In reply to George Frisby:
thanks for the responses, overall i think the WillyWeather Dancing Ledge tidal forecast should be taken with a pinch of salt as it's the most eastern location of a stretch of tidal forecasts all using the same profile. (https://tides.willyweather.co.uk/sw/dorset/dancing-ledge.html) . The levels from this website seem to just be translated profiles from the closest secondary port/hydrographic office location - which i think is Swanage in this case - but it's at the furtherst away forecast location and evidently has very different tidal behaviour . So Dancing Ledge, Anvil Point, Durlston Head and Pevril Piont and Swanage all have the same profile on Willy Weather, just translated HT and LT timings as you move west/east. Then St Alban's Head uses a different profile through to Kimmeridge, and the HT and LT times for these two profiles are almost reversed! I think... The eastern profile (St Alban's, Kimmeridge, Lulworth etc) is definitely more normal looking.
Therefore, i think it's still a bit of a mystery, i think you're never going to a get a proper answer along this coastline as there is no secondary port , probably best bet would be understanding how the tide relates to tides at Mupe Bay or Swanage where there are proper tidal models (being hydrographic office standard/secondary ports). Or if you had a tidal stream map you could look at the movement of water in relation to these locations and try to estimate?
not that is really matters for the climbing much anyway, just pretty interesting.
Reply to Toerag: Bang on, the sailing forums would know! i bet they would love to chat about it too! might try and find one and give it a go.
zz4: thanks for analogy - i think the IoW explanation is a bit of a myth/oversimplification, may be part of the reason for double tides but it is more complex than that i believe (Poole harbour, bathymetry, and tidal streams)
Thanks all, George.