In reply to zebidee:
> It is a union of two nations. You cannot force either of the nations to remain in the union against their will. That stops being a union and starts being an occupation.
> You can't have a marriage with just one person wanting to be married (believe me - I know about this one).
I had a half hour discussion directly outside the polling station with the No campaigner on 'duty'. He is a business representative and very knowledgable, with influential contacts. ( He is also an old friend I had lost contact with when he retired from work)
I left the conversation rather reassured.
The first thing was I discovered was that he had wrestled with pros and cons on both sides, and went on to list them, very even handedly. He acknowledged what he saw as considerable advantages ( and challenges) that would follow even a Yes vote ( not what you would expect of a No voter, never mind a campaigner.)
He has come down on the No side, but was ready to throw his considerable knowledge and influence, into making a success of Scotland Yes or No, which he believes is very possible, but not his own preference.
We discussed market reactions, Trident( just up the road, CU, or no CU , other currency options and oil. Interestingly, I discovered that he had good contacts in the oil industry, and he was convinced from these contacts enough to acknowledge that Scotland's industry will continue to prosper, and in particular Oil will be there for many years more than has been stated by the No camp, and it was being largely underestimated/ underplayed, particularly West Coast Oil, that us expected to be significant, good quality, and accessible.
The rider is, this is in the future, relying improving technology that IS going to be able to exploit it economically, when, well perhaps, 10- 20 years time, but then for a long time after that, and of course there this not what more the expect to get out of End of life wells, that with technology will continue to yield far beyond previous predictions.
His actual comment was:-
" the story that oil was running out was a load of crap"
( he is usually rather more polite than this, and well spoken, so all the more surprising )
This ties in with our own family contacts in the Oil exploration side,( mostly abroad, but with local contacts) who has told his son my future SIL, that there will be a exciting future for him in oil when he finishes his Engineering degree, and in this gent's opinion, there is 100 years of oil left in Scotland alone , at what cost to exploit, and what price it is sold, is of course open to market fluctuations.
So, if true, this is the good news for everyone, no matter the result, as even if it is a Yes ( which looks unlikely) it is not in rUK's interests to have a weak / poor neighbour that does not trade widely with, and have significant funds to spend on that trade within any rUK.
I wonder then, if there are any on here that also in the oil industry, that can confirm (or refute ) these assertions? There has been some 'disagreements ' from the various experts, and as we know from history, and Dennis Healy, that oil resources were previously hugely understated, , but we all now need to know what figures are the more accurate, the lower, or higher estimates?