In reply to Lankyman:
Up here in and around Fife, from my general observations, I think the number of Mute Swans on various lochs I’ve seen breeding is same or similar to the last couple of years. Brood size seems similar as well - up to 7 cygnets I’ve seen.
Earlier in the year, flocks of non breeding mute swans I thought were huge to what I ever recall in the past (though before taking up bird watching I really wasn’t paying that much attention). Flocks on the likes of Loch Leven were up to 40 or maybe more at times this year, 20 or so on another loch.
Subjective, but they are doing well here (or did last year to have so many non breeding about earlier in the year).
I have observed the aggression when the male decides it’s time for the youngsters to move on. On the larger lochs that just means to a different area of the loch, but on the smaller ones it is elsewhere and I assume that was part of the large flocks of non breeding swans seen earlier in the year.
It was pointed out to me last year that some lochs have high predation rates. Loch of Kinnordy I was told was one where it was lucky if any of the cygnets survive some years. Saw that with one pair there last year; they lost all but one cygnet to predation.