In reply to chris_s:
> (In reply to Jim C)
>
> Or: How do we make the people who enjoy the mountains more aware of their safety without being completely stupid about it and accepting that (1) risk cannot be eliminated and (2) taking risks is not inherently bad.
>
Making people more aware? How do you develop awareness?
We live in an age of information overload. Each 'pearl of wisdom' competing with another for our attention.
Cover the world in dayglo 'danger' warnings and then see how salient each individual message then becomes.
Look at the world of Health Education in the developed world. Millions of pounds of taxpayers money spent on advising people of the benefits of avoiding smoking/diabetes/obesity. We should be the fittest nation on the planet- But I don't think it's analysis paralysis that's preventing the more considered approach to living.
Yet better informed must be the way to go, surely?
Here's a conundrum; SAIS- develped for highly laudible reasons. Allows us to make an informed decision-or does it?
As the information is derived from modelling, the assumption may be that the risk is X for me, on this route at this time. Same with Met Office etc etc.
'Ah,yes..I can see where you're going with that one- It's there if you want it, and the modelling needs to be developed, be more sophisticated.' But it's still not giving you what's there in front of you.
Do services such as SAIS give the impression for some (maybe all, in a more subtle way?) of a ever more knowable, risk understood, day out?
Fair enough if in a led group where a cautious approach is desirable for fear of litigation. When I'm in my 70's II may glad to consult the webcam on the summit of Snowdon. In the meantime I'd prefer not to know until I get there.
Perhaps it's only a matter of time before a combination of smartphone and GoPro provide constantly updated wind/ precipiation/ temperature and visibility data for the route ahead. Linked to a database of your previous performances, it is able to text you when you're at risk of falling over or when you should turn round.
Until we reach that day should the interested parties in the mountain safety lobby be geared up to provide courses for hillgoers on scientific method, on the analysis and interptretation of data so that there's no assumption that everyone's read the 'small print' and understands the caveats inherent in more information to make us more aware?
The winning combination of cyber info and its' application after rigorous scientific analysis should make for a soul-less day out.