or very open threats of punishment in one form or another if the UK population demonstrates it's democratic right in a manner that they don't agree with. Which in itself is a reason to leave them to rot.

despite roughly 50% of a major contributing EU nation wanting to exit, not once have they suggested that further reform might improve things in the future. They would rather risk it all, than lose face or change course.
1
 GridNorth 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Shani:

No, I know it's a work in progress, that's what worries me
1
 andyfallsoff 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> Is it true that the Eurocrats have motor lanes reserved solely for their use?

I really don't think it is - it's hard to prove a negative, but there doesn't appear to be any record of this from a google search (if it was true, I think it would show up on searches, and would be picked up quite strongly by the pro-Leave groups).

> Next thing you know they will be building shopping Malls that we ordinary citizens are banned from. Oh wait a minute!

I'm also not aware of any of these - but if there were shopping centres that weren't open to the public, how would that be an EU issue rather than a national one?
 GridNorth 17 Jun 2016
In reply to andyfallsoff:

The motor lanes was said with tongue firmly in cheek but I do understand that there is a shopping mall that is for the sole use of the Eurocrats.

It's an EU issue because it was created by the EU for the EU and is a further sign that they are an overpaid, privileged elite becoming more detached from the elecorate.
1
In reply to GridNorth:
'Is it true that the Eurocrats have motor lanes reserved solely for their use? '

No. Does that help change your mind?

'but I do understand that there is a shopping mall that is for the sole use of the Eurocrats.'

Have you a reference for that? Thought not. Unless it's like the crèche in Quarry House 'for exclusive use of NHS Apparatchiks' or shops inside universities 'for the exclusive use of students' and so on. A disgrace.
Post edited at 11:54
1
 andyfallsoff 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> The motor lanes was said with tongue firmly in cheek but I do understand that there is a shopping mall that is for the sole use of the Eurocrats.

I have tried to look for this but can't find any reference on the internet. Do you have any details you could post?

> It's an EU issue because it was created by the EU for the EU and is a further sign that they are an overpaid, privileged elite becoming more detached from the elecorate.

I can see it looks a bit odd, although I can't rebut any of these arguments about said Mall because I can't find any evidence it exists.

As to whether the EU bureaucracy is overpaid / bloated, one of the interesting features of the EU administration is how small it is for the demos - smaller than Birmingham City council, even though it serves a demos of 500bn+.
 John_Hat 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> How do you sleep at night, your brain must be in a permanent state of conflict

I believe its best to work with people in order to make things better for everyone. Bit like the EU really.
 Ramblin dave 17 Jun 2016
In reply to andyfallsoff:
> As to whether the EU bureaucracy is overpaid / bloated, one of the interesting features of the EU administration is how small it is for the demos - smaller than Birmingham City council, even though it serves a demos of 500bn+.

Again, under the current circumstances the question that I'd ask here is not "is it as good as it could be", but "is it, for everything that might be wrong with it, delivering us more value than we pay for it"? I'd say that the answer to this is a resounding "yes" - the economic boost that we get from having full access to the common market (and from offering that access to anyone who wants to base their operation in the UK) absolutely dwarfs the amount that we pay to be a part of the EU, and hence it'd represent good value even if it was entirely spent on cocaine fuelled orgies for senior European Civil Servants.

Worrying about it in absolute terms feels a bit like not buying the best value car available because you think the manufacturer overpays their CEO.
Post edited at 12:20
 summo 17 Jun 2016
In reply to andyfallsoff:

> I really don't think it is - it's hard to prove a negative, but there doesn't appear to be any record of this from a google search (if it was true, I think it would show up on searches, and would be picked up quite strongly by the pro-Leave groups).

I know the IOC wanted this between Oslo and Lillehammer for a future Olympics bid. Amongst cocktail parties with the royals, a new 5*+ hotel and all sorts of other things. The Parliament said it didn't think in the present climate that this kind of expenditure was morally right and dropped the bid for their winter Olympics.

It's easy to get confused between the elite of the EU, IOC, FIFA etc.. they are probably all on each others phones, Bilderberg meetings etc..

1
baron 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Ramblin dave:
If the UK was not a net contributor but actually got out far more than it paid in and still had all the benefits that the EU supposedly offers, like most EU countries, I'd vote to remain.
Since there's no chance of that happening I'll be voting to leave.

Pmc

3
Phil Payne 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Wicamoi:

You appear to be quite well informed on the workings of the ECJ, so perhaps you can tell me who foots the legal bill for the UK when they get taken to court? I presume the defence bill isn't covered by your 'half of the £350 million a week' figure. If it's some private law firm in the UK that does the defending at a cost of millions to the UK taxpayer, then that proves my point about it being in the interests of lawyers to drag out proceedings for as long as possible.

Secondly, someone else mentioned a France being fined every 3 months over a fishing dispute, but are they actually paying that fine? Why is the ECJ taking member states to court for the wrongdoings of private companies? Do they not have the power to go after the companies themselves?

I admit that I haven't got a clue how the ECJ conducts its business, but from the online facts and figures that I had a quick read through it all seemed a bit farcical and ineffective.

In any case, you don't need to convince me of anything, I'll admit defeat on this point due to lack of understanding of how the whole process works.
 andyfallsoff 17 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

So hang on, you want to leave the EU because other, non-EU organisations are corrupt?

I assume that you mean the EU parliament in that sentence, so surely they did the right thing?

Finally, there isn't really any reason to lump those bodies into the same category except to try and associate the EU with bodies which have been subject to major scandals (which the EU hasn't). It just makes you sound desperate to sling mud at the EU with no foundation.

2
 summo 17 Jun 2016
In reply to andyfallsoff:
> So hang on, you want to leave the EU because other, non-EU organisations are corrupt?

Nope, read it again. I was talking generally and joking, likening them to each other, for the fact they are all led by greedy power hungry people disconnected from the people they claim to represent. Even old teflon coated butter wouldn't melt in the mouth Coe seems to be finding the truth is slowly catching up with him.

> I assume that you mean the EU parliament in that sentence,

NO, Again, since when would the EU parliament be deciding if Norway would bid for the Olympics and want a road between Oslo and Lillehammer? it was more the point that the poster could have got the organisation which want it's own elite road mixed up with each other.

> It just makes you sound desperate to sling mud at the EU with no foundation.

My apologies, Juncker has such a clean honest history, not a blotch on it.
Post edited at 12:39
Phil Payne 17 Jun 2016
In reply to andyfallsoff:

> I have tried to look for this but can't find any reference on the internet. Do you have any details you could post?

I think this is where the story about the shopping centre came from. Hard to know if it's true or not, because they could have filmed it in any shopping centre. I try not to get my 'facts' from any sites that clearly support either side of the referendum campain.

https://mobile.twitter.com/ChrisHansenEU/status/735565606292967425

 andyfallsoff 17 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

> Nope, read it again. I was talking generally and joking, likening them to each other, for the fact they are all led by greedy power hungry people disconnected from the people they claim to represent. Even old teflon coated butter wouldn't melt in the mouth Coe seems to be finding the truth is slowly catching up with him.

That's the objectionable bit though isn't it? Not that there is any evidence, you're just saying trying to make people think that they're all as bad as each other by association (even where the association isn't actually there).

> NO, Again, since when would the EU parliament be deciding if Norway would bid for the Olympics and want a road between Oslo and Lillehammer? it was more the point that the poster could have got the organisation which want it's own elite road mixed up with each other.

OK - so we all agree, the EU hasn't asked for these things, and it's therefore irrelevant for this discussion.

> My apologies, Juncker has such a clean honest history, not a blotch on it.

So lobby your MEP not to support his election as president - he is an official who is elected by the parliament.
 john arran 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Phil Payne:

Looks genuine to me ... but also pretty much what you would expect. Indeed it sounds spookily similar to the fare in place in Westminster, which Brexiteers don't appear to be getting worked up about - http://www.londonlovesbusiness.com/business-news/politics/five-weird-facili...

So all in all yet another red herring when it comes to the EU referendum debate. I preferred the alleged ban on straight bananas as that was at least quite funny.
1
 GridNorth 17 Jun 2016
In reply to john arran:
Not sure it's a red herring. I agree that we have a privileged elite in the UK so why on earth would we want to create another?
Post edited at 13:26
1
 Ramblin dave 17 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:

> If the UK was not a net contributor but actually got out far more than it paid in and still had all the benefits that the EU supposedly offers, like most EU countries, I'd vote to remain.

I'd say that we get far more out of it than we put in once you factor in unfettered access to the free market and considerable sway over how that market is regulated. Countries like Norway and Switzerland are paying through the nose for access to the single market without even getting to help make the rules.

Sure, if we leave, we'll free up £X million a week from not paying into the EU, but that'll be wiped out almost immediately by the cost of increased unemployment and decreased tax revenues as our economy stumbles.
baron 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Ramblin dave:
I was thinking more along the lines of us staying in the EU with all its benefits but not being a net contributor - like most full members of the EU.
Yes I know it's not going to happen but therein lies a major problem, in my opinion, that some countries are asked to contribute far more than others but don't receive anything extra in return.
 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:

> I was thinking more along the lines of us staying in the EU with all its benefits but not being a net contributor - like most full members of the EU.

> Yes I know it's not going to happen but therein lies a major problem, in my opinion, that some countries are asked to contribute far more than others but don't receive anything extra in return.

How would that work?

If we want to reduce immigration the best way is to improve the quality of life in other countries, reduce the have/have not gap.. The rich poor divide.

So the strongest nations in NW Europe invest in weaker areas. Germany is a great example of how this. Worked, the old west regions paid a unification tax and life in the east vastly improved, city centers renovated, road networks improved and the old East was developed and people stayed there.
1
 GridNorth 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Ramblin dave:

> I'd say that we get far more out of it than we put in

That's the problem though. No one has convinced me that is indeed the case and to be perfectly frank I would be surprised if there was anyone on this forum qualified to do so.

Switzerland is a bad comparison I watched something recently that made me wish I lived in Switzerland. High wages, low tax, low unemployment, growing economy, wealthy, happy citizens. Of course someone will say that's all wrong and back we go on the merry go round.

I'm coming to the conclusion that my decision will be based on whether I want to be part of an expanding bureaucracy dominated by Germany and France or not. That debate seems to fall into two factions. Optimistic, idealists on the one hand and pessimistic, pragmatists on the other. I'll let others decide which is which
 SenzuBean 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:
> Not sure it's a red herring. I agree that we have a privileged elite in the UK so why on earth would we want to create another?

So you're saying we should get rid of the priveleged elite here first, you know - deal with our at home issues first, look after our own, etc before considering dealing with overseas bureaucracy. I couldn't have said it better myself - a brilliant argument to remain if I ever saw one.
Post edited at 13:54
1
 Ramblin dave 17 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:

> I was thinking more along the lines of us staying in the EU with all its benefits but not being a net contributor - like most full members of the EU.

> Yes I know it's not going to happen but therein lies a major problem, in my opinion, that some countries are asked to contribute far more than others but don't receive anything extra in return.

We seem have considerably more influence on EU policy than a lot of smaller and poorer countries do, but I'll admit that that's rather difficult to quantify (apart from having a lot more MEPs) or put value on.

Again, though, that seems like pique rather than a rational cost benefit analysis. The question is not whether it's costing us more than it's costing other countries, it's whether staying in is costing us more than leaving. And the general consensus from business and finance seems to be that leaving could be one of the most expensive mistakes we've ever made.
 Shani 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Ramblin dave:

Yep.

How many people on this forum are paying the bank back MORE than they took out in a mortgage? The same principle applies at a macro economic level in the EU. We are investing in future growth and return for the UK.

You pay for access to a MARKET and you then try to develop your national business model exploit that market. You can't just redistribute that investment locally as our national economy couldn't sustain DEMAND for much of the stuff we have specialised in.

It is a necessary factor of economics that we buy in to a sophisticated and mature market such as the EU as only those kinds of markets can support the high end products and services the UK produces. You need a market of a particular complexity and size to sustain Aston Martin, BAe etc...

I've pointed out over the last few years that the economic problems we are experiencing at the moment are demand side. Without access to the EU (and we WILL pay through the nose to access it), there isn't sufficient demand to sustain much of our output. We're heading for a self imposed contraction.
 GridNorth 17 Jun 2016
In reply to SenzuBean:

I don't think I said that.
 GridNorth 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Ramblin dave:


> Again, though, that seems like pique rather than a rational cost benefit analysis. The question is not whether it's costing us more than it's costing other countries, it's whether staying in is costing us more than leaving. And the general consensus from business and finance seems to be that leaving could be one of the most expensive mistakes we've ever made.

I agree that's the consensus of the Corporate world, you know, the one that so many of you rail against in other contexts. Aren't the SME's in favour of Brexit?

 Ramblin dave 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> That's the problem though. No one has convinced me that is indeed the case and to be perfectly frank I would be surprised if there was anyone on this forum qualified to do so.

I can't spell out the full economic argument myself, but I can go on what other experts are saying and doing. And at least one thing that they're saying pretty unilaterally is that losing access to the single market would be catastrophic, and that there's no guarantee that we'd be able to keep access to the single market if we left the EU.

For instance, £100bn was wiped off the value of the FTSE over the few days after Leave polled strongly at the weekend - and that's purely on stronger than expected poll results, not on it actually happening. This is a pretty strong indication of the international consensus on how British business would fare if we left.

Again, I really hate to focus on the "fear" side and the economic consequences of leaving, but it's properly doing my head in how deeply some people are burying their heads in the sand over the reality of it.
 rogerwebb 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Phil Payne:

> If it's some private law firm in the UK that does the defending at a cost of millions to the UK taxpayer, then that proves my point about it being in the interests of lawyers to drag out proceedings for as long as possible.

Government legal service

> Secondly, someone else mentioned a France being fined every 3 months over a fishing dispute, but are they actually paying that fine? Why is the ECJ taking member states to court for the wrongdoings of private companies? Do they not have the power to go after the companies themselves?

I would be very surprised if they didn't pay because it would appear that the behaviour complained of has ceased.


The Government is taken to court in those cases for failing to apply the law and for not going after the companies themselves. In the particular case the French government was failing to enforce the law regarding net sizes.


 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> I've been looking back over some of the Brexit posts. There appear to be a lot of attacks, like this one, on individuals that are extremely, personal, vindictive, vitriolic and just down right nasty and they are almost exclusively from the remain camp. Why do you feel a need to be like that? It doesn't do your cause any good in fact probably the opposite.

I think because people don't line UKIP using Nazi style propaganda posters to scare the population like Hitler did.


If you are fine with getting that sort of support, fine. Many of us find it horrific that such actions are acceptable to divide Europe again.
1
 Valaisan 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> I agree that's the consensus of the Corporate world, you know, the one that so many of you rail against in other contexts. Aren't the SME's in favour of Brexit?

I'm not in favour of Brexit and I'm an SME. I'm not that much in favour of either but when pushed, I'm In.
 GridNorth 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Ramblin dave:

At this rate I'm going to end up as the most prolific poster on the Forum this month but I am very concerned about all of this and even more concerned about my ignorance. It's why I keep playing devils advocate so please forgive me.

You could equally argue that the in side are burying their heads in the sand over increasing federalisation, dominance by France and Germany and increasing immigration could you not?

Al
 Ramblin dave 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> I agree that's the consensus of the Corporate world, you know, the one that so many of you rail against in other contexts.

I have plenty of criticisms of the "corporate world", but am happy to admit that a) it knows which side its bread's buttered economically and b) directly and indirectly it keeps a whole lot of people - myself included - in jobs, paying taxes, not claiming benefits and so on.
 john arran 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

Where do you get the "dominance by France and Germany" bit from? They're the biggest players in the Eurozone but the UK should be just as influential in the EU as a whole. Of course that would mean no longer playing a hands-off game and then blaming [the rest of] Europe whenever it suits Westminster to detract attention from its domestic policy shortcomings.
1
 Valaisan 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

> I think because people don't lin(k?)e UKIP using Nazi style propaganda posters to scare the population like Hitler did.

> If you are fine with getting that sort of support, fine. Many of us find it horrific that such actions are acceptable to divide Europe again.

Just to elaborate on this point a little; if the leader of the 'Leave' campaign can get away with racism, subtle or not, with just a few probing newspaper reports and no actual sanctions, then the whole debate was bound to descend into vile inaccurate and often irrelevant mudslinging - from both sides!

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/boris-johnson-barack-obama-ke...
 Valaisan 17 Jun 2016
In reply to john arran:

Often the simplest statements are the best. Nice one
 GrahamD 17 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:

> If the UK was not a net contributor but actually got out far more than it paid in and still had all the benefits that the EU supposedly offers, like most EU countries, I'd vote to remain.

Other countries like the strongest economic force in the EU, Germany, for instance ? what benefit do you think they can possibly see in keeping Europe united ?
 SenzuBean 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> I don't think I said that.

I know

But couldn't resist using that all too common brexit argument in a new setting - to produce an opposite outcome, showing how poor of an argument it is in the first place. I know you didn't yourself use the argument, but as I said - I couldn't resist.
2
 BarrySW19 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:
> It's an EU issue because it was created by the EU for the EU and is a further sign that they are an overpaid, privileged elite becoming more detached from the elecorate.

If such a mall exists it means no such thing. It's more likely a private company is operating a mall, for profit, within the EU campus. Many large companies rent out space in their buildings for other companies to offer services to their staff.

By any chance is the Daily Mail spinning something rather mundane as unfettered profligacy again?
Post edited at 15:28
 Doug 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> I'm coming to the conclusion that my decision will be based on whether I want to be part of an expanding bureaucracy dominated by Germany and France or not.

Or we stay, be involved & not let the Germans & French dominate



 summo 17 Jun 2016
In reply to andyfallsoff:

> That's the objectionable bit though isn't it? Not that there is any evidence, you're just saying trying to make people think that they're all as bad as each other by association (even where the association isn't actually there).

I would suggest the EU is in part worse than the IOC or FIFA, as at least people bring the IOC on themselves by asking to host the games etcc. We will see what percentage of the UK doesn't want the EU next week, but if it's less than 50% they are stuck with them. Yes, that's democracy, so I will just have to live with it.

> OK - so we all agree, the EU hasn't asked for these things, and it's therefore irrelevant for this discussion.
it was relevant because it was related to roads for only the elite.

> So lobby your MEP not to support his election as president - he is an official who is elected by the parliament.

I think a few countries, including the UK objected to Juncker, didn't change anything. A few countries also want Juncker to this day to be more open about Luxembourg's tax arrangements, but he hasn't done that either.
So lobbying my MEP won't make a single bit of difference.
 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth: al, if we leave we still need access to the common market. F and G then totally dominate what happens to us and what deals we get. We'd be about 10% of the EU.. They will have the upper hand in negotiations.

In reply to Valaisan:

I am a SME and firmly In
 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:
How is it worse than FIFA?

Provide some evidence. That's an idiotic outlandish statement.

I don't doubt, like with the U.K. Gov expenses are abused but outright criminal activity?
baron 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:
Have you ever been to the former East Germany?
 GridNorth 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

My understanding is that we will still have access to the common market. I believe Germany exports 44% of their cars to us. Do you seriously believe they would do anything to interfere with that? Out industry has been run down since the 70's, agriculture also appears to have suffered according to my farmer neighbours. Is it just coincidence that during that time French agriculture and German industry have grown?
baron 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Ramblin dave:
The question is 'why does it cost us more than most countries?' - as I'm presuming that most countries pay far less than us but receive all the benefits that we do?
 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:
I lived there for a year. Why?
 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

If we have access to the common market we MUST have open borders..
2
 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:
Our agriculture is fine in regions. It just depends where.
 Ramblin dave 17 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:

Why is that the question?

If I said "either I can give you £50 and GridNorth £100 or I can give neither of you anything", would you say take nothing because you don't want GridNorth getting a better deal than you?
 Doug 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> My understanding is that we will still have access to the common market.

Only if we sign up to the Single Market/EEA which means paying (check how much Norway pays each year), accepting all the rules including movement of EU citizens but having no role in the decision making.

 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Doug:

> Only if we sign up to the Single Market/EEA which means paying (check how much Norway pays each year), accepting all the rules including movement of EU citizens but having no role in the decision making.

This is what I just don't understand..

That's as good as we can have it if we want common market access
 Jim Hamilton 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Doug:

> Only if we sign up to the Single Market/EEA which means paying (check how much Norway pays each year), accepting all the rules including movement of EU citizens but having no role in the decision making.

Lamont's view on it -

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/13/not-only-can-britain-can-leave-t...
 Doug 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Jim Hamilton:
Not sure I'd believe anything Lamont says given his record on climate change but quickly looking at that article suggests he focuses on trade tariffs and ignores the fact that we'd have to follow EU regulations but have no say in their development
Post edited at 18:24
 andyfallsoff 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:
> My understanding is that we will still have access to the common market. I believe Germany exports 44% of their cars to us. Do you seriously believe they would do anything to interfere with that?

I'm not sure on the 44% stat, but put it another way - do you think that we are so important an export market to Germany (1 member of the EU) that all EU countries will cut us a deal that gives us everything we want? As an overall, we take something like 8% of EU exports, but I think just under half of our goods are exported to the EU. Doesn't that show that we need them more than they need us?

> Out industry has been run down since the 70's, agriculture also appears to have suffered according to my farmer neighbours. Is it just coincidence that during that time French agriculture and German industry have grown?

But during that same time we've gone from being the so called "sick man of Europe" to 5th largest economy in the world. How can anyone argue that we've been hurt by the EU, based on that evidence? Perhaps our balance of industry has changed, but that's a feature of nearly all developed countries.
Post edited at 18:40
 summo 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:


> I don't doubt, like with the U.K. Gov expenses are abused but outright criminal activity?

where did I say criminal? Care to explain what has been honest and transparent in Junkcer's tax deals whilst he was president of Luxembourg, it's not criminal, but it's pretty dishonest and was certainly not putting the EU before individual nations selfish needs, yet they make him president. Which can only make you think most of the other leaders are rotten to the core too.
baron 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Ramblin dave:
I don't want you to give me anything but I do want to pay the same as most other countries.
baron 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:
Then you'll know that large parts of the former East Germany are still years behind West Germany and that many Germans both east and west are not convinced of the benefits of unification.
 rogerwebb 17 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:

Are they as many years behind as they were before reunification?
 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:
You said it was worse than FIFA?


http://www.bbc.com/sport/football/34991874
Post edited at 19:14
 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:
They are still behind but have rapidly caught up.

Really? Apart from a few old grumpy bastards almost everyone i met in the east was pro joining and saw the benefits. So much so people in the west felt their CBDs lagged behind those of the east where money and institutions moved.

Many in the west felt it was time to stop paying the east as they'd caught up enough.

I lived in Rostock and it was very much for unification and still had a hatred and mistrust of Russia.
Post edited at 19:27
 The New NickB 17 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:

> I don't want you to give me anything but I do want to pay the same as most other countries.

You want us the hand back our rebate?
1
 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:
Politicians in personal interest shocker!

You should look at US senators, get in office from teaching retire multi millionaires.. There's not many world leaders not in it for their own interest as well.

But far better than FIFA which is why your claim was again outlandish. Do the leave side have to keep lying?
1
 The New NickB 17 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> My understanding is that we will still have access to the common market. I believe Germany exports 44% of their cars to us.

Exports to the UK account for around 12% of German car production.
 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

> If we have access to the common market we MUST have open borders..

Two disliked this.

Can you explain what leverage we have that Norway and Switzerland don't?

I've not seen anyone suggest single market access can be gained without open borders.
 Martin Hore 17 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:

> The question is 'why does it cost us more than most countries?' - as I'm presuming that most countries pay far less than us but receive all the benefits that we do?

I'd like to answer this, but as a signed up campaigner I'm rightly suspending campaigning till Sunday.

Martin
baron 17 Jun 2016
In reply to The New NickB:
Why do we have a rebate?
Why can't we just pay the same as Spain or Italy?
Even after receiving our rebate we're still the second biggest net contributor to the EU. (If my Telegraph source is accurate!)
 summo 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

> Politicians in personal interest shocker!
> You should look at US senators, get in office from teaching retire multi millionaires.. There's not many world leaders not in it for their own interest as well.

just because some US senators are more rotten to the core than Juncker, does that mean it is OK for Juncker to run a tax have within the EU for decades ?
 summo 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

> But far better than FIFA which is why your claim was again outlandish. Do the leave side have to keep lying?

omg, you are painful at times. Talking about twisting stuff. I said "at least countries have choice with fifa or the Ioc, in that they applying to hold games". We are stuck with the rotten likes of Juncker and the EU, we have no choice. So if you can be bothered to re-read what I said, I made no outlandish claims or lies etc..

You can distract attention away from it of course, but either way Juncker ran a tax haven in Luxembourg and still refuses to declare what tax deals were done with several multi nationals.
1
 summo 17 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:

> Why do we have a rebate?

because the EU needs us more than we need them, so Thatcher basically forced the EU into it. We've done well to keep it considering some of weak leaders we've had of late.
1
 summo 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

> Can you explain what leverage we have that Norway and Switzerland don't?

we have very little leverage judging by what little Cameron came back with in Dec/Jan. A few token gestures than some other Eu leaders would not be honoured anyway.

If Norway and Switzerland have it so bad and are suffering without a voice, how come they don't want to join?
1
 The New NickB 17 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:
> Why do we have a rebate?

We negotiated it.

> Why can't we just pay the same as Spain or Italy?

> Even after receiving our rebate we're still the second biggest net contributor to the EU. (If my Telegraph source is accurate!)

Third I think, behind Germany and France. We pay the lowest percentage of Gross National Income of all members.
Post edited at 21:19
In reply to GridNorth:

Really!!

Do you mean 44% of their production comes to us?

Or do you mean 44% of their exports come to us?

The former assertion is obviously complete nonsense. The latter assertion seems a tad over optimistic. Could you provide some evidence for either assertion.
1
 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

> we have very little leverage judging by what little Cameron came back with in Dec/Jan. A few token gestures than some other Eu leaders would not be honoured anyway.

> If Norway and Switzerland have it so bad and are suffering without a voice, how come they don't want to join?

Some do.. Some don't..

But switzerlands banking is a major issue

For Norway they are cash rich
 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:
How do they have a choice with FIFA?

Elections were bribed. The choice was leave the lucrative football tv deals. No country had a choice due to criminal corruption
 RomTheBear 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

> Some do.. Some don't..

> But switzerlands banking is a major issue

> For Norway they are cash rich

Both Switzerland and Norway are all virtually in the EU in all but the name.
Norway pays more per head than we do in the EU budget, and has way more immigrants per head too.
The Swiss have a completely broken relationship with the EU, they can't even implement the results of its constitutional referendum on EU immigrant because if they do it pretty much jeopardises all of their bilateral agreements with the EU, so much for "sovereignty", they can't do anything and don't have a say.
1
 The New NickB 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Graeme Alderson:
> Really!!

> Do you mean 44% of their production comes to us?

> Or do you mean 44% of their exports come to us?

> The former assertion is obviously complete nonsense. The latter assertion seems a tad over optimistic. Could you provide some evidence for either assertion.

As an example BMW sell about three times as many cars in the U.S. As they do in the UK.

All German brands sold 650,000 cars in the UK in 2015, BMW alone sold 400,000 cars in the U.S. In the same period. Mercedes sold 380,000.
Post edited at 21:51
 Roadrunner5 17 Jun 2016
In reply to The New NickB:
That was what surprised me with Als figures. Bit european cars are pretty common here for the wealthy, pretty much a status symbol.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/16/why-this-lifelong-patriot-is-vot...

Rom: I wasn't sure what was going on with the swiss referendum, I knew they hadn't implanted what the people voted for up until at least this last few months but saw articles suggesting they were closing the border.

I think Norway is more in than we are for sure, in many ways anyone in the schengen is.
 Ramblin dave 17 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:
> If Norway and Switzerland have it so bad and are suffering without a voice, how come they don't want to join?

If the Leave campaign were stating clearly and unambiguously that their goal was the Norwegian model - outside the EU, but in the EEA and accepting the strings-attached that come with that - then I'd be a lot less worried.

But since they keep talking about freedom from EU regulation (most of which Norway follows without having any influence over it) and not sending money to Brussels (which Norway does) and taking control of immigration (which Norway doesn't have), I can only assume that that's not what they've got in mind.

And when they talk about all that stuff while holding up Norway as an example to show that you can be outside the EU but still have access to the common market, I'm afraid that I can only conclude that they're either extremely stupid or knowingly dishonest or both.
Post edited at 22:04
 Sir Chasm 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Martin Hore:
> The question is 'why does it cost us more than most countries?' - as I'm presuming that most countries pay far less than us but receive all the benefits that we do?

I'd like to answer this, but as a signed up campaigner I'm rightly suspending campaigning till Sunday.

Martin

I'm under no such constraint, so I'll have a go. Simply put it comes down to the phrase "From each according to his ability, to each according to his needs". You can't have everyone taking more than they contribute, how would that work? Do you apply that principle here in the UK? Of course you don't, society couldn't function. So we're making a net contribution to help society function.
 RomTheBear 17 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

> That was what surprised me with Als figures. Bit european cars are pretty common here for the wealthy, pretty much a status symbol.


> Rom: I wasn't sure what was going on with the swiss referendum, I knew they hadn't implanted what the people voted for up until at least this last few months but saw articles suggesting they were closing the border.

Nope not at all. Still negotiating with the EU.

Gone for good 17 Jun 2016
In reply to The New NickB:

Yes but aren't BMWs and Mercedes Benz built in America so therefore not imported from Europe?
 Big Ger 18 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:
> I've been looking back over some of the Brexit posts. There appear to be a lot of attacks, like this one, on individuals that are extremely, personal, vindictive, vitriolic and just down right nasty and they are almost exclusively from the remain camp. Why do you feel a need to be like that? It doesn't do your cause any good in fact probably the opposite.

What, like this one you mean?

> You and your nasty chums with their very thinly veiled racist posts aren't really worth the effort. You're not going to change are you ?
Post edited at 00:00
 Big Ger 18 Jun 2016
In reply to lummox:
> You and your nasty chums with their very thinly veiled racist posts aren't really worth the effort. You're not going to change are you ?

Ok, here's a challenge to you, please quote one of my thinly veiled racist posts?

EVERY single time I have challenge one of the hatemongers here to quote me, they have chickened out and run away.

Just goes to show their moral inadequacy.

(Funnily enough the only person I am happy and proud to be "chums" with, on and off this board, is a "remain" supporter.)
Post edited at 00:05
baron 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Sir Chasm:
So we are actually helping other countries by being net contributors.
As we already have an overseas aid budget can we not use that money to help other european countries?
1
 Roadrunner5 18 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:

> So we are actually helping other countries by being net contributors.

> As we already have an overseas aid budget can we not use that money to help other european countries?

Why should we?

Why is it so bad to be a net contributor? Most of us are anyway? In society we pay more tax than we get back in services.

Our taxes then pay benefits, health, military etc and a very small amount goes to Europe.

1
 Roadrunner5 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Gone for good:

> Yes but aren't BMWs and Mercedes Benz built in America so therefore not imported from Europe?

No.

Certainly BMWs anyway, just some models. They are built for the global market.
1
baron 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:
My objection isn't to paying taxes in the UK but to the UK paying more than nearly every other country to apparently support the social project that the EU has become.
I understand that some people see this as a positive thing.

 summo 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

> Some do.. Some don't.

But more of the population wants to stay out, Norway has had two votes out, not even a close call.

> But switzerlands banking is a major issue

But, they've found a way to make it work and are happy.

> For Norway they are cash rich

Not really relevant, their revenues are obviously down at the moment and roughly 96-97% of oil & gas revenue is re-invested in their sovereign wealth fund. So they are hardly spend crazy like some ME nations. Either way they still would prefer to be out of the EU, even if that means less influence.
 summo 18 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:

> As we already have an overseas aid budget can we not use that money to help other european countries?

that was or is part of Norway's agreement, it pays it's contribution directly into the EU's aid fund, only for development of weaker EU nations, it doesn't go into the big brussel's pot to be shared around everywhere and anywhere.
 summo 18 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Both Switzerland and Norway are all virtually in the EU in all but the name.
> Norway pays more per head than we do in the EU budget, and has way more immigrants per head too.

All the data I've seen shows Norway pays a little less per capita, and it only goes toward EU development of weaker nations, not into the EU pot as a whole. The thing is the Norwegians are happy with this.

> The Swiss have a completely broken relationship with the EU, they can't even implement the results of its constitutional referendum on EU immigrant because if they do it pretty much jeopardises all of their bilateral agreements with the EU, so much for "sovereignty", they can't do anything and don't have a say.

They have implemented many measures and were barred from Erasmus programme among other things, they maintain their student places by directly funding institutions where the students go etc.. so they found a solution. But despite this the people are happy, they aren't forcing the government to hold elections to join the EU, which in Switzerland they could very easily do, due to their voting system.

If the EU is so fantastic, why aren't all the EEA/EFTA nations itching to join it properly? Lagarade was out again yesterday, the IMF is now saying the EU/euro is weak and at risk, the truth finally. But of course the UK should still remain.(as they want the UK's money).
 RyanOsborne 18 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

> If the EU is so fantastic, why aren't all the EEA/EFTA nations itching to join it properly?

If the EEA / EFTA arrangement is so fantastic, why aren't all the EU countries itching to do that instead?
1
 summo 18 Jun 2016
In reply to RyanOsborne:
> If the EEA / EFTA arrangement is so fantastic, why aren't all the EU countries itching to do that instead?

because nearly all are tied to the Euro? Denmark has a border with Germany so the Euro/Krona pegging is currently beneficial but the government is moving rightwards. Sweden isn't feeling the EU love and many are watching to see what happens with the UK. The same with Netherlands who appear to be itching for a vote too. Spain has a national election soon, which could Swing to the right. Austria had a very near miss with a far right president... Perhaps many EU countries are getting a great deal as they benefit more financially than they put in, everyone can't get more out etc.. there has to be winners and losers. The question is how many would risk giving their population the choice? Not many.

I don't think the day when many more will desire to exit is that far off.
Post edited at 09:54
2
 RomTheBear 18 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:

> My objection isn't to paying taxes in the UK but to the UK paying more than nearly every other country to apparently support the social project that the EU has become.

Another myth I'm afraid. We pay less as % of national income than nearly every other country.

3
baron 18 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:
I couldn't care less how much of a percentage of national income we pay.
You know that's only one part of how payments are made up.
It's the actual net amount I'm concerned about.
3
 summo 18 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Another myth I'm afraid. We pay less as % of national income than nearly every other country.

it's not the % that matters, it the fact that some countries that do pay more in, also get more out than they put in. The opposite applies to the UK. We are funding those nations which are net beneficiaries.

3
 RomTheBear 18 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

> it's not the % that matters, it the fact that some countries that do pay more in, also get more out than they put in. The opposite applies to the UK. We are funding those nations which are net beneficiaries.


I disagree it really is the % that matters, helping poorer eu nations to develop is key to our economic success.
1
 JJL 18 Jun 2016
In reply to johncoxmysteriously:

> My thoughts are that that is exactly the biggest driver of this. Many people just want to give the establishment, bankers, etc a kicking and this is their chance. Once the people lose trust in their leaders, terrible things happen, and this is just one terrible thing which may happen and has been in the pipeline for a while. I suspect it will get worse before it gets better too, since if we do leave two things are certain; first, people will be even worse off than they are now and naturally won't blame their own decision for that; second, they will find that they don't actually get much of what they were hoping to get (to take one trivial example, the mini-problem with refugees being smuggled into Kent will get worse and not better).

> jcm

John, you have a track record of excellent posts, not to mention a dab hand with a keyboard. However this is one of your best. I agree wholeheartedly.
 JJL 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Jim Hamilton:

> Lamont's view on it -


Norman "Black Friday" Lamont?

Sure, I'll listen to him....
1
 Roadrunner5 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

> No.

> Certainly BMWs anyway, just some models. They are built for the global market.

Rather than dislike why don't you show why this is wrong?

Or are we just now disliking posts which provide correct information you don't like.

There are just so much made up statistics in this referendum and few seem willing to actually check.
1
 summo 18 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

> I disagree it really is the % that matters, helping poorer eu nations to develop is key to our economic success.

Excellent news. We can help them like Norway then, from outwith the EU, just part of trade agreement that directly funds the EU development fund, pay in a little less, wave goodbye to CAP, fisheries etc.. it's good we have an agreement on the future way ahead, where all sides are happy.


2
 summo 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

> There are just so much made up statistics in this referendum and few seem willing to actually check.

just like remain, Osbourne's budget threat before he even knows what has physically happened to the economy post Brexit. Especially when an exit would take at least 2 years, does he really know what his budget in Oct 2016 will be? Unless of course he planned it all out with La Garade at the Bilderberg meeting last month. I will say this on X date, if you then say this on the next date, to reinforce the argument etc...

There are lies on all sides, plus the hatred, it has destroyed what is essentially the most important vote for the UK in a century. Far more important than any 5 yearly national election. Perhaps after this two day pause, sides will mature a little.
1
 Roadrunner5 18 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

I've asked to explain why it's better that we manage fish stocks that we share separately?

If other fish stocks migrate through 3-4 countries water how do you decide how much fish we should all take?

You'd want to come with some kind of agreement for those species so they can be managed sustainably.. Like they are now maybe..
1
 Roadrunner5 18 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

I don't doubt it.

I think Cameron aNd Osborne are lying arses.

This campaign has been terribly badly ran. But I am willing to look at stats and ad,it when they are wrong.
1
 Skyfall 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

It's funny; this is so reminiscent of the Scottish vote. On these forums all you can hear is the remain side putting down those who dare think otherwise. To the extent that the leave voters feel they don't want to risk the abuse they will get by stating their case. So all the volume is from the remain side.

As someone who has been sat on the fence and can genuinely see pros and cons to both sides, I am finding the self righteous tone of the remain side rather irritating and pushing me off the fence.

So to put that in the context of JCM's post, it's not an anti-establishment thing; it's the way in which the remain side are making their case.
2
 Postmanpat 18 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:
> Another myth I'm afraid. We pay less as % of national income than nearly every other country.

Disingenuous nonsense. Because these are gross numbers ie. ignoring payments out of the budget, on this basis Greece is the biggest contributor as % of GNI and Germany one of the smallest!!
Post edited at 12:26
1
 Roadrunner5 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Skyfall:
I think you are totally wrong.

Many leave voters have been quite vocal.

Yes factually incorrect statements like grid births German car experts, or the USA making all its own bmws are put down.

It seems actually speaking the truth is a lesser virtue.

Summo has refused to explain why it's better to manage migratory fish species separately than as a team of nations through which those species migrate? If people are voting out because of such beliefs asking them to explain is no bad thing.

And also there's this view we can't mention xenophobia. When the leave campaign do the disgusting 'the Turks are joining' or farages nazi style poster we should point these out. People like Farage are trying to create a fear of immigrants. So no it is not the remain side just trying to use fear tactics...
Post edited at 14:55
5
 Pete Pozman 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

I don't trust Osborne to manage the budget for the greater good, but I think pragmatism may govern his decisions to the extent that he may have to make careful decisions. The thought of Michael Gove and Boris being let anywhere near the nation's finances appals me. A vote for Brexit is a vote for two liars to take over the UK. The way politics is now, with the voice of the left so ineffectual, we could be stuck with government by the Tory Right for decades.
3
 GridNorth 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

Yes I may have got the figures wrong on that but it's hardly surprising with so many statistics being bandied about by both sides to make the same thing look favourable for their respective causes. Immigration is not an issue for me although I do believe we, the UK should be able to control it. As far as the economics go, I've given up. I don't know the consequences and I do not believe anyone else does. For me it's going to be all about which is more democratic and representative of the electorate, the EU or the UK Parliamentary system. So I am still undecided but yet to be convinced that the EU is as democratic as some of you seem to think.
 Doug 18 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

Have a read of this weeks Economist, or listen to the Economist radio piece from last week
1
 gritrash0 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Pete Pozman:

> The thought of Michael Gove and Boris being let anywhere near the nation's finances appals me. A vote for Brexit is a vote for two liars to take over the UK.

What on earth are you talking about?
A vote for Brexit is a vote for the UK to leave the EU.
We are not electing a government or voting on the popularity of any particular politician.
1
Gone for good 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:
> No.

> Certainly BMWs anyway, just some models. They are built for the global market.

We are both right and both wrong.
BMW build these in the United States.

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://en.m.wikiped...

Mercedes Benz build these.

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://en.m.wikiped...

But the big sellers are built and exported from Germany.
Post edited at 15:34
 Roadrunner5 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Gone for good:

No I was right. BMW only build some models in the US.


"The BMW US Manufacturing Company is a vehicle assembly facility that is part of the BMW Group and is located in Greer, South Carolina[3] is BMW's only assembly plant in the United States. The plant's principal purpose is to assemble certain BMW models for the world market. It does not assemble all the BMW models sold in the U.S. market. The plant is currently BMW's sole global production site for X3, X4, X5, and X6 cross-over SUVs. These models are exported from BMW Spartanburg."

So only certain models are built in the US and for the global market.

Plus these are assembly plants. Much of those parts could be made in Germany. I don't know the answer to that.
1
 Robert Durran 18 Jun 2016
In reply to gritrash0:

> What on earth are you talking about?
> A vote for Brexit is a vote for the UK to leave the EU.
> We are not electing a government or voting on the popularity of any particular politician.,

Absolutely. And, to be fair, Boris et al are not campaigning as a government in waiting (unlike the Scottish referendum where Salmond conducted the campaign as if for a personal mandate to govern the country in perpetuity).

1
Gone for good 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

Agreed. I was aware that some production took place in the States but wasn't sure how much.
One things for certain. Germany export a lot of cars.
 Dr.S at work 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Skyfall:
> It's funny; this is so reminiscent of the Scottish vote. On these forums all you can hear is the remain side putting down those who dare think otherwise. To the extent that the leave voters feel they don't want to risk the abuse they will get by stating their case. So all the volume is from the remain side.

not my recollection of the Scottish referendum on here at all where there were strong views expressed, generally civilly, on both sides - indeed some of the more vocal 'yes' posters then eg Rom and Tom are strongly in the 'Remain' camp now. Not sure where Saor Alba is now (Donald82?). RogerWebb was one of the more eloquent 'No' voices and again now a strong, civil posting, Remainer.

What is different is the importance people actually place on the vote - using the "how much cash would change your mind test" it was several hundred (500?) quid for the Scottish referendum - it's £25 this time around. People hold views for sure - but in general and perhaps especially on the remain side they appear to care less.

I do agree however that the conflation of being anti-immigration, or at least excessive immigration, with xenophobia or racism is unfortunate in the extreme.
Post edited at 16:09
 john arran 18 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

> As far as the economics go, I've given up. I don't know the consequences and I do not believe anyone else does.

Of course nobody "knows" the consequences but if you ask the people most likely to have voices worth listening to on the subject it's clear they're overwhelmingly predicting pretty dire economic times ahead if the UK leaves the EU. You make it sound like the Creationist argument, whereby all you need is to find one so-called expert willing to back an alternative view and, hey presto, opinion is therefore divided and both opinions somehow magically are given equal weight.
 andyfallsoff 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Robert Durran:

> Absolutely. And, to be fair, Boris et al are not campaigning as a government in waiting (unlike the Scottish referendum where Salmond conducted the campaign as if for a personal mandate to govern the country in perpetuity).

I would disagree with this - the leave campaign have consistently said what "would" happen if we left. I've found some examples and set them out below:

"Let's give the nhs the £350m we send the EU every week" - vote leave core campaign message. Sounds a lot like a campaign promise (and ignores the rebate)

"....it is the Leave campaign’s proposal for an Australian-style points based system" - Boris, writing in the evening standard ( http://www.standard.co.uk/comment/comment/boris-johnson-london-is-a-global-... )

Recipients of EU funding will continue to get the same money after exit - http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36523764

 andyfallsoff 18 Jun 2016
In reply to john arran:

I agree - I find it very depressing that the leave campaign's economic view is being given the same weight as all of the other experts.

One of the other things I wonder about is what else the remain camp could have done to avoid the accusation of scaremongering. I appreciate that people don't like being told what to do, but if all the evidence says the economic effects of leaving will be bad, aren't those politicians duty bound to say so?

Put another way - if they hadn't made the case that it would be bad (again, just reiterating all the evidence) and we merrily leave, walking straight into a recession, wouldn't there be even more blame placed on them for not warning us?
2
 Robert Durran 18 Jun 2016
In reply to andyfallsoff:

> I would disagree with this - the leave campaign have consistently said what "would" happen if we left.

Fair enough. I suppose I took these sort of things as examples of what could be done rather than what would be done. The tone certainly seems to ne somewhat different to Salmond's in the run up to the Scottish referendum.
 summo 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:
> I've asked to explain why it's better that we manage fish stocks that we share separately?

Norway has a fishing agreement with only other Nordic nations, not the EU. We could join that, a fishing alliance effectively from Greenland to the Baltic, would be quite an area of sea, controlled by independent non euro nations?

> If other fish stocks migrate through 3-4 countries water how do you decide how much fish we should all take?

See above, Norway already does this.

> You'd want to come with some kind of agreement for those species so they can be managed sustainably.. Like they are now maybe..

See above, already happening with Non Eu nations.

Everything is possible, but only if you actually look for the solution.
Post edited at 18:38
 summo 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:
> Summo has refused to explain why it's better to manage migratory fish species separately than as a team of nations through which those species migrate?

No I haven't refused, I've just been climbing today, sorry. Anyway see above about how Norway manages it's own waters completely without EU involvement, it also has stand alone agreement with other Nordic nations, not the EU.

I see a French Minister today has said the UK would become like Guernsey if we leave, is that the kind of credible EU voice I should be listening to?
 summo 18 Jun 2016
In reply to andyfallsoff:
> > - if they hadn't made the case that it would be bad

would be bad?, is past, present or future tense? It is impossible to know, unless you've been off in your time machine? Or listening to a French minister today?
Post edited at 18:40
1
 Pete Pozman 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Robert Durran:

> Absolutely. And, to be fair, Boris et al are not campaigning as a government in waiting (unlike the Scottish referendum where Salmond conducted the campaign as if for a personal mandate to govern the country in perpetuity).

If we Brexit Cameron and Osborne are finished and Boris and Gove are in. As far as they are concerned the whole referendum is just about that one thing. You have been warned...
 john arran 18 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

Ok, will you take a bet then that if I roll a die and get a six I'll give you a tenner. If I roll any other number you give me a tenner. Nobody could possibly know what number will come up so it must be a fair bet? Without a time machine surely you're just as likely to be quids in as I am?
 summo 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Pete Pozman:

> If we Brexit Cameron and Osborne are finished

that is self inflicted purely by their own style of campaigning. If In win, do people still want them anyway.
 summo 18 Jun 2016
In reply to john arran:

> Ok, will you take a bet then that if I roll a die and get a six I'll give you a tenner. If I roll any other number you give me a tenner. Nobody could possibly know what number will come up so it must be a fair bet? Without a time machine surely you're just as likely to be quids in as I am?

clearly that's not a fair bet or good analogy, as I know how many sides there are etc.. but no one knows the EUs future.
1
 john arran 18 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

Are you for real? Pretty much everyone with any relevant experience or authority is in broad agreement and you're seriously arguing that because that still doesn't make it quite a mathematical certainty then all that information is completely useless in guiding decision making?

And you still expect to be taken seriously?
4
 summo 18 Jun 2016
In reply to john arran:
> Are you for real? Pretty much everyone with any relevant experience or authority is in broad agreement and you're seriously arguing that because that still doesn't make it quite a mathematical certainty then all that information is completely useless in guiding decision making?

Nothing in the future is certain. What is certain is the Euro is weak, the EU is becoming less important globally every year in terms of total world trade. In 1975 the EU had 30% of all trade, now it has only 17%, markets elsewhere are growing all the time. Every year it will become a little less relevant. All the big hitters know that the UK along with a few others are holding it together, but why should the UK keeping doing this, if the EU refuses to reform in return. CAP is a farce and the EU refuses to change it significantly, the latest version altered little.

> And you still expect to be taken seriously?

Are only people in the In camp entitled to an opinion?
Post edited at 19:11
2
 Robert Durran 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Pete Pozman:
> If we Brexit Cameron and Osborne are finished and Boris and Gove are in. As far as they are concerned the whole referendum is just about that one thing. You have been warned...

I agree - Boris is cynically using the referendum to win the leadership of the Conservatives whether it's in or out. But we are free to vote him out again at the next general election if he becomes PM.
Post edited at 19:20
 Roadrunner5 18 Jun 2016
In reply to summo//ec.europa.eu/fisheries/cfp/international/agreements/norway/index_en.htm' title='Norway - Fisheries - European Commission'>http://ec.europa.eu/fisheries/cfp/international/agreements/norway/index_en.htm

Norway does not, it has agreements with the CFP in the case of mackerel.

See above.

Really you don't know. What you are talking about Norway does not have complete control of its fisheries, those that migrate through it needs arrangements with the EU and others.

http://ec.europa.eu/fisheries/cfp/international/agreements/norway/doc/2015-...

So if we left the CFP we'd need agreements for all species we shared, which in the channel, North sea and Irish sea is shed loads, add on Scotland leaving and we may as well give up fishing. We share the North sea sand banks, major production/nursery zones with a number of countries and so would need more agreements. Or we'd over fish as we always did!

There are very very few sustainable fisheries in the world. The EU is actually one of the few massive trading blocks with an increasing amount of sustainable fisheries, that's a success..

You have relevant arguments but on the fisheries you really are wrong.
Post edited at 19:23
4
 Sir Chasm 18 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

> clearly that's not a fair bet or good analogy, as I know how many sides there are etc.. but no one knows the EUs future.

Can you link to a few economic forecasters predicting a positive outcome for brexit please? I'd like to contrast them with the OECD (not funded by the eu, in case you're still "confused"), the BoE, the IFS, etc.
1
 john arran 18 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

Another sidestep. Predictable of course.

> Are only people in the In camp entitled to an opinion?

Any opinion is worth listening to as long as it doesn't require a logic bypass to be credible. The Brexit camp do have one or two worthwhile arguments but economic prosperity in the short or medium term isn't one of them. To deny that much you would need either a head firmly in the sand or a personal interest such as have the likes of Johnson and Gove.
2
 GridNorth 18 Jun 2016
In reply to john arran:

> Any opinion is worth listening to as long as it doesn't require a logic bypass to be credible. The Brexit camp do have one or two worthwhile arguments but economic prosperity in the short or medium term isn't one of them. To deny that much you would need either a head firmly in the sand or a personal interest such as have the likes of Johnson and Gove.

There I was agreeing with you but you spoilt it by bringing up individuals with a self interests implying that no one in the Remain camp is like that.
1
 rogerwebb 18 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

On positive and negative campaigning.

The problem remain supporters have, similar to 'no' in the Scottish referendum is that we are arguing for the status quo with the expectation of some evolution of that.

The Leave or Yes campaigner has the advantage of being able to offer anything that is remotely credible even if it is contradictory to something else offered.
It is very hard to argue against that without being negative.

Its hard to gain support shouting ' follow me I believe that not a lot should change its not perfect but it's pretty ok'

When the other option is following someone shouting 'follow me, you want it? I'll deliver it'

That is not to say that there are no credible leave (or 'Yes') arguments, you only need to listen to Gisela Stuart to hear them, just it's a lot easier to sound positive by telling people they can have what they want.

For instance,
'Britain can make its way in the world on its own ' Is clearly credible and true, the counter argument that that may be true but for these reasons we think we should stay in the EU is likely to sound negative.

'Britain can remain in the single market but not accept freedom of movement ' sounds wonderful but is neither credible or true, it almost impossible to dispute that without being negative.
Gone for good 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> Can you link to a few economic forecasters predicting a positive outcome for brexit please? I'd like to contrast them with the OECD (not funded by the eu, in case you're still "confused"), the BoE, the IFS, etc.

Here's some economists forecasting a positive future post Brexit.
http://www.economistsforbrexit.co.uk/
 Roadrunner5 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Gone for good:
"Each of the eight economists have become exasperated by the scaremongering and often economic illiteracy of this campaign. "

Scare mongering by the Leave side we've seen recently..

Turkey is joining (when its not)
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/may/21/vote-leave-prejudice-turkey...

Breaking point poster (these are refugees and its very nazi like)
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/16/nigel-farage-defends-ukip-b...

Threats of Orlando style attack
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/13/shameful-leaveeu-tweet-uk-f...

And more previously..
http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/staggers/2016/05/conspiracy-theories-t...

The leave side accusing Remain side of fear-mongering must stick in their throats!

Absolutely disgusting, especially using Orlando.
Post edited at 20:00
2
Gone for good 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:
What has any of that got to do with the economic forecasts?

How do you know Turkey won't join the EU?
If there's a will and there most certainly is with Germany, then it's a possibility no matter how many times you say it isn't.

I agree with you that the Farage poster was poorly judged at best and will only increase the perception of UKIP being racist.

FWIW I think the dialogue during the campaign has been extraordinarily poor by both sides and can only hope a more mature and measured campaign takes place over the next few days.
Post edited at 20:37
1
 Postmanpat 18 Jun 2016
In reply to rogerwebb:

> On positive and negative campaigning.

> The problem remain supporters have, similar to 'no' in the Scottish referendum is that we are arguing for the status quo with the expectation of some evolution of that.

> The Leave or Yes campaigner has the advantage of being able to offer anything that is remotely credible even if it is contradictory to something else offered.

> It is very hard to argue against that without being negative.

> Its hard to gain support shouting ' follow me I believe that not a lot should change its not perfect but it's pretty ok'
>
Janet Daley (DT journo) is not everyone's cup of tea but she makes some valid points in the DT today about the foolishness of the remain campaign. The natural reaction of the British (especially the Scottish) when told from on high that they don't understand and should should be scared is to think "f*ck you". The brexiters have the advantage of being able to offer a vague promise of the sunny uplands but the remainers have barely tried to explain the positives of membership and alienated millions by treating them like vulnerable children.
 Sir Chasm 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Gone for good:

> Here's some economists forecasting a positive future post Brexit.


Thank you, I was hoping for some bodies equivalent to the BoE etc. forecasting a positive outcome, but that's interesting. However, perhaps there is a distinction to be drawn between "economists for brexit" (just possibly a self-defined partisan organisation) and bodies that, ostensibly,haven't chosen to declare their allegiance.
 john arran 18 Jun 2016
In reply to GridNorth:

I think you'll find I implied nothing of the kind, but clearly you inferred it.
 Sir Chasm 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Postmanpat:

Which is interesting, in a column inches filling sense, but it's a complaint about how the campaign has been conducted, rather than an evaluation of the contrasting arguments.
 Roadrunner5 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Gone for good:

> What has any of that got to do with the economic forecasts?

> How do you know Turkey won't join the EU?

Its a long long way off. Under the current regime it won't happen. It is certainly not going to happen any time soon. Longer term it would be better if they did of course, Turkey has always been on the edge and so close to europe Id rather a stable democracy with good human rights.. But we do not know they are joining.

> If there's a will and there most certainly is with Germany, then it's a possibility no matter how many times you say there isn't.

> I agree with you that the Farage poster was poorly judged at best and will only increase the perception of UKIP being racist.

> FWIW I think the dialogue during the campaign has been extraordinarily poor by both sides and can only hope a more mature and measured campaign takes place over the next few days.

I agree with that. I think it has been terrible. I just can't believe how the remain have repeated the errors of the scottish referendum in which they were lucky.
 Postmanpat 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> Which is interesting, in a column inches filling sense, but it's a complaint about how the campaign has been conducted, rather than an evaluation of the contrasting arguments.

Yes, but what we have have is two appalling campaigns that avoid key issues and tell blatant lies, the main difference being that that the remain campaign is primarily negative whilst the brexit campaign offers positives. If we want to weigh up the key issues we'd probably better to ignore them both and follow UKC
 Sir Chasm 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Postmanpat:

> Yes, but what we have have is two appalling campaigns that avoid key issues and tell blatant lies, the main difference being that that the remain campaign is primarily negative whilst the brexit campaign offers positives. If we want to weigh up the key issues we'd probably better to ignore them both and follow UKC

Then you should draw attention to the key issues and point out the blatant lies. Have at it
 rogerwebb 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Postmanpat:

I quite agree, rather like 'better together ' they have got stuck in the details rather than arguing principles and vision.
Perhaps a consequence of our short electoral cycle is that our politicians get used to arguing the details.
(not that I want long electoral cycles)
 summo 18 Jun 2016
In reply to john arran:

> but economic prosperity in the short or medium term isn't one of them.

short term isn't that important, this is a once a 40 year vote, it is medium to long term that matters. Only the selfish think about next year, this is much bigger and longer term than that, it requires more thinking, than worrying if a trade agreement takes 2 years or 3 years, when we only have a choice on the EU now after the last vote was in 1975.

Short term, the Euro and EU might be here in a year or two. Who knows beyond that. Suffering a small set back now, for more freedom and 'potential' prosperity in the future, for me is a risk worth taking, it can't be any worse than staying with a failing organisation.
2
 Sir Chasm 18 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

But you are staying. You're voting for the UK to leave the EU while living in a country that remains.

But I'll take your bet, i say you're wrong and £50 says the EU will still exist in 5 years.

No answer on the brexit forecasters yet?
 rogerwebb 18 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:



> Short term, the Euro and EU might be here in a year or two. Who knows beyond that. Suffering a small set back now, for more freedom and 'potential' prosperity in the future, for me is a risk worth taking, it can't be any worse than staying with a failing organisation.

I have three issues with that ;

1) what is the basis of your implied assertion that the Euro and EU might not be around in a year or two?

2) What is the freedom that you seek and from what?

3) what is the basis for your assertion that the EU is failing.?



1
 andyfallsoff 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Postmanpat:

> Janet Daley (DT journo) is not everyone's cup of tea but she makes some valid points in the DT today about the foolishness of the remain campaign. The natural reaction of the British (especially the Scottish) when told from on high that they don't understand and should should be scared is to think "f*ck you". The brexiters have the advantage of being able to offer a vague promise of the sunny uplands but the remainers have barely tried to explain the positives of membership and alienated millions by treating them like vulnerable children.

I agree with this completely, but it doesn't mean that the leave camp is even in the slightest bit more credible - it just explains why they aren't doing as badly as they should be based on the facts.
1
 andyfallsoff 18 Jun 2016
In reply to rogerwebb:

> I have three issues with that ;

> 1) what is the basis of your implied assertion that the Euro and EU might not be around in a year or two?

> 2) What is the freedom that you seek and from what?

> 3) what is the basis for your assertion that the EU is failing.?

I would add a fourth question - if the EU will fail anyway, what is it about "getting out before it does" that helps the UK in any way? This is repeated often, but I can't see why we suffer when the EU fails (other than to the extent we would do anyway, in or out, because we all live in an economically connected world)?
 Dr.S at work 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36567469

Not likely to help the remain camp if it gets much airtime.
Gone for good 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Dr.S at work:

Aahhh.. the arrogance of the French. He obviously took his lessons in diplomacy from De Gaulle.
Gone for good 18 Jun 2016
In reply to Sir Chasm:

Here's what the former chief executive of HSBC has to say about it.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/06/18/leave-it-is-absurd-to-sugges...
 RomTheBear 19 Jun 2016
In reply to rogerwebb:

> I quite agree, rather like 'better together ' they have got stuck in the details rather than arguing principles and vision.

It's just a project fear reboot, by making everything sound as if leaving is Armageddon they just completely discredited themselves and drowned the sensible a rational economic case for staying in
Leave is even worse with a completely xenophobic campaign, and outright lies trump inspired campaign.

In short I have never seen such a vile and anti intellectual political campaign in my entire life.

1
 RomTheBear 19 Jun 2016
In reply to baron:

> I couldn't care less how much of a percentage of national income we pay.

> You know that's only one part of how payments are made up.

> It's the actual net amount I'm concerned about.

This is net contribution as a % of GNI is was talking about.
1
 RomTheBear 19 Jun 2016
In reply to Postmanpat:
> Disingenuous nonsense. Because these are gross numbers ie. ignoring payments out of the budget, on this basis Greece is the biggest contributor as % of GNI and Germany one of the smallest!!

No, see above, these are not gross numbers and do include payments out of the budget.
Yes indeed the UK pays less net contribution than anybody else, as a % of national income, because of the rebate.
Post edited at 05:46
1
 summo 19 Jun 2016
In reply to rogerwebb:
> 1) what is the basis of your implied assertion that the Euro and EU might not be around in a year or two?

I don't think there is any flex in the Euro to weather another recession, trouble is lurking globally, especially China or South America and it won't take much of down turn to topple the Euro and that's all that is binding many nations to the EU.

> 2) What is the freedom that you seek and from what?

CAP is by far my biggest bug bear.

> 3) what is the basis for your assertion that the EU is failing.?

In the past 20 years it's proportion of global trade is declining, the state of southern European economics, the lack of willingness to listen to large proportion of the population who wish for some reform, Strasbourg. Their lack of personal austerity at the top whilst preaching to nation to be austere, then increasing their own budget.
 summo 19 Jun 2016
In reply to andyfallsoff:
> I would add a fourth question - if the EU will fail anyway, what is it about "getting out before it does" that helps the UK in any way? This is repeated often, but I can't see why we suffer when the EU fails (other than to the extent we would do anyway, in or out, because we all live in an economically connected world)?

the UK can structure it's economy to look beyond the EU and any shockwaves will have less impact.

you could also say if the world is so connected, why does it matter if we leave?
Post edited at 06:47
 summo 19 Jun 2016
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> But you are staying. You're voting for the UK to leave the EU while living in a country that remains.

I think it will be better for the UK, I still British and have assets and investments there, I have to pay some tax in the UK, my kids are dual nationality and I suspect a UK exit might actually force the EU to reform, to prevent others joining them. If not, I'd happily see Sweden, swexit as it's been called over here.

A trading agreement between a northern Europe group of independent nations in a post EU era would be beneficial for all and I think in time that is where it will. A north / south split.

 neilh 19 Jun 2016
In reply to :

I will continue to pull you up on your view on the uk restructuring its export sales away from Europe.

We export six times as much to the EU as to Brazil, Russia, China and India added together. We export five times as much to the EU as to all the other 52 members of the Commonwealth added together. We sell more services to tiny Luxembourg than to India. The “experts”, derided by Leave, when they warn of recession and years of lost opportunity as Britain tries to redirect its trade, are only stating the obvious.

 rogerwebb 19 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

> I don't think there is any flex in the Euro to weather another recession, trouble is lurking globally, especially China or South America and it won't take much of down turn to topple the Euro and that's all that is binding many nations to the EU.

There is indeed a report from the IMF warning of dangers to the Eurozone, these may or may not be addressed, maybe the Euro will collapse maybe it won't, personally I think it will survive , but one has to ask why do you think that the collapse of the Eurozone would be worse for our economy if we were not in the EU? Why do you think the failure of the Euro will lead to the break up of the EU? Where does this view come from that only the Euro binds many nations to the EU? Which nations?

> CAP is by far my biggest bug bear.

Is that really an issue of freedom? Or is it a policy established by the democratic countries of the EU that you disagree with? The Scottish Government has many policies that I disagree with but they are perfectly entitled to introduce them my remedy is to get them to change their views. On CAP you can make it an issue with your national government and your MEPs, if the majority in the Council of Ministers or the European Parliament are not convinced well that's democracy.

> In the past 20 years it's proportion of global trade is declining, the state of southern European economics, the lack of willingness to listen to large proportion of the population who wish for some reform, Strasbourg. Their lack of personal austerity at the top whilst preaching to nation to be austere, then increasing their own budget.

It is absolutely true that the EU's proportion of world trade is declining. Why do you think that is a bad thing?

It would be a bad thing if the total amount of world trade had remained static or the EU's economy had shrunk but neither is the case.
https://fullfact.org/europe/eu-has-shrunk-percentage-world-economy/

In 1980 the EU's population was approximately 10% of the worlds it is now approximately 6.7% (despite the EU getting larger) the worlds population has doubled. If in those circumstances the EU had the same percentage of the worlds economy that would be disastrous for the world, it would mean plunging living standards in the world outside the EU.
I look forward to the day when the EU standard of living and quality of life is replicated throughout the world, of course then our percentage of the global economy will be equal to our percentage of the global population..

What I don't understand about your argument is what other society do you wish to emulate. Within the EU (and that effectively includes Norway and Switzerland as I assume you wish to leave the EEA as well as the EU) we have a higher standard of living than almost anywhere else in the world, democracy, the rule of law (not the arbitrary exercise of power), personal freedom and the right to travel and live wherever we like within its territory.
Leaving all that because you don't like CAP seems a little disproportionate.

(yes I know that we would keep the law and liberty bit, but it's not remotely at risk where we are now)

 Postmanpat 19 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

> No, see above, these are not gross numbers and do include payments out of the budget.

Provide a link to your series please, with definition.

 Postmanpat 19 Jun 2016
In reply to rogerwebb:
> There is indeed a report from the IMF warning of dangers to the Eurozone, these may or may not be addressed, maybe the Euro will collapse maybe it won't, personally I think it will survive , but one has to ask why do you think that the collapse of the Eurozone would be worse for our economy if we were not in the EU? Why do you think the failure of the Euro will lead to the break up of the EU? Where does this view come from that only the Euro binds many nations to the EU? Which nations?
>
it is not tenable to have a monetary union without a fiscal union. That is the underlying fact of life that is undermining the Euro and will eventually force either fiscal union or the break up of the Euro. The German electorate does not want to enter a permanent transfer union with Greece of other southern states and the Greeks don't want to be governed by the Germans, as that transfer union would imply. At some stage there will be a reckoning and it may be very messy.

If the attempt and fiscal (and therefore political) union fails then the existence of the EU is called into question because it will have to change radically in a post Euro world. Quite probably it will reinvent itself and survive but, as they "say not as we know it".
Post edited at 10:50
 rogerwebb 19 Jun 2016
In reply to Postmanpat:

> it is not tenable to have a monetary union without a fiscal union. That is the underlying fact of life that is undermining the Euro and will eventually force either fiscal union or the break up of the Euro. The German electorate does not want to enter a permanent transfer union with Greece of other southern states and the Greeks don't want to be governed by the Germans, as that transfer union would imply. At some stage there will be a reckoning and it may be very messy.

Yes I agree, I think it will go fiscal union but with a smaller membership if not then I think that the EU membership will have received such a shock and be so appalled at the prospect of a break up that the EU will as you say reinvent itself and survive but further integration will be off the agenda for decades. Neither would be terminal.

The expanse of the Euro project to include countries as diverse as Greece and Germany was an example of EU hubris at its worst and probably it would have ben better not attempted. To me that doesn't invalidate the EU anymore than some of the stupider things the UK has done invalidates the UK.


> If the attempt and fiscal (and therefore political) union fails then the existence of the EU is called into question because it will have to change radically in a post Euro world. Quite probably it will reinvent itself and survive but, as they "say not as we know it".

As above

In reply to Toby_W:

I was just about to post that myself, the best analysis i've heard by far.
 summo 19 Jun 2016
In reply to rogerwebb:

> but one has to ask why do you think that the collapse of the Eurozone would be worse for our economy if we were not in the EU? Why do you think the failure of the Euro will lead to the break up of the EU? Where does this view come from that only the Euro binds many nations to the EU? Which nations?

It would be worse if the EU collapsed and we would be tied to, everything that can happen slow time over many years of a departure now, would happen in a much shorter time space. If Euro failed, what currency would people resort to, their own. What would happen to the ECB, to QE, to loans for projects around Europe, would everyone still have the money to pay into the EU? Some countries like Germany and Netherlands could break free in a collapse and survive, they have industry and credible finances, the same can't be said for southern Europe, look at the state of Greece now, it's borderline 3rd world, certainly not 2nd world.

> It is absolutely true that the EU's proportion of world trade is declining. Why do you think that is a bad thing?

It shows that as a trading partner globally, being in the EU to trade with the EU, is progressively becoming less important.

> it would mean plunging living standards in the world outside the EU.

wonder how the average living standard in southern Europe now compares to pre Euro days?

> I look forward to the day when the EU standard of living and quality of life is replicated throughout the world,

It won't ever happen. The only reason you enjoy your high living standards is by purchasing goods which are affordable because someone makes them on the other side of the world for a pound or so a day, working12hrs a day, 7 days a week. Be it white goods, car parts, clothes, pretty much anything etc... If standards rise in the east to EU levels, then the west needs to be prepared to low it's standards and meet them in the middle.

> What I don't understand about your argument is what other society do you wish to emulate. Within the EU (and that effectively includes Norway and Switzerland as I assume you wish to leave the EEA as well as the EU) we have a higher standard of living than almost anywhere else in the world, democracy, the rule of law (not the arbitrary exercise of power), personal freedom and the right to travel and live wherever we like within its territory.

never suggested leaving full stop, never have, I'd be happy with Norway style agreement. I've nothing against migration for employment or funding development, but not the money go round of CAP.

 summo 19 Jun 2016
In reply to neilh:
> We export six times as much to the EU as to Brazil, Russia, China and India added together. We export five times as much to the EU as to all the other 52 members of the Commonwealth added together. We sell more services to tiny Luxembourg than to India. The “experts”, derided by Leave, when they warn of recession and years of lost opportunity as Britain tries to redirect its trade, are only stating the obvious.

this just highlights we've(and the EU) been navel gazing for too long and should look beyond the EU bubble?

The reason we sell so many services to Luxembourg is probably because many internationals have cost centres located there thanks to Junckers tax dodging deals.
 rogerwebb 19 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

> It would be worse if the EU collapsed and we would be tied to, everything that can happen slow time over many years of a departure now, would happen in a much shorter time space. If Euro failed, what currency would people resort to, their own. What would happen to the ECB, to QE, to loans for projects around Europe, would everyone still have the money to pay into the EU? Some countries like Germany and Netherlands could break free in a collapse and survive, they have industry and credible finances, the same can't be said for southern Europe, look at the state of Greece now, it's borderline 3rd world, certainly not 2nd world.

If you think that is true how do you square it with your apparent desire to stay in the EEA?
In any event does Brexit make it more or less likely that the EU will have a crisis?

> It shows that as a trading partner globally, being in the EU to trade with the EU, is progressively becoming less important.
Why?

> wonder how the average living standard in southern Europe now compares to pre Euro days?

Quite possibly worse in Greece but still better than before the EU, and undoubtedly better in Italy and Spain compared to pre EU.

> It won't ever happen. The only reason you enjoy your high living standards is by purchasing goods which are affordable because someone makes them on the other side of the world for a pound or so a day, working12hrs a day, 7 days a week. Be it white goods, car parts, clothes, pretty much anything etc... If standards rise in the east to EU levels, then the west needs to be prepared to low it's standards and meet them in the middle.

Again why? Living standards are rising across the globe as they have across Europe. Even if your prognosis is correct how will Brexit change that?


> never suggested leaving full stop, never have, I'd be happy with Norway style agreement. I've nothing against migration for employment or funding development, but not the money go round of CAP.

This is inconsistent with your first point.

 summo 19 Jun 2016
In reply to rogerwebb:

Having a trade agreement is a lot less committing than being a full member. Eu collapse, that really depends it brexit triggers reform. Or others following it out. Only the commission can answer than.

The world can't have current eu standards of living, purely because of the way we've acquired them. The west can lower and the others improve though. Brexit won't make any difference to global standards, I was just commenting on your vision of true global equality of high standards of living. It's like miss worlds desire for world peace, nice words, but impossible in actions.

I think remain might wing it now, after jo cox's death, the undecided people could vote against the far right, by voting remain. Plus brexit should have really sent farage on a world cruise this month, he really is a prize muppet.



 Roadrunner5 19 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

I think you may be right, I think UKIP have pushed the anti-immigrant line too much and too strongly recently, We'll see..
 rogerwebb 19 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:
>

> The world can't have current eu standards of living, purely because of the way we've acquired them. The west can lower and the others improve though. Brexit won't make any difference to global standards, I was just commenting on your vision of true global equality of high standards of living. It's like miss worlds desire for world peace, nice words, but impossible in actions.

Why impossible? Even Miss World may get her way someday. (but probably not until we have found some aliens to fight!)


If you consider it impossible for the poorer areas of the world to catch up with the richer, consider 1500AD and the relative wealth of Europe and India or China.

> I think remain might wing it now, after jo cox's death, the undecided people could vote against the far right, by voting remain. Plus brexit should have really sent farage on a world cruise this month, he really is a prize muppet.

I think you may be right.
Post edited at 21:37
 Sir Chasm 19 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:
> never suggested leaving full stop, never have, I'd be happy with Norway style agreement. I've nothing against migration for employment or funding development, but not the money go round of CAP.

You're voting to leave the EU (well, not for you to leave) you've explicity said you're voting leave. You're not voting for a Norway style agreement , unless you've misread the question.
In reply to Sir Chasm:

Indeed; the idea of a Norway-style agreement is more or less a fantasy anyway. It would depend on accepting free movement of labour, and having made quite such a silly fuss about that it's impossible to see how our new rulers are going to be able to accept that.

jcm
In reply to Toby_W:

Excellent, thanks. What he says about the law and the 'industrial quantity of lies' we've heard from Leave about it is familiar enough (though it always makes me think of Chris Patten on Johnson, along the lines of how it's not really fair to call him a liar, because actually he's just one of those people who pays no regard to the truth of otherwise of what he's saying, so that nothing he says is ever either truth or a lie, because he doesn't understand the very notion of truth). But it's interesting that we've not heard more about the civil service review he mentions, and what he says about trade deals is also interesting.

jcm
 summo 20 Jun 2016
In reply to Sir Chasm:
> You're voting to leave the EU (well, not for you to leave) you've explicity said you're voting leave. You're not voting for a Norway style agreement , unless you've misread the question.

no, there will inevitably follow some sort of trade agreement, there has to be, for all parties benefit. I would rather vote for more reform, lose cap etc.. or a move to EEA/EFTA, but the election has made a grey subject black or white.

Trade is essential, what isn't essential are 99% of the other trimmings like CAP, Strasbourg etc.. farage lovers will just have to suck it up.
Post edited at 06:55
 rogerwebb 20 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

> I would rather vote for more reform, lose cap etc.. or a move to EEA/EFTA, but the election has made a grey subject black or white.

> Trade is essential, what isn't essential are 99% of the other trimmings like CAP, Strasbourg etc.. farage lovers will just have to suck it up.

The Farage lovers are, if they win, entitled to have their democratic choice enacted.

A vote to leave is a vote to leave. There are no nuances.






 thomasadixon 20 Jun 2016
In reply to Toby_W:

From a quick look you can find the reading list for public law at Liverpool (his Uni) and the first book description starts as follows, "The status of the doctrine of parliamentary sovereignty in the contemporary UK Constitution is much contested." For him to pretend that saying parliament is technically sovereign answers the question is dishonest, he knows full well it doesn't. I imagine that in his lectures he explains the technical legal principle of Parliamentary sovereignty and that whether this makes sense with reality is now a matter of debate since we joined the EU, just like all other law schools do.

http://www.hartpub.co.uk/BookDetails.aspx?ISBN=9781849464659 - from his chosen reading list.
 Roadrunner5 20 Jun 2016
In reply to thomasadixon:

> From a quick look you can find the reading list for public law at Liverpool (his Uni) and the first book description starts as follows, "The status of the doctrine of parliamentary sovereignty in the contemporary UK Constitution is much contested." For him to pretend that saying parliament is technically sovereign answers the question is dishonest, he knows full well it doesn't. I imagine that in his lectures he explains the technical legal principle of Parliamentary sovereignty and that whether this makes sense with reality is now a matter of debate since we joined the EU, just like all other law schools do.


Eh? That one book says it is contested. That just does not make his statement dishonest.
 thomasadixon 20 Jun 2016
In reply to Roadrunner5:

It's an introductory legal text, chosen to be used in the first year law course he teaches and sets out the stuff you learn in law school - both sides of the argument, not just one. He's saying to the world that the matter is settled while using books to teach law that discuss the different sides of the argument, books that say very clearly it is contested, not settled. That seems quite dishonest to me.
 Sir Chasm 20 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

> no, there will inevitably follow some sort of trade agreement, there has to be, for all parties benefit. I would rather vote for more reform, lose cap etc.. or a move to EEA/EFTA, but the election has made a grey subject black or white.

Yes, it's black and white, stay in the EU or leave (as I said), voting to be Norwegian isn't an option. And it isn't an election.

> Trade is essential, what isn't essential are 99% of the other trimmings like CAP, Strasbourg etc.. farage lovers will just have to suck it up.

Trade is essential. And the only way to ensure remaining in the single market is to vote remain.
2
 summo 20 Jun 2016
In reply to Sir Chasm:


> Trade is essential. And the only way to ensure remaining in the single market is to vote remain.

Yeah, the eu is booming right now. Going from strength to strength, the euro has never been stronger, they can easily afford to right off all their exports to the uk. Or is perhaps the opposite true?
1
 GrahamD 20 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

> Yeah, the eu is booming right now. Going from strength to strength, the euro has never been stronger, they can easily afford to right off all their exports to the uk. Or is perhaps the opposite true?

Of course people will still buy Audis and BMWs. But that doesn't help us, it helps Germany. Question is under what terms, and to what standards will we have to comply, to sell our stuff there ?
 skog 20 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

Obviously, the EU would prefer not to damage trade with the UK. But if the alternative is lots of other member states queueing up to leave to get "better deals", there isn't much choice.

A "Norway-style", EEA, deal (as you appear to favour) may be possible, yes. In fact, it's what I thought seemed most likely until recently.

But that includes acceptance of EEA labour mobility - and this isn't what has been being promised by even the more moderate Conservative-led Out campaign, with their "taking back control of EU migration" messages. How can they go back on that now?

You appear to be gambling on the UK voting to Leave, but Cameron remaining in power through the years of negotiations.

This seems a bit of a long shot.
 doz generale 20 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:
Outside of the economic argument (which is overwhelmingly pro remain) a vote to leave is a vote for intolerance and regression. Personally I would rather leave the country than to be stuck here with the likes of Farage. I think the desperate events of the last few days have brought this into sharp focus
Post edited at 11:42
1
 Toerag 20 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:
Re: Fisheries - the main driver for 'leave' is that the CFP has decimated the UK fishing industry by applying quotas, and that foreign boats fish in UK waters catching 'uk fish'. The reality is that without quotas there would be no fish now due to overfishing. For some reason fishermen refuse to accept the state of their industry is their fault, and refuse to change career even when economic reality says they should.
In recent years Iceland & the Faroes have arbitrarily increased their quotas for migratory species such as mackerel in an attempt to bring in revenues to improve their economy post-recession. This has resulted in retaliatory measures from the EU - banning of imports of relevant species from those countries into the EU, banning of their vessels landing in EU ports etc. If the UK left the EU and increased it's quotas or kicked EU boats out of waters they've fished for generations I'm pretty sure sanctions would be imposed on the UK too. Add to that the enforced repatriation of UK vessels fishing in european waters I think the UK fishing industry would suffer much more than it does with the current restrictions.
Post edited at 12:04
 summo 20 Jun 2016
In reply to skog:
> A "Norway-style", EEA, deal (as you appear to favour) may be possible, yes. In fact, it's what I thought seemed most likely until recently.
> But that includes acceptance of EEA labour mobility - and this isn't what has been being promised by even the more moderate Conservative-led Out campaign, with their "taking back control of EU migration" messages. How can they go back on that now?

I think this just shows the problem with the whole campaign, I agree you can't get trade without work force mobility. Both sides have just thrown fears and punchlines at each other, without detail. Any future agreement will have to have balance, the UK won't get a cake & eat it deal, I fully accept that. As you say, many people are being sold a lie or an impossible dream by the likes of Farage and others.

The government should never have split to take sides, they should have presented all the data and let the people evaluate and make their own decision. The most important election or referendum for 41 years and it's been a shambles, regardless of the result.
 CurlyStevo 20 Jun 2016
In reply to Rob Exile Ward:
https://www.facebook.com/UniversityofLiverpool/videos/1293361974024537/

"
One of the UK’s leading EU law experts criticizes the referendum debate’s “dishonesty on an industrial scale”, as he considers the claims and counter claims from each side.

University of Liverpool Law School’s Professor Michael Dougan has spent his career studying EU law as it relates to the UK; contributing to Parliamentary Select Committees, advising government and now helping media fact check the barrage of assertions emanating from the Remain and Leave camps, in the run up to June 23.
"
Post edited at 12:06
 summo 20 Jun 2016
In reply to Toerag:

> . If the UK left the EU and increased it's quotas or kicked EU boats out of waters they've fished for generations I'm pretty sure sanctions would be imposed on the UK too.

is that because the EU are the net winners in fisheries, as they get to fish the UK's much more expansive waters, why else would they be so reactionary?

 Sir Chasm 20 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

Trade is essential. And the only way to ensure remaining in the single market is to vote remain.

> Yeah, the eu is booming right now. Going from strength to strength, the euro has never been stronger, they can easily afford to right off all their exports to the uk. Or is perhaps the opposite true?

Is the post-brexit plan to remain in the single market? Does that include accepting free movement of people, goods and services?
 GrahamD 20 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

> is that because the EU are the net winners in fisheries, as they get to fish the UK's much more expansive waters...

We ARE in the EU, so that makes us net winners, right ?
In reply to Sir Chasm: "Is the post-brexit plan to remain in the single market? Does that include accepting free movement of people, goods and services?"

Is it impossible to imagine a new deal with single market access with controlled movement of people? If Brexit happens, I expect some different ideas bouncing around . Especially if the UK is the glue holding the whole edifice together Obviously, in reality that idea would be crushed in seconds...because it would be far too popular across the continent lol


 skog 20 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

Well, I can't disagree with any of that!

> As you say, many people are being sold a lie or an impossible dream by the likes of Farage and others.

Which bit of the dream would be sacrificed, though, the free trade, or the controls on free movement?

I know which one has been shouted about more.
 Ramblin dave 20 Jun 2016
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:

> "Is the post-brexit plan to remain in the single market? Does that include accepting free movement of people, goods and services?"

> Is it impossible to imagine a new deal with single market access with controlled movement of people?

I can imagine quite a lot of things. Most of them, including this one, don't seem like solid enough possibilities to gamble the economic wellbeing of a country on.
 summo 20 Jun 2016
In reply to GrahamD:

> We ARE in the EU, so that makes us net winners, right ?

not if you have a greater proportion of fishing in your own territorial waters and by being in the EU allows others to fish them?
 summo 20 Jun 2016
In reply to Sir Chasm:

> Trade is essential. And the only way to ensure remaining in the single market is to vote remain.

Name a European country, EU, Non Eu etc.. that doesn't have a trade agreement with the rest of Europe. I find it quite easy to imagine the UK trading with the rest of Europe regardless of the outcome on Thursday.

> Is the post-brexit plan to remain in the single market? Does that include accepting free movement of people, goods and services?

For me yes, I've nothing against migration and trade, everyone is a winner. It costs nothing in the big scheme of things. But the EU is far far more than a trading agreement, it's changed massively in the 40 years.

What does cost is the EU in general, how many staff, average salaries, expenses, buildings, pensions, CAP, Strasbourg... You could probably run the EU on 10% of it's current staff if it went back to being a pure trading agreement; no legal, farming, financial, fishing etc..
 Ramblin dave 20 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

> > Is the post-brexit plan to remain in the single market? Does that include accepting free movement of people, goods and services?

> For me yes,

Are you going to be in charge of the country for the next four years or so if we do vote to Leave?

It seems rather more likely that it's going to be a group of people - Johnson, Gove et al - who've just spent a month telling everyone how important it is that we don't accept free movement of people and how they should vote Leave because then we won't have to accept free movement of people any more. For them to turn around and say "oh yeah sorry, actually we were lying about the major central plank of our referendum campaign" would pretty much be political suicide.

 summo 20 Jun 2016
In reply to Ramblin dave:
> It seems rather more likely that it's going to be a group of people - Johnson, Gove et al - who've just spent a month telling everyone how important it is that we don't accept free movement of people and how they should vote Leave because then we won't have to accept free movement of people any more. For them to turn around and say "oh yeah sorry, actually we were lying about the major central plank of our referendum campaign" would pretty much be political suicide.

in the 2+ years of negotiations I think they'll have to slowly sell the notion to the public, I see no other choice. The end result can only be better than Camerons big negotiation? They'll blame those nasty European leaders in the EU of course.
In reply to Ramblin dave:

I think some leave voters are looking at a longer time line than worrying about economic stability over the short/medium term. but if UK leaving really does start to unravel the EU project. One might expect our negotiating position to be reasonably strong, not weak. I wouldn't be surprised to see a re run of Irelands Lisbon treaty farce with Tusk and Juncker et all offering a revised package and getting us to re vote until we get it "right". Pure speculation of course...

On a lighter note...who's seen Juncker "pissed up" on that EU gravy? Funniest thing I have seen in ages...
youtube.com/watch?v=XPgiI46FCDU&


 summo 20 Jun 2016
In reply to Bjartur i Sumarhus:

> . I wouldn't be surprised to see a re run of Irelands Lisbon treaty farce with Tusk and Juncker et all offering a revised package and getting us to re vote until we get it "right". Pure speculation of course...

that's the thing, initially you could never imagine that. But then it has already happened before, which makes it quite a possibility in the future. A new deal, with another vote offered within a two year timeline. The problem for the EU is, it would open the flood gates for others, so it's a question of lose face and reform, or thrash on blindly into the future. I think they'd rather thrash on blindly.
 Shani 20 Jun 2016
John Oliver nails it:

youtube.com/watch?v=iAgKHSNqxa8&
 Sir Chasm 20 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

> Name a European country, EU, Non Eu etc.. that doesn't have a trade agreement with the rest of Europe. I find it quite easy to imagine the UK trading with the rest of Europe regardless of the outcome on Thursday.

Name a non-eu European country of our size that trades on our scale with the Eu.

> For me yes, I've nothing against migration and trade, everyone is a winner. It costs nothing in the big scheme of things. But the EU is far far more than a trading agreement, it's changed massively in the 40 years.

But the leave campaign is explicitly campaigning on the basis of reducing migration from the Eu.

> What does cost is the EU in general, how many staff, average salaries, expenses, buildings, pensions, CAP, Strasbourg... You could probably run the EU on 10% of it's current staff if it went back to being a pure trading agreement; no legal, farming, financial, fishing etc..

If my auntie had balls she'd be my uncle.
 john arran 20 Jun 2016
In reply to Shani:

> John Oliver nails it:


Agreed.

"If it stays it can reap all the benefits while still being a total dick about everything - and that is the British way"
 RomTheBear 20 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:
> that's the thing, initially you could never imagine that. But then it has already happened before, which makes it quite a possibility in the future. A new deal, with another vote offered within a two year timeline. The problem for the EU is, it would open the flood gates for others, so it's a question of lose face and reform, or thrash on blindly into the future. I think they'd rather thrash on blindly.

Don't think so, if it's out its gonna be out for the foreseeable future unless we re-apply.
The rest of the EU will want to do damage control not prolong uncertainty.

Post edited at 17:27
1
 RomTheBear 20 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:

> democracies don't fight wars with democracies.

That's the most ridiculous statement of the day.

> And be certain that we can be dragged down by the sinking ship that is the EU

Unemployment down, growth up, survived Greek and migration crisis. Doesn't look like a sinking ship to me, in fact it's been a pretty sturdy one.

> just as it should be in a democracy and just as doesn't happen in the EU.

Meh, it does.
1
 pec 20 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

(democracies don't fight wars with democracies.)

> That's the most ridiculous statement of the day. >

Is it really? How many wars can you think of between proper functioning democracies? Russia and the like doesn't really count as a democracy.

(And be certain that we can be dragged down by the sinking ship that is the EU )

> Unemployment down, growth up, >

Where? Not in much of Euroland.

> survived Greek and migration crisis.>

Sorry to break the bad news but neither of those has finished yet
http://uk.businessinsider.com/greek-crisis-simultaneous-with-refugee-crisis...

> Doesn't look like a sinking ship to me, in fact it's been a pretty sturdy one. >

Wow, what world do you live in? Even ardent Europhiles seem to agree the EU is struggling at the moment

( just as it should be in a democracy and just as doesn't happen in the EU)

> Meh, it does. >

Not the most cogent argument I've ever heard in defence of the EU.
 RomTheBear 21 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:
> (democracies don't fight wars with democracies.)

> Is it really? How many wars can you think of between proper functioning democracies? Russia and the like doesn't really count as a democracy.

Ha, now it's "functioning democracies" (i.e anything you say is so)

Here is a full list : https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_wars_between_democracies

> (And be certain that we can be dragged down by the sinking ship that is the EU )

> Where? Not in much of Euroland.

The problem with you brexiters is that you seem to have no idea about even the most simple economic facts.

Unemployement in the eurozone has been decreasing since 2013/2014.

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/euro-area/unemployment-rate

And GDP growing :

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/euro-area/gdp-growth

> Sorry to break the bad news but neither of those has finished yet


> Wow, what world do you live in? Even ardent Europhiles seem to agree the EU is struggling at the moment

Of course struggling politically, I think it's mostly the UK struggling with the EU than the EU really struggling.

> ( just as it should be in a democracy and just as doesn't happen in the EU)

> Not the most cogent argument I've ever heard in defence of the EU.

It was so obviously wrong I didn't think it needed an explanation, but here it is : there are European elections, and you can vote for whichever party you like.
Only the EU parliament can pass EU laws, and the commission has to be approved by parliament, so contrary to your ridiculous assumption, it does change depending on who we vote for in European elections (and the EU council also does change depending on who we vote for at national level.)
Post edited at 06:07
1
 MG 21 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Ha now it's "functioning democracies", I'm guessing that dies t include the uk does it.

> Assuming it does, Falklands would be an example

You regard 1980s Argentina a democracy?

 RomTheBear 21 Jun 2016
In reply to MG:
> You regard 1980s Argentina a democracy?

No, not at that time, I had corrected.
Post edited at 06:06
 Big Ger 21 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:


> Unemployement in the eurozone has been decreasing since 2013/2014.

Not as quickly as in the UK, and in some member states it has increased


> And GDP growing :

Not as quickly as in the UK, and in some member states it has decreased


> It was so obviously wrong I didn't think it needed an explanation, but here it is : there are European elections, and you can vote for whichever party you like.

No you cannot. Can a UK person vote for a German party?

> Only the EU parliament can pass EU laws, and the commission has to be approved by parliament

The EIU commission swears to uphold the EU above interests of their home country
 MG 21 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

>
> No you cannot. Can a UK person vote for a German party?

Yes, if they field a candidate. Also effectively through EU parliamentary groupings.

> The EIU commission swears to uphold the EU above interests of their home country

Surely a good thing and what you would expect? Like the civil service acts for the UK, not Sussex or wherever.

 Big Ger 21 Jun 2016
In reply to MG:

> Yes, if they field a candidate. Also effectively through EU parliamentary groupings.

Hardly likely though is it?

> Surely a good thing and what you would expect? Like the civil service acts for the UK, not Sussex or wherever.

Well if you want your country's EU representative to give precedence to the EU over your nation it may be a good thing, many do not though. That's why UKIP do so well in EU elections.
 RomTheBear 21 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

> Not as quickly as in the UK, and in some member states it has increased
And so it goes for parts of the U.K as well.

> Not as quickly as in the UK, and in some member states it has decreased

And so it goes for parts of the U.K.

> No you cannot. Can a UK person vote for a German party?

Yes, just reside Germany.
You can vote of course only for the parties putting a candidate where you live that's pretty much obvious and similar to uk general elections.

> The EIU commission swears to uphold the EU above interests of their home country

And that's perfectly normal, would you want, for example, the members of the cabinet caring only about wherever they are from and not the country as a whole ?
 Big Ger 21 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

> And so it goes for parts of the U.K as well.

> And so it goes for parts of the U.K.

> Yes, just reside Germany.

Three very silly non points.

> You can vote of course only for the parties putting a candidate where you live that's pretty much obvious and similar to uk general elections.

Yes, you get the choice to vote for one of 73 out of 751 members. So how are you going to get "democracy"?

> And that's perfectly normal, would you want, for example, the members of the cabinet caring only about wherever they are from and not the country as a whole ?

Another non-point, dear god. They represent the whole country, the MEPs are representatives of a country, who swear to put EU allegiance above their homeland. Now, if you do not see the fundamental dichotomy there, I cannot help you.

BTW I though you were in the UK, how come you're always posting in the early hours of the morning?
 MG 21 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

> Hardly likely though is it?

> Well if you want your country's EU representative to give precedence to the EU over your nation it may be a good thing, many do not though.

It's not either or. The UK is part of the EU. The Civil Service don't 'give precedence" to the UK over Sussex, they act for the whole country, including Sussex (or wherever). Likewise with the EU commission.
 MG 21 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

>
> Yes, you get the choice to vote for one of 73 out of 751 members. So how are you going to get "democracy"?

Do you think the UK isn't democratic to Cornwall because it only has 3mps?

> Another non-point, dear god. They represent the whole country, the MEPs are representatives of a country, who swear to put EU allegiance a

You are getting confused. Commissioners do but not MEPs
 RomTheBear 21 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:
> Three very silly non points.

> Yes, you get the choice to vote for one of 73 out of 751 members. So how are you going to get "democracy"?

No sure what's wrong with it, seems well proportional to our population in the EU.
It's like saying the uk doesn't have democracy because Scotland has only 59 MPs out of 650.

> Another non-point, dear god. They represent the whole country, the MEPs are representatives of a country, who swear to put EU allegiance above their homeland. Now, if you do not see the fundamental dichotomy there, I cannot help you.

I don't really see a dichotomy, it's pretty much similar to the uk where you vote for a MP in your constituency and they put s government in power which is expected to serve the country as a whole.
In fact in the EU this is further balanced by the fact that the policy direction is set by the EU council.

> BTW I though you were in the UK, how come you're always posting in the early hours of the morning?

Because some of us have to work !
Post edited at 07:29
 Doug 21 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

> No you cannot. Can a UK person vote for a German party?

Never voted for a German party but have voted for the French Greens
 andyfallsoff 21 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

> Three very silly non points.

Is there any need to be this patronising?

> Yes, you get the choice to vote for one of 73 out of 751 members. So how are you going to get "democracy"?

Because you can vote for one, who represents your interests out of the larger number. Which one you can vote for depends where you live / are registered to vote. This is the same as the UK system, as numerous other people have pointed out.

Arguably, the EU system is a more perfect democracy - rather than have a single party which is likely to win (as you've noted, there are different parties in each country) the plethora of parties means that they have to form coalitions. So the MP that you vote for is likely to have more of a say, rather than the UK system which is quite "winner takes all" because of first past the post. Of course, if people elect UKIP MEPs then this system doesn't work, as they just take the money and don't turn up, so not such a good representation of anyone's interests (except perhaps their own).

> Another non-point, dear god. They represent the whole country, the MEPs are representatives of a country, who swear to put EU allegiance above their homeland. Now, if you do not see the fundamental dichotomy there, I cannot help you.

Again, any need to be this patronising? And as MG has noted, you're wrong.
1
 Big Ger 21 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:
> It's like saying the uk doesn't have democracy because Scotland has only 59 MPs out of 650.

Isn't that exactly what the Scots independence movement was complaining about? (And didn't you support them?)

> I don't really see a dichotomy, it's pretty much similar to the uk where you vote for a MP in your constituency and they put s government in power which is expected to serve the country as a whole.

But on a multi-national scale, totally diluting your vote effect.

> In fact in the EU this is further balanced by the fact that the policy direction is set by the EU council.

Big deal.

> Because some of us have to work !

Good on you mate, you do have some redeeming features
Post edited at 08:12
 Big Ger 21 Jun 2016
In reply to andyfallsoff:

> Is there any need to be this patronising?

Me and Rom are ok, we like disliking each other.

> Because you can vote for one, who represents your interests out of the larger number. Which one you can vote for depends where you live / are registered to vote. This is the same as the UK system, as numerous other people have pointed out.

Same as the UK system, but one a multi-national scale, across many cultures. Too big, to unwieldy and a nonsense.

> Arguably, the EU system is a more perfect democracy - rather than have a single party which is likely to win (as you've noted, there are different parties in each country) the plethora of parties means that they have to form coalitions. So the MP that you vote for is likely to have more of a say, rather than the UK system which is quite "winner takes all" because of first past the post. Of course, if people elect UKIP MEPs then this system doesn't work, as they just take the money and don't turn up, so not such a good representation of anyone's interests (except perhaps their own).

Or in other words, a total mish mash and self perpetuating bureaucracy. EU "democracy" perfectly illustrates the maxim; "An elephant is a mouse designed by a committee."


2
 Sir Chasm 21 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

> Three very silly non points.

> Yes, you get the choice to vote for one of 73 out of 751 members. So how are you going to get "democracy"?

In the same way you get to vote for 1 of 650 MPs in the UK. Or is that not democracy?

> Another non-point, dear god. They represent the whole country, the MEPs are representatives of a country, who swear to put EU allegiance above their homeland. Now, if you do not see the fundamental dichotomy there, I cannot help you.

Now you're just making things up, no surprise there.

> BTW I though you were in the UK, how come you're always posting in the early hours of the morning?

How's the weather down under?
 RomTheBear 21 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:
> Isn't that exactly what the Scots independence movement was complaining about? (And didn't you support them?)

I did, mostly because I considered that the risks of leaving the EU was higher in the UK than out, which basically turned out to be true.
I regret some of the positions I took during the indyref though, and now I see the brexiters doing exactly the same mistakes on an even bigger scale, and for even more unjustified reasons. I hope they don't end up regretting.

> But on a multi-national scale, totally diluting your vote effect.

The higher the population the less influence each single vote has, but I don't really see that as undemocratic or even a problem, especially given the limited powers the EU has.

> Big deal.

Yes very big deal !

> Good on you mate, you do have some redeeming features
Post edited at 08:37
 RomTheBear 21 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:
> Me and Rom are ok, we like disliking each other.

Well you do at least.

> Same as the UK system, but one a multi-national scale, across many cultures. Too big, to unwieldy and a nonsense.

Same as the UK then ? In my experience, I would say cultural and political differences are as wide within the UK as they are across the EU.
Post edited at 08:51
 Big Ger 21 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:
> Same as the UK then ?

Pop. UK 64.1 million

Pop EU 742.5 million

Languages of the European Union
Official languages
Bulgarian
Croatian
Czech
Danish
Dutch
English
Estonian
Finnish
French
German
Greek
Hungarian
Irish
Italian
Latvian
Lithuanian
Maltese
Polish
Portuguese
Romanian
Slovak
Slovenian
Spanish
Swedish
Semi-official languages
Basque
Catalan
Galician
Scottish Gaelic
Welsh

> Roughly €114 million is spent every year to move the European Parliament between its Brussels and Strasbourg seats every month, according to a new assessment by the European Court of Auditors. EurActiv Germany reports. “Finally the Court of Auditors is sorting out the mess of numbers,” said MEP Inge Gräßle, a German Christian Democrat MEP from the European People’s Party (EPP) who chairs the Parliament’s Budgetary Control committee.

youtube.com/watch?v=AxvblLkwdfE&

sense of proportion?
Post edited at 09:47
 MG 21 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

Is your position that Europe is simply too big to have any sort of overall governance? If so, what about India and USA etc?
 Big Ger 21 Jun 2016
In reply to MG:
Well, no offense meant any Indian chums here, I wouldn't hold India up as any democratic ideal. (it came in at 35th out of 70 in the 2015 "democracy index", we came 16th)


And the US even less.
Post edited at 09:45
 MG 21 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:
India does pretty fora poor country - continuous democracy since independence. Anyway, if you don't like large political entities, just say so.
Post edited at 09:46
 Big Ger 21 Jun 2016
In reply to MG:

To limit it to just the size of the organisation would just be a reductio ad absurdum.
 RomTheBear 21 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:
> Pop. UK 64.1 million

> Pop EU 742.5 million

> Languages of the European Union

> Official languages

> Bulgarian

> Croatian

> Czech

> Danish

> Dutch

> English

> Estonian

> Finnish

> French

> German

> Greek

> Hungarian

> Irish

> Italian

> Latvian

> Lithuanian

> Maltese

> Polish

> Portuguese

> Romanian

> Slovak

> Slovenian

> Spanish

> Swedish

> Semi-official languages

> Basque

> Catalan

> Galician

> Scottish Gaelic

> Welsh

> sense of proportion?

There are lots of different languages, so what ? More of a cultural benefit than a problem really, especially for us given that a large part can speak english.
Post edited at 09:54
 MG 21 Jun 2016
In reply to Big Ger:

So what the hell are you saying!
 pec 21 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

(democracies don't fight wars with democracies.)

(How many wars can you think of between proper functioning democracies? Russia and the like doesn't really count as a democracy. )

> Ha, now it's "functioning democracies" (i.e anything you say is so) >

Well if you think Russia counts as a proper democracy it explains why you think so highly of the set up in the EU
 RomTheBear 21 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:

> (democracies don't fight wars with democracies.)

> (How many wars can you think of between proper functioning democracies? Russia and the like doesn't really count as a democracy. )

> Well if you think Russia counts as a proper democracy it explains why you think so highly of the set up in the EU

Ok let's exclude "Russia and the likes" then, although I'm not sure sure what the likes are. no problem, here is a list of wars between democracies :
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_wars_between_democracies
 pec 21 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Ok let's exclude "Russia and the likes" then, although I'm not sure sure what the likes are. no problem, here is a list of wars between democracies :


I think that list perfectly illustrates my point. Its a nonsense to describe most of those as wars between democracies and even the others are a bit tenuous.

Most of them are pre C20th so hardly democracies as we know them today. Then we've got wars involving the likes of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Yugoslavia, Egypt, Syria, The Soviet Union (how the hell did that get in the list?), Pakistan etc.
Technically there may have been some elections held in those countries but to call them functioning democracies at the time those wars were fought is a nonsense, mostly they were countries emerging from years of occupation and settling old scores. And how on earth does WWI and WWII count?
Countries which have real democracy of the sort necessary to be allowed into the EU, not just a fig leaf of democracy, don't fight other such countries.

 summo 21 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Ok let's exclude "Russia and the likes" then, although I'm not sure sure what the likes are. no problem, here is a list of wars between democracies :

or, how many wars have been started or initiated by a democracy? If the past 10-15years of taught us anything it is you can't always trust the motives of leaders, either elected or unelected. I expect the report out in a week or so will highlight that.

Granted the chance of the EU starting a war, anywhere, is zero. There could be some really evil person in say North Africa killing hundreds of people in minute, they would first appoint a board, who would select the panel members, who would then decide who sits on the committee to study the data on the war. Who would report back to the panel.... ..... ....

 MG 21 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:
.

> Granted the chance of the EU starting a war, anywhere, is zero. There could be some really evil person in say North Africa killing hundreds of people in minute, they would first appoint a board, who would select the panel members, who would then decide who sits on the committee to study the data on the war. Who would report back to the panel.... ..... ....

Whereas, as we all know, jumping straight in and bombing somewhere we know nothing about solves all the problems...

 summo 21 Jun 2016
In reply to MG:
> Whereas, as we all know, jumping straight in and bombing somewhere we know nothing about solves all the problems...

There are times, like in the Balkans when instant western action would have saved many innocent lives and the military stood by as they had their orders, despite being just a mile or two from a massacre of civilians. But, I agree with you, somewhere in the mid ground would seem appropriate, all the willingness of Bush/Blair, but the ability to pause for a 'brief' considered thought of mainland Europe. Chance would be fine thing.
Post edited at 20:35
 RomTheBear 21 Jun 2016
In reply to summo:

> Granted the chance of the EU starting a war, anywhere, is zero. There could be some really evil person in say North Africa killing hundreds of people in minute, they would first appoint a board, who would select the panel members, who would then decide who sits on the committee to study the data on the war. Who would report back to the panel.... ..... ....

Going to war is not in the realm of powers of the EU so that's that sorted, we managed very well to go on our own illegal wars without EU's help.
1
 RomTheBear 21 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:

> I think that list perfectly illustrates my point. Its a nonsense to describe most of those as wars between democracies and even the others are a bit tenuous.

Actually it doesn't' illustrates your point pec, it just categorically proves it to be false.
1
 pec 21 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

> Actually it doesn't' illustrates your point pec, it just categorically proves it to be false. >

How does a list of wars between democracies which doesn't actually contain any wars fought between two proper functioning democracies prove me to be wrong?
Do explain.

 Big Ger 21 Jun 2016
In reply to MG:

What I am saying is this, that even though you can, superficially, compare the EU to the US, it doesn't really work when you look at it from a political organisational management perspective. (Not that the US is any role model for, well, anything really.)
 RomTheBear 21 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:

> How does a list of wars between democracies which doesn't actually contain any wars fought between two proper functioning democracies prove me to be wrong?

You are just making up your own definition of "functioning democracies", I remind you that your initial claim was that democracies don't go at war with each other. This is evidently false.
1
 pec 21 Jun 2016
In reply to RomTheBear:

> You are just making up your own definition of "functioning democracies", I remind you that your initial claim was that democracies don't go at war with each other. This is evidently false. >

You are assuming that whoever compiled that list actually knew what he was talking about. To include wars such as one between Finland and the Soviet Union which manifestly was not a democracy by any stretch of the imagination, suggests he didn't.

I did qualify my original post by saying that "Russia and the like" don't count. Perhaps I should have been clearer for the hard of thinking but I assume a modicum of intelligence on the part of most users here. I think you will struggle to find many people from the left or right who would consider Russia to be a proper democracy.
Just because a country sometimes has an election doesn't make it democratic. Robert Mugabe won an election, would you count Zimbabwe as a democracy?
Proper democracies require free and fair elections in which most adults can participate without fear or intimidation and choose from a range of candidates, including ones who are free to oppose the government. They have governments accountable to the law by an independant judiciary and so on.

In order for a country to join the EU it needs to meet certain standards of democracy. I'm sure being the Euro-enthusiast you are, you will fully endorse those standards as representing the benchmark for a proper domocracy.
Measured by that standard I maintain that democracies do not fight wars with other democracies.
 RomTheBear 21 Jun 2016
In reply to pec:
.
Let me quote your post :

"democracies don't fight wars with democracies."

That is proven to be false as we have tens of counter examples, hence why I said it was a ridiculous statement.

Now if you want to change your version fair enough but that's a different argument really.
Post edited at 23:59

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