In reply to NottsRich:
Yes. A vapour barrier will sort the problem. However you will stay warm, but also very clammy which is not pleasant. try not to breath into your bag and or bivvy bag as that will up the moisture content dramatically.
Those of us of a certain age who used to camp regularily in Scottish winters in class cotton tents such as the Arctic Guinea or Blacks Good Companions had little if any condensation issues, and we stayed warm and dry. Modern nylon tents are just large plastic bags that concentrate moisture.
In the 1980s we camped at Loch Morlich with a forecast temp of -25C. Our nylon tent iced up inside even before we got in it. We had a cold two nights due to condensation. Our friends in their Artic Guinea had zero condensation and stayed dry whereas our bags were losing loft dramatically. The good companion was straight back into use after that.