In reply to all:
It's great to see some discussion on this and some interesting points have been raised. It's worth highlighting one of the points we make on the monitoring page again:
"We stress that this is not a definitive system – it will not give a simple ‘yes’ or ‘no’ answer to whether conditions are good for climbing. Small differences from the effect of weather on different areas of the crag may mean the measurement site shows frozen turf when the turf on the crag (or part of the crag) is not, or vice versa. Likewise, weather can affect similar crags even a small distance away differently. There are many variables which contribute to bringing routes into condition and the data below should simply be used as a guide for climbers to make their own, more informed decisions about likely on-crag conditions."
The monitoring kit is located off to the side of the crag itself, on as similar an aspect as we could manage and still get good signal for the radio transmissions. As a few people have pointed out, it will likely take a bit of time to work out how the temps given by the system are likely to reflect on route conditions - they may be a direct correlation or the system might lag behind a little. It might also change depending on whether for example there has been a dump of snow which is insulating the turf at the monitoring site, but could have been wind scoured elsewhere freezing the turf more quickly.
The points about the sensor depth are well made too and something we've already thought about since the kit went in. The general idea was to show a profile through the turf to show if it's only just freezing or if it's rock solid all the way through, but the probes may or may not be a little too deep. This is all very new and we probably need a bit more time to see how the sensors work in different conditions. So we'll see how things go this season, but there is certainly scope to change the depth of sensors in the future if needed.
So overall, the message is to treat this in the same way you would a weather forecast - it's a pretty good indication of what conditions are doing, but you still need to use your own judgement and experience in interpreting the data. It's not perfect - as with anything like this it has it's foibles, but hopefully it's much more informative than just using a weather forecast and anecdotal evidence from people who got out the day(s) before. Here's to an arctic blast in the near future!
Cheers,
Rob Dyer
Access & Conservation Officer (England)